Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.02 $3.02  
ELP-2   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.90 $7.90 1.90
ELP-3   Win (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.12 $7.12 1.12
ELP-4   Win (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $28.66  
ELP-5   Win (2/8/13/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.04 $7.04  
ELP-6   Win (4/1/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.72 $10.72 2.72
ELP-7   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
ELP-8   Win (3/5/11/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $3.66 $3.66  
ELP-9   Win (7/4/9/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $23.90  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNGIUS 5 5 5 4   2½ 1 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 0.80 57% 0.80 0.51 W
AUTO DIAL 2 6 31 2nk   1½ 2 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 4.99  
I NINETY FIVE 3 1 2nk 1nk   4 36 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
BACK TO REALITY 1 4 1nk 31   3½ 46 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 18% 4.70 10.44  
VALUABLE CARGO 6 2 4 5   6 58 (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 9.95  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 4 3 6 6   5 6 (hancock a)LANERIE J 124 10.00 24.38  
SCR  COLONEL BARTON               (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :45 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETERNALLY GRATEFUL 1 5 4 44   1½ 17 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 53% 0.90 2.95 W
SWAGGISH 3 3 23 2nk   2½ 27 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 0.82  
MISTER SHARPIE 5 1 13 1nk   31 3 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00 5% 19.00 7.47 S
LEND IT TEWMEY 2 4 5 3   4 410½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 4.50 14% 6.20 3.22  
NOTION 4 2 35 5   5 518¾ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 16.74  
SCR  UNCLE BERLEY               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 2.00    
 
ELP-3   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:123 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOZLZIL 6 5 42 4 3 11 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 36% 1.80 2.56 W
SUCCESSION GOLD 1 1 65 6 6 32 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.67 P
BLACK DIAMOND 3 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 21 3 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 40% 1.50 0.96 S
SPOONIE 7 6 5 5 53 6 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 13.09  
GIBRAN 2 2 3 3 42 43 5 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 12.00 7.93  
NOBLE GENTLEMAN 4 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 5 6 (demeritte larry)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 10.66  
COMPANY YOU KEEP 5 7 75 7 712½ 720½ 732¼ (maker mich)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 11.53  
SCR  LUKE               (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  MARCUS GIFT               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOMADIC PRIDE 3 5 43 3 1 12 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 13.33  
AIN'T BROKE 1 6 54 5 42 22 2 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 123 3.50 29% 2.40 2.25 P
SHOPLIFTER 7 4 64 4 3 33 37 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.39 S
TINY TEMPER 6 7 7 74 53 4 4 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 27% 2.80 1.78  
RAINDROPS ON ROSES 5 2 3 21 2 5 510¼ (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.00 23% 3.40 2.95  
FINE COTTON 4 3 21 64 65 67 612½ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 15.85  
ACTIVE LANE 2 1 11 11 713 727 7100 (medina robert)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 32.87  
 
ELP-5   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:121 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY LOOKER 6 4 31 31 1nk 1½ 1hd (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.52 W
11  SISTINA CHAPEL 9 8 73 9 83 2½ 2hd (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5.26 P
10  WINSOME BEAUTY 8 7 5 5 4 3 3½ (casse mark)TORRES A 119 4.50 9.34  
TONALITE 2 1 8 10 7 6 4 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 28.02  
12  BLAME THE GELATO 10 11 11 8 10 8 5 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 26.35  
CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 7 10 10 11 11 10 68 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00 37.17  
ENTICING SUNSET 3 2 1½ 1½ 3.2 4 7 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 44.98  
ADELLEGATOR 5 5 41 4 6 5 8 (davis christoph)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 21.49  
13  BELLA CRUELLA 11 9 62 6 5 9 9 (williamson brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 16% 5.40 4.24  
MATURITY DATE 1 6 9 7 93 11 1010¼ (brown c)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 34% 2.00 3.50  
PANTHERA 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 7 1110½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 9.46  
SCR  ABOVE THE SUN               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
SCR  ESPERE               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
SCR  NOSHUGFORPOP               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
SCR  OLD FASHIONED GIRL               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
SCR  YOU'RE KITTEN ME               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-6   08/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURBE 4 3 3 32   1½ 1 (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 36% 1.80 4.36 W
11  CONTROLLED TEMPER 11 2 2½ 21   2½ 2 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 23.56  
PURSUIT OF LIBERTY 5 4 1½ 11   3 35 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.04  
REMEMBERING 9 1 63 8   58 411¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 15.95  
SIMPLY STRIKING 3 9 5 43   4 512 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 20% 4.00 6.11  
10  SESSA SISU 10 7 10 9   811½ 616¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.49  
TAKETHESILVER 8 11 11 10   610 716½ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 20.00 14.41  
CHARLOTTESAPPROVAL 1 8 84 6   710½ 821¾ (casse mark)TORRES A 119 3.00 21% 3.80 4.41  
FLOORED 6 5 42 53   913 922½ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 6.61  
COLLIER 2 10 9 76   1015½ 1028½ (ortiz alex)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 49.49  
THE BIG BANSHEE 7 6 74 1110¾   1130½ 1195¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 46.58  
 
ELP-7   08/18/2023 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:252 :511 1:153 1:39   2:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUADRA ISLAND 4 5 5 5 42 4 1½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 15% 5.80 3.00 W
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 2½ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 25% 3.00 1.89 P
KING CURLIN 5 4 31 31 2½ 2½ 3½ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 2.50 29% 2.50 1.44 S
ROJA REDEMPTION 3 3 4 4 3½ 3½ 43 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 7.25  
JEDREK 2 2 21 21 54 5 513½ (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 10.52  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 115 50.00    
SCR  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD               (catalano wa)TORRES A 122 2.00    
 
ELP-8   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUMPKIN SCONE 1 1 11 1   13 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.40 37% 1.70 0.83 W
12  STAGFLATION 10 5 5 43   4 2 (baker james)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 59.19  
EVERGRANDE 4 2 21 3   33 3 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 8.00 11.00  
AWATEA 7 4 42 2   23 411¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 8.73  
11  FAST N HAPPY 9 7 75 66   58 513¾ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 11% 8.10 5.68  
SPELTERINI 3 8 87 7   6 613¾ (mott i)LANERIE J 119 4.00 19% 4.20 7.46  
GATHER (ARG) 6 9 10 9   711½ 722 (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 32.42  
SUGAR BOO 5 3 31 5   815 827¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
10  WILD ACCLAIM 8 6 6 8   916½ 930 (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 119 15.00 10% 9.30 13.13  
SPREZZATURA 2 10 98 1014¼   1021½ 1038 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 74.87  
SCR  BABY GOT BACKSPIN               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SCR  SAUCY SECRET               (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  UNCORKED (AUS)               (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT CHANNEL 1 3 11 96 7 21 11 (meah m)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 10.95  
SPUNS SON 4 6 10 11 10 5 21 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 7% 12.90 3.99 P
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 7 5 4 4 5 31 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.00 68% 0.50 1.73 S
HEZMORETHANREADY 9 10 6 5 3½ 11 4 (house gary)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 28.88  
MAGICAL THINKING 8 8 53 6 8 7 5 (desormeaux keit)HEARD TYLER 118 8.00 19.41  
12  NEAP TIDE 12 11 9 10 9 8 63 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.72  
HOME RUN HANK 2 1 7 74 41 6 7 (williamson brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 16.24  
11  PROSECUTION 11 12 8 85 11 10 8 (moquett rona)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 11.43  
NORBERT 3 2 1½ 21 1nk 4 9 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 9.56  
LEFT POCKET MONEY 5 4 2½ 11 2nk 9 10 (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00 14.49  
10  SAPELO SOUND 10 9 3 32 6 11 1112 (lovell michell)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 11.74  
LOLAS BEAU 6 7 1211¼ 12 12 12 1212½ (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 117 30.00 52.64  
SCR  BOOSTER SHOT               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
SCR  DRAMA CRITIC               (asmussen stev)STILLION BROOKE 118 3.50    
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
SCR  TEXCOCO               (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.