Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.60 $3.60 60%
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $24.80 $18.80 313%
LAD-4   EXA (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $97.90 $85.90 716%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:224 :462       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRICED RIGHT 3 1 1½ 1½   11 11¾ (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50 21% 3.80 3.80 W
2  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE 2 5 53 64½   43 21¾ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 13% 6.60 6.00 P
6  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 6 2 2½ 2½   21 32¾ (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 1.50  
1  ETBAUER'S SECRET 1 4 42 43½   53½ 44¼ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 27.20  
4  BROOK IS GOLDEN 4 3 32 32½   32 54¼ (singh s)SINGH R 124 3.50 13.50  
5  OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW 5 6 63¼ 54½   65½ 610¼ (duhon jose)ALBERT S 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.70  
 
LAD-2   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:231 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WAIT ON ME 6 2 41¼ 2½   1½ 14¼ (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00 2.70  
2  BE BO 2 1 11 1½   2½ 24¼ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 13% 7.00 23.00 P
3  MARTIQUE MISS 3 6 21 42   32½ 35 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.80 S
4  HIT'EM UP 4 5 31 31½   42½ 46¾ (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 42.60  
1  RECLAIMED 1 7 51¾ 53½   54½ 57¼ (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 9% 10.40 19.90  
7  BELL PEPPER 7 4 74¾ 76½   65 67¼ (winslow janine)SINGH R 124 10.00 38.40  
5  KANCANCUTIE 5 8 86¾ 87   76 710 (cates al)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 26% 2.90 0.90  
8  KAYLEE'S SHADOW 8 3 62¾ 63½   89 822¾ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 21.40  
 
LAD-3   07/17/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:14 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  GANGSTER RAP 8 4 1½ 1nk 32 2½ 12½ (hurley tina )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 30.00 24.80  
13  FROSTY FLIRT 9 5 2½ 2nk 11 1½ 22½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 7.80  
5  MUMBLEBEE 2 1 31 52¼ 62¾ 4¾ 33 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 8% 10.90 8.80 S
2  CHROME SAVAGE 1 9 85½ 74¼ 74¾ 51¾ 43½ (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 11% 8.30 9.60  
8  SEE SASSY RUN 5 3 41½ 41¼ 21 3½ 53½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 30.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
6  IZEONPOINT 3 8 96 84¾ 84¾ 62¼ 64¼ (borel renay)BOREL H 120 20.00 12.80  
10  QUINN MURPHY 7 6 74½ 95¾ 96¾ 74¼ 76 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50 30% 2.40 2.50  
7  PAINTBRUSH 4 2 62½ 63¼ 42 89¼ 814¼ (garza e)SINGH R 124 2.50 19% 4.20 3.10  
9  LIL ASHLEY B. 6 7 52 3.2 52½ 911¼ 917 (pish danny)GREEN AUBRIE 119 10.00 6.90  
SCR  COLD NIGHT AIR               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
SCR  DADDYMADEMEDOIT               (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  GREAT IN RED               (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS               (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 30.00    
 
LAD-4   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:124     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW 7 3 2nk 1½   12 12¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 19% 4.10 0.70 W
3  OUR HALLIE 3 2 44 33½   22 22¼ (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 42.10 P
6  CONTEMPO GRAY 6 7 610 69   59 36¼ (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 9.50  
2  BLUE COWGIRL 2 1 1nk 2½   34 48 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 45% 1.20 5.10  
5  MALLORI'S MAGIC 5 6 712 710½   49 510¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 8.00 33.40  
4  WILD BIZNESS 4 5 57 57½   611 610¾ (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 9% 9.70 29.10  
1  LEXINGTON DIAMOND 1 4 31 44½   714 723½ (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 2.20  
 
LAD-5   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:132 1:39   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL 11 6 2nk 1½ 11½ 12 14¼ (clary r)MORA GERARDO 122 25.00 7.80  
5  IBERIAN RUNNER 4 2 1nk 2½ 21½ 22 24¼ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 35% 1.80 23.70 P
1  SMARTY ALEX 1 5 95¼ 85 76½ 57½ 38 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00 3.70  
12  MAHOMEY 10 1 31 31½ 32 35 48 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 25% 2.90 2.40  
6  BAY BE GONE 5 11 117¾ 106½ 97¾ 78½ 510 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 49.60  
2  CLARESTOWN 2 4 52½ 42½ 43 47 610½ (schwandt emile)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 9% 9.60 12.60  
11  STOCKPILER 9 10 83¼ 74½ 87½ 89½ 710¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 31.00  
4  IMA BIG BOPPER 3 3 41½ 52½ 64½ 67½ 812½ (payne danny )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00 57.10  
8  WICKED ROSE 7 9 62¾ 63½ 54½ 911½ 917 (johnson b)MELANCON G 119 3.50 8% 12.30 2.40  
10  INTO WISHING 8 7 73¼ 95½ 109¾ 1014½ 1019¼ (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 25.00 32.30  
7  DUDE DROP KID 6 8 105¾ 116¾ 1113¾ 1118½ 1122¾ (foster m)BOREL H 119 5.00 10.60  
SCR  COWBOY RIDGE               (rangel raul)BURNINGHAM J 122 12.00    
SCR  HUDSON'S TURN               (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP               (rossi j)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
 
LAD-6   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RONNIE'S DEAL 5 2 11 75¼   11½ 12½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 11% 8.20 2.30 W
  (by EL DEAL out of COSTA PRETTY PENNY by ZARBYEV)
6  COMMUNICATIONISKEY 6 3 32 21   21½ 22½ (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 10.00 36.20  
  (by EL DEAL out of TIZ A' GREELEY by TIZNOW)
1  OVERCAST 1 4 55 42   64¼ 34¾ (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.30 S
  (by SKY MESA out of NOVIQUE by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  OUR LAST HALF 7 1 21 11   33½ 44¾ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50 9.30  
  (by HALF OURS out of KIMUA'S LIL GIRL by ZARBYEV)
4  PLUM WINE 4 6 66 65¼   75¾ 56¾ (johnson b)BOREL H 117 2.50 66% 0.50 0.70  
  (by RACE DAY out of MS. JEAN ELIZABETH by OLD FASHIONED)
2  DEMOTION 2 7 44 31   43½ 67¾ (ortiz javier )CABRERA DAVID 117 12.00 58.80  
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of DEV MO by UNCLE MO)
3  TAKE HER AWAY 3 5 76 52¼   54 710¼ (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of WALK AWAY RULER by ROMAN RULER)
 
LAD-7   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:142 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DANZIG UP A STORM 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 12½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 1.10  
1  HAVE I EVER 1 8 74½ 83¾ 64 52 22½ (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 5% 18.00 3.10 P
4  SCRAPBOOK 4 1 53½ 42 42½ 31½ 35¼ (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 51.80 S
8  FUHR MEO 8 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 47¼ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
3  MY ALIBI 3 7 63½ 63 53½ 63 57¾ (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 68% 0.50 7.90  
10  CAJUN ACES 10 6 31½ 31½ 31½ 41½ 69 (wilson melton)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00 11.70  
7  TEXAS TIDELANDS 7 4 95¼ 94¾ 87 88¼ 716½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 DH
9  HALF SCOUT 9 5 42½ 52 75 78 716½ (borel re)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 ###### DH
6  C C'S COWGIRL 6 9 84¾ 73¼ 98 913¼ 926½ (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 22.80  
2  GEE SHE'S PRETTY 2 10 108¼ 109¾ 1013 1023¼ 1050¾ (garza e)SINGH R 122 15.00 90.40  
SCR  HAL'S DREAM               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
SCR  SHEZ OUR ARCH               (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
SCR  WHO DAT GREY               (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.