Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ELP-4   Win (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (8/5/4/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (9/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-8   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER DANCE         (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MIA MITOLE Jul08 May20       (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 2.00    
3  SHAKE IT BABY Jul22 Jun16       (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 2.50    
4  MISSY BEE         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 32% 2.20    
5  ROSE DARLING         (humphries thomas)NAVAS YOEL 112 10.00 15% 5.60    
6  TONIC AND GIN Aug01 Jul06 Jun15     (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 114 8.00    
7  LITTLE MUSIC Jul21 Jul01 Jun12 May19 Apr26 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 8.00    
 
ELP-2   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRE ME LESS Jul14 Jun16 May20 May02 Mar30 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50    
2  HASHTAG WINNER Jul31 Jun23 May27 Apr22 Apr13 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 1.80    
3  PRIDDIS Jul31 Jun25 Jun03 Apr21 Apr02 (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
4  PRINCESSTAPITURE Jul14 May11 Apr13 Mar04 Jan20 (andrade hu)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 25% 3.00    
5  LA TOURISTA Jul23 Jul07 Jun18 May28 May18 (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00    
6  MUSIC AMORE Jul01 May27 May14 May02 Mar02 (vasquez german )CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 12% 7.10    
 
ELP-3   08/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREAT BARRIER Jul30 Oct23       (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
2  ELEGANT TRIP         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
3  SMILE MON Jul16 Jun11 May14 Dec31 Nov26 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 1.80 51% 0.90    
SCR  ATHENS MOON Jul07 May21       (stall alber)TORRES A 118 2.50    
5  CHIRON Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr01 Mar17 (bush s)ELLIOTT JANE 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
6  MY SANCTUARY Jan07 Nov26 Oct15     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00    
SCR  TOWN BARBER Jul16         (mott riley)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-4   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT N LUCKY Jul15         (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
2  LIQUOR TALK         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00    
3  PATCH O'BRIEN Jun16 May11       (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  NORMANDY HERO Jul01         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  MOR JAZZ         (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 6% 15.80    
6  COACH JIMI D Jul30 Jul15       (divito jam)RODRIGUEZ A 114 4.00    
7  ASTRONOMICO Jul20 Jun24 Jun04     (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 1.80 16% 5.20    
 
ELP-5   08/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT THOMAS         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  BAYOU MAGIC         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
SCR  BRITISH SEA Jul14         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50    
4  CRUSADING         (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  HEY JOE JOE Jun22         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00 18% 4.60    
6  DIRBAS         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  MOVE TO GOLD         (brown chad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00    
8  ODE TO BALIUS Jul14         (ortiz alex)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 34% 2.00    
9  BERNIN HOT Jul15 May25       (davis christoph)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Jul15         (casse mark)TORRES A 119 15.00    
11  THOMAS AQUINAS Jul15         (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
12  WARNING SIGNS Jul21         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  LUKE         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  CHANNELER         (thomas jonatha)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  GOTTANEEDFORSPEED Jun29         (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00    
SCR  INTOLERABLE         (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00    
 
ELP-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE DAZZLE Jul09 Dec23 Dec07 Oct17 Aug27 (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
SCR  JOAN'S WAY Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 Jun06 May18 (silva carl)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
3  STANLEY MARKET Jul07 May28 Dec18 Nov03 Sep18 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  CAMI CAT Jul21 Jul08 Jun21 Jun03 Apr27 (claire alexis)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAP N SWAY Jul09 May23 Jan20 Nov21 Sep28 (becker scot)TORRES A 122 3.50    
6  LA V. Jun16 May13 Mar05 Feb20 Jan06 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
7  SHOW ME GRACE Jul09 Jun16 Apr15 Mar24 Feb18 (shorter aar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00    
 
ELP-7   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIDEKI Jul16 Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 (walsh d)BEJARANO R 122 2.50    
2  CHARLEY RUDE Jul16 May03 Mar11 Feb08 Dec17 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 117 20.00    
SCR  CENTER STAGE Jul15 May20 Apr23 Mar25 Feb16 (foley greg)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
4  FOUR DAWN Jul16 Nov09 Oct10 Sep15 Aug29 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
5  MASSARD Jun22 May20 Apr20 Nov07 Oct06 (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
SCR  ARDEN'S ASSAULT Jul15 Jun18 Apr27 Mar18   (davis christoph)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
7  EMPIRE OF MY OWN Jul16 Jun11 Apr08 Mar02 Aug26 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 10% 8.70    
8  HONEY RUN Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 Jun29 Jun03 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
9  DEVINE CHARGER Jul16 May20 Sep09 Jul31 Jul09 (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 8.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  IVORY MOON Jan22         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE Jun11 Sep23 Jul03 Jun08 May30 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
 
ELP-8   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICARUS Jun22 May25 May05 Apr22 Mar11 (van th)TORRES A 122 10.00    
2  KING'S OVATION Jul23 Jun11 May18 Apr23 Feb02 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.80    
3  GROUP EIGHTEEN Jul21 Jun22 May19 Apr19 Mar18 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 6.00    
4  HE'S GOT THIS Jul02 May26 Apr23 Feb26 Feb03 (hartman chri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
5  ROMAN CENTURIAN Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 May18 Mar11 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  SEARCH ENGINE May25 Feb28 Feb11 Dec11 Nov04 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  NAVY CROSS Jul27 Jun16 May20 May06 Apr14 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 5:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY BAY Jul15 May25 Apr21 Mar16 Feb17 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
2  MISCHIEVOUS GAL Jul08 Apr23 Mar18 Feb16 Nov24 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
3  BE HERE NOW Jun02 Mar26 Jan08 Nov10   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE Jul23 May12 Mar09 Dec03 Aug28 (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00    
SCR  IN COLOR Jun24 May12 Mar31 Mar05 Dec21 (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00    
SCR  LEOPARDESS (GB) Jun21 May18 Sep28     (thomas jonatha)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00    
7  UNSTABLE PRINCESS Jul23 Jun29 May12 Apr22 Apr07 (santamaria )TORRES A 120 10.00    
SCR  HOTHEADED PRINCESS Jul22 Jun29 May29     (castillo richard)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
9  C C CRUISE CONTROL Jul15 Jun21 May29 May12 Apr14 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER Jun29 May29 Apr16 Feb25 Nov04 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 2.50    
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE Jun29 May29 Mar25 Feb24 Dec01 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.