Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-2   WIN (9/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $21.18 $13.18 165%
    EXA (9/3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $50.58 $26.58 111%
    TRI (9/3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-3-5 $34.14 $22.14 185%
ELP-5   EXA (4/9/11/8)-(4/9/11/1/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-1 $40.00 $8.00 25%
    TRI (4/9/11/8)-(4/9/11/1/8)-(4/9/11/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-1-8 $31.62 $7.62 32%
    SFT (4/9/11/8)-(4/9/11/1/8)-(4/9/11/1/8)-(4/9/11/1/8) 96 $0.10 $9.60  9-1-8-11 $26.63 $17.03 177%
ELP-8   WIN (9/5/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $13.78 $3.78 38%
    SFT (9/5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2/11)-(5/1/3/2/11)-(5/1/3/2/11) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-5-2-11 $22.48 $10.48 87%
ELP-9   DD (9/5/1/3/2)-(10/4/1/6/13) 25 $1.00 $25.00  3-4 $29.45 $4.45 18%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 3 1 21 1nk   1½ 1½ (danner dou)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 4.59  
CONDIMENT GIRL 1 4 11 2nk   2½ 2½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 2.00 19% 4.30 1.31 P
SPARKLE OF HOPE 4 5 5 3   35 310¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 4.00 1.89  
EMPIRE OF MY OWN 5 2 4 45   4 413½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 21% 3.80 7.85  
GOLDBLOODED 2 3 3 5   5 520¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 6% 16.90 5.99  
SCR  JACKIE'S SPIRIT               (vaccarezza ca)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 27% 2.80    
 
ELP-2   08/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:131 1:374   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE OWN STAR 6 3 32 32 3 11 1 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.59 W
SUGOI 3 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 21 2 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 123 2.00 15% 5.70 0.73 P
KAZAN (IRE) 5 6 5 5 55 5 3 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J null   11% 8.00 3.92 S
COURAGEOUSLY 2 4 45 45 4 44 4 (capps steve)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00 13.37  
CODE RUNNER 4 5 69 6 67 6 5 (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 12.53  
PALACE KITTEN 1 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 3 68 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 4.13  
SCR  CALL OF HONOR               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  COUSIN LARRY               (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00    
SCR  KOUFAX               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
 
ELP-3   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSTRIKER 7 2 2½ 1½   12 1 (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 3.13  
SUMMER SPLASH 6 3 31 2½   22 2 (gibson de)TORRES A 122 6.00 7% 13.20 4.25 P
NEPOTISM 5 6 52 4   44 3 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.44 S
SAMURAI PRINCE 3 4 4 5   3 4 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 60% 0.70 4.05  
POLE SETTER 1 5 7 7   7 59 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 3.84  
AERONAUT 4 7 63 6   6 6 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 10.62  
DARK TIMBER 2 1 1½ 3   56 712¾ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 14.44  
SCR  HERD IMMUNITY               (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 122 10.00 8% 12.30    
 
ELP-4   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPICTION 5 4 3½ 3 1nk 1 1 (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 3.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRENSITA by CURLIN)
10  COASTAL BRINK 8 6 43 53 31 3 2 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00 32.77  
  (by WEST COAST out of BRINKLEY by BELONG TO ME)
SNEAD 6 7 66 7 5 77 3 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 10% 8.80 5.09 S
  (by NYQUIST out of RAFFLE TICKET by NUMEROUS)
VIVA VOCE 1 2 5 43 64 66 4 (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 15.52  
  (by AUDIBLE out of HAVEANICEWEEKEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
13  ONE RED CENT 10 10 8 9 9 4 5 (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00 33.18  
  (by DOMINUS out of UNEVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
PLAY IT LOUD 4 5 7 6 8 8 6 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 14.78  
  (by AUDIBLE out of W W AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
QUIET RUSH 3 1 1nk 21 42 55 79 (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 27.70  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of QUIET BUSINESS by QUIET AMERICAN)
11  KITTY HAWK (GB) 9 3 2nk 11 2nk 2 89 (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.78  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of KOMBAT KITTY by WILDCAT HEIR)
KOBE W 7 8 910 8 7 99 914 (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.02  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TIPPERARY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
ASAASY 2 9 1016 1016¼ 1015¼ 1019 1024¼ (pletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 9.05  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ALASAAYIL by HARD SPUN)
SCR  BRIE'S MISSION               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BRIE'S LUCKY CHARM by MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE))
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  J T'S IMAGINATION               (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of ASHLEE AT LAW by LION HEART)
SCR  MANDATORY MEETING               (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BITTY KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE               (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
SCR  THANKS FRANK               (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SYDNEY FREEMAN by TIZWAY)
 
ELP-5   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE PROCESS 5 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 3.50 24% 3.20 1.77 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)
SHAKIN LOOSE 2 3 4 4   32 2 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 31% 2.20 5.12 DQ↓5
  (by MUNNINGS out of NEW SHAKER by BERNSTEIN)
MUAZARAH 1 6 7 6   5 3 (pletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 7.77 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MUNASARA by BERNARDINI)
KNOW WHO YOU ARE 4 5 5 52   6 4 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 5% 19.00 5.34 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of BIRDY NUM by TAPIT)
11  SEARCY 7 7 31 2nk   42 5 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.97  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SWEET OFFER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BURGUNDY ROYALE 3 4 1nk 3½   2½ 6 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 14.12  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of BURGUNDY ICE by STORM CAT)
10  STORMIN LOVE 6 2 6 7   7 7 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 9.04  
  (by IRONICUS out of LOVEALERT by THE FACTOR)
SCR  BIG BANK               (leonard georg)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DEFY GRAVITY by NUREYEV)
SCR  BLACK IRON               (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIZSOMTHINGSPECIAL by TIZNOW)
SCR  MOONLIGHT ROAD               (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of EARLYBIRD ROAD by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR  UNREASONABLE (IRE)               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SILENT THOUGHTS by GALILEO (ARG))
 
ELP-6   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:26 :521 1:17 1:403   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMS MOON 3 1 1 1½ 1nk 12 11 (arnold george)GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00 6.18  
MUCHO MOJO 2 2 3 42 4 22 21 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 28% 2.60 4.91 P
MADISON LUVS DUKE 1 6 9 9 7 3 3 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.50 13% 6.50 3.21 S
TRES SOLES 5 3 53 5 31 44 4 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 38% 1.70 3.44  
GET THROUGH 8 9 6 7 6 55 5 (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 8.00 5.03  
HEY BOSS 4 5 7 6 83 6 6 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 11.65  
HOUSED 7 4 2 2½ 2nk 7 77 (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 10.42  
NAVY SOUL 6 8 8 8 94 88 89 (pittman bonni)MORALES EDGAR 123 30.00 38.70  
10  COALMINER'S KITTEN 9 7 4 32 5 910 914½ (quinonez max)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 10.92  
SCR  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE)               (asmussen )TORRES A null      
 
ELP-7   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME ROAD 3 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.13 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ORATE by A.P. INDY)
STRONGHOLD 6 2 3½ 2nk   2½ 2 (d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.35 P
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPECTATOR by JIMMY CREED)
11  TIME SONG 8 7 6 6   5 312¾ (pletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.63 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NEW SONG by EASTOVER COURT)
10  CHRYSO ALOGO 7 5 41 3   3 413½ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.22  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of NOTACAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
REMEMBER THE FEAR 5 6 810 712   612 514¾ (catalano )TORRES A 119 8.00 28% 2.60 9.10  
  (by HONOR CODE out of BAHAMA BOUND by EMPIRE MAKER)
EVENING NEWS 4 1 53 5   4 615¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 21.91  
  (by NYQUIST out of PRIETA by BERNARDINI)
STRUCTURED 1 8 79 813   715 721¼ (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 25.82  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CHIC by ORB)
LOMA PALOMA 2 3 1½ 4   818 838¾ (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 10.00 9.67  
  (by MINESHAFT out of CANDYMAKESMESMILE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  BEYOND STOKED               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SOUTHERN MISS by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  CASH ONLY               (walden w)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of YOU BOUGHT HER by GRAEME HALL)
SCR  PRETTY BOY RED               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of CHERRY LANE by SAUCE BOAT)
 
ELP-8   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Ellis Park Turf Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:132 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUFFY 3 1 4 7 7 3½ 11 (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.89 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of TRULY TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
LOVELY PRINCESS 4 8 6 4 43 1½ 21 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 13% 6.50 1.44 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PRINCESS MARIAH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) 2 4 85 9 54 5 3 (motion gra)LANDEROS CHRIS null   5% 19.00 4.54 S
  (by BATED BREATH (GB) out of DREAM WILD by ESKIMO PRINCE)
11  JUNCTURE (GB) 9 9 9 8 6 7 44 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO null   3.79  
  (by UNKNOWN out of OCCURRENCE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
MISREAD 7 6 2 22 22 4¾ 5 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 14.19  
  (by BLAME out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
TASWEYA 5 3 3 33 33 6 6 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 35.98  
  (by FROSTED out of MUSAWAAH by UNION RAGS)
ARM CANDY (IRE) 6 5 74 6 8 8 7 (walsh bre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 12.05  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SAHLABIYA 1 2 1 12 12 2½ 8 (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.78  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ORCHARD BEACH by TAPIT)
10  DEALING JUSTICE 8 7 53 54 9 9 915½ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 47.63  
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CLEVER RUN by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  KATE'S KINGDOM               (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122 6.00 56% 0.80    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of DON'TGETMADALEXIS by DON'T GET MAD)
SCR  WAVE OF GOODNESS               (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MANDALAY BEACH by LONHRO (AUS))
 
ELP-9   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:123 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOYBEAN MAN 4 4 32 21 2nk 2½ 1hd (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 20% 4.10 3.26 W
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MARTZ by SCAT DADDY)
ORBI ONE 3 1 12 11 1nk 1½ 2hd (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 3.74  
  (by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
ROYAL SALUTE 1 9 5 5 6 33 3½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 11% 7.90 3.02 S
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELOQUENTLY by DANSILI)
FAYETTE SPIRIT 9 5 7 95 7 8 4 (medina ro)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.39  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WEEKEND PARTY by A.P. INDY)
14  CROSSING 12 12 9 117 5 5 5 (lauer michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 22.18  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
RAISE HIGH 2 8 6 6 8 6 6 (oliver victori)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 39.11  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BEIRAMAR by MONSUN)
13  TRICOLOUR 11 10 12 12 10 9 7 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00 45.53  
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 5 2 22 32 4 7 8 (michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00 8.91  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
TOWN BARBER 8 3 43 42 3.2 43 9 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00 58.73  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DISCO BARBIE by PURE PRIZE)
12  SPEED INSTITUTE 10 11 11 107 95 10 108 (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 55.03  
  (by FROSTED out of HONOR INDY by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
CUSP 6 6 8 8 119 1210 11 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.65  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
GUIGUI 7 7 10 7 129 11 1210 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 35.22  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PRINCESA CARINA by KNOW HEIGHTS (IRE))
SCR  BATTLE BORN               (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MINE FOR KEEPS by KOKAND)
SCR  GREAT BARRIER               (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
SCR  GUADALAJARA               (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of AGUILERA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  MR MCGREGOR               (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SWEET BLISS by HUNTING HARD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.