Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Tuesday - August 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (10/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $24.42  
ELP-2   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
ELP-3   Win (6/2/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $18.12  
ELP-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $10.22  
ELP-5   Win (10/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $6.68 $6.68  
ELP-6   Win (9/5/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $52.62 $52.62 42.62
ELP-7   Win (8/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $38.36  
ELP-8   Win (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.70  
ELP-9   Win (8/3/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.26 $5.26  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BLUE VALENTINE 8 7 6 65 3 14 1 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 11.21  
LITTLE GIA 3 3 4 5 42 24 2 (vaccarezza )TORRES A 124 12.00 6.38  
DEE DEE B 2 5 8 76 6 4 3 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 20.45  
KING'S MISTRESS 4 1 1nk 1½ 1 3 47 (ortiz al)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00 6.28  
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 7 8 7 8 7 6 58 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 6% 14.50 6.26  
KEEN CONTENDER 6 10 1012¼ 10 8 78 6 (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00 37.66  
10  GOLDCREST 10 9 5 43 5 5 710¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 66% 0.50 2.51  
TAKE IT SOUTH 1 6 9 9 10 911 815 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 5% 19.00 3.28  
MRS. SPEAKER 5 2 2nk 2½ 2 89 915¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 8.19  
PROUD PERFORMER 9 4 3.2 3½ 95 1018 1044½ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 47.42  
 
ELP-2   08/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :472       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 2 1 11 1½   13 1 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 1.00 29% 2.50 0.65 W
TONIC AND GIN 5 3 21 2½   23 2 (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 37.53  
WRECK IT RUBY 4 4 4 5   4 38 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 8.00 14.47  
GONE WITH THE WYN 1 2 54 42   3 410½ (o'neill doug)COURT K 119 5.00 14% 6.20 3.61  
READY FOR TROUBLE 3 6 6 32   56 513¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 26% 2.90 3.54  
AUTISM COMPASSION 6 5 3 6   6 623 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 11.21  
SCR  REDHEADEDSTRANGER               (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
 
ELP-3   08/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:214 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  INTEGRATED DESIGN 10 3 3 1nk   1 1 (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 8.06  
MY HAPPY HOLIDAY 6 5 88 7   46 2 (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 6% 16.90 19.11 P
STANDOUTSENSATION 1 9 4 43   2 32 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 9.73  
BELLA CRUELLA 5 8 910½ 9   8 4 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 35% 1.80 3.38  
BIKINI BOTTOM 4 6 54 5   6 5 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 6% 15.80 5.61  
PRAY FOR CHAMPAGNE 2 7 7 8   7 6 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 16% 5.10 3.01  
CAT ONE 8 4 21 3   5 7 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 20.00 24.83  
ANORIA 7 1 64 6   910¼ 87 (corrigan jim)COURT K 119 15.00 24.97  
PRINCESS MITOLE 3 2 11 2nk   34 9 (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 6% 14.80 4.81  
10  WHITE DOVE 9 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 11.21  
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND               (barkley jason)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
SCR  MO TWILIGHT               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
SCR  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA               (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00    
SCR  YES TO CHAMPAGNE               (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
 
ELP-4   08/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMASCO 5 1 2nk 11   15 1 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 3.00 4.11  
SHELL SHOCK 2 2 32 3   25 2 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 1.60 48% 1.10 1.03 P
SUNDAY GRACE 4 3 1nk 21   35 3 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00 16% 5.30 3.26 S
ROCK THE NILE 1 5 4 42   47 411¼ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 8.74  
BALL GOWN 3 4 5 5   511 560 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 122 15.00 4.33  
SCR  DE' ANS EIGHTY               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
SCR  SONADOR               (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SONG OF NORWAY 9 2 11 1   13 1 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 114 1.80 36% 1.80 2.34 W
SALTWATER TAFFY 7 6 31 2   23 2 (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 3.13  
CANDY LANDY 4 8 5 4   4 3 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 13% 6.90 2.79 S
JOKE MASTER 3 3 6 77   5 4 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 24% 3.20 5.43  
SHE'S ALL ELLIE 8 5 7 6   6 5 (von donnie)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 25.14  
MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 5 1 21 3   35 6 (torres)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 5% 17.80 15.99  
SOTONA 1 7 87 8   710 7 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 119 12.00 22.16  
PUCKERED 2 9 911½ 913   913½ 812½ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 18.09  
EVERMORE 6 4 42 5   812½ 916¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 15.59  
SCR  GOLDEN STORM               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  HOT MOCHA               (mccarthy michae)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  PINOTSLILGIRL               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
SCR  RAINING SUGAR               (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  TIPSY RUNNER               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 3 4 3 31   1½ 1 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 7% 14.10 25.31 W
HAPPY CHARGER 6 9 8 7   55 2 (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.83 P
RUBY TAP 4 2 1½ 2½   2½ 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 13% 6.50 6.86 S
10  PORT TOWNSEND 8 1 2½ 1½   3½ 45 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 6.00 4.62  
11  MUSICAL MISCHIEF 9 6 6 43   4 5 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 17.60 2.28  
12  FLASHY LASS 10 8 7 54   6 6 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 6.54  
RITA'S ONTHE BEACH 2 7 9 9   8 7 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 13.77  
HOCKADAY GIRL 5 3 42 88   9 816¾ (wismer s)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 22.24  
RENDEZVOUS 1 10 1014¼ 1016½   1014¾ 918½ (michael brian)COURT K 119 30.00 46.44  
FIESTA BESTA 7 5 52 6   78 1018½ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 43% 1.30 3.00  
SCR  AREUHAVINGFUNYET               (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  WITH THIS RING               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00    
 
ELP-7   08/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:132 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  AUTISM COMMUNITY 9 10 10 1010½ 98 4 11 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 18.18  
THEROANRUNNER 3 1 3 3 33 2½ 21 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00 5.24  
PELICAN LANE 7 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 1½ 3 (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 4.50 43% 1.30 3.83 S
SUN VALLEY ROAD 4 4 5 6 6 5 4 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 5.32  
MIDVALE 1 6 76 8 7 6 5 (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 27% 2.80 1.76  
RETROSPECT 6 8 6 5 5 7 6 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 11.88  
WORDS OF PRAISE 5 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 3 7 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.51  
13  CATHERINE BLAZE 10 9 97 910 1010 9 811¾ (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 113 50.00 37.56  
MOROCCAN QUEEN 8 7 43 4 4 8 911¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 117 30.00 36.20  
LETTER OF GOLD 2 5 8 7 8 1013¾ 1023¼ (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.23  
SCR  FLIRTING GIRL               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00    
SCR  JENNIFER MY LOVE               (davis christoph)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
SCR  LADY DYNAMO               (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
SCR  TAPITARA               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
 
ELP-8   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ARLINGTON 1 3 11 1nk   12 12 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 2.35  
AMERICAN RETRO 4 4 33 31   3 22 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 1.60 63% 0.60 1.17 P
ERVADEAN 3 1 21 2nk   22 3 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 5.21  
YES DAY 2 6 68 6   46 4 (wismer s)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 6% 16.80 9.89  
MOTOWN MIKA 5 2 44 44   56 59 (o'connor robert)GARCIA MARTIN 120 30.00 27.76  
JOKES ON BLUE 6 5 5 5   6 69 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 6.00 9% 9.70 5.02  
SCR  DEMI               (stuart she)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
SCR  PROCRASTINATION               (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
 
ELP-9   08/01/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:371   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND ASPEN 3 3 42 41 21 1 1 (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 10% 8.60 1.63 W
TESTIMONY TIME 1 2 7 77 8 55 2 (brumley william )MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 33.04 P
QUALIFIED 6 9 8 8 9 77 3 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 8% 12.10 6.44 S
11  FIREBALL FUN 11 4 2½ 1½ 11 2 4 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 12.23  
SURFACE TO AIR 8 6 5 5 5 3 5 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 54% 0.90 2.99  
TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 4 5 6 64 6 4 6 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 15.74  
CROSSING 5 1 1½ 2½ 4 6 7 (lauer micha)TORRES A 118 20.00 32.42  
HONOR GOLD 2 11 10 910½ 7 88 8 (mcpeek kenneth )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 17.84  
BATTLE BORN 7 10 11 1111¾ 1011¼ 910½ 912¼ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 30.00 6% 16.70 35.66  
ARCHIE THE GIZA 9 7 32 31 31 1015½ 1027¾ (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00 5.48  
10  CATEGORY TEN 10 8 9 1010¾ 1141¼ 1165½ 11100 (mott riley)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 46.29  
SCR  ICE TIME               (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.