Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $18.64 $6.64 55%
ELP-8   EXA (1/5/3/7/8)-(1/5/3/7/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-7 $87.28 $47.28 118%
    TRI (1/5/3/7/8)-(1/5/3/7/8)-(1/5/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-7-1 $71.57 $41.57 139%
ELP-9   SFT (2/6/3/8/5)-(2/6/3/8/5)-(2/6/3/8/5)-(2/6/3/8/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-6-3-5 $25.01 $13.01 108%
    PK3 (4/1/5/9/10)-(1/5/3/7/8)-(2/6/3/8/5) 125 $3.00 $375  4-3-2 $742.47 $367.47 98%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LAMASCO   (gutierrez)TORRES A 122 2.00 22% 3.50 0.49 W
6  CENTER STAGE   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 13% 6.60 11.78 P
4  COEXIST   (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 5.76  
5  WITS AND WAGERS   (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 4.73  
2  LITTLE DIXIE   (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 30% 2.30 6.04  
SCR  SHELL SHOCK   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.00    
 
ELP-2   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIMMER ME TIMBERS   (gorostieta c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 5.47  
3  AMERICAN MAYHEM   (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 15% 5.60 1.56 P
5  MOUNSIEUR COCO   (gutierrez faus)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.50 52% 0.90 6.81 S
8  ATRAS   (hewitt mi)TORRES A 122 4.00 ★ 4.55  
7  CHISELER   (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 2.00 2.56  
6  SAMURAI PRINCE   (miller ken)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 5% 17.80 18.81  
4  MAHOMEY   (hewitt michael)EMIGH A 122 15.00 34.05  
SCR  CAPTIVATED DRAMA   (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 25.00    
SCR  CHATTALOT   (asmussen )TORRES A 122 3.50    
 
ELP-3   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FIBBER   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 4.55  
  (by FROSTED out of DEVIOUS INTENT by DIXIE UNION)
2  CRUISE MISSILE   (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 2.00 43% 1.40 2.99 P
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of RUN AWAY'S SIS by CITY ZIP)
4  SCRUPULOUS   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50 ★ 5.23 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of FULL HOUSE by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  BRUNCH PUNCH   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COSMIC BURST by VIOLENCE)
5  ADALENE   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 7.06  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET ON SMOKEY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
1  C C GRAND   (lyster stephen)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 32.17  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of ANGIE GRAND by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  I AM BEAUTIFUL   (flint s)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.33  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SALT BAE by PAYNTER)
 
ELP-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONEY RUN   (asmussen )TORRES A 118 2.50 50% 1.00 1.30 W
4  CAMP DADDY   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 3.50 2.05  
1  DOG RED   (contreras cip)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 20% 3.90 4.86 S
2  MODAZZLE   (watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 11.90  
5  SCHMOOZIN   (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 5.00 5% 19.00 3.92  
SCR  CARMICHAEL   (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00    
SCR  RAYMOND   (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
 
ELP-5   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SECRET POCKET   (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 13.42  
4  PRINCELY   (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 118 3.50 4.34  
3  BACKSIDE BUZZ   (vance d)LANERIE J 118 15.00 ★ 11.64 S
6  HURRY HURRY   (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 62% 0.60 1.54  
2  CARNIVORE   (shorter aaron)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 6% 14.90 7.71  
1  DEEP STATE   (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.83  
8  SEVEN FLAT   (moquett ro)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 4.06  
SCR  EMPERADOR   (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
 
ELP-6   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEDWIG   (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 10.75  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MRS. NORRIS by BERNARDINI)
1  COMMITTEE OF ONE   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00 14.64  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SWEETEST SOUND by ELOCUTIONIST)
5  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY   (lynch bria)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 3.59  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of AESCULUS by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
8  TAKE CHARGE J J   (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 32.40  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of ALL WOMAN by HALF OURS)
7  GOTTA KEEP HIM   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 37% 1.70 2.10  
  (by STREET BOSS out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
12  SUGA STEVE   (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 16.17  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HELEN SUNG by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  MO CALIENTE   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 6.72  
  (by UNCLE MO out of KALLIO by SCAT DADDY)
3  NIGHT MOVER   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.88  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SOVEREIGN CRISIS by CONGRATS)
11  CLOVIS   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 19% 4.30 3.69  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ANUKET by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  PHENOMENAL DREAM   (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 56.41  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SIERRA SQUALL by GRAND SLAM)
6  WORK FROM HOME   (hancock a)STEVENS C 119 25.00 5% 19.00 80.62  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BELLE'S HOME by CAME HOME)
SCR  DEEP STRIKE   (thomas jonat)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  ROCK TO FAME   (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ROSE TO FAME by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  RUNNIN' ROCKET   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 2.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  TAPITBOY   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SPECIAL GAL by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
 
ELP-7   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRACK MATE   (lukas wayne)LANERIE J 119 4.50 4.04  
  (by UNION RAGS out of TEAMMATE by A.P. INDY)
4  SAHALAT   (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 26% 2.80 3.44 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  FASHION KING   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 4.00 21% 3.70 5.07 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FASHION RUNAWAY by OLD FASHIONED)
9  SPIELMAN   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 11% 8.50 11.05  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SASSY IMAGE by BROKEN VOW)
11  NOT SO HOLY   (lynch bria)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 10.33  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ALTAGRACIA by FLATTER)
8  LITTLE NICK (NZ)   (vaccarezza car)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 31.27  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GHOST FLOWER by FORLI)
10  PASS LINE   (williamson bri)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.63  
  (by STRAIGHT LINE out of OVER AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
5  J J'S JOKER   (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 14% 6.20 2.21  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CABBAGE KEY by A.P. INDY)
6  QUICK IMPULSE   (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 48.42  
  (by KEEN ICE out of SPEEDY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  ACE THE RACE   (pittman bo)CARPIO J 119 50.00 82.26  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of NEW TWIST MISS by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  CITY OF LOVE   (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of JERRY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
ELP-8   08/19/2023 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUCY'S CAKES FLY   (stuart s)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 11% 8.00 3.45 W
7  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE   (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.36 P
1  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.67 S
6  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE   (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 124 8.00 15.90  
5  LAY THE GROUNDWORK   (mott rile)TORRES A 124 3.00 12% 7.00 6.24  
2  LEOPARDESS (GB)   (thomas jonat)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 10.61  
9  LAVISH HABITS   (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 20.00 10.74  
8  THREE COINS   (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 45.26  
4  DESERT TEMPEST   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 7.59  
 
ELP-9   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LADY GOLDSTART   (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 126 3.50 24% 3.20 1.91 W
6  LITTLE JEWEL   (vaccarezza car)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 19% 4.20 5.98 P
3  MINAUN (IRE)   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.00 18% 4.60 4.27 S
5  NEON SUMMER   (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
1  FRANGO ELECTRICO   (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00 40.54  
9  FRANKEL BABY   (mcewen j)HEARD TYLER 118 30.00 36.67  
10  PIPELINE GIRL   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 8.50  
4  EXPLICATE   (bicknell w)CARPIO J 122 25.00 27.76  
7  PICANA (CHI)   (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 4.16  
8  LAUGH AND PLAY   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 18% 4.60 9.94  
SCR  FASHION RAGE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.00    
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA   (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 126 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.