Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Tuesday - August 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (10/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (6/2/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ELP-5   Win (10/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (9/5/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (8/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (8/3/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   08/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE IT SOUTH May24 Feb11 Jan26 Jan05 Sep14 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
DEE DEE B Jun30 May24 Apr28 Mar09   (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00    
LITTLE GIA Jun08 Apr09 Mar31 Aug14 Jul29 (vaccarezza )TORRES A 124 12.00    
KING'S MISTRESS Jul05 Jun08 Jan13 Dec03 Nov10 (ortiz al)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00    
MRS. SPEAKER Jun27 Jun06 May10     (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
KEEN CONTENDER Jun30 May19 Apr15 Mar16 Feb19 (van thom)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Jul08 Jul23 Jul03 May20 Mar27 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 6% 14.50    
MY BLUE VALENTINE Jun23 May14       (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00    
PROUD PERFORMER Jul08 May04 Apr06 Feb15 Jan18 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
10  GOLDCREST May27 May07 Apr16 Feb24 Jan21 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 66% 0.50    
 
ELP-2   08/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE WITH THE WYN         (o'neill doug)COURT K 119 5.00 14% 6.20    
SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Jul01 Jun17 May19 Apr19   (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 1.00 29% 2.50    
READY FOR TROUBLE         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
WRECK IT RUBY May27 May12       (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 8.00    
TONIC AND GIN Jul06 Jun15       (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00    
SCR  REDHEADEDSTRANGER May12         (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
AUTISM COMPASSION         (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00    
 
ELP-3   08/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANDOUTSENSATION         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
PRAY FOR CHAMPAGNE         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
PRINCESS MITOLE Jun15 May27       (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 6% 14.80    
BIKINI BOTTOM         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  YES TO CHAMPAGNE         (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
BELLA CRUELLA         (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
MY HAPPY HOLIDAY         (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 6% 16.90    
ANORIA Jul12 Jun08 May27 Apr28   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00    
CAT ONE Jun25         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 20.00    
10  WHITE DOVE         (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
11  INTEGRATED DESIGN Jul07         (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 119 20.00    
SCR  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Jul06         (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00    
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND Jun16 May11       (barkley jason)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
SCR  MO TWILIGHT Jul16         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
 
ELP-4   08/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK THE NILE Jul08 Jun21 May13 May05 Apr07 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
SHELL SHOCK Jun24 Jun03 Mar04 Feb19 Jan15 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
BALL GOWN Jul11 Jun11 May27 May03 Mar29 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
SCR  SONADOR Jun17 May20 May02 Apr13 Sep25 (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00    
SUNDAY GRACE Jun23 May28 Sep13 Jul09 May14 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  DE' ANS EIGHTY May20 Mar23 Feb25     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
LAMASCO Jun17 Mar26 Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 3.00    
 
ELP-5   08/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOTONA         (calhoun wil)TORRES A 119 12.00    
PUCKERED         (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
JOKE MASTER Jul07         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  PINOTSLILGIRL Jul07 Jun16       (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
CANDY LANDY         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 13% 6.90    
MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) Jul07 Apr12       (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 5% 17.80    
EVERMORE         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SALTWATER TAFFY Jul07         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SHE'S ALL ELLIE         (von donnie)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00    
10  SONG OF NORWAY         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 114 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  RAINING SUGAR         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  TIPSY RUNNER         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN STORM         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  HOT MOCHA         (mccarthy michae)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
 
ELP-6   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENDEZVOUS         (michael brian)COURT K 119 30.00    
RITA'S ONTHE BEACH         (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  WITH THIS RING May20 Oct16       (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00    
PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS May03 Apr12       (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 7% 14.10    
RUBY TAP Jun29 May20       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 13% 6.50    
HOCKADAY GIRL         (wismer s)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
SCR  AREUHAVINGFUNYET         (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
HAPPY CHARGER         (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
FIESTA BESTA         (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 43% 1.30    
10  PORT TOWNSEND         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 6.00    
11  MUSICAL MISCHIEF May05         (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 17.60    
12  FLASHY LASS         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDVALE Oct02 Aug07       (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  LADY DYNAMO Jul08 May29 Apr19 Mar12   (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
LETTER OF GOLD Dec11 Oct22 Sep14 Aug21   (medina robert)RAMOS D 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
THEROANRUNNER Jul01 Nov26 Oct16     (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00    
SUN VALLEY ROAD Oct30         (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00    
WORDS OF PRAISE Jun23 May20 Nov06 Oct16 Sep13 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
RETROSPECT Jun24         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
PELICAN LANE Jun25 May20 Jan07     (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
MOROCCAN QUEEN         (murphy conor)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 30.00    
SCR  JENNIFER MY LOVE Jul09 Jun25       (davis christoph)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
SCR  TAPITARA Dec18         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
12  AUTISM COMMUNITY Jun22 Apr21 Mar23 Dec30 Dec03 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
13  CATHERINE BLAZE Jul09 Jun22 Jun10 Apr28 Apr13 (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 113 50.00    
SCR  FLIRTING GIRL Jun10 Apr29 Apr07 Oct02   (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00    
 
ELP-8   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ARLINGTON Jul07 Jun15 May20 May02 Apr15 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
YES DAY Jul07 Apr15 Mar18 Jan14 Dec17 (wismer s)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 6% 16.80    
ERVADEAN Jun24 May27 May05 Mar25   (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
AMERICAN RETRO Jun03 May05 Apr07     (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 1.60 63% 0.60    
MOTOWN MIKA Jun15 Apr26 Mar31 Jan25 Dec03 (o'connor robert)GARCIA MARTIN 120 30.00    
SCR  DEMI Jun29 May12 Feb11 Jan20 Dec17 (stuart she)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
SCR  PROCRASTINATION Jun18 May06 Apr01 Feb19 Aug13 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
JOKES ON BLUE Jul07 Dec17 Nov21 Oct30 Sep25 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 6.00 9% 9.70    
 
ELP-9   08/01/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TESTIMONY TIME Jul07 Jun22 May27 Apr29   (brumley william )MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
HONOR GOLD Jul02         (mcpeek kenneth )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
GRAND ASPEN Jul07 Aug05 Jun05     (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 10% 8.60    
TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF Jul07 Jun11 Apr29     (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
CROSSING May26 May11 Mar12 Jan27 Jan01 (lauer micha)TORRES A 118 20.00    
QUALIFIED May28 May04 Feb25 Sep13   (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 8% 12.10    
BATTLE BORN Apr22 Mar04 Jan26 Dec28   (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 30.00 6% 16.70    
SURFACE TO AIR Jun30 May28 Apr28 Jan20 Nov19 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 54% 0.90    
ARCHIE THE GIZA May28 May04       (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00    
10  CATEGORY TEN Jun04         (mott riley)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
11  FIREBALL FUN May28 May14       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
SCR  ICE TIME Jun13 May25 May02 Feb25 Feb02 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.