Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-4   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.00 $3.00 50%
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $23.10 $17.10 285%
LAD-7   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $14.20 $6.20 78%
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7 $31.20 $19.20 160%
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-8 $137.90 $125.90 1049%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   07/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23 :464       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODNIGHT ARCHIE 5 3 21 21   21 1hd (hornsby tamm)BARRERA J 119 3.50 38% 1.60 0.50 W
RAUL'S ENCANTO 3 1 11 11   11 2hd (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.50 5.80  
TRAFFIC CONTROL 6 4 4 4   3 3¼ (cangemi dani)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 7% 13.10 6.00 S
DIRECTIONAL 2 5 32 3   42 4 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.00 34% 1.90 3.90  
DRIVER 1 2 6 6   512 515¼ (hornsby tam)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00 40.70  
DANDY LOU 4 6 5 5   614 620½ (schmidt denise)BOREL H 124 12.00 20.30  
 
LAD-2   07/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAINTBRUSH 9 5 5 6 42 2½ 1 (garza e)SINGH R 122 20.00 30.30  
EXACTA 5 3 3 4 3 1½ 2 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 119 3.50 29% 2.40 3.80 P
MOONLIGHT RAIN 6 6 6 53 52 5 3 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 15% 5.90 6.50 S
WATRUGONNADOKAREN 4 4 4 3 7 4¾ 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 31% 2.20 1.60  
SAINT KENNEDY 3 7 76 7 6 7 5 (antwine mich)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 17.40  
HURRICANE TIZWAY 8 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 3½ 6 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 5.20  
FASTED 7 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 6 7 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 117 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
TOP TEN DUCHESS 1 8 8 9 8 8 8 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
TEXAS BLUEBONNET 2 9 9 8 9 9 910¾ (wilson shane)BOREL H 122 4.50 5.40  
SCR  BEYOND THE HYPE               (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
 
LAD-3   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO WISH 6 1 1½ 13   15 1 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 0.50  
SHEZA HUNK 1 4 3 39   25 2 (garza e)SINGH R 124 6.00 20.60  
EL CALIENTE LADY 5 5 410½ 413   3 38 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 18% 4.50 8.30 S
ITS A GEE THING 2 6 612 615½   4 413¼ (broberg karl)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.00 20% 4.10 4.60  
DERBY DAY LASSIE 3 2 2½ 23   510½ 520¼ (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 2.50 25% 3.00 4.10  
CHATAIN'S FLYER 4 3 510½ 515   614½ 633½ (vincent ja)ALBERT S 116 12.00 59.00  
 
LAD-4   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:15 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSNMOTION 4 1 2nk 2nk 1½ 12 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 7% 12.40 3.50 W
SUE'S LITTLE ZING 3 5 4 4 3½ 22 2 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 118 2.50 30% 2.30 4.70 P
SWEET LITTLE ROSE 1 3 3½ 31 4 34 38 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 3.70  
CECE WAVE 2 2 1nk 1nk 2½ 45 4 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 39% 1.50 0.90  
COUSIN VICKIE 5 4 5 5 5 515 537 (de al)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00 9.90  
SCR  MEET ME               (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 10.00    
 
LAD-5   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:143 1:431   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ARKANSAS 3 7 7 66 33 1½ 1¼ (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 4.00 3.30 DQ↓2
CAT B CAUSE 1 6 6 7 45 41 2¼ (modica oscar)MELANCON G 117 4.50 5.70  
GATHER THE FACTS 5 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 3½ 3 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 20% 4.10 2.20 S
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW 2 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 1.30  
10  DAZZLING THE MOON 6 3 5 55 6 58 523¼ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 40.10  
11  JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ 7 1 31 32 58 615 645¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 117 20.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
MUCHO MACHO BABY 4 5 43 43 711¼ 717 747½ (gonzalez adri)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 42.90  
SCR  CAPELLA RED               (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 15.00    
SCR  CHIEF AGAIN               (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  DAISY DE ORO               (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 3.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  LOVELY JOYCE               (prather john)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
 
LAD-6   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:214 :452 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFT CUSTOM 2 2 24 23   12 1 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00 5.50  
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of PRONTO PRONTO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
HALFPRICED 3 6 4 45   34 2 (dunn r)MEDELLIN ERICK 110 8.00 25.10  
  (by HALF OURS out of VENDEUSE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
MALAKI EMPIRE 7 4 6 6   5 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 16% 5.30 1.70 S
  (by STAR GUITAR out of OUR NEW EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
ROCK SOLID WORDS 6 3 5 56   4 4 (fogarty desmon)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 10% 8.90 6.90  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of FLAME RUN by HARD SPUN)
AZTEC GEM 5 1 14 13   22 511¼ (dandridge )ALBERT S 115 3.00 50% 1.00 1.80  
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MT. QUINCY by ERLTON)
ROCKET DOCTOR 4 7 710½ 7   6 615 (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 10.40  
  (by GUILT TRIP out of HOMETOWN GOSSIP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
CLASSIC WARRIOR 8 8 815½ 812½   811½ 716½ (gomez c)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of CLASSY BECK by SKY CLASSIC)
PATIO'S PORCH 1 5 3 34   710½ 828¾ (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 23.00  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of CUP RACER by VALUE PLUS)
 
LAD-7   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:41   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLI MICHAEL 1 1 11 1 12 12 1 (terre david)ROSIER R 122 15.00 16% 5.20 6.10 W
OAK HILL SOLUTION 4 3 21 2 3 22 2 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.00 19% 4.30 4.40 P
ONEFORVIVI 5 8 6 64 6 6 3 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 122 3.50 27% 2.80 3.80 S
CALICOCO 6 4 32 5 43 43 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 2.30  
SENATOR CON 2 2 42 32 22 33 5 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 9.00  
CALLINGINTHENIGHT 3 7 5 4 5 5 6 (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 10% 9.30 11.30  
11  STIFF DRINK 8 6 7 8 7 7 78 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00 5.80  
10  J C'S IN TOWN 7 5 8 7 88 8 8 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 117 20.00 18.60  
SCR  M AND M'S CUSTOM               (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT               (foster m)BOREL H 118 20.00    
SCR  SONYA KNOWS BETTER               (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.