Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-6   EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $12.78 $0.78 7%
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-5-3 $9.25 $6.25 208%
ELP-8   WIN (6/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $10.90 $2.90 36%
ELP-9   WIN (3/10/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $9.18 $1.18 15%
    EXA (3/10/8/7)-(3/10/8/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  10-1 $54.78 $22.78 71%
    TRI (3/10/8/7)-(3/10/8/1/7)-(3/10/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-1-7 $140.53 $116.53 486%
    DD (6/3/2/8)-(3/10/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-10 $22.11 $6.11 38%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEETCATHERINEROSE 1 6 65¾ 65½   51¾ 15¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 6.00 5.70  
9  WRECK IT RUBY 8 5 53¼ 43   31½ 25¼ (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 6.24  
3  SCOOT ALONG 2 8 79¼ 79½   64¼ 36 (calhoun wi)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 44% 1.30 2.31 S
7  HONKEY TONK TIME 6 3 43 53   41¾ 46¾ (west w)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 9% 10.40 9.14  
4  SUCRE CECILE 3 4 31½ 21   1nk 56¾ (davis christo)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 3.70  
5  NEXT DOT 4 1 11½ 11   2nk 68½ (hancock a)LANERIE J 120 20.00 15.34  
8  BLAME GAME 7 7 811¾ 814½   811¼ 714½ (mcentee paul)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 9% 10.40 13.21  
6  SWEET GUITAR 5 2 21½ 31½   76¼ 815½ (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 10% 9.40 4.51  
SCR  ESPERE               (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
 
ELP-2   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SANTA CRUISER 3 1 21 2½ 11½ 12½ 14 (cano juan)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.02 W
1  EL FRANCO 1 3 33 31½ 42 43 24 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5.53  
7  JOB SECURITY 5 5 54 41½ 31½ 32½ 35¾ (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 2.18  
5  MR. PETERKIN 4 4 43½ 52½ 52¼ 22½ 45¾ (norris mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 19% 4.30 7.68  
2  ORIENT MAGIC 2 2 11 1½ 21½ 55½ 516½ (french r)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 5.00 17% 5.00 6.36  
SCR  BOLDISH               (moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.00    
SCR  MAD ADAM               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
 
ELP-3   08/20/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:113 1:353   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 3 7 97½ 97¾ 96½ 54 11¾ (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 3.55  
6  BROWN LIQUOR MAN 6 8 64 42 41¾ 1nk 21¾ (shirer mat)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 12% 7.10 4.46 P
8  SIMPLY JACK 8 5 43 3½ 3.2 2nk 31¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 4.00 53% 0.90 4.12 S
1  SILVER RALEIGH 1 1 22 1nk 1nk 32 43½ (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 20.49  
9  MY BROTHER KEITH 9 9 86 86¼ 85½ 64½ 53¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 3.50 ★ 7.88  
2  HONOR GOLD 2 6 75½ 73¾ 51¾ 43 64¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 5.00 5.57  
5  FLINT EAST WOULD 5 4 53½ 63¼ 74½ 87 711½ (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 108 30.00 5% 19.00 34.99  
7  COAL BOSS 7 2 12 2nk 2nk 76½ 813¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 10.93  
4  MY UNCLE FRANK 4 3 33 52¼ 62 98½ 918 (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 9% 9.60 4.20  
 
ELP-4   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIME TO MEDDLE 1 1 11 11 1½ 11 1½ (forster t)LANERIE J 124 4.50 23% 3.30 1.35 W
5  SHORTLY 3 3 21 21 2½ 21 2½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 1.80 32% 2.10 1.41 P
6  THE BIG MOZZ 4 5 54 32½ 31½ 43 32¾ (trujillo elvis)STEVENS C 119 5.00 5.09  
3  SAVAGE KISS 2 2 32½ 42½ 42½ 33 43¼ (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 17.57  
7  MY FAVORITE UNCLE 5 4 42½ 53½ 53½ 55½ 512¾ (galindo-torre)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 16% 5.40 5.40  
SCR  BOOSTER SHOT               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
SCR  STORM STRATEGY               (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
 
ELP-5   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :443 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MYA'S HALO 4 1 1½ 1½   12 11 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.45 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LIMONAIA by LEMON DROP KID)
7  MOVIN' ON UP 7 5 52 51¾   53 21 (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 12.03  
  (by ACCELERATE out of STIFLE YOURSELF by CAIRO PRINCE)
3  STAR PERFORMANCE 3 3 41½ 41½   22 32 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 16.40  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
6  HIGH FASHION KATE 6 7 63 72¾   75 43¼ (minnock wayne )MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 7% 12.80 63.54  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of IN THE ROUGH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  KRICKLE 8 2 2½ 2½   32½ 54 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 ★ 18.47  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
10  WHATTA WORLD 10 4 31 3½   42½ 64 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 12.58 DH
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LOTTA ATTITUDE by RAMBO (IRE))
2  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 2 6 84 94¾   63½ 64 (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00 50.82 DH
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GREAT MORNING by GALILEO)
11  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND 11 9 94¼ 83¼   86 84¼ (calhoun william)LANERIE J 119 10.00 36.30  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ZIPPIT E by MY GOLDEN SONG)
1  BLITZ 1 10 106¾ 106¼   97 95½ (casse mar)TORRES A 119 5.00 17% 4.80 9.54  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CUSTOMER BASE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  WALK STREET 5 12 117¾ 116¼   109 107¾ (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 11.89  
  (by STREET BOSS out of PASTIME by LONHRO (AUS))
12  LINDSEY (GB) 12 11 129¾ 128¾   1211¼ 1110½ (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 45.32  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of LINDA by SCAT DADDY)
9  REDHEADEDSTRANGER 9 8 73 62¼   1111 1211¾ (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00 97.22  
  (by GET STORMY out of TOTAL ECLIPSE by LIL E. TEE)
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT               (michael brian)COURT K 119 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  MISS PEARL HART               (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of REUNION by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  VEECATION               (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SURF RIDE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  WONDER WAVE (IRE)               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 2.50    
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of AWOHAAM by IFFRAAJ (GB))
 
ELP-6   08/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ELITE FORCES 5 4 31½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 23% 3.40 1.38 W
5  PENSACOLA 4 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 21% 3.80 2.81 P
3  B SUDD 2 1 53½ 42½   44½ 35 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 35% 1.90 3.26 S
4  ELI'S PROMISE 3 2 1½ 3½   32½ 410 (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 3.13  
2  LUPO'S LEGACY 1 5 42 53   56 510 (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 122 12.00 16.65  
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS               (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
 
ELP-7   08/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALDER 6 4 42½ 4¾   11½ 16¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.00 ★ 1.94  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ARBOL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 4 7 75¾ 54¼   55 26¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 15.76  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SHARED HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  FLOTATION STATION 8 3 3½ 3.2   32 36¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 23% 3.40 6.60 S
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of CHRISTINA'S COMET by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  ROCK TO FAME 3 2 2nk 1nk   21½ 48½ (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 4.01  
  (by KANTHAROS out of ROSE TO FAME by GEMOLOGIST)
1  ROWDY RIOT 1 5 810¾ 88¾   67½ 510¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 29% 2.40 5.69  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of AUGUSTA QUEEN by FORESTRY)
5  RUNNIN' ROCKET 5 1 1nk 2nk   44 613½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 26% 2.90 4.44  
  (by WAR FRONT out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  CEEPEEGEE 2 6 911¾ 914¾   914 718¾ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.79  
  (by ARMY MULE out of DANCE FOR DADDY by SCAT DADDY)
7  TAPITBOY 7 8 64¼ 66¾   79 819½ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 10.00 12.08  
  (by TAPITURE out of SPECIAL GAL by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
9  BEKHAMBOY 9 9 54 78¼   814 932½ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00 61.26  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
 
ELP-8   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:111 1:341   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CORELLI 3 2 77 75¼ 73¾ 51¾ 1½ (thomas jona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 9% 10.50 4.45 W
1  VINTAGE PRINT 1 1 55½ 64¼ 52 4¾ 2½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 1.77  
6  TUT'S REVENGE 6 6 22 21½ 2nk 2nk 3¾ (stuart shea)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 55% 0.80 5.24 S
7  GUNTON ROE 7 7 12 11½ 1nk 1nk 41½ (lobo paul)TORRES A 124 12.00 4.51  
4  FENWICK STATION 4 3 45 33 41½ 3½ 52¼ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 13.32  
5  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 5 5 33½ 43 31 62¼ 63¼ (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 8.89  
8  DECISION MAKER 8 8 88 87¼ 86¾ 74¾ 74¾ (van thomas)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.29  
2  HOT BLOODED 2 4 66½ 54 62¼ 84¾ 814½ (david a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 7% 12.70 13.86  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00    
SCR  PROMISE KEEPER               (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00    
 
ELP-9   08/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:101 1:222   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LEMON DROP SHOT 9 7 67½ 67½ 43 21½ 11 (van t)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 30% 2.30 3.59 W
1  LEVY 1 8 910¼ 910¼ 85 63¼ 21 (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 123 5.00 ★ 6.22 P
7  MAGNA RULER 6 3 21 11 11½ 11½ 31 (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 8.00 5% 19.00 10.74 S
4  BROKEN JUSTICE 4 5 77¾ 88¾ 74¾ 52¾ 41¼ (short j)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 25.62  
8  VALE 7 2 33½ 34 21½ 31½ 52¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 10.00 13% 6.90 6.10  
5  BORN FLAWLESS 5 6 45½ 56 63¼ 73¼ 63 (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 6.90  
3  TEN COUNT 3 1 11 21 31½ 42½ 75¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 2.00 34% 2.00 2.21  
9  FIXITWITHFORWARD 8 4 55½ 46 53¼ 83¾ 85¼ (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 6.08  
2  RONITHELIMODRIVER 2 9 89¼ 77¾ 99 99¼ 912½ (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00 69.50  
SCR  OUT OF ALCATRAZ               (shorter a)TORRES A 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.