Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-3   EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3-5 $5.96 $1.96 49%
ELP-6   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.72 $4.72 79%
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $37.96 $25.96 216%
    DD (8/5/4/6/9)-(3/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  8-6 $26.06 $11.06 74%
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(8/5/4/6/9)-(3/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-8-6 $52.25 $22.25 74%
    PK4 (3/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(8/5/4/6/9)-(3/6/4) 120 $0.50 $60.00  1/3/4/7-4-8-6 $124.74 $64.74 108%
ELP-8   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.26 $2.26 38%
ELP-9   WIN (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.04 $3.04 51%
    EXA (9/1/3)-(9/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-1 $23.84 $11.84 99%
    TRI (9/1/3)-(9/1/3)-(9/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-1-9 $19.33 $16.33 544%
    DD (5/6/4)-(9/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-3 $34.33 $25.33 281%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :472 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHAKE IT BABY 2 3 31½ 32   1½ 13 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 2.50 0.99  
7  LITTLE MUSIC 6 1 21 2nk   31 23 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 8.00 19.41  
1  SUMMER DANCE 1 4 11 1nk   2½ 34 (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 15% 5.60 10.95 S
4  MISSY BEE 3 5 56 57½   59 415½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 32% 2.20 1.99  
6  TONIC AND GIN 5 2 42½ 42½   47 515½ (jazdzewski)CORRALES GERARDO 114 8.00 3.92  
5  ROSE DARLING 4 6 614 612½   611½ 616½ (humphries thomas)NAVAS YOEL 112 10.00 15% 5.60 23.27  
SCR  MIA MITOLE               (asmussen )TORRES A 119 2.00    
 
ELP-2   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112 1:243   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRE ME LESS 1 1 21 31½ 3½ 11½ 12¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 1.19  
2  HASHTAG WINNER 2 6 65½ 64¾ 41½ 43 22¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 1.80 2.66  
6  MUSIC AMORE 6 4 31 2nk 2nk 31½ 32¾ (vasquez germa)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 12% 7.10 3.59 S
3  PRIDDIS 3 2 41½ 42½ 1nk 21½ 44½ (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 21% 3.80 9.19  
5  LA TOURISTA 5 5 53½ 52¾ 52 53¼ 59¾ (vasquez germa)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 12.78  
4  PRINCESSTAPITURE 4 3 11 1nk 65 67¾ 621½ (andrade hu)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 25% 3.00 9.60  
 
ELP-3   08/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:10 1:224   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMILE MON 2 3 11½ 11 12½ 15½ 18 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 1.80 51% 0.90 0.56 W
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TENSAS PUNCH by WAR FRONT)
5  CHIRON 3 2 33 33 34½ 37½ 28 (bush s)ELLIOTT JANE 124 8.00 14% 6.20 4.42 P
  (by PROTONICO out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
2  ELEGANT TRIP 1 1 21½ 21 22½ 25½ 38¾ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 2.99  
  (by TOURIST out of NATIVE TALENT by A.P. INDY)
6  MY SANCTUARY 4 4 46½ 49 412½ 415½ 425½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 5.96  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MY BELONGING by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  ATHENS MOON               (stall alb)TORRES A 118 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of GASP by TINAJERO)
SCR  GREAT BARRIER               (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
SCR  TOWN BARBER               (mott riley)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DISCO BARBIE by PURE PRIZE)
 
ELP-4   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:094     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NORMANDY HERO 4 2 11 11   11½ 11½ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.00 24% 3.10 1.56 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SWAN OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  COACH JIMI D 6 3 21 21   21½ 21½ (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 114 4.00 4.68  
  (by GORMLEY out of SHANGHAI SNOOKIE by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
7  ASTRONOMICO 7 1 43 32½   34 36¼ (gutierrez)TORRES A 119 1.80 16% 5.20 2.17 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREEN WATERS by ARCH)
3  PATCH O'BRIEN 3 7 55 42½   48 414 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 26% 2.80 9.94  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BALLSTON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  LIQUOR TALK 2 6 78½ 79¾   712 519½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 7.73  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of K. D.'S SHADY LADY by MARIA'S MON)
5  MOR JAZZ 5 5 67 65¼   511 622¼ (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 6% 15.80 37.74  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PINK LENINADE by LEMON DROP KID)
1  HOT N LUCKY 1 4 33 52¾   612 723¾ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 8.79  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY LADY LUCK by HARD SPUN)
 
ELP-5   08/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:132 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ODE TO BALIUS 5 2 42½ 53 51¾ 31½ 1¼ (ortiz al)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 34% 2.00 3.07 W
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HAIL TO ROCKNROLL by SCAT DADDY)
11  THOMAS AQUINAS 7 3 2½ 2½ 3.2 1nk 2¼ (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 10.98  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SUNNY COVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
9  BERNIN HOT 6 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 31¾ (davis christo)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 5% 19.00 6.43 S
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
5  HEY JOE JOE 3 7 52½ 43 41¼ 52¼ 43¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 10.00 18% 4.60 1.84  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACH BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
6  DIRBAS 4 8 63½ 64 62¼ 63¾ 53¾ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 8% 12.30 5.87  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ATHENS QUEEN by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  CRUSADING 2 6 84¼ 74¼ 72¼ 73¾ 64¾ (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119 6.00 17% 4.90 6.50  
  (by CURLIN out of BELLAVAIS by TAPIT)
12  WARNING SIGNS 8 4 31 31 2nk 42 76¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 14.70  
  (by BERNARDINI out of EMMA CARLY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  FORT THOMAS 1 5 74 85¾ 85¾ 87¾ 812¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 17.28  
  (by WAR FRONT out of BYE BYE BABY by GALILEO)
SCR  BAYOU MAGIC               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of KRAZY KATHY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  CHANNELER               (thomas jonat)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of NOETIC by TRI JET)
SCR  GOTTANEEDFORSPEED               (mccarthy micha)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of HEALTHY ADDICTION by BOSTON HARBOR)
SCR  INTOLERABLE               (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
SCR  LUKE               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of WELL HEELED LADY by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR  MOVE TO GOLD               (brown cha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BRANDY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE               (casse mar)TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
 
ELP-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LA V. 5 3 21 1½   12½ 11¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00 31% 2.20 4.36 W
3  STANLEY MARKET 2 4 43½ 43   22½ 21¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 2.00 34% 1.90 2.03 P
1  SHE DAZZLE 1 6 66 65½   58½ 310½ (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 8.27  
4  CAMI CAT 3 1 11 2½   35 413 (claire alexis)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.89  
5  TAP N SWAY 4 2 53½ 55   69 514¼ (becker sc)TORRES A 122 3.50 5.81  
7  SHOW ME GRACE 6 5 31½ 32   48 623¼ (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 2.17  
SCR  JOAN'S WAY               (silva ca)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
 
ELP-7   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FOUR DAWN 2 3 2nk 11½   15 16½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 3.77  
9  DEVINE CHARGER 6 1 44 34   25 26½ (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 8.00 47% 1.10 4.04 P
8  HONEY RUN 5 6 66¼ 56½   410 313¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 11% 7.90 3.81 S
2  CHARLEY RUDE 1 4 1nk 21½   37½ 413¾ (cano juan)TORRES A 117 20.00 8.05  
5  MASSARD 3 5 54¼ 66½   511 516½ (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 16.46  
7  EMPIRE OF MY OWN 4 2 33 45½   613 621¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 10% 8.70 1.32  
SCR  ARDEN'S ASSAULT               (davis christo)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  CENTER STAGE               (foley greg)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
SCR  HIDEKI               (walsh d)BEJARANO R 122 2.50    
SCR  IVORY MOON               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE               (foley greg)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
 
ELP-8   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:121 1:37   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SEARCH ENGINE 6 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 11¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 27% 2.70 3.13 W
2  KING'S OVATION 2 2 31½ 31½ 41½ 33½ 21¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.80 2.23  
5  ROMAN CENTURIAN 5 3 64½ 63½ 52½ 43½ 32¼ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 28% 2.60 2.99 S
3  GROUP EIGHTEEN 3 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 42¼ (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 6.00 11.06  
1  ICARUS 1 6 53 53 62¾ 64¼ 55 (van berg )TORRES A 122 10.00 5.15  
4  HE'S GOT THIS 4 5 41½ 41½ 3½ 54 65¼ (hartman ch)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 19% 4.20 5.01  
SCR  NAVY CROSS               (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BE HERE NOW 3 1 2½ 21 2nk 13 19½ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 10% 9.30 3.52 W
1  WINDY BAY 1 2 1½ 11 1nk 23 29½ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 30% 2.30 2.08 P
9  C C CRUISE CONTROL 5 3 42 43 33½ 35 311½ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 5.00 32% 2.20 2.52 S
7  UNSTABLE PRINCESS 4 5 56 55½ 55¾ 47½ 413½ (santamari)TORRES A 120 10.00 5.58  
2  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 2 4 32 31½ 45½ 510½ 525½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 3.33  
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
SCR  LEOPARDESS (GB)               (thomas jonat)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00    
SCR  IN COLOR               (d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00    
SCR  HOTHEADED PRINCESS               (castillo richa)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 2.50    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.