Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-6   EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $12.78 $0.78 7%
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-5-3 $9.25 $6.25 208%
ELP-8   WIN (6/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $10.90 $2.90 36%
ELP-9   WIN (3/10/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $9.18 $1.18 15%
    EXA (3/10/8/7)-(3/10/8/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  10-1 $54.78 $22.78 71%
    TRI (3/10/8/7)-(3/10/8/1/7)-(3/10/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-1-7 $140.53 $116.53 486%
    DD (6/3/2/8)-(3/10/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-10 $22.11 $6.11 38%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETCATHERINEROSE   (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 6.00 5.70  
WRECK IT RUBY   (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 6.24  
SCOOT ALONG   (calhoun wi)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 44% 1.30 2.31 S
HONKEY TONK TIME   (west w)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 9% 10.40 9.14  
SUCRE CECILE   (davis christo)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 3.70  
NEXT DOT   (hancock a)LANERIE J 120 20.00 15.34  
BLAME GAME   (mcentee paul)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 9% 10.40 13.21  
SWEET GUITAR   (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 10% 9.40 4.51  
SCR  ESPERE   (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
 
ELP-2   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTA CRUISER   (cano juan)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.02 W
EL FRANCO   (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5.53  
JOB SECURITY   (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 2.18  
MR. PETERKIN   (norris mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 19% 4.30 7.68  
ORIENT MAGIC   (french r)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 5.00 17% 5.00 6.36  
SCR  BOLDISH   (moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.00    
SCR  MAD ADAM   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
 
ELP-3   08/20/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STROKE OF MIDNIGHT   (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 3.55  
BROWN LIQUOR MAN   (shirer mat)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 12% 7.10 4.46 P
SIMPLY JACK   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 4.00 53% 0.90 4.12 S
SILVER RALEIGH   (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 20.49  
MY BROTHER KEITH   (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 3.50 7.88  
HONOR GOLD   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 5.00 5.57  
FLINT EAST WOULD   (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 108 30.00 5% 19.00 34.99  
COAL BOSS   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 10.93  
MY UNCLE FRANK   (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 9% 9.60 4.20  
 
ELP-4   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO MEDDLE   (forster t)LANERIE J 124 4.50 23% 3.30 1.35 W
SHORTLY   (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 1.80 32% 2.10 1.41 P
THE BIG MOZZ   (trujillo elvis)STEVENS C 119 5.00 5.09  
SAVAGE KISS   (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 17.57  
MY FAVORITE UNCLE   (galindo-torre)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 16% 5.40 5.40  
SCR  BOOSTER SHOT   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
SCR  STORM STRATEGY   (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
 
ELP-5   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYA'S HALO   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.45 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LIMONAIA by LEMON DROP KID)
MOVIN' ON UP   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 12.03  
  (by ACCELERATE out of STIFLE YOURSELF by CAIRO PRINCE)
STAR PERFORMANCE   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 16.40  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
HIGH FASHION KATE   (minnock wayne )MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 7% 12.80 63.54  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of IN THE ROUGH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
KRICKLE   (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 18.47  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
10  WHATTA WORLD   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 12.58 DH
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LOTTA ATTITUDE by RAMBO (IRE))
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA   (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00 50.82 DH
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GREAT MORNING by GALILEO)
11  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND   (calhoun william)LANERIE J 119 10.00 36.30  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ZIPPIT E by MY GOLDEN SONG)
BLITZ   (casse mar)TORRES A 119 5.00 17% 4.80 9.54  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CUSTOMER BASE by LEMON DROP KID)
WALK STREET   (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 11.89  
  (by STREET BOSS out of PASTIME by LONHRO (AUS))
12  LINDSEY (GB)   (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 45.32  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of LINDA by SCAT DADDY)
REDHEADEDSTRANGER   (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00 97.22  
  (by GET STORMY out of TOTAL ECLIPSE by LIL E. TEE)
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT   (michael brian)COURT K 119 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  MISS PEARL HART   (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of REUNION by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  VEECATION   (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SURF RIDE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  WONDER WAVE (IRE)   (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 2.50    
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of AWOHAAM by IFFRAAJ (GB))
 
ELP-6   08/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELITE FORCES   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 23% 3.40 1.38 W
PENSACOLA   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 21% 3.80 2.81 P
B SUDD   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 35% 1.90 3.26 S
ELI'S PROMISE   (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 3.13  
LUPO'S LEGACY   (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 122 12.00 16.65  
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS   (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
 
ELP-7   08/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALDER   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.00 1.94  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ARBOL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 15.76  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SHARED HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FLOTATION STATION   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 23% 3.40 6.60 S
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of CHRISTINA'S COMET by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
ROCK TO FAME   (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 4.01  
  (by KANTHAROS out of ROSE TO FAME by GEMOLOGIST)
ROWDY RIOT   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 29% 2.40 5.69  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of AUGUSTA QUEEN by FORESTRY)
RUNNIN' ROCKET   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 26% 2.90 4.44  
  (by WAR FRONT out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CEEPEEGEE   (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.79  
  (by ARMY MULE out of DANCE FOR DADDY by SCAT DADDY)
TAPITBOY   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 10.00 12.08  
  (by TAPITURE out of SPECIAL GAL by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
BEKHAMBOY   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00 61.26  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
 
ELP-8   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORELLI   (thomas jona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 9% 10.50 4.45 W
VINTAGE PRINT   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 1.77  
TUT'S REVENGE   (stuart shea)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 55% 0.80 5.24 S
GUNTON ROE   (lobo paul)TORRES A 124 12.00 4.51  
FENWICK STATION   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 13.32  
ETHICAL JUDGEMENT   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 8.89  
DECISION MAKER   (van thomas)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.29  
HOT BLOODED   (david a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 7% 12.70 13.86  
SCR  BACKGROUND   (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00    
SCR  PROMISE KEEPER   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00    
 
ELP-9   08/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LEMON DROP SHOT   (van t)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 30% 2.30 3.59 W
LEVY   (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 123 5.00 6.22 P
MAGNA RULER   (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 8.00 5% 19.00 10.74 S
BROKEN JUSTICE   (short j)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 25.62  
VALE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 10.00 13% 6.90 6.10  
BORN FLAWLESS   (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 6.90  
TEN COUNT   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 2.00 34% 2.00 2.21  
FIXITWITHFORWARD   (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 6.08  
RONITHELIMODRIVER   (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00 69.50  
SCR  OUT OF ALCATRAZ   (shorter a)TORRES A 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.