Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-1   WIN (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.76 $3.76 47%
    EXA (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $65.40 $41.40 173%
    TRI (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-3-5 $36.12 $24.12 201%
ELP-2   DD (5/2/6/3)-(3/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-5 $21.92 $5.92 37%
ELP-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.26 $3.26 54%
    PK3 (5/2/6/3)-(3/4/6/5)-(1/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-5-4 $45.42 $21.42 89%
ELP-4   EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $16.72 $4.72 39%
    DD (1/4/6)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-5 $11.13 $2.13 24%
    PK3 (3/4/6/5)-(1/4/6)-(1/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-4-5 $30.00 $12.00 67%
ELP-5   WIN (4/8/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $11.14 $1.14 11%
    EXA (4/8/3/7/6)-(4/8/3/7/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-4 $73.18 $33.18 83%
    TRI (4/8/3/7/6)-(4/8/3/7/6)-(4/8/3/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-4-3 $85.29 $55.29 184%
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/8/3/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-6 $31.28 $16.28 109%
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(1/6/5)-(4/8/3/7/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50  4-5-6 $75.06 $52.56 234%
    PK4 (3/4/6/5)-(1/4/6)-(1/6/5)-(4/8/3/7/6) 180 $0.50 $90.00  1/5-4-5-6 $308.92 $218.92 243%
    PK5 (5/2/6/3)-(3/4/6/5)-(1/4/6)-(1/6/5)-(4/8/3/7/6) 720 $0.50 $360  6-1/5-4-5-6 $1753 $1393 387%
ELP-6   WIN (5/6/2/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $24.34 $14.34 143%
    EXA (5/6/2/11/10)-(5/6/2/11/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-10 $535.82 $495.82 1240%
    TRI (5/6/2/11/10)-(5/6/2/11/10)-(5/6/2/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-10-6 $1174 $1144 3816%
    SFT (5/6/2/11/10)-(5/6/2/11/10)-(5/6/2/11/10)-(5/6/2/11/10) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-10-6-11 $1536 $1524 12708%
    DD (4/8/3/7/6)-(5/6/2/11/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00  6-5 $51.83 $26.83 107%
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/8/3/7/6)-(5/6/2/11/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50  5-6-5 $127.80 $90.30 241%
    PK4 (1/4/6)-(1/6/5)-(4/8/3/7/6)-(5/6/2/11/10) 225 $0.50 $112  4-5-6-5 $954.22 $841.72 748%
ELP-7   DD (5/6/2/11/10)-(2/7/11/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00  5-2 $37.87 $12.87 51%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL BLOOD 6 2 3 3½   1½ 1 (vaccarezza car)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.00 23% 3.40 4.88 W
AUNT JO 3 4 2 1½   2½ 2 (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 6% 15.20 6.36 P
THE PRINCESS SAYS 5 3 53 4   3 3 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.80 25% 2.90 0.70 S
ZIGGZAPPA 4 7 7 67   5 4 (forster t)LANERIE J 124 6.00 9.74  
SOULFUL TARA 1 5 1 2½   4 5 (miller f)COURT K 119 8.00 7.95  
INSIGHTFUL MISS 2 6 4 5   66 6 (williamson brian)EMIGH A 119 4.50 25% 3.00 12.75  
I GOTTA BOLT 7 1 6 7   79 711¾ (hancock jo)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 22.55  
 
ELP-2   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:142 1:261   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET THROUGH 4 3 44 54 1½ 1½ 1¾ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 1.80 W
PAID IN FULL 1 2 32 2nk 32 3 2¾ (hartlage g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 3.50 5.25  
MAGNA RULER 3 1 12 1nk 2½ 2½ 3 (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00 32% 2.20 4.15 S
BORN FLAWLESS 7 4 22 3 42 4 4 (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 6.95  
PUNCTUALITY 2 5 66 6 54 5 54 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 37% 1.70 3.01  
ATTEST 5 7 7 7 66 6 6 (knippenberg b)MORALES EDGAR 125 15.00 5% 17.90 9.34  
RONITHELIMODRIVER 6 6 5 4 7 710½ 712¼ (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00 31.19  
SCR  TEN COUNT               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 1.20    
 
ELP-3   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMP DADDY 4 2 5 3   1 1 (gutierrez)TORRES A 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.63 W
UNCLE BERLEY 2 4 65 63   2 2 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.50 3.40  
BOLT ABOVE 1 6 3½ 5   4 312 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.80 35% 1.90 1.51 S
SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 6 1 2nk 11   34 413¾ (cano munoz)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15% 5.70 4.29  
CHARLIE WHISKEY 3 3 1nk 42   5 514½ (stinson wi)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 7.19  
GETTIN PAID 5 5 42 21   611 634 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 15.49  
SCR  AMERICAN ICON               (vasquez s)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
ELP-4   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:124 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASHTAG WINNER 4 5 57 56 31 1 1 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 10% 9.40 1.88 W
SET THE PACE 1 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 2 2 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 34% 1.90 1.72 P
JERSEY GOLD 3 2 34 45 55 5 3 (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 20.00 21.79  
PRIDDIS 5 4 1nk 2½ 2nk 44 411¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 3.50 33% 2.10 2.91  
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 2 3 45 3 4 33 511½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 4.03  
SCR  CHOCTAW BINGO               (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD               (barkley jason)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00    
SCR  XYLOPHONE               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:15 1:271   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE EYED GEORGE 6 5 6 5 3 1½ 1 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.57 W
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of ACTING NAUGHTY by OFFLEE WILD)
MUGATU 4 1 21 2½ 1nk 2½ 2 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 43% 1.30 7.37 P
  (by BLOFELD out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
CASPER 3 8 88 88 8 7 3 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 8% 11.90 6.09 S
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of AMERICA'S FRIEND by UNUSUAL HEAT)
DEPICTION 1 10 1010 99 96 6 4 (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 8.00 2.30  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRENSITA by CURLIN)
ONE RED CENT 2 7 5 6 63 8 5 (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 28.94  
  (by DOMINUS out of UNEVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
VIVA VOCE 9 6 4 4 42 5 6 (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 20.62  
  (by AUDIBLE out of HAVEANICEWEEKEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
10  BRIE'S MISSION 10 4 76 7 75 9 7 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 13.94  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BRIE'S LUCKY CHARM by MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE))
PURE POETRY 8 2 11 1½ 2nk 3 810¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 28% 2.50 3.13  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DICKINSON by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MIGHTY KAI 5 9 9 10 10 10 911 (maker michael )CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 16.38  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MY HAPPY PLACE by TAPIT)
J T'S IMAGINATION 7 3 33 33 5 4 1013 (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 40.63  
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of ASHLEE AT LAW by LION HEART)
SCR  COASTAL BRINK               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BRINKLEY by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SUPER ALLISON by SUPER SAVER)
 
ELP-6   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDON CANDY 4 5 1nk 1   16 1 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00 26% 2.80 11.17 W
  (by UNIFIED out of SWEETNESS 'N LIGHT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  REGAL RUMOR 8 2 6 33   3 2 (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 29.09 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of BACK OFF by PUT IT BACK)
MUSICAL DIVA 5 6 31 2   26 3 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 25% 3.00 1.98 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
11  PEIGNOIR 9 4 7 7   410½ 411½ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00 55.14  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEEHIVE HAIRDO by FLAT OUT)
12  LEGACY DEFINED 10 9 8 8   612 512¾ (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7.88  
  (by UNCLE MO out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
AURACULOUS 3 10 1012¼ 10   512 614 (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 8.00 8.94  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BONITA BAY by BERNARDINI)
OUR KEEPSAKE 7 7 5 55   713 720¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 28.27  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BECCAWHIT by ROMAN RULER)
SWEET VIOLET 6 1 9 9   1017½ 826½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 25.88  
  (by VIOLENCE out of PRIVATE SUITE by PRIVATE TERMS)
LITTLE MISS PRISS 2 8 4 66   815½ 929¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00 2.23  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MISSISSIPPI QUEEN by DIXIELAND BAND)
MISS ESCAPADE 1 3 2nk 45   916½ 1033 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7% 13.40 5.62  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISS LARKSPUR by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI               (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
SCR  SWEET GUITAR               (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SWEET CITIZEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
ELP-7   07/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:134 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON BOMB 2 1 1½ 1½ 1 13 1 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.13 W
  (by ARMY MULE out of BITTER LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
FROTHY 1 2 42 52 2 3 2 (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 14.95  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ROOMS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BOLTORO 5 4 5 8 6 23 3 (casse mar)TORRES A 118 6.00 17% 4.90 4.62 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
OKAY FINE 3 7 84 9 107 46 4 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 13.66  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CATMINT 6 5 32 31 5 56 5 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.31  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
12  MILIEU 10 10 9 10 9 78 6 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 14.52  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SLEW'S QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  MO BLOOMS 8 9 7 6 7 67 7 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5.94  
  (by MO TOWN out of CAT'S GARDEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
ENGLISH CHARM 7 3 63 41 43 8 811 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.52  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LINDA by SCAT DADDY)
11  JUNGLE CAT 9 6 107 7 8 911½ 914½ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 12% 7.10 24.51  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
BE MISS HATTIE 4 8 2½ 2½ 3 1016 1026½ (davis chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 25.00 61.59  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CALLAS               (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CHORAL SYMPHONY by A.P. INDY)
SCR  CHURCH SERVICE               (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 25.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  MIDVALE               (walsh bre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CROWNSTONE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  PELICAN LANE               (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of SEA ROAD by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  RETROSPECT               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of AFTER THOUGHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  THEROANRUNNER               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
ELP-8   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELI'S PROMISE 6 1 11 1½   12 1 (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 4.12  
LUPO'S LEGACY 2 4 3 31   22 2 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 6% 15.50 12.63 P
EMPERADOR 1 8 910 98   9 33 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 24% 3.20 13.55 S
MIDASWELLRUN 9 3 4 5   6 43 (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 4.37  
STAND FOR FREEDOM 4 9 6 64   3 54 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 21% 3.80 10.51  
RIDER'S SPECIAL 3 5 53 43   44 6 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 2.66  
BACKSIDE BUZZ 5 7 86 74   88 7 (vance tho)TORRES A 118 3.00 8% 11.70 12.83  
SUPREMELY 7 6 76 85   7 810¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00 14% 6.10 5.42  
MISSIN CURFEW 8 2 21 2½   5 912 (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 8.85  
 
ELP-9   07/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:133 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANT' ANTIMO 8 4 5 3 1nk 13 1 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 25.00 12.81  
BROWN LIQUOR MAN 5 3 3 4 5 33 2 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6% 14.60 7.85 P
SIMPLY JACK 4 5 9 10 10 6 34 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 124 2.50 65% 0.50 1.70 S
DRAMA CRITIC 7 8 11 9 6 23 44 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00 8.18  
SPUNS SON 3 12 128 12 11 9 55 (hill f)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 3.76  
LEFT POCKET MONEY 6 7 6 6 7 7 6 (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 66.27  
AUTO DIAL 9 6 4 5 4 4 7 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 19.01  
TEXCOCO 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 8 812¼ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 18.35  
POST TENEBRAS LUX 1 2 1½ 1½ 3.2 55 912½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 22.08  
10  BON BUENO 10 9 7 7 8 10 1013 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 7% 12.60 13.90  
11  ROYAL DECADENCE 11 10 8 8 9 1110 1116½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 9.52  
12  SECRET EDGE 12 11 10 116 12 1214 1224 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 57.81  
SCR  FIGHTERTOWN               (amoss thomas )GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.50    
SCR  NEAP TIDE               (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.