Handicappers' Race Results

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
LAD-2   Win (3/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $7.40  
LAD-3   Win (10/7/2/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $51.60  
LAD-4   Win (2/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
LAD-5   Win (5/12/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 0 $17.60  
LAD-6   Win (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
LAD-7   Win (3/1/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $4.20  

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:224 :462       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICED RIGHT 3 1 1½ 1½   11 1 (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50 21% 3.80 3.80 W
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE 2 5 53 6   43 2 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 13% 6.60 6.00 P
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 6 2 2½ 2½   21 3 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 1.50  
ETBAUER'S SECRET 1 4 42 4   5 4 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 27.20  
BROOK IS GOLDEN 4 3 32 3   32 5 (singh s)SINGH R 124 3.50 13.50  
OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW 5 6 6 5   6 610¼ (duhon joseph)ALBERT S 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.70  
 
LAD-2   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:231 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAIT ON ME 6 2 4 2½   1½ 1 (hatcher d)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00 2.70  
BE BO 2 1 11 1½   2½ 2 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 13% 7.00 23.00 P
MARTIQUE MISS 3 6 21 42   3 35 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.80 S
HIT'EM UP 4 5 31 3   4 4 (tuley rhon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 42.60  
RECLAIMED 1 7 5 5   5 5 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 9% 10.40 19.90  
BELL PEPPER 7 4 7 7   65 6 (winslow janine)SINGH R 124 10.00 38.40  
KANCANCUTIE 5 8 8 87   76 710 (cates al)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 26% 2.90 0.90  
KAYLEE'S SHADOW 8 3 6 6   89 822¾ (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 21.40  
 
LAD-3   07/17/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:14 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  GANGSTER RAP 8 4 1½ 1nk 32 2½ 1 (hurley re)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 30.00 24.80  
13  FROSTY FLIRT 9 5 2½ 2nk 11 1½ 2 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 7.80  
MUMBLEBEE 2 1 31 5 6 4¾ 33 (hewitt michael)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 8% 10.90 8.80 S
CHROME SAVAGE 1 9 8 7 7 5 4 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 11% 8.30 9.60  
SEE SASSY RUN 5 3 4 4 21 3½ 5 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 30.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
IZEONPOINT 3 8 96 8 8 6 6 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 20.00 12.80  
10  QUINN MURPHY 7 6 7 9 9 7 76 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50 30% 2.40 2.50  
PAINTBRUSH 4 2 6 6 42 8 814¼ (garza e)SINGH R 124 2.50 19% 4.20 3.10  
LIL ASHLEY B. 6 7 52 3.2 5 911¼ 917 (pish danny)GREEN AUBRIE 119 10.00 6.90  
SCR  COLD NIGHT AIR               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
SCR  DADDYMADEMEDOIT               (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  GREAT IN RED               (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS               (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 30.00    
 
LAD-4   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:124     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW 7 3 2nk 1½   12 1 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 19% 4.10 0.70 W
OUR HALLIE 3 2 44 3   22 2 (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 42.10 P
CONTEMPO GRAY 6 7 610 69   59 3 (pish d)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 9.50  
BLUE COWGIRL 2 1 1nk 2½   34 48 (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 45% 1.20 5.10  
MALLORI'S MAGIC 5 6 712 710½   49 510¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 8.00 33.40  
WILD BIZNESS 4 5 57 5   611 610¾ (milligan allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 9% 9.70 29.10  
LEXINGTON DIAMOND 1 4 31 4   714 723½ (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 2.20  
 
LAD-5   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:132 1:39   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL 11 6 2nk 1½ 1 12 1 (clary ren)MORA GERARDO 122 25.00 7.80  
IBERIAN RUNNER 4 2 1nk 2½ 2 22 2 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 35% 1.80 23.70 P
SMARTY ALEX 1 5 9 85 7 5 38 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00 3.70  
12  MAHOMEY 10 1 31 3 32 35 48 (hewitt michael)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 25% 2.90 2.40  
BAY BE GONE 5 11 11 10 9 7 510 (garza )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 49.60  
CLARESTOWN 2 4 5 4 43 47 610½ (schwandt emile)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 9% 9.60 12.60  
11  STOCKPILER 9 10 8 7 8 8 710¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 31.00  
IMA BIG BOPPER 3 3 4 5 6 6 812½ (payne w)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00 57.10  
WICKED ROSE 7 9 6 6 5 911½ 917 (johnson b)MELANCON G 119 3.50 8% 12.30 2.40  
10  INTO WISHING 8 7 7 9 10 1014½ 1019¼ (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 25.00 32.30  
DUDE DROP KID 6 8 10 11 1113¾ 1118½ 1122¾ (foster m)BOREL H 119 5.00 10.60  
SCR  COWBOY RIDGE               (rangel raul)BURNINGHAM J 122 12.00    
SCR  HUDSON'S TURN               (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP               (rossi j)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
 
LAD-6   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONNIE'S DEAL 5 2 11 7   1 1 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 11% 8.20 2.30 W
COMMUNICATIONISKEY 6 3 32 21   2 2 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 10.00 36.20  
OVERCAST 1 4 55 42   6 3 (jeansonne justin)ROSENDO J 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.30 S
OUR LAST HALF 7 1 21 11   3 4 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50 9.30  
PLUM WINE 4 6 66 6   7 5 (johnson b)BOREL H 117 2.50 66% 0.50 0.70  
DEMOTION 2 7 44 31   4 6 (ortiz ru)CABRERA DAVID 117 12.00 58.80  
TAKE HER AWAY 3 5 76 5   54 710¼ (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
 
LAD-7   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:142 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZIG UP A STORM 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 1 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 1.10  
HAVE I EVER 1 8 7 8 64 52 2 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 5% 18.00 3.10 P
SCRAPBOOK 4 1 5 42 4 3 3 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 51.80 S
FUHR MEO 8 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 4 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
MY ALIBI 3 7 6 63 5 63 5 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 68% 0.50 7.90  
10  CAJUN ACES 10 6 3 3 3 4 69 (wilson melton)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00 11.70  
TEXAS TIDELANDS 7 4 9 9 87 8 716½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 DH
HALF SCOUT 9 5 4 52 75 78 716½ (borel rena)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 ###### DH
C C'S COWGIRL 6 9 8 7 98 913¼ 926½ (schmidt denise)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 22.80  
GEE SHE'S PRETTY 2 10 10 10 1013 1023¼ 1050¾ (garza e)SINGH R 122 15.00 90.40  
SCR  HAL'S DREAM               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
SCR  SHEZ OUR ARCH               (diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
SCR  WHO DAT GREY               (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.