The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $13.40 -8.00
    Exacta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-9 2 0 $141.28 -24.00
    Trifecta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-9-3 3 0 $83.40 -12.00
ELP-2   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.04 $4.04 -1.96
    Exacta (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-1 2 0 $12.44 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-1-7 3 0 $7.60 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/6/7/8)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-3 2 0 $15.20 -12.00
ELP-3   Win (8/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $9.10 -8.00
    Exacta (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/9/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 3-6 2 0 $54.44 -32.00
    Trifecta (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/9/5)-(8/6/4/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 3-6-8 3 0 $50.56 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/5/2)-(8/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-3 2 0 $19.02 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/6/7/8)-(3/5/2)-(8/6/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 2-3-3 3 0 $66.73 -24.00
ELP-4   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.70 $4.70 -1.30
    Exacta (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 1 $9.80 $9.80 -2.20
    Trifecta (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-5-6 3 0 $4.86 -3.00
    Daily Double (8/6/4/5)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-2 2 0 $12.77 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/5/2)-(8/6/4/5)-(5/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 3-3-2 3 0 $20.80 -18.00
ELP-5   Win (4/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -5.10
    Exacta (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/8/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-7 2 0 $30.14 -32.00
    Trifecta (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/8/2)-(4/1/6/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-7-3 3 0 $51.17 -24.00
    Daily Double (5/2/7)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 1 $4.14 $4.14 -7.86
    Pick Three (8/6/4/5)-(5/2/7)-(4/1/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 3-2-4 3 0 $14.62 -24.00
ELP-6   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.76 $4.76 -1.24
    Exacta (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 1 $12.78 $12.78 0.78
    Trifecta (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-5-3 3 1 $9.25 $9.25 6.25
    Daily Double (4/1/6/2)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-6 2 1 $4.85 $4.85 -7.15
    Pick Three (5/2/7)-(4/1/6/2)-(3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 2-4-6 3 1 $7.23 $7.23 -10.77
ELP-7   Win (1/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $5.88 -8.00
    Exacta (1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/6/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 6-4 2 0 $75.98 -32.00
    Trifecta (1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/6/2)-(1/5/8/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 6-4-8 3 0 $88.47 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/6/5)-(1/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-6 2 0 $6.78 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/1/6/2)-(3/6/5)-(1/5/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-6-6 3 0 $10.12 -24.00
ELP-8   Win (6/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $10.90 $10.90 2.90
    Exacta (6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-1 2 0 $33.62 -24.00
    Trifecta (6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-1-6 3 0 $32.35 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/5/8/2)-(6/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 6-3 2 0 $18.97 -16.00
    Pick Three (3/6/5)-(1/5/8/2)-(6/3/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 6-6-3 3 0 $25.48 -24.00
ELP-9   Win (3/10/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.18 $9.18 1.18
    Exacta (3/10/8/7)-(3/10/8/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 10-1 2 1 $54.78 $54.78 22.78
    Trifecta (3/10/8/7)-(3/10/8/1/7)-(3/10/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 10-1-7 3 1 $140.53 $140.53 116.53
    Daily Double (6/3/2/8)-(3/10/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 3-10 2 1 $22.11 $22.11 6.11
    Pick Three (1/5/8/2)-(6/3/2/8)-(3/10/8/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 6-3-10 3 0 $47.90 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/5/8/2)-(6/3/2/8)-(3/10/8/7) 64 $3.00 $192.00 4-3-10 3 0 $123.69 -192.00

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT-12:45
:213 :443 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETCATHERINEROSE 1 6 6 6   51(sharp joe)TORRES A 120 6.00 5.70  
WRECK IT RUBY 8 5 5 43   32(holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 6.24  
SCOOT ALONG 2 8 7 7   636 (calhoun will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 44% 1.30 2.31 S
HONKEY TONK TIME 6 3 43 53   44(west w)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 9% 10.40 9.14  
SUCRE CECILE 3 4 3 21   1nk 5(davis christoph)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 3.70  
NEXT DOT 4 1 1 11   2nk 6(hancock a)LANERIE J 120 20.00 15.34  
BLAME GAME 7 7 811¾ 814½   811¼ 714½ (mcentee paul)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 9% 10.40 13.21  
SWEET GUITAR 5 2 2 3   7815½ (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 10% 9.40 4.51  
SCR  ESPERE               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
 
ELP-2   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
:241 :474 1:122 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTA CRUISER 3 1 21 2½ 1 114 (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.02 W
EL FRANCO 1 3 33 3 42 43 24 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5.53  
JOB SECURITY 5 5 54 4 3 33(cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 2.18  
MR. PETERKIN 4 4 4 5 5 24(norris mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 19% 4.30 7.68  
ORIENT MAGIC 2 2 11 1½ 2 5516½ (french r)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 5.00 17% 5.00 6.36  
SCR  BOLDISH               (moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.00    
SCR  MAD ADAM               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
 
ELP-3   08/20/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
:242 :482 1:113 1:353   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 3 7 9 9 9 54 1(begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 3.55  
BROWN LIQUOR MAN 6 8 64 42 4 1nk 2(shirer matt )CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 12% 7.10 4.46 P
SIMPLY JACK 8 5 43 3½ 3.2 2nk 3(vanden brittan)EMIGH A 124 4.00 53% 0.90 4.12 S
SILVER RALEIGH 1 1 22 1nk 1nk 32 4(beckman whitworth)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 20.49  
MY BROTHER KEITH 9 9 86 8 8 65(diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 3.50 7.88  
HONOR GOLD 2 6 7 7 5 43 6(mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 5.00 5.57  
FLINT EAST WOULD 5 4 5 6 7 87 711½ (kerrick )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 108 30.00 5% 19.00 34.99  
COAL BOSS 7 2 12 2nk 2nk 7813¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 10.93  
MY UNCLE FRANK 4 3 33 5 62 9918 (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 9% 9.60 4.20  
 
ELP-4   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:243 :481 1:131 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO MEDDLE 1 1 11 11 1½ 11 1½ (forster t)LANERIE J 124 4.50 23% 3.30 1.35 W
SHORTLY 3 3 21 21 2½ 21 2½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 1.80 32% 2.10 1.41 P
THE BIG MOZZ 4 5 54 3 3 43 3(trujillo elvis)STEVENS C 119 5.00 5.09  
SAVAGE KISS 2 2 3 4 4 33 4(heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 17.57  
MY FAVORITE UNCLE 5 4 4 5 5 5512¾ (galindo-torres )CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 16% 5.40 5.40  
SCR  BOOSTER SHOT               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
SCR  STORM STRATEGY               (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
 
ELP-5   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
:214 :443 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYA'S HALO 4 1 1½ 1½   12 11 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.45 W
MOVIN' ON UP 7 5 52 5   53 21 (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 12.03  
STAR PERFORMANCE 3 3 4 4   22 32 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 16.40  
HIGH FASHION KATE 6 7 63 7   75 4(minnock g)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 7% 12.80 63.54  
KRICKLE 8 2 2½ 2½   354 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 18.47  
10  WHATTA WORLD 10 4 31 3½   464 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 12.58 DH
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 2 6 84 9   664 (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00 50.82 DH
11  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND 11 9 9 8   86 8(calhoun b)LANERIE J 119 10.00 36.30  
BLITZ 1 10 10 10   97 9(casse mark)TORRES A 119 5.00 17% 4.80 9.54  
WALK STREET 5 12 11 11   109 10(oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 11.89  
12  LINDSEY 12 11 12 12   1211¼ 1110½ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 45.32  
REDHEADEDSTRANGER 9 8 73 6   1111 1211¾ (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00 97.22  
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT               (michael brian)COURT K 119 20.00    
SCR  MISS PEARL HART               (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
SCR  VEECATION               (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
SCR  WONDER WAVE (IRE)               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 2.50    
 
ELP-6   08/20/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:221 :444 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELITE FORCES 5 4 3 2nk   1nk 1½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 23% 3.40 1.38 W
PENSACOLA 4 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 21% 3.80 2.81 P
B SUDD 2 1 5 4   435 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 35% 1.90 3.26 S
ELI'S PROMISE 3 2 1½ 3½   3410 (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 3.13  
LUPO'S LEGACY 1 5 42 53   56 510 (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 122 12.00 16.65  
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS               (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
 
ELP-7   08/20/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
:222 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALDER 6 4 4 4¾   11(cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.00 1.94  
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 4 7 7 5   55 2(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 15.76  
FLOTATION STATION 8 3 3½ 3.2   32 3(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 23% 3.40 6.60 S
ROCK TO FAME 3 2 2nk 1nk   24(divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 4.01  
ROWDY RIOT 1 5 810¾ 8   6510¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 29% 2.40 5.69  
RUNNIN' ROCKET 5 1 1nk 2nk   44 613½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 26% 2.90 4.44  
CEEPEEGEE 2 6 911¾ 914¾   914 718¾ (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.79  
TAPITBOY 7 8 6 6   79 819½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 10.00 12.08  
BEKHAMBOY 9 9 54 7   814 932½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00 61.26  
 
ELP-8   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:242 :482 1:111 1:341   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORELLI 3 2 77 7 7 51½ (thomas jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 9% 10.50 4.45 W
VINTAGE PRINT 1 1 5 6 52 4¾ 2½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 1.77  
TUT'S REVENGE 6 6 22 2 2nk 2nk 3¾ (stuart shea)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 55% 0.80 5.24 S
GUNTON ROE 7 7 12 1 1nk 1nk 4(lobo paulo )TORRES A 124 12.00 4.51  
FENWICK STATION 4 3 45 33 4 3½ 5(kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 13.32  
ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 5 5 3 43 31 66(walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 8.89  
DECISION MAKER 8 8 88 8 8 77(van thomas)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.29  
HOT BLOODED 2 4 6 54 6 8814½ (david a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 7% 12.70 13.86  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00    
SCR  PROMISE KEEPER               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00    
 
ELP-9   08/20/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:231 :461 1:101 1:222   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LEMON DROP SHOT 9 7 6 6 43 211 (van tho)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 30% 2.30 3.59 W
LEVY 1 8 910¼ 910¼ 85 621 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 123 5.00 6.22 P
MAGNA RULER 6 3 21 11 1 131 (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 8.00 5% 19.00 10.74 S
BROKEN JUSTICE 4 5 7 8 7 54(short j)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 25.62  
VALE 7 2 3 34 2 35(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 10.00 13% 6.90 6.10  
BORN FLAWLESS 5 6 4 56 6 763 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 6.90  
TEN COUNT 3 1 11 21 3 47(vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 2.00 34% 2.00 2.21  
FIXITWITHFORWARD 8 4 5 46 5 88(mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 6.08  
RONITHELIMODRIVER 2 9 8 7 99 9912½ (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00 69.50  
SCR  OUT OF ALCATRAZ               (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.