Handicappers' Racing Form
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Ellis Park
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (4/8/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (5/6/2/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (2/7/11/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (1/4/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (4/10/5/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOULFUL TARA May26         (miller f)COURT K 119 8.00    
2  INSIGHTFUL MISS         (williamson brian)EMIGH A 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
3  AUNT JO         (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 6% 15.20    
4  ZIGGZAPPA Mar24 Mar05 Feb11     (forster t)LANERIE J 124 6.00    
5  THE PRINCESS SAYS Jun02 May14 Apr12 Mar16 Mar01 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.80 25% 2.90    
6  ROYAL BLOOD Jul09 Jun02 May14 Apr23 Apr07 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  I GOTTA BOLT Jul08 Jun15 Oct05 Sep28 Sep02 (hancock john)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
 
ELP-2   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEN COUNT Jun29 Sep30       (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 1.20    
2  PAID IN FULL Jul07 Jun15 May25 May12 Mar25 (hartlage gar)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 3.50    
3  PUNCTUALITY Jul16 Jun25 May07 Apr13   (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  MAGNA RULER Jul11 May25 May12 Mar19 Mar05 (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00 32% 2.20    
5  GET THROUGH Jun02 May05 Mar25 Mar19 Feb12 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ATTEST Jun30 Jun09 Mar23     (knippenberg bri)MORALES EDGAR 125 15.00 5% 17.90    
7  RONITHELIMODRIVER Jul07 May25 Apr29 Mar10 Feb17 (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00    
8  BORN FLAWLESS Jun25 May29 May12 Apr12 Feb20 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
ELP-3   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLT ABOVE Jun06 Apr28 Apr07 Jan06 Oct27 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  UNCLE BERLEY Jul08 Jun02 May05 Mar19 Feb26 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
3  CHARLIE WHISKEY Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr29 Apr08 (stinson will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
4  CAMP DADDY Jun25 May27 May21 May04 Dec02 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  GETTIN PAID Jul07 May08 Mar09 Jan19 Nov17 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
6  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS Jul15 Jun04 Feb03 Jan13 Nov20 (cano munoz)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  AMERICAN ICON May28 May21 May13 May03 Apr21 (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
ELP-4   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SET THE PACE Jun25 May28 Apr02 Jan16 May28 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  XYLOPHONE May11 Apr30 Mar31 Mar10 Feb11 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50    
3  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Jun23 May26 May11 Apr12 Mar02 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 6.00    
4  JERSEY GOLD Jul08 Jun18 May30 May14 Apr19 (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
5  HASHTAG WINNER Jun23 May27 Apr22 Apr13 Mar25 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 10% 9.40    
6  PRIDDIS Jun25 Jun03 Apr21 Apr02 Jan21 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 123 3.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Jun23 Jun06 May02 Apr22 Mar15 (barkley jason)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00    
SCR  CHOCTAW BINGO Jun06 May06 Apr12 Sep12 Aug16 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPICTION         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00    
2  ONE RED CENT Jul15         (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00    
3  CASPER         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 8% 11.90    
4  MUGATU Jul14 Jun24       (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  MIGHTY KAI         (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
6  BLUE EYED GEORGE         (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  J T'S IMAGINATION         (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  PURE POETRY         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 28% 2.50    
9  VIVA VOCE Jul14         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
10  BRIE'S MISSION         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  COASTAL BRINK Jun18 Jun08       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI Jul07 Jun16 May26 May11 Apr19 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
2  MISS ESCAPADE         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7% 13.40    
3  LITTLE MISS PRISS         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
4  AURACULOUS         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00    
5  CONDON CANDY         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
6  MUSICAL DIVA         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  SWEET GUITAR         (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
8  SWEET VIOLET         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
9  OUR KEEPSAKE         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
10  REGAL RUMOR         (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  PEIGNOIR         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  LEGACY DEFINED         (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
 
ELP-7   07/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROTHY Jun24         (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
2  LEMON BOMB Jun24 Oct30 Oct08     (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  CHURCH SERVICE Jun23 May18 Mar26 Mar03 Jan14 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 25.00    
4  OKAY FINE May13 Apr19 Feb12 Jan05 Nov26 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
SCR  CALLAS Jun25         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
6  BE MISS HATTIE         (davis chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 25.00    
7  BOLTORO Jun23 Apr23 Mar18 Feb09 Dec14 (casse mark)TORRES A 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
8  CATMINT         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  ENGLISH CHARM Jun23 Nov16       (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MO BLOOMS Jul01         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
11  JUNGLE CAT Feb11         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 12% 7.10    
12  MILIEU Apr27 Mar16 Jan29 Dec11 Oct22 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
SCR  PELICAN LANE Jun25 May20 Jan07     (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  MIDVALE Oct02 Aug07       (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SCR  THEROANRUNNER Jul01 Nov26 Oct16     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  RETROSPECT Jun24         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPERADOR Jun29 Jun04 Jan06 Oct14 Jan22 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 24% 3.20    
2  LUPO'S LEGACY Jul07 Jun10 Jun01 May13 Apr13 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 6% 15.50    
3  RIDER'S SPECIAL Jun29 Jun10 May21 Apr29 Apr01 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
4  STAND FOR FREEDOM Jun10 Apr21 Mar04 Jan25 Dec28 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 21% 3.80    
5  BACKSIDE BUZZ May06 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Jan15 (vance thoma)TORRES A 118 3.00 8% 11.70    
6  ELI'S PROMISE Jun25 May28 Apr20 Feb24 Jan20 (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
7  SUPREMELY Jun29 Jun10 May19 Apr21 Mar22 (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
8  MISSIN CURFEW Jun29 Apr28 Apr07 Mar12 Jan15 (diodoro robertin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
9  MIDASWELLRUN Jun29 Jun10 May19 Nov19 Oct19 (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
 
ELP-9   07/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POST TENEBRAS LUX Jul07 Mar10       (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TEXCOCO Jun23 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Aug13 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
3  SPUNS SON Jul07 May29 Apr29 Dec29 Nov30 (hill f)BEJARANO R 124 6.00    
4  SIMPLY JACK Jun07 May15 Oct05 Jul11 Jun05 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
5  BROWN LIQUOR MAN Jun30         (shirer a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 6% 14.60    
6  LEFT POCKET MONEY Jul16 May21 Sep24     (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
7  DRAMA CRITIC Jun21 May30 May09 Mar15 Feb24 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00    
8  SANT' ANTIMO Jun29         (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 25.00    
9  AUTO DIAL Jul12 Jun25       (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
10  BON BUENO Jul07 May25 Apr14 Mar26 May28 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 7% 12.60    
11  ROYAL DECADENCE Jul09 Jun21 May25 May06 Jan28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
12  SECRET EDGE Jul16 Jun10 Apr29 Aug27 Aug12 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIGHTERTOWN Jun15 May21 Feb26 Jan21 Dec24 (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.50    
SCR  NEAP TIDE Jun09 May25       (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.