Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $11.76 $11.76 3.76
ELP-2   Win (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
ELP-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.26 $9.26 3.26
ELP-4   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
ELP-5   Win (4/8/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $11.14 $11.14 1.14
ELP-6   Win (5/6/2/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $24.34 $24.34 14.34
ELP-7   Win (2/7/11/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $4.26 $4.26  
ELP-8   Win (1/4/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $10.24  
ELP-9   Win (4/10/5/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $27.62  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROYAL BLOOD 6 2 32½ 3½   1½ 11¾ (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.00 23% 3.40 4.88 W
3  AUNT JO 3 4 21½ 1½   2½ 21¾ (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 6% 15.20 6.36 P
5  THE PRINCESS SAYS 5 3 53 42½   32½ 32½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.80 25% 2.90 0.70 S
4  ZIGGZAPPA 4 7 76¾ 67   54½ 47¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 124 6.00 9.74  
1  SOULFUL TARA 1 5 11½ 2½   42½ 57¼ (miller f)COURT K 119 8.00 7.95  
2  INSIGHTFUL MISS 2 6 42½ 54½   66 68¼ (williamson brian)EMIGH A 119 4.50 25% 3.00 12.75  
7  I GOTTA BOLT 7 1 63¼ 77¼   79 711¾ (hancock john)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 22.55  
 
ELP-2   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:142 1:261   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GET THROUGH 4 3 44 54 1½ 1½ 1¾ (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 1.80 W
2  PAID IN FULL 1 2 32 2nk 32 32½ 2¾ (hartlage gar)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 3.50 5.25  
4  MAGNA RULER 3 1 12 1nk 2½ 2½ 32½ (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00 32% 2.20 4.15 S
8  BORN FLAWLESS 7 4 22 32½ 42 44½ 43¼ (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 6.95  
3  PUNCTUALITY 2 5 66 66½ 54 54½ 54 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 37% 1.70 3.01  
6  ATTEST 5 7 76½ 76¾ 66 67½ 67¾ (knippenberg bri)MORALES EDGAR 125 15.00 5% 17.90 9.34  
7  RONITHELIMODRIVER 6 6 54½ 43½ 76¼ 710½ 712¼ (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00 31.19  
SCR  TEN COUNT               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 1.20    
 
ELP-3   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAMP DADDY 4 2 52½ 31½   13½ 15¾ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.63 W
2  UNCLE BERLEY 2 4 65 63   23½ 25¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 4.50 3.40  
1  BOLT ABOVE 1 6 3½ 52½   46½ 312 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.80 35% 1.90 1.51 S
6  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 6 1 2nk 11   34 413¾ (cano munoz)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15% 5.70 4.29  
3  CHARLIE WHISKEY 3 3 1nk 42   56½ 514½ (stinson will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 7.19  
5  GETTIN PAID 5 5 42 21   611 634 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 15.49  
SCR  AMERICAN ICON               (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
ELP-4   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:124 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HASHTAG WINNER 4 5 57 56 31 12½ 17½ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 10% 9.40 1.88 W
1  SET THE PACE 1 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 22½ 27½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 34% 1.90 1.72 P
4  JERSEY GOLD 3 2 34 45 55 54½ 39½ (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 20.00 21.79  
6  PRIDDIS 5 4 1nk 2½ 2nk 44 411¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 123 3.50 33% 2.10 2.91  
3  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 2 3 45 34½ 42½ 33 511½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 4.03  
SCR  CHOCTAW BINGO               (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD               (barkley jason)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00    
SCR  XYLOPHONE               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:15 1:271   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BLUE EYED GEORGE 6 5 65½ 54½ 31½ 1½ 11¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.57 W
4  MUGATU 4 1 21 2½ 1nk 2½ 21¾ (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 43% 1.30 7.37 P
3  CASPER 3 8 88 88 85½ 74¾ 32¼ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 8% 11.90 6.09 S
1  DEPICTION 1 10 1010 99 96 64½ 42¾ (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00 2.30  
2  ONE RED CENT 2 7 55½ 65½ 63 84¾ 55¾ (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 28.94  
9  VIVA VOCE 9 6 44½ 43½ 42 53½ 66¼ (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 20.62  
10  BRIE'S MISSION 10 4 76 76½ 75 96¼ 76½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 13.94  
8  PURE POETRY 8 2 11 1½ 2nk 32½ 810¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 28% 2.50 3.13  
5  MIGHTY KAI 5 9 99½ 109½ 108½ 109¾ 911 (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 16.38  
7  J T'S IMAGINATION 7 3 33 33 52½ 43½ 1013 (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 40.63  
SCR  COASTAL BRINK               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CONDON CANDY 4 5 1nk 12½   16 17¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00 26% 2.80 11.17 W
10  REGAL RUMOR 8 2 64¼ 33   37½ 27¾ (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 29.09 P
6  MUSICAL DIVA 5 6 31 22½   26 39¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 25% 3.00 1.98 S
11  PEIGNOIR 9 4 74¾ 76¼   410½ 411½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00 55.14  
12  LEGACY DEFINED 10 9 87¾ 86¾   612 512¾ (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7.88  
4  AURACULOUS 3 10 1012¼ 109¾   512 614 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00 8.94  
9  OUR KEEPSAKE 7 7 53¾ 55   713 720¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 28.27  
8  SWEET VIOLET 6 1 98¼ 99¼   1017½ 826½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 25.88  
3  LITTLE MISS PRISS 2 8 43½ 66   815½ 929¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00 2.23  
2  MISS ESCAPADE 1 3 2nk 45   916½ 1033 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7% 13.40 5.62  
SCR  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI               (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET GUITAR               (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:134 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LEMON BOMB 2 1 1½ 1½ 11½ 13 11¾ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.13 W
1  FROTHY 1 2 42 52 21½ 33½ 21¾ (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 14.95  
7  BOLTORO 5 4 52½ 83¾ 64½ 23 31¾ (casse mark)TORRES A 118 6.00 17% 4.90 4.62 S
4  OKAY FINE 3 7 84 94¾ 107 46 44¼ (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 13.66  
8  CATMINT 6 5 32 31 53½ 56 54½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.31  
12  MILIEU 10 10 95½ 105¼ 96¾ 78 65¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 14.52  
10  MO BLOOMS 8 9 73½ 62½ 74¾ 67 76¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5.94  
9  ENGLISH CHARM 7 3 63 41 43 89½ 811 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.52  
11  JUNGLE CAT 9 6 107 73½ 84¾ 911½ 914½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 12% 7.10 24.51  
6  BE MISS HATTIE 4 8 2½ 2½ 31½ 1016 1026½ (davis chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 25.00 61.59  
SCR  CALLAS               (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SCR  CHURCH SERVICE               (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 25.00    
SCR  MIDVALE               (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SCR  PELICAN LANE               (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  RETROSPECT               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  THEROANRUNNER               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ELI'S PROMISE 6 1 11 1½   12 12¼ (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 4.12  
2  LUPO'S LEGACY 2 4 31½ 31   22 22¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 6% 15.50 12.63 P
1  EMPERADOR 1 8 910 98   98¼ 33 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 24% 3.20 13.55 S
9  MIDASWELLRUN 9 3 42½ 53½   65½ 43 (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 4.37  
4  STAND FOR FREEDOM 4 9 65½ 64   33½ 54 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 21% 3.80 10.51  
3  RIDER'S SPECIAL 3 5 53 43   44 64¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 2.66  
5  BACKSIDE BUZZ 5 7 86 74   88 79¼ (vance thoma)TORRES A 118 3.00 8% 11.70 12.83  
7  SUPREMELY 7 6 76 85   77½ 810¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00 14% 6.10 5.42  
8  MISSIN CURFEW 8 2 21 2½   55½ 912 (diodoro robertin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 8.85  
 
ELP-9   07/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:133 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SANT' ANTIMO 8 4 51¾ 31½ 1nk 13 11¾ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 25.00 12.81  
5  BROWN LIQUOR MAN 5 3 31½ 41½ 51¾ 33 21¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6% 14.60 7.85 P
4  SIMPLY JACK 4 5 94¾ 105¾ 105¼ 65½ 34 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 124 2.50 65% 0.50 1.70 S
7  DRAMA CRITIC 7 8 115½ 95¼ 61¾ 23 44 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00 8.18  
3  SPUNS SON 3 12 128 128½ 115¾ 96¼ 55 (hill f)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 3.76  
6  LEFT POCKET MONEY 6 7 62¼ 63¼ 73¼ 75¾ 65¾ (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 66.27  
9  AUTO DIAL 9 6 41½ 51¾ 41¼ 44½ 79¼ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 19.01  
2  TEXCOCO 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 85¾ 812¼ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 18.35  
1  POST TENEBRAS LUX 1 2 1½ 1½ 3.2 55 912½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 22.08  
10  BON BUENO 10 9 73¼ 74¼ 83¾ 106½ 1013 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 7% 12.60 13.90  
11  ROYAL DECADENCE 11 10 83¼ 84¼ 94¾ 1110 1116½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 9.52  
12  SECRET EDGE 12 11 105¼ 116 126¾ 1214 1224 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 57.81  
SCR  FIGHTERTOWN               (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.50    
SCR  NEAP TIDE               (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.