Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (2/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $25.00 $17.00 213%
HAW-2   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $20.80 $14.80 247%
    DD (2/8/3/4)-(8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5 $90.90 $78.90 658%
HAW-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.00 $3.00 50%
    DD (8/1/5)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-4 $66.10 $57.10 634%
    PK3 (2/8/3/4)-(8/1/5)-(3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-5-4 $214.40 $196.40 1091%
HAW-4   EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $9.10 $3.10 52%
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-5-6 $8.25 $5.25 175%
    DD (3/4/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-1 $21.00 $12.00 133%
    PK3 (8/1/5)-(3/4/2)-(6/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50  5-4-1/4 $44.85 $31.35 232%
HAW-5   PK3 (3/4/2)-(6/1/5)-(7/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50  4-1/4-4/6 $19.15 $5.65 42%
    PK4 (8/1/5)-(3/4/2)-(6/1/5)-(7/4/3) 81 $0.50 $40.50  5-4-1/4-4/6 $187.00 $146.50 362%
    PK5 (2/8/3/4)-(8/1/5)-(3/4/2)-(6/1/5)-(7/4/3) 324 $0.50 $162  3-5-4-1/4-4/6 $247.20 $85.20 53%
    PK5 (2/8/3/4)-(8/1/5)-(3/4/2)-(6/1/5)-(7/4/3) 324 $0.50 $162  3-5-4-1/4-4/6 $1454 $1292 798%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:133 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT VERY GENTLE 3 5 77 712 65 2 11 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 8% 11.60 11.50 W
FLYING SAMURAI 7 2 32 3½ 1½ 1 21 (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 11.60  
VERRAZANOINTHESKY 2 4 43 45 43 3 3 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 44% 1.30 5.40 S
BLOOD MOON 8 8 5 56 5 44 4 (campbell joel)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 16% 5.20 6.30  
REMEMBER THE MAINE 4 6 66 6 76 6 5 (campbell j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00 6% 16.40 15.50  
RIVER BOY 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 5 610¾ (claire alexis)FELIX E 118 3.00 1.30  
LOOK AWAY 5 7 810½ 815½ 812 7 710¾ (jones s)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00 15.60  
POKER PLAY 6 3 21 2½ 3 8 817½ (johnston la)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 5.80  
 
HAW-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:231 :464 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEEASY 5 4 4 3   2 1½ (zawitz joel)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 11% 7.80 9.40 W
LUCKY SHOT 2 3 12 1   1 2½ (poulos dee)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 4.10  
LAKE MILLS 6 1 22 2   34 34 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 1.80 46% 1.20 1.10 S
ROGER MCQUEEN 1 5 32 45   46 4 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 3.00 18% 4.60 2.20  
ROCKET HOTSHOT 4 6 6 68   58 5 (rodriguez )WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00 31.50  
LORD DYLAN 3 2 5 56   611 617¾ (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 19.70  
SCR  PINBALLER               (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00    
SCR  TEA AFTER BALLET               (zawitz joel)ORTEGA O 122 20.00    
 
HAW-3   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE BLAST 4 4 5 33 4 3 11 (villa francisc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 18% 4.60 3.50 W
G T FIVE HUNDRED 7 5 21 22 2nk 1nk 21 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 118 3.00 3.20  
GLOBAL EMPIRE 3 7 66 6 32 42 3 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.50 55% 0.80 2.90 S
T LAW 6 6 44 5 6 53 4 (kirby j)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00 13.80  
SLAVA UKRAINI 2 2 11 12 1nk 2nk 5 (zawitz joel)COLON H 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
SONO GRATO 8 8 7 7 5 66 612¼ (scalcione p)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00 19.60  
MILLARD'S SMILE 1 1 811½ 8 7 7 712¾ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 5.00  
COMING UP ACES 5 3 3 43 8 816½ 830¼ (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00 55.60  
 
HAW-4   08/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:123 1:243   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY 1 3 56 46 3 2½ 11 (block chris)EMIGH A 122 4.00 27% 2.70 1.70 W
IMPULSIVENESS 4 7 7 6 5 33 21 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 3.00 10% 8.80 2.50 P
LAWMAKER 5 4 22 24 1½ 1½ 32 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 31% 2.20 2.00 S
IZEONDEC 2 1 6 7 64 5 47 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 4.50 14.80  
WEST COAST CHROME 7 6 12 14 2½ 4 513¼ (castro isi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 30.00 72.60  
SHARP AZ NAILS 3 2 3 36 4 610½ 617¼ (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 11.30  
LONESTAR CHROME 6 5 4 5 7 715 723¼ (castro isidro)REYES ANGEL 122 30.00 ######  
SCR  CHAD'S FLASH               (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00    
 
HAW-5   08/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORTESE 4 4 4 4   1nk 13 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 118 2.50 16% 5.30 1.80 W
RICHIESONAROLL 7 3 3.2 3.2   2nk 23 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 113 4.00 2.10  
STAR NATION 2 6 6 6   6 36 (spagnola i)WEATHERLY BAILEY 108 8.00 20.30  
BALADINE 1 5 5 5   5 4 (poulos dee)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00 24.20  
DASH TO THE CASH 5 7 7 7   7 5 (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 122 12.00 36.70  
POWER ALLEY 3 2 2nk 2nk   31 6 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
TWIRLING ROSES 6 1 1nk 1nk   4 710 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 3.00 56% 0.80 3.60  
SCR  MISTER CHARMING               (spagnola )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
HAW-6   08/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:101 1:35   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCMONEY 7 7 7 5 5 33 1¾ (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 5.90  
SIMPLE LOGIC 1 1 3 42 31 2½ 2¾ (block chris)EMIGH A 122 1.80 54% 0.80 0.80 P
DANCE SOME MO 5 4 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 3 (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 20% 4.00 5.00 S
WICKED SUPRISE 2 2 2½ 2½ 21 4 4 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 12.00 10.00  
VITALE 3 3 6 79 7 6 5 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 6.00 10.90  
BAKENEKO 8 8 4 32 42 5 6 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 23.60  
SON OF GRACE 4 5 8 8 67 710 711½ (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 23.10  
ARMAVIR 6 6 5 6 811¾ 813 821½ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 118 20.00 63.50  
SCR  AQUACAT               (rodriguez hugo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
 
HAW-7   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARKER 5 5 4 3   42 1½ (gonzalez lili)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 29.10  
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 1 3 11 1   1½ 2½ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 19% 4.30 2.10 P
RISKY BOY 2 4 5 4   2½ 31 (shephard john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 8.00  
PERFECT WAGER 7 6 7 6   5 42 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 4.00 9.30  
BORN AGAIN GEORGE 4 2 3 5   6 5 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 5.00 4.30  
WILDWOOD SECRET 6 1 21 2   31 6 (clay pat)EMIGH A 117 6.00 15% 5.80 3.30  
NYOMAN 3 7 6 7   76 7 (villa franc)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 35% 1.80 5.40  
SCR  Z U SOON               (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.