Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (7/11/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (4/1/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (1/5/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (2/6/3/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHELL SHOCK Aug01 Jun24 Jun03 Mar04 Feb19 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.00    
2  LITTLE DIXIE Jun11 Apr23 Mar03 Jan21   (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  LAMASCO Aug01 Jun17 Mar26 Mar08 Feb01 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  COEXIST Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 May27 May12 (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
5  WITS AND WAGERS Jul15 Jun16 May13 Apr07 Feb04 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00    
6  CENTER STAGE Jul15 May20 Apr23 Mar25 Feb16 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 13% 6.60    
 
ELP-2   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIMMER ME TIMBERS Jul21 Jul07 May23 Apr18 Mar19 (gorostiet)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATED DRAMA Jul14 Jun17 May06     (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 25.00    
3  AMERICAN MAYHEM Jul21 Oct01 Sep14 Aug26 Jul24 (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
4  MAHOMEY Jul17 Jun04 May06 Apr07 Mar23 (hewitt michael)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
5  MOUNSIEUR COCO Jul08 Nov26 Oct09 Aug28 Aug20 (gutierrez fausti)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  SAMURAI PRINCE Jul15 Jun07 May17 Apr19 Mar18 (miller kenny)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 5% 17.80    
7  CHISELER Jul08 May20 Mar09 Jan19 Dec28 (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 2.00    
8  ATRAS Jul21 Jun24 Jun17 Jun09 May12 (hewitt mich)TORRES A 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  CHATTALOT Aug04 Jul04 May29 Apr23 Apr15 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 3.50    
 
ELP-3   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C GRAND         (lyster s)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
2  CRUISE MISSILE Jun16         (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 2.00 43% 1.40    
3  BRUNCH PUNCH         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  SCRUPULOUS         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50 ★    
5  ADALENE         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
6  FIBBER         (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
7  I AM BEAUTIFUL         (flint s)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOG RED Jul19 Jun18 May28 Apr26 Feb03 (contreras cipri)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  MODAZZLE Jul15 Jun07 May18 Apr16 Mar10 (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  RAYMOND Jul30 Jul05 May26 May13 Apr19 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
4  CAMP DADDY Jul31 Jun25 May27 May21 May04 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 124 3.50    
5  SCHMOOZIN May19 Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 Dec23 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  MONEY RUN Jun15 Apr12 Mar16 Feb20 Jan28 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  CARMICHAEL Aug04 Jun01 May11 Feb05 Nov23 (diodoro robertin)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00    
 
ELP-5   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEEP STATE Jul23 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Sep28 (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARNIVORE Jul16 Jun02 May05 Mar19 Feb11 (shorter aaron)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 6% 14.90    
3  BACKSIDE BUZZ Jul31 May06 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 15.00 ★    
4  PRINCELY Jul21 May28 May13 Apr19 Mar19 (mcpeek kenn)TORRES A 118 3.50    
SCR  EMPERADOR Jul31 Jun29 Jun04 Jan06 Oct14 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
6  HURRY HURRY Jun30 Jun11 Mar16 Feb17   (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 62% 0.60    
7  SECRET POCKET Jun29 Jun02 Apr29 Mar24 Feb01 (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
8  SEVEN FLAT Jul21 Jun02 May13 Apr26 Jun30 (moquett rona)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00    
 
ELP-6   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMITTEE OF ONE         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00    
2  MO CALIENTE         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
3  NIGHT MOVER         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEDWIG         (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
5  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY         (lynch brian )ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
6  WORK FROM HOME         (hancock a)STEVENS C 119 25.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOTTA KEEP HIM         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  TAKE CHARGE J J         (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  PHENOMENAL DREAM         (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00    
SCR  ROCK TO FAME         (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
11  CLOVIS         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
12  SUGA STEVE Jul30 Jul03 May25 May03   (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00    
SCR  DEEP STRIKE         (thomas jonatha)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  TAPITBOY         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00    
SCR  RUNNIN' ROCKET Jul15         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 2.50    
 
ELP-7   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASHION KING Jul14 Nov05 Oct09     (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
2  TRACK MATE Sep15 Aug27 Aug06     (lukas wayne)LANERIE J 119 4.50    
3  ACE THE RACE Jul22         (pittman bonn)CARPIO J 119 50.00    
4  SAHALAT         (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  J J'S JOKER Feb18 Jan21 Dec10 Oct30   (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 14% 6.20    
6  QUICK IMPULSE         (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
SCR  CITY OF LOVE Mar25         (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
8  LITTLE NICK (NZ)         (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
9  SPIELMAN Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 Jul22 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 11% 8.50    
10  PASS LINE Jul22 Jul02 Jun15     (williamson brian)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  NOT SO HOLY         (lynch brian )ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-8   08/19/2023 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS Oct13 Jun22 Apr28 Jan29   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  LEOPARDESS (GB) Jun21 May18 Sep28     (thomas jonatha)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50    
3  LUCY'S CAKES FLY Jul23 Jul07 Jun17 Apr23 Feb15 (stuart she)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 11% 8.00    
4  DESERT TEMPEST Jun29 Jun02 Apr27 Mar18 Feb05 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
5  LAY THE GROUNDWORK May18 Apr30 Mar23 Feb26 Jan25 (mott riley)TORRES A 124 3.00 12% 7.00    
6  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE Jun29 May29 Jan22     (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 124 8.00    
7  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE Jun22 Apr15 Mar11 Jan22 Nov19 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  THREE COINS Jul23 Jun17 Jun01 Apr19 Oct07 (hancock a)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  LAVISH HABITS Jul27 Jul05 Jun10 Mar05 Feb12 (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANGO ELECTRICO Aug03 Jul06 Jun22 Jun01 May04 (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00    
2  LADY GOLDSTART Jul22 Jul07 Jun16 May14 Jan29 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  MINAUN (IRE) May07 Apr15 Mar02 Jul18 May13 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  EXPLICATE Aug01 Oct13 Sep26 Jul02 Jun18 (bicknell whitne)GILLIGAN JACK 122 25.00    
5  NEON SUMMER Apr21 Apr08 Feb04 Oct12 Sep09 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE JEWEL Jul07 May05 Apr15 Mar11 Feb03 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
7  PICANA (CHI)         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 4.50    
8  LAUGH AND PLAY May19 Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 Jan11 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
9  FRANKEL BABY Jul08 May27 Aug26 Aug09   (mcewen bill)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
10  PIPELINE GIRL Jan29 Jan01 Oct25 Sep21 Aug02 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA Jul15 Jun03 Mar25 Feb26 May30 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 126 1.80    
SCR  FASHION RAGE Aug06 Jul08 Jun09 Apr23 Mar09 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.