The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.18 -6.00
    Exacta (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $24.36 -12.00
    Trifecta (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-1-5 3 0 $11.96 -3.00
ELP-2   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $21.18 $21.18 15.18
    Exacta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-3 2 1 $50.58 $50.58 32.58
    Trifecta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 6-3-5 3 1 $34.14 $34.14 25.14
    Daily Double (6/1/2)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 4-6 2 0 $63.40 -9.00
ELP-3   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $8.26 -6.00
    Exacta (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 8-6 2 0 $44.56 -18.00
    Trifecta (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 8-6-5 3 0 $45.25 -9.00
    Daily Double (3/5/6)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-8 2 0 $46.59 -9.00
    Pick Three (6/1/2)-(3/5/6)-(3/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 4-6-8 3 0 $81.21 -13.50
ELP-4   Win (7/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Exacta (7/8/9)-(7/8/3/11/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-10 2 0 $115.30 -24.00
    Trifecta (7/8/9)-(7/8/3/11/9)-(7/8/3/11/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 7-10-8 3 0 $192.23 -18.00
    Daily Double (3/6/5)-(7/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 8-7 2 0 $15.64 -9.00
    Pick Three (3/5/6)-(3/6/5)-(7/8/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 6-8-7 3 0 $80.07 -13.50
ELP-5   Win (4/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $5.54 $5.54 -2.46
    Exacta (4/9/11/8)-(4/9/11/1/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 9-1 2 1 $40.00 $40.00 8.00
    Trifecta (4/9/11/8)-(4/9/11/1/8)-(4/9/11/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 9-1-8 3 1 $31.62 $31.62 7.62
    Daily Double (7/8/9)-(4/9/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-9 2 1 $8.47 $8.47 -3.53
    Pick Three (3/6/5)-(7/8/9)-(4/9/11/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 8-7-9 3 0 $29.51 -18.00
ELP-6   Win (6/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $14.36 -8.00
    Exacta (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-2 2 0 $80.14 -24.00
    Trifecta (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-2-1 3 0 $61.75 -12.00
    Daily Double (4/9/11/8)-(6/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 9-3 2 0 $15.20 -16.00
    Pick Three (7/8/9)-(4/9/11/8)-(6/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 7-9-3 3 0 $58.22 -24.00
ELP-7   Win (4/7/10/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $4.26 $4.26 -5.74
    Exacta (4/7/10/9/11)-(4/7/10/9/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 4-9 2 1 $17.36 $17.36 -22.64
    Trifecta (4/7/10/9/11)-(4/7/10/9/11)-(4/7/10/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-9-11 3 1 $13.78 $13.78 -16.22
    Daily Double (6/2/1/4)-(4/7/10/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 3-4 2 0 $18.04 -20.00
    Pick Three (4/9/11/8)-(6/2/1/4)-(4/7/10/9/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 9-3-4 3 0 $41.63 -40.00
ELP-8   Win (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $13.78 $13.78 5.78
    Exacta (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2/11) 16 $2.00 $32.00 3-5 2 1 $35.30 $35.30 3.30
    Trifecta (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2/11)-(5/1/3/2/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 3-5-2 3 1 $28.19 $28.19 4.19
    Daily Double (4/7/10/9/11)-(5/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 4-3 2 1 $17.63 $17.63 -2.37
    Pick Three (6/2/1/4)-(4/7/10/9/11)-(5/1/3/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 3-4-3 3 0 $95.46 -40.00
ELP-9   Win (4/1/6/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.52 $8.52 0.52
    Exacta (4/1/6/13)-(4/1/6/9/13) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-3 2 0 $33.04 -32.00
    Trifecta (4/1/6/13)-(4/1/6/9/13)-(4/1/6/9/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-3-1 3 0 $25.31 -24.00
    Daily Double (5/1/3/2)-(4/1/6/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 3-4 2 1 $29.45 $29.45 13.45
    Pick Three (4/7/10/9/11)-(5/1/3/2)-(4/1/6/13) 80 $0.50 $40.00 4-3-4 3 1 $54.76 $54.76 14.76
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:223 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 3 1 21 1nk   1½ 1½ (danner doug)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 4.59  
1  CONDIMENT GIRL 1 4 11 2nk   2½ 2½ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 2.00 19% 4.30 1.31 P
5  SPARKLE OF HOPE 4 5 54½ 33½   35 310¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 4.00 1.89  
6  EMPIRE OF MY OWN 5 2 43½ 45   47½ 413½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 21% 3.80 7.85  
2  GOLDBLOODED 2 3 31½ 56½   59½ 520¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 6% 16.90 5.99  
SCR  JACKIE'S SPIRIT               (vaccarezza carl)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 27% 2.80    
 
ELP-2   08/27/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
:242 :483 1:131 1:374   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MINE OWN STAR 6 3 32 32 31½ 11 12¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.59 W
3  SUGOI 3 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 21 22¼ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 123 2.00 15% 5.70 0.73 P
5  KAZAN (IRE) 5 6 57½ 57½ 55 55½ 34½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J null   11% 8.00 3.92 S
2  COURAGEOUSLY 2 4 45 45 43½ 44 46½ (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00 13.37  
4  CODE RUNNER 4 5 69 69½ 67 67½ 57¼ (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 12.53  
1  PALACE KITTEN 1 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 31½ 68 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 ★ 4.13  
SCR  CALL OF HONOR               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  COUSIN LARRY               (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00    
SCR  KOUFAX               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
 
ELP-3   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
:231 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UPSTRIKER 7 2 2½ 1½   12 14¾ (navarrete a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 3.13  
6  SUMMER SPLASH 6 3 31 2½   22 24¾ (gibson dewa)TORRES A 122 6.00 7% 13.20 4.25 P
5  NEPOTISM 5 6 52 41½   44 35½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.44 S
3  SAMURAI PRINCE 3 4 41½ 51¾   32½ 45½ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 60% 0.70 4.05  
1  POLE SETTER 1 5 73½ 75¼   77½ 59 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 3.84  
4  AERONAUT 4 7 63 63¼   66½ 69¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 10.62  
2  DARK TIMBER 2 1 1½ 31½   56 712¾ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 ★ 14.44  
SCR  HERD IMMUNITY               (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 8% 12.30    
 
ELP-4   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
:233 :48 1:131 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEPICTION 5 4 3½ 31½ 1nk 12½ 15½ (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 3.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
10  COASTAL BRINK 8 6 43 53 31 33½ 25½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00 32.77  
8  SNEAD 6 7 66 74¾ 53½ 77 36¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 10% 8.80 5.09 S
1  VIVA VOCE 1 2 53½ 43 64 66 47¼ (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 15.52  
13  ONE RED CENT 10 10 88½ 97¼ 95¼ 43½ 57½ (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00 33.18  
5  PLAY IT LOUD 4 5 76½ 64½ 85¼ 87½ 68¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 14.78  
4  QUIET RUSH 3 1 1nk 21 42 55 79 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 27.70  
11  KITTY HAWK 9 3 2nk 11 2nk 22½ 89 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 ★ 2.78  
9  KOBE W 7 8 910 86¾ 74¼ 99 914 (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.02  
3  ASAASY 2 9 1016 1016¼ 1015¼ 1019 1024¼ (pletcher to)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 ★ 9.05  
SCR  BRIE'S MISSION               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  J T'S IMAGINATION               (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
SCR  MANDATORY MEETING               (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SCR  THANKS FRANK               (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  THE PROCESS 5 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 11½ (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 3.50 24% 3.20 1.77 W
4  SHAKIN LOOSE 2 3 41¼ 41½   32 21½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 31% 2.20 5.12 DQ↓5
1  MUAZARAH 1 6 72¾ 62¼   52½ 32¼ (pletcher to)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 ★ 7.77 P
8  KNOW WHO YOU ARE 4 5 51¼ 52   62¾ 42½ (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 5% 19.00 5.34 S
11  SEARCY 7 7 31 2nk   42 53½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.97  
7  BURGUNDY ROYALE 3 4 1nk 3½   2½ 63¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 14.12  
10  STORMIN LOVE 6 2 62¼ 75¼   76¼ 78¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 9.04  
SCR  BIG BANK               (leonard george )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
SCR  BLACK IRON               (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT ROAD               (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00    
SCR  UNREASONABLE               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:26 :521 1:17 1:403   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOMS MOON 3 1 11½ 1½ 1nk 12 11 (arnold r)GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00 6.18  
2  MUCHO MOJO 2 2 32½ 42 41¼ 22 21 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 28% 2.60 4.91 P
1  MADISON LUVS DUKE 1 6 96¼ 95¼ 72¾ 33½ 31½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.50 13% 6.50 3.21 S
6  TRES SOLES 5 3 53 52½ 31 44 41½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 38% 1.70 3.44  
9  GET THROUGH 8 9 64½ 73¼ 62¼ 55 52½ (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 8.00 5.03  
4  HEY BOSS 4 5 74¾ 62¾ 83 65½ 66¼ (van thomas)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 11.65  
8  HOUSED 7 4 21½ 2½ 2nk 75½ 77 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 10.42  
7  NAVY SOUL 6 8 84¾ 84¼ 94 88 89 (pittman bonnie)MORALES EDGAR 123 30.00 38.70  
10  COALMINER'S KITTEN 9 7 42½ 32 51¼ 910 914½ (quinonez max)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 10.92  
SCR  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE)               (asmussen st)TORRES A null      
 
ELP-7   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
:222 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AWESOME ROAD 3 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 12¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.13 W
9  STRONGHOLD 6 2 3½ 2nk   2½ 22¾ (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.35 P
11  TIME SONG 8 7 66½ 68½   59½ 312¾ (pletcher to)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.63 S
10  CHRYSO ALOGO 7 5 41 32½   36½ 413½ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.22  
7  REMEMBER THE FEAR 5 6 810 712   612 514¾ (catalano wa)TORRES A 119 8.00 28% 2.60 9.10  
5  EVENING NEWS 4 1 53 56½   48½ 615¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 21.91  
1  STRUCTURED 1 8 79 813   715 721¼ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 25.82  
3  LOMA PALOMA 2 3 1½ 45½   818 838¾ (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 10.00 9.67  
SCR  BEYOND STOKED               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  CASH ONLY               (walden wil)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
SCR  PRETTY BOY RED               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
 
ELP-8   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Ellis Park Turf Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:243 :49 1:132 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOUFFY 3 1 42½ 74½ 74¼ 3½ 11 (thomas jona)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.89 W
5  LOVELY PRINCESS 4 8 63½ 43½ 43 1½ 21 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 13% 6.50 1.44 P
2  BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) 2 4 85 96¼ 54 51¼ 31¾ (motion graha)LANDEROS CHRIS null   5% 19.00 4.54 S
11  JUNCTURE (GB) 9 9 95¼ 84¾ 64¼ 72¾ 44 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO null   ★ 3.79  
8  MISREAD 7 6 21½ 22 22 4¾ 56¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 14.19  
6  TASWEYA 5 3 31½ 33 33 62¼ 66½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 35.98  
7  ARM CANDY 6 5 74 64½ 84½ 84¾ 77¼ (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 12.05  
1  SAHLABIYA 1 2 11½ 12 12 2½ 88¾ (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.78  
10  DEALING JUSTICE 8 7 53 54 98½ 98¾ 915½ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 47.63  
SCR  KATE'S KINGDOM               (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 122 6.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  WAVE OF GOODNESS               (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:241 :484 1:123 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOYBEAN MAN 4 4 32 21 2nk 2½ 1hd (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 20% 4.10 3.26 W
3  ORBI ONE 3 1 12 11 1nk 1½ 2hd (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 3.74  
1  ROYAL SALUTE 1 9 53½ 52½ 62½ 33 3½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 11% 7.90 3.02 S
9  FAYETTE SPIRIT 9 5 74¾ 95 73½ 84¾ 41½ (medina robe)TORRES A 118 8.00 ★ 6.39  
14  CROSSING 12 12 96¼ 117 52¼ 53¼ 52¾ (lauer michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 22.18  
2  RAISE HIGH 2 8 63¾ 64½ 84½ 64¼ 62¾ (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 39.11  
13  TRICOLOUR 11 10 129¾ 129½ 106½ 96¼ 73¾ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00 45.53  
5  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 5 2 22 32 42¼ 74¼ 84½ (michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00 8.91  
8  TOWN BARBER 8 3 43 42 3.2 43 96½ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00 58.73  
12  SPEED INSTITUTE 10 11 117¾ 107 95 107¼ 108 (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 55.03  
6  CUSP 6 6 86¼ 84¾ 119 1210 119¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.65  
7  GUIGUI 7 7 107¼ 74¾ 129 119¾ 1210 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 35.22  
SCR  BATTLE BORN               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
SCR  GREAT BARRIER               (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  GUADALAJARA               (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  MR MCGREGOR               (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.