Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (3/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-3   Win (10/7/2/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-4   Win (2/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-5   Win (5/12/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-6   Win (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-7   Win (3/1/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETBAUER'S SECRET Jul07 Jun02 May04 Feb18 Jan27 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Jun26 Feb17 Feb02 Jan14   (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 13% 6.60    
PRICED RIGHT Jun26 Jun04 May06 Jan27 Sep27 (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
BROOK IS GOLDEN Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 Jul17 Jun13 (singh s)SINGH R 124 3.50    
OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW Jun26 May14 Mar23 Mar05 Jan22 (duhon joseph)ALBERT S 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Jul06 Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr14 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
 
LAD-2   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECLAIMED Jul02 Jun11 May20 May05 Mar19 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 9% 10.40    
BE BO Jun25 May20 Mar16 Feb25 Jan28 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 13% 7.00    
MARTIQUE MISS Jun25 Jun10 May13 Mar31 Feb20 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
HIT'EM UP Jul04 May27 May20 May05 Apr21 (tuley rhon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
KANCANCUTIE Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 May13 Apr14 (cates al)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
WAIT ON ME Jun26 Mar18 Feb23 Feb04 Jan14 (hatcher d)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
BELL PEPPER Jun23 May07 Apr13 Feb12 Jan27 (winslow janine)SINGH R 124 10.00    
KAYLEE'S SHADOW Jul02 Jun11 May05 Apr23 Apr15 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00    
 
LAD-3   07/17/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DADDYMADEMEDOIT Jun23 Jun10 May11 Jul10 May19 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
CHROME SAVAGE Jun10 May21 Apr21 Jan07 Nov30 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  GREAT IN RED Dec11 Jun25 Jun13 Jun04 May12 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS Jul03 May04 Apr13 Mar05 Feb20 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 30.00    
MUMBLEBEE Jun18 Jun05 May04 Mar26 Mar10 (hewitt michael)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
IZEONPOINT Jun10 Apr29 Apr16 Mar23 Mar08 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 20.00    
PAINTBRUSH Jul03 Jun03 Apr23 Apr01 Mar17 (garza e)SINGH R 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
SEE SASSY RUN Jul01 Jun10 May20 Apr19 Mar16 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
LIL ASHLEY B. Jun09 May11 Apr23 Apr01 Mar17 (pish danny)GREEN AUBRIE 119 10.00    
10  QUINN MURPHY Jun18 Jun05 Mar08 Feb20 Jan29 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  COLD NIGHT AIR May28 Apr21 Mar26 Feb20 Jan27 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
12  GANGSTER RAP Jul04 Jun02 May14 Apr30 Apr21 (hurley re)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 30.00    
13  FROSTY FLIRT Jun25 Jun05 May07 Apr01 Mar05 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
 
LAD-4   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEXINGTON DIAMOND Jun17 Apr28 Nov20 Nov02   (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
BLUE COWGIRL Jun25 May30 May04 Apr21 Mar30 (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
OUR HALLIE Jul09         (dixon tim)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILD BIZNESS Jun05 Mar30 Mar02 Jan21 Jan30 (milligan allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 9% 9.70    
MALLORI'S MAGIC Jun24 Jun05 May20 Apr19 Feb15 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
CONTEMPO GRAY Jun25 May16 Mar03 Feb12 Nov12 (pish d)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50    
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Jul03 Jun19 Jun01 Apr27 Mar25 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 19% 4.10    
 
LAD-5   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY ALEX Jun03 May13 Mar26 Mar04 Jan26 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00    
CLARESTOWN Jun11 May06 Apr14 Feb26 Jan28 (schwandt emile)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP May28 Apr27 Apr15 Feb19 Jan28 (rossi j)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
IMA BIG BOPPER Jul01 Jun10 May06 Aug20 Aug07 (payne w)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
IBERIAN RUNNER Jul02 Jun16 Jun02 May21 Apr29 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50 35% 1.80    
BAY BE GONE Jul04 May28 Apr29 Apr13 Mar19 (garza )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DUDE DROP KID Jun18 May28 May07 Mar24 Mar02 (foster m)BOREL H 119 5.00    
WICKED ROSE Jun03 Mar04 Feb20 Feb02 Jan12 (johnson b)MELANCON G 119 3.50 8% 12.30    
SCR  HUDSON'S TURN May28 Mar03 Jan20 Sep12 Aug15 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
10  INTO WISHING Jun11 May07 Feb25 Jan18 Jan08 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 25.00    
11  STOCKPILER Jun22 Jun10 May22 May06 Apr21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
12  MAHOMEY Jun04 May06 Apr07 Mar23 Feb26 (hewitt michael)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  COWBOY RIDGE Jul03 Jun10 May13 Apr22 Apr02 (rangel raul)BURNINGHAM J 122 12.00    
14  DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL Jun10 May28 May06 Mar27 Jun17 (clary ren)MORA GERARDO 122 25.00    
 
LAD-6   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERCAST         (jeansonne justin)ROSENDO J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEMOTION Jun25         (ortiz ru)CABRERA DAVID 117 12.00    
TAKE HER AWAY Jun25 Jun11       (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
PLUM WINE Jun25         (johnson b)BOREL H 117 2.50 66% 0.50    
RONNIE'S DEAL Jun25         (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 11% 8.20    
COMMUNICATIONISKEY Jun25         (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 10.00    
OUR LAST HALF Jun25         (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50    
 
LAD-7   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAVE I EVER Jun25 May04 Apr15 Mar04 Feb03 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
GEE SHE'S PRETTY Jun25 Jun12 Mar05 Feb04 Jan08 (garza e)SINGH R 122 15.00    
MY ALIBI May21 Mar15 Sep25 Aug28 Aug08 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 68% 0.50    
SCRAPBOOK Feb11 Dec09 Nov04 Jul03 Jun20 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
DANZIG UP A STORM Jun17 May05 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00    
C C'S COWGIRL Jun25 Sep25 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 (schmidt denise)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
TEXAS TIDELANDS Jun25 Jun15 May20 Apr30 Apr21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FUHR MEO Jul08 Jun03 May15 Mar08 Feb15 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
HALF SCOUT Jun17 Jun03 Apr14 Jan22 Dec11 (borel rena)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
10  CAJUN ACES Jun10 May20 May08 Apr12 Mar11 (wilson melton)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00    
SCR  HAL'S DREAM Jun25 Jun11 May13 Mar26 Mar05 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
SCR  SHEZ OUR ARCH May20 Apr24 Apr04 Mar19 Feb25 (diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
SCR  WHO DAT GREY Jun12 May22 Feb28 Jan12 Dec16 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.