Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.90 $1.90 32%
ELP-3   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.12 $1.12 19%
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-2 $54.36 $36.36 202%
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  8-2-5 $28.00 $19.00 211%
    DD (2/3/6)-(5/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-8 $13.98 $4.98 55%
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/3/6)-(5/8/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  6-2-8 $17.27 $3.77 28%
ELP-5   EXA (2/8/13/9)-(2/8/13/11/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00  8-11 $51.28 $19.28 60%
ELP-6   WIN (4/1/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.72 $2.72 34%
    DD (2/8/13/9)-(4/1/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-4 $21.22 $5.22 33%
ELP-7   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $27.42 $15.42 129%
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-1-7 $10.62 $7.62 254%
    DD (4/1/3/10)-(7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $22.86 $10.86 91%
    PK3 (2/8/13/9)-(4/1/3/10)-(7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-4-5 $43.20 $19.20 80%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RUNGIUS 5 5 52¼ 42½   2½ 13¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 0.80 57% 0.80 0.51 W
3  AUTO DIAL 2 6 31 2nk   1½ 23¼ (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 4.99  
4  I NINETY FIVE 3 1 2nk 1nk   41½ 36 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
2  BACK TO REALITY 1 4 1nk 31   3½ 46 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 18% 4.70 10.44  
7  VALUABLE CARGO 6 2 41¼ 52¾   63¾ 58 (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 9.95  
5  ROYAL AIR FORCE 4 3 62¾ 64¼   53½ 68½ (hancock a)LANERIE J 124 10.00 24.38  
SCR  COLONEL BARTON               (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :45 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL 1 5 46½ 44   1½ 17 (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 53% 0.90 2.95 W
4  SWAGGISH 3 3 23 2nk   2½ 27 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 0.82  
6  MISTER SHARPIE 5 1 13 1nk   31 37¾ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00 5% 19.00 7.47 S
3  LEND IT TEWMEY 2 4 56½ 32½   43½ 410½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 4.50 14% 6.20 3.22  
5  NOTION 4 2 35 54½   56½ 518¾ (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 16.74  
SCR  UNCLE BERLEY               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.00    
 
ELP-3   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:123 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MOZLZIL 6 5 42 41¾ 31½ 11 12¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 36% 1.80 2.56 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOUTHERN STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
2  SUCCESSION GOLD 1 1 65 64¾ 63½ 32 22¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.67 P
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PURA CLASSE by GRAND SLAM)
5  BLACK DIAMOND 3 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 21 33¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 40% 1.50 0.96 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of SNOW FALL by WAR FRONT)
9  SPOONIE 7 6 53½ 53¼ 53 65½ 46¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 13.09  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWEETTRICKYDANCER by GREEN DANCER)
3  GIBRAN 2 2 31½ 31½ 42 43 57¼ (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 12.00 7.93  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of I'VE GOT GRACE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6  NOBLE GENTLEMAN 4 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 54½ 69½ (demeritte lar)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 ★ 10.66  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of LOUVE ROYALE by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
7  COMPANY YOU KEEP 5 7 75 75¾ 712½ 720½ 732¼ (maker mi)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 11.53  
  (by AUDIBLE out of WONDER STONE by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  LUKE               (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of WELL HEELED LADY by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR  MARCUS GIFT               (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FOUR GIFTS by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
ELP-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOMADIC PRIDE 3 5 43 31½ 11½ 12 13¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 13.33  
1  AIN'T BROKE 1 6 54 53½ 42 22 23¾ (calhoun w)TORRES A 123 3.50 29% 2.40 2.25 P
7  SHOPLIFTER 7 4 64 42½ 31½ 33 37 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.39 S
6  TINY TEMPER 6 7 75½ 74 53 44½ 47½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 27% 2.80 1.78  
5  RAINDROPS ON ROSES 5 2 31½ 21 21½ 54½ 510¼ (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.00 23% 3.40 2.95  
4  FINE COTTON 4 3 21 64 65 67 612½ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 15.85  
2  ACTIVE LANE 2 1 11 11 713 727 7100 (medina robe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 32.87  
 
ELP-5   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:121 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FANCY LOOKER 6 4 31 31 1nk 1½ 1hd (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.52 W
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BRANDYS SECRET by SECRET ROMEO)
11  SISTINA CHAPEL 9 8 73 93¼ 83 2½ 2hd (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 ★ 5.26 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  WINSOME BEAUTY 8 7 51½ 51½ 41¼ 31½ 3½ (casse mar)TORRES A 119 4.50 9.34  
  (by UPSTART out of MAZEL TOV by MAZEL TRICK)
3  TONALITE 2 1 83¼ 103½ 72½ 63½ 42¼ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 28.02  
  (by TONALIST out of LEGAL LIMIT by INTO MISCHIEF)
12  BLAME THE GELATO 10 11 114¾ 83¼ 105½ 83¾ 54¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 26.35  
  (by BLAME out of BIANCO TARTUFO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 7 10 104¾ 115½ 117½ 105½ 68 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00 37.17  
  (by ARROGATE out of UNBRIDLED SURPRISE by STREET SENSE)
4  ENTICING SUNSET 3 2 1½ 1½ 3.2 42½ 78¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 44.98  
  (by ENTICED out of KENCHO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  ADELLEGATOR 5 5 41 41½ 61½ 53½ 89¼ (davis christo)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 21.49  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
13  BELLA CRUELLA 11 9 62 61¾ 51¼ 95¼ 99½ (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 16% 5.40 4.24  
  (by ASTERN out of OH SO BELLA by AFLEET ALEX)
2  MATURITY DATE 1 6 94¼ 72¼ 93 116½ 1010¼ (brown c)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 34% 2.00 3.50  
  (by UPSTART out of SING LADY SING by SCAT DADDY)
5  PANTHERA 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 73¾ 1110½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 9.46  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GORGELICIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ABOVE THE SUN               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MAKIN' SENSE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  ESPERE               (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MISSOURIA by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  NOSHUGFORPOP               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ENCHANTED EMMA by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  OLD FASHIONED GIRL               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  YOU'RE KITTEN ME               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DUPLICATE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
ELP-6   08/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COURBE 4 3 31½ 32   1½ 11¾ (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 36% 1.80 4.36 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  CONTROLLED TEMPER 11 2 2½ 21   2½ 21¾ (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 23.56  
  (by COLLECTED out of MOON MEETING TOO by MALIBU MOON)
5  PURSUIT OF LIBERTY 5 4 1½ 11   31½ 35 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.04  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MEDIA MADNESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
9  REMEMBERING 9 1 63 86½   58 411¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 15.95  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  SIMPLY STRIKING 3 9 52½ 43   46½ 512 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 20% 4.00 6.11  
  (by ENTICED out of SPEIGHTSY HEART by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  SESSA SISU 10 7 107¼ 98½   811½ 616¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.49  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SESSA by CONSOLIDATOR)
8  TAKETHESILVER 8 11 117¼ 108¾   610 716½ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 20.00 14.41  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SILVER LA BELLE by LANGFUHR)
1  CHARLOTTESAPPROVAL 1 8 84 65½   710½ 821¾ (casse mar)TORRES A 119 3.00 21% 3.80 4.41  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CURLIN'S APPROVAL by CURLIN)
6  FLOORED 6 5 42 53   913 922½ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 ★ 6.61  
  (by CURLIN out of BAFFLED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  COLLIER 2 10 94¼ 76   1015½ 1028½ (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 49.49  
  (by MINESHAFT out of JUNGLE LANE by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  THE BIG BANSHEE 7 6 74 1110¾   1130½ 1195¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 46.58  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of MARION THEATRE by MONTBROOK)
 
ELP-7   08/18/2023 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:252 :511 1:153 1:39   2:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  QUADRA ISLAND 4 53¾ 52½ 52½ 42 41½ 1½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 15% 5.80 3.00 W
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 11½ 11 11 1½ 1½ 2½ (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 25% 3.00 1.89 P
7  KING CURLIN 5 41¾ 31 31 2½ 2½ 3½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 29% 2.50 1.44 S
3  ROJA REDEMPTION 3 31½ 41½ 41½ 3½ 3½ 43 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 7.25  
2  JEDREK 2 21½ 21 21 54 58½ 513½ (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 10.52  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 115 50.00    
SCR  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD               (catalano )TORRES A 122 2.00    
 
ELP-8   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PUMPKIN SCONE 1 1 11 11½   13 17½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.40 37% 1.70 0.83 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EMBELLISH THE LACE by SUPER SAVER)
12  STAGFLATION 10 5 52½ 43   44½ 27½ (baker james)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 59.19  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of REAL POINT by POINT OF ENTRY)
6  EVERGRANDE 4 2 21 31½   33 39¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 8.00 11.00  
  (by UNCLE MO out of NIKKI'S CHOICE by FORESTRY)
9  AWATEA 7 4 42 21½   23 411¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 8.73  
  (by COLLECTED out of AURORE by ARCH)
11  FAST N HAPPY 9 7 75 66   58 513¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 11% 8.10 5.68  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  SPELTERINI 3 8 87 76¼   69½ 613¾ (mott i)LANERIE J 119 4.00 19% 4.20 7.46  
  (by BERNARDINI out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
8  GATHER (ARG) 6 9 108½ 99¼   711½ 722 (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 32.42  
  (by COLLECTED out of ONE TOO MANY by NUMEROUS)
7  SUGAR BOO 5 3 31 53½   815 827¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of MISS MOON by HOMEBUILDER)
10  WILD ACCLAIM 8 6 63½ 88¼   916½ 930 (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 119 15.00 10% 9.30 13.13  
  (by FLATTER out of PRODICIOUS FACTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  SPREZZATURA 2 10 98 1014¼   1021½ 1038 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 74.87  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SMILE BIG by BIG DRAMA)
SCR  BABY GOT BACKSPIN               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHOWTIME SIS by EUROEARS)
SCR  SAUCY SECRET               (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
SCR  UNCORKED (AUS)               (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
  (by PIERRO out of PIAF by PROUD BIRDIE)
 
ELP-9   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL 1 3 118¼ 96 72¼ 21 11 (meah m)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 10.95  
4  SPUNS SON 4 6 107¼ 117½ 104¾ 51¾ 21 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 7% 12.90 3.99 P
7  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 7 5 41½ 42½ 51¼ 31 31¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.00 68% 0.50 1.73 S
9  HEZMORETHANREADY 9 10 63¼ 53½ 3½ 11 41¾ (house gary)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 28.88  
8  MAGICAL THINKING 8 8 53 63½ 83¼ 72¾ 52¼ (desormeaux ke)HEARD TYLER 118 8.00 19.41  
12  NEAP TIDE 12 11 96¾ 106½ 94¼ 83¼ 63 (lobo paul)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.72  
2  HOME RUN HANK 2 1 74¾ 74 41 62¾ 73¼ (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 16.24  
11  PROSECUTION 11 12 85¼ 85 116¼ 106¼ 88¼ (moquett ro)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 ★ 11.43  
3  NORBERT 3 2 1½ 21 1nk 41½ 99½ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 9.56  
5  LEFT POCKET MONEY 5 4 2½ 11 2nk 94¾ 109½ (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00 14.49  
10  SAPELO SOUND 10 9 31½ 32 62¼ 117¾ 1112 (lovell miche)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 11.74  
6  LOLAS BEAU 6 7 1211¼ 127¾ 126¾ 129¼ 1212½ (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 117 30.00 52.64  
SCR  BOOSTER SHOT               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
SCR  DRAMA CRITIC               (asmussen st)STILLION BROOKE 118 3.50    
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
SCR  TEXCOCO               (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.