Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Tuesday - August 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-6   WIN (9/5/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $52.62 $42.62 426%
    EXA (9/5/4/11/8)-(9/5/4/11/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-8 $809.94 $769.94 1925%
    TRI (9/5/4/11/8)-(9/5/4/11/8)-(9/5/4/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-8-5 $1757 $1727 5757%
    DD (10/3/5/6)-(9/5/4/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-4 $83.25 $63.25 316%
ELP-9   EXA (8/3/6/7/1)-(8/3/6/7/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-1 $79.40 $39.40 99%
    TRI (8/3/6/7/1)-(8/3/6/7/1)-(8/3/6/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-1-6 $131.13 $101.13 337%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BLUE VALENTINE 8 7 6 65 3 14 1 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 11.21  
LITTLE GIA 3 3 4 5 42 24 2 (vaccarezz)TORRES A 124 12.00 6.38  
DEE DEE B 2 5 8 76 6 4 3 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 20.45  
KING'S MISTRESS 4 1 1nk 1½ 1 3 47 (ortiz john )PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00 6.28  
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 7 8 7 8 7 6 58 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 6% 14.50 6.26  
KEEN CONTENDER 6 10 1012¼ 10 8 78 6 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00 37.66  
10  GOLDCREST 10 9 5 43 5 5 710¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 66% 0.50 2.51  
TAKE IT SOUTH 1 6 9 9 10 911 815 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 5% 19.00 3.28  
MRS. SPEAKER 5 2 2nk 2½ 2 89 915¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 8.19  
PROUD PERFORMER 9 4 3.2 3½ 95 1018 1044½ (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 47.42  
 
ELP-2   08/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :472       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 2 1 11 1½   13 1 (asmussen )TORRES A 119 1.00 29% 2.50 0.65 W
TONIC AND GIN 5 3 21 2½   23 2 (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 37.53  
WRECK IT RUBY 4 4 4 5   4 38 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 8.00 14.47  
GONE WITH THE WYN 1 2 54 42   3 410½ (o'neill doug)COURT K 119 5.00 14% 6.20 3.61  
READY FOR TROUBLE 3 6 6 32   56 513¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 26% 2.90 3.54  
AUTISM COMPASSION 6 5 3 6   6 623 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 11.21  
SCR  REDHEADEDSTRANGER               (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
 
ELP-3   08/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:214 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  INTEGRATED DESIGN 10 3 3 1nk   1 1 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 8.06  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ADJUDICATION by FAST PLAY)
MY HAPPY HOLIDAY 6 5 88 7   46 2 (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 6% 16.90 19.11 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CAT'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
STANDOUTSENSATION 1 9 4 43   2 32 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 9.73  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
BELLA CRUELLA 5 8 910½ 9   8 4 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 35% 1.80 3.38  
  (by ASTERN out of OH SO BELLA by AFLEET ALEX)
BIKINI BOTTOM 4 6 54 5   6 5 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 6% 15.80 5.61  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BIKINI BEAUTY by BERNARDINI)
PRAY FOR CHAMPAGNE 2 7 7 8   7 6 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 16% 5.10 3.01  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CHAMPAGNE TASTE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CAT ONE 8 4 21 3   5 7 (mott rile)TORRES A 119 20.00 24.83  
  (by GET STORMY out of MARIE CURIE by KITTEN'S JOY)
ANORIA 7 1 64 6   910¼ 87 (corrigan jim)COURT K 119 15.00 24.97  
  (by COLLECTED out of EXTRAVAGANTLY by LEA)
PRINCESS MITOLE 3 2 11 2nk   34 9 (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 6% 14.80 4.81  
  (by MITOLE out of PRINCESS MAKENA by STREET BOSS)
10  WHITE DOVE 9 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 11.21  
  (by VIOLENCE out of TIZWAY THAT WAY by TIZWAY)
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND               (barkley jason)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ISLAND LOVE SONG by DEHERE)
SCR  MO TWILIGHT               (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of PAST TWILIGHT by PULPIT)
SCR  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA               (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GREAT MORNING by GALILEO)
SCR  YES TO CHAMPAGNE               (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GLENCOE CHURCH by CAPOTE)
 
ELP-4   08/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMASCO 5 1 2nk 11   15 1 (gutierrez)TORRES A 122 3.00 4.11  
SHELL SHOCK 2 2 32 3   25 2 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 1.60 48% 1.10 1.03 P
SUNDAY GRACE 4 3 1nk 21   35 3 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00 16% 5.30 3.26 S
ROCK THE NILE 1 5 4 42   47 411¼ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 8.74  
BALL GOWN 3 4 5 5   511 560 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 122 15.00 4.33  
SCR  DE' ANS EIGHTY               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
SCR  SONADOR               (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SONG OF NORWAY 9 2 11 1   13 1 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 114 1.80 36% 1.80 2.34 W
  (by FLATTER out of COUGARSTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SALTWATER TAFFY 7 6 31 2   23 2 (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 3.13  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SHORE BIRD by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
CANDY LANDY 4 8 5 4   4 3 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 13% 6.90 2.79 S
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHECKERED PAST by PASS CATCHER)
JOKE MASTER 3 3 6 77   5 4 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 24% 3.20 5.43  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of QUEEN NEGWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SHE'S ALL ELLIE 8 5 7 6   6 5 (von donnie)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 25.14  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 5 1 21 3   35 6 (torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 5% 17.80 15.99  
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
SOTONA 1 7 87 8   710 7 (calhoun w)TORRES A 119 12.00 22.16  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DIANA'S THRILL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
PUCKERED 2 9 911½ 913   913½ 812½ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 18.09  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIPSTICK CITY by CITY ZIP)
EVERMORE 6 4 42 5   812½ 916¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 15.59  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of EVER SO TRUE by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
SCR  GOLDEN STORM               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PULPITS STORM by PULPIT)
SCR  HOT MOCHA               (mccarthy mich)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BOARD BATTLE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  PINOTSLILGIRL               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  RAINING SUGAR               (mott rile)TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BATALHA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TIPSY RUNNER               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STAND BACK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
ELP-6   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 3 4 3 31   1½ 1 (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 7% 14.10 25.31 W
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of DANCING COMPASS by ORIENTATE (GB))
HAPPY CHARGER 6 9 8 7   55 2 (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.83 P
  (by SUPER SAVER out of HAPPY WEEK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
RUBY TAP 4 2 1½ 2½   2½ 3 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 13% 6.50 6.86 S
  (by TAPIT out of MAJESTIC JEWEL by CINDAGO)
10  PORT TOWNSEND 8 1 2½ 1½   3½ 45 (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 6.00 4.62  
  (by UNCLE MO out of QUIET PLACE by TAPIZAR)
11  MUSICAL MISCHIEF 9 6 6 43   4 5 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 17.60 2.28  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
12  FLASHY LASS 10 8 7 54   6 6 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 6.54  
  (by STREET SENSE out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
RITA'S ONTHE BEACH 2 7 9 9   8 7 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 13.77  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LAC DU PRINTEMPS by MEADOWLAKE)
HOCKADAY GIRL 5 3 42 88   9 816¾ (wismer glenn)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 22.24  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of LA SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
RENDEZVOUS 1 10 1014¼ 1016½   1014¾ 918½ (michael brian)COURT K 119 30.00 46.44  
  (by MO TOWN out of GREEN EYED CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
FIESTA BESTA 7 5 52 6   78 1018½ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 43% 1.30 3.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FIESTA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  AREUHAVINGFUNYET               (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of KITTY'S LEGEND by SOUVENIR COPY)
SCR  WITH THIS RING               (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TRIPLE O' FIVE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
ELP-7   08/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:132 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  AUTISM COMMUNITY 9 10 10 1010½ 98 4 11 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 18.18  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of REXY by TEOFILO)
THEROANRUNNER 3 1 3 3 33 2½ 21 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00 5.24  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
PELICAN LANE 7 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 1½ 3 (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 4.50 43% 1.30 3.83 S
  (by BLAME out of SEA ROAD by TALE OF THE CAT)
SUN VALLEY ROAD 4 4 5 6 6 5 4 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 5.32  
  (by UNCLE MO out of GRAND TRAVERSE BAY by REPRICED)
MIDVALE 1 6 76 8 7 6 5 (walsh bre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 27% 2.80 1.76  
  (by HARD SPUN out of CROWNSTONE by STREET CRY (IRE))
RETROSPECT 6 8 6 5 5 7 6 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 11.88  
  (by ARROGATE out of AFTER THOUGHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
WORDS OF PRAISE 5 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 3 7 (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.51  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
13  CATHERINE BLAZE 10 9 97 910 1010 9 811¾ (leonard )RODRIGUEZ A 113 50.00 37.56  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
MOROCCAN QUEEN 8 7 43 4 4 8 911¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 117 30.00 36.20  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of EXOTIC BEHAVIOR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LETTER OF GOLD 2 5 8 7 8 1013¾ 1023¼ (medina rob)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.23  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of CARTA DE ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  FLIRTING GIRL               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HOUSE OF DANZING by CHESTER HOUSE)
SCR  JENNIFER MY LOVE               (davis christo)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CRESPANO by MINESHAFT)
SCR  LADY DYNAMO               (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  TAPITARA               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TARA COURT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
ELP-8   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ARLINGTON 1 3 11 1nk   12 12 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 2.35  
AMERICAN RETRO 4 4 33 31   3 22 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 1.60 63% 0.60 1.17 P
ERVADEAN 3 1 21 2nk   22 3 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 5.21  
YES DAY 2 6 68 6   46 4 (wismer glenn)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 6% 16.80 9.89  
MOTOWN MIKA 5 2 44 44   56 59 (o'connor robe)GARCIA MARTIN 120 30.00 27.76  
JOKES ON BLUE 6 5 5 5   6 69 (asmussen )TORRES A 120 6.00 9% 9.70 5.02  
SCR  DEMI               (stuart s)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
SCR  PROCRASTINATION               (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
 
ELP-9   08/01/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:371   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND ASPEN 3 3 42 41 21 1 1 (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 10% 8.60 1.63 W
  (by DIALED IN out of LADY ASPEN by GRAND REWARD)
TESTIMONY TIME 1 2 7 77 8 55 2 (brumley willia)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 33.04 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILVEREST by CONGRATS)
QUALIFIED 6 9 8 8 9 77 3 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 8% 12.10 6.44 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
11  FIREBALL FUN 11 4 2½ 1½ 11 2 4 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 12.23  
  (by HARD SPUN out of BARBECCA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
SURFACE TO AIR 8 6 5 5 5 3 5 (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 54% 0.90 2.99  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEMAZON by CONGRATS)
TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 4 5 6 64 6 4 6 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 15.74  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CARRINGTON EVENT by STREET BOSS)
CROSSING 5 1 1½ 2½ 4 6 7 (lauer mic)TORRES A 118 20.00 32.42  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
HONOR GOLD 2 11 10 910½ 7 88 8 (mcpeek kennet)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 17.84  
  (by HONOR CODE out of MISS DOUBLE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BATTLE BORN 7 10 11 1111¾ 1011¼ 910½ 912¼ (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 30.00 6% 16.70 35.66  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MINE FOR KEEPS by KOKAND)
ARCHIE THE GIZA 9 7 32 31 31 1015½ 1027¾ (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00 5.48  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
10  CATEGORY TEN 10 8 9 1010¾ 1141¼ 1165½ 11100 (mott riley)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 46.29  
  (by VIOLENCE out of GENRE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  ICE TIME               (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 4.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SIRENUSA by TIZNOW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.