Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/5/6/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/5/6/7/1)-(3/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-2   WIN (4/5/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7/1)-(4/5/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7/1)-(4/5/6/7/1)-(4/5/6/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7/1)-(3/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/7/1)-(3/2/5)-(2/3/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(2/3/4)-(8/6/10/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(8/6/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(8/6/10/11)-(5/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (8/6/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/10/11)-(8/6/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/10/11)-(8/6/10/11)-(8/6/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/10/11)-(5/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/10/11)-(5/7/6/8)-(8/7/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-6   WIN (5/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/8)-(5/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/8)-(5/7/6/8)-(5/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/8)-(8/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVER Jun04 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Dec18 (hornsby tam)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
2  DIRECTIONAL Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 Nov08 Oct20 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  RAUL'S ENCANTO Jun10 Apr26 Mar09 Oct15   (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.50    
4  DANDY LOU Jun09         (schmidt denise)BOREL H 124 12.00    
5  GOODNIGHT ARCHIE Jun04 Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Dec10 (hornsby tamm)BARRERA J 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  TRAFFIC CONTROL Jun12 May06 Mar30 Mar19 Feb11 (cangemi dani)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
LAD-2   07/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP TEN DUCHESS May04 Apr13 Mar05 Feb20 Sep25 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TEXAS BLUEBONNET Jun10 May04 Mar26 Dec22 Oct12 (wilson shane)BOREL H 122 4.50    
3  SAINT KENNEDY Jun05 May21 Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 (antwine mich)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
4  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Jan13 Sep27 Aug05 May28 Jan14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  EXACTA Jun16 Jan15 Sep18 Aug21 Jul29 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  MOONLIGHT RAIN Jun05 May14 Apr16 Mar11 Feb23 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
7  FASTED Apr28 Apr13 Mar12 Feb11 Jan28 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HURRICANE TIZWAY Jun18 May29 Feb17 Jan26 Jan13 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
9  PAINTBRUSH Jun03 Apr23 Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 (garza e)SINGH R 122 20.00    
SCR  BEYOND THE HYPE Jun19 Jun05 Feb11 Dec09 Nov03 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
 
LAD-3   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA HUNK Jun12 May05 Apr15 Oct07 Sep17 (garza e)SINGH R 124 6.00    
2  ITS A GEE THING Jun16 Jun09 Apr30 Apr22 Feb24 (broberg karl)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  DERBY DAY LASSIE Jun12 May21 Apr30 Mar24 Feb12 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  CHATAIN'S FLYER Sep20 Jul11 Jun18 Jun04 May17 (vincent ja)ALBERT S 116 12.00    
5  EL CALIENTE LADY Feb28 Feb15 Jan21 Dec20 Dec07 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
6  DARE TO WISH Jun23 Jun02 Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50    
 
LAD-4   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LITTLE ROSE May30 May07 Mar23 Mar10 Feb26 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00    
2  CECE WAVE Jun12 May22 May07 Apr16 Mar31 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 39% 1.50    
3  SUE'S LITTLE ZING Jun17 May29 May08 Apr22 Feb24 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  STARSNMOTION May27 May03 Mar25 Feb18 Feb03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 7% 12.40    
5  COUSIN VICKIE May29 Feb02 Jan20 Dec19 Nov18 (de al)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00    
SCR  MEET ME Dec17 Nov19 Oct26 Oct05 Aug01 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 10.00    
 
LAD-5   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVELY JOYCE Jun19 May30 May04 Apr15 Mar16 (prather john)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
2  CAT B CAUSE Jun19 May27 May07 Apr12 Feb28 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 117 4.50    
3  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Jun19 Jun01 Apr27 Mar25 Oct29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
4  MISS ARKANSAS May27 May14 Apr28 Apr12 Mar21 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 4.00    
SCR  CHIEF AGAIN Apr12 Mar29 Mar10 Feb10   (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
6  MUCHO MACHO BABY May30 Mar25 Mar04 Feb22 Feb12 (gonzalez adri)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DAISY DE ORO Jun19 May27 Apr20 Mar18   (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 3.50 54% 0.90    
8  GATHER THE FACTS May28 Apr22 Mar18 Aug19 Jun24 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  CAPELLA RED Jun09 Mar24 Feb26     (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 15.00    
10  DAZZLING THE MOON Jun11 Mar05 Feb11     (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ Jan13 Dec18 Nov27 Nov18   (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATIO'S PORCH May27         (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of CUP RACER by VALUE PLUS)
2  SWIFT CUSTOM May27 May14 Mar25 Mar04   (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of PRONTO PRONTO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  HALFPRICED         (dunn r)MEDELLIN ERICK 110 8.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of VENDEUSE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
4  ROCKET DOCTOR May27 Sep13 Aug13 Jul23   (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of HOMETOWN GOSSIP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  AZTEC GEM May27 Mar25 Mar03 Dec26   (dandridge )ALBERT S 115 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MT. QUINCY by ERLTON)
6  ROCK SOLID WORDS May27 Feb26 Feb09 Jan15 Dec11 (fogarty desmon)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 10% 8.90    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of FLAME RUN by HARD SPUN)
7  MALAKI EMPIRE May04 Mar25 Mar03     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of OUR NEW EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  CLASSIC WARRIOR         (gomez c)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of CLASSY BECK by SKY CLASSIC)
 
LAD-7   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLI MICHAEL Jun16 May03 Apr15 Mar16 Feb02 (terre david)ROSIER R 122 15.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  M AND M'S CUSTOM Jun15 May19 Apr15 Feb28 Feb18 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
3  SENATOR CON May29 May15 Sep27 Sep03 Aug01 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
4  CALLINGINTHENIGHT Jun03 Feb18 Dec21 Sep11 Jul23 (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Feb09 Jan15 Dec08 Sep27 Aug27 (foster m)BOREL H 118 20.00    
SCR  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Jun12 May27 Apr27 Apr07 Mar11 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 118 12.00    
7  OAK HILL SOLUTION Jun18 May29 Mar18 Feb20 Jan26 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  ONEFORVIVI May03 Feb24 Jan26 Sep24 Sep11 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
9  CALICOCO May22 Mar23 Feb24 Feb05 Dec31 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
10  J C'S IN TOWN Jun10 May03 Feb18 Jan21 Jan06 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 117 20.00    
11  STIFF DRINK Jun18 May15 Mar26 Feb25 Jan14 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.