Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $24.30 $12.30 103%
ELP-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $4.84 $0.84 21%
ELP-5   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.46 $1.46 24%
    DD (1/3)-(4/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $10.92 $4.92 82%
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(1/3)-(4/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-1-2 $10.49 $1.49 17%
    PK4 (4/3/5)-(3/1/4)-(1/3)-(4/8/2) 54 $0.50 $27.00  1/4/8-3-1/2/5/6-2 $33.69 $6.69 25%
    PK5 (3/2/4)-(4/3/5)-(3/1/4)-(1/3)-(4/8/2) 162 $0.50 $81.00  3/7-1/4/8-3-1/2/5/6-2 $111.66 $30.66 38%
ELP-7   WIN (1/6/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $20.42 $12.42 155%
    EXA (1/6/3/10)-(1/6/3/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-10 $79.48 $55.48 231%
    TRI (1/6/3/10)-(1/6/3/10)-(1/6/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-10-1 $75.67 $63.67 531%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MENDED WE STAND 3 1 11 11   13 13 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.00 61% 0.60 1.69 W
6  RATIFIED 6 5 53 32½   23 23 (moquett ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 1.80  
4  MRS. SPEAKER 4 3 63½ 66½   56½ 35¼ (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
1  MIDNIGHT XO 1 4 32 44   45½ 48¾ (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 33.78  
2  GET BY 2 2 21 21   33½ 59½ (cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 124 5.00 12% 7.00 2.91  
8  MIDNIGHT SONATA 7 7 73¾ 76½   68½ 616¼ (walker paul)HESS SARA 114 20.00 23.06  
5  ELEGANT MOVES 5 6 42 55½   714½ 739¾ (pittman bo)CARPIO J 119 30.00 31.79  
SCR  THE PRINCESS SAYS               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50    
 
ELP-2   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  REGAL RUMOR 3 1 2½ 2nk   11 16 (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 4.00 72% 0.40 2.09 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of BACK OFF by PUT IT BACK)
3  MAKEUP 2 4 1½ 1nk   21 26 (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00 6% 15.90 4.60 P
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DANCE QUEEN by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
6  HIGH SHOT 5 3 32 32   35 310 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 20.86  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
9  LOOKSTER 7 5 44 44   46 410½ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 2.47  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SEA LEVEL DRIVE by MALIBU MOON)
7  NOVARA 6 2 54 54½   57½ 514¼ (walsh bre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 2.88  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  BABE IN THE WOODS 4 6 64½ 65½   68 615 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.12  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SLANT OF LIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
2  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL 1 7 75½ 76   710 718½ (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 19.33  
  (by LORD NELSON out of MARTZ by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  MUSICAL DIVA               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  WAMPUS KITTEN               (casse nor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of MISS LUNA by HENNY HUGHES)
 
ELP-3   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SINNER'S SIN 3 1 2nk 11½   13½ 17 (moquett ro)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 28% 2.60 0.67 W
2  MIDASWELLRUN 2 3 1nk 21½   23½ 27 (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 2.50 5.96  
5  STAND FOR FREEDOM 5 7 78½ 78   67½ 37¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 18.26  
4  SUPREMELY 4 2 44 34½   35 48 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 11% 8.20 7.26  
1  CAPTAIN JACK 1 4 32½ 55½   56½ 59¼ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 26% 2.80 3.76  
7  BOLT ABOVE 7 6 55 45   46 610¾ (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 12.81  
6  GO VIRTUAL 6 5 67 67½   79 712 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00 55.51  
 
ELP-4   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IAN GLASS 1 5 11½ 12   17 114 (vanden be)TORRES A 122 1.80 48% 1.10 1.42 W
8  ONE LAST HAND 5 2 21½ 22   27 214 (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 1.47  
3  READY TO ROLL (IRE) 2 4 45 45½   310 318¼ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 5.00 29% 2.50 2.53 S
4  SILVER SEA 3 3 56 57½   410½ 424 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 15.00 10.29  
7  SHAPE OF YOU 4 1 32 33½   512½ 529¼ (pittman bon)STILLION BROOKE 117 20.00 37.25  
SCR  JURA               (meah m)HEARD TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  LOOKIN FOR LOKI               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50    
SCR  MERLIN'S SONG               (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
 
ELP-5   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:132 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEIGNOIR 1 1 11½ 11 13 16 18¼ (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 20% 4.10 2.73 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEEHIVE HAIRDO by FLAT OUT)
9  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE 5 6 63¼ 42½ 44 26 28¼ (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 20.79  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PROMISE ME MORE by MORE PLEASURE)
7  AUDIOBOOK 4 4 53¼ 52½ 23 39 318 (brown cha)TORRES A 119 3.50 3.41  
  (by AUDIBLE out of POOH CORNER by QUACK)
3  CARARRA 2 2 21½ 21 33½ 412 422¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5.44  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SEACRETTINA by SEA OF SECRETS)
4  SINGSATIONAL 3 3 31½ 31½ 54 513½ 531¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 22% 3.60 4.02  
  (by AUDIBLE out of STIFLED HEIRESS by MUNNINGS)
10  PULA 6 5 43 63 68 619½ 645 (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 2.14  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CONQUEST SUPERSTEP by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  EDWINA (IRE)               (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
  (by CAERLEON out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  L. A. WOMAN               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TEAMMATE by A.P. INDY)
SCR  SHE'S ALL ELLIE               (von heme)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
SCR  UMEBOSHI               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SWEETGRASS by KOKAND)
 
ELP-6   08/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:133 1:27   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KEEN CONTENDER 4 7 78 74¼ 55½ 45 11 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 12.88  
8  SHE'S MAGIC 6 6 65½ 42 44 35 21 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.76 P
2  RED JAG 1 3 11½ 1½ 1½ 13 31 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5.31  
3  INSIGHTFUL MISS 2 4 21½ 2½ 2½ 23 48½ (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 3.77  
6  BIRDIE ROSE 5 2 43½ 32 33½ 57 510½ (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 3.00 16% 5.30 4.69  
4  KING'S MISTRESS 3 1 32½ 52¼ 68½ 610½ 614 (ortiz john )PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 9.64  
9  STORM HAVEN 7 5 54½ 64¼ 78½ 712½ 729¼ (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 124 5.00 19% 4.40 3.21  
SCR  LITTLE GIA               (vaccarezz)TORRES A 124 5.00    
SCR  NEWYEARSPRESENT               (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HIGHLAND FALLS 2 7 89¼ 84¾ 43 21½ 1¼ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.50 7% 12.60 9.21 W
  (by CURLIN out of ROUND POND by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  MO FIGHT 8 4 44 53 11 11½ 2¼ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 2.20 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of CAT FIGHT by FIT TO FIGHT)
1  RIVALRY 1 1 32½ 21 32½ 32 32¾ (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 59% 0.70 0.95 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of OUR LOVE TAP by TAPIT)
8  LUNA VIEJA 6 6 56 42½ 63½ 54½ 46¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 26.58  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of COLONIAL EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
9  DISSOLVED 7 3 22½ 31½ 21 42 56¾ (casse nor)TORRES A 118 15.00 28.93  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SWEET DREAMS by TRICK ME)
6  FEAR OF UNION 4 5 66¼ 63 75½ 711 620 (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 7% 12.60 9.87  
  (by UNION RAGS out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  PROVISIONAL 3 2 12½ 11 53 610½ 724½ (matejka p)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 16.25  
  (by JUSTIFY out of BUBBLER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN 5 8 77¾ 74½ 88½ 814 834¼ (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 13.28  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LETCHWORTH by TIZNOW)
SCR  GAME WARDEN               (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
  (by TAPIT out of GLORY AND POWER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ZADORO               (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERNARDA by BERNARDINI)
 
ELP-8   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXA LOU 1 6 42½ 54½   32 1¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.65  
8  PISTOL 6 3 2½ 2½   21½ 2¼ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 1.96 P
5  HIGH CLASS 4 1 1½ 1½   11½ 32 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.58 S
2  STORY HOUR 2 4 64 65   45 45¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 3.50  
4  BEAUXS ARTES 3 5 53½ 44   69 512¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 8% 11.20 23.60  
6  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 5 2 32½ 33½   58 612½ (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 12.36  
SCR  SONADOR               (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  STELLAR LILY               (moquett ro)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50    
 
ELP-9   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:132 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SANT' ANTIMO 2 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 11 1¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 20.00 13.13  
9  REDEMPTION TIME 6 5 41½ 62¼ 3.2 21 2¾ (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 2.26  
4  LONG CROW 3 6 62¼ 51¾ 52¼ 43½ 33½ (shorter a)TORRES A 123 8.00 8.56  
7  HAVILDAR 5 4 31½ 31½ 41¾ 54½ 44¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 26% 2.80 1.72  
6  NERVES OF STEEL 4 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 33 57¾ (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.00 15% 5.60 3.49  
2  OSCAR AWARD 1 2 51¾ 41¾ 62¾ 66½ 615¾ (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 30% 2.40 6.07  
SCR  ALL CHOKED UP               (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00    
SCR  CADILLAC CANDY               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
SCR  NIGHT EFFECT               (mott riley)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE               (maker michael )CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.50    
SCR  TRIGGER HAPPY               (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
SCR  WINNEMAC AVENUE               (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.