Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.44 $6.44 0.44
ELP-2   Win (5/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $9.10  
ELP-3   Win (3/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $11.92 $11.92 3.92
ELP-4   Win (8/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $7.52  
ELP-5   Win (6/5/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.16 $6.16  
ELP-6   Win (2/6/9/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $3.76 $3.76  
ELP-7   Win (9/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $3.40  
ELP-8   Win (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $24.88 $24.88 16.88
ELP-9   Win (9/13/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $36.90  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FOREVER COOL 3 7 54½ 33   2½ 14¾ (scherer marianne)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 29% 2.50 2.22 W
5  GILDED CRAKEN 4 3 12½ 12   1½ 24¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 11% 8.30 2.80 P
8  MO MOVES 7 4 65 43   44½ 36½ (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5.73  
7  SHARP STICK 6 2 77 67¼   56½ 48 (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 7.30  
2  RATE CONFIRMATION 2 6 33 22   34½ 58¾ (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 25% 3.10 4.18  
1  HIJACK THE PARTY 1 5 22½ 53¼   67½ 617¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 7.23  
6  COMMANDER REX 5 1 43½ 710¾   715½ 740¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 16.75  
SCR  PINFIRE               (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-2   08/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MORE THAN GLORY 2 4 55 56½ 84¾ 42 1¼ (walsh p)ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00 3.55  
4  CHARLEY RUDE 4 2 44 45 31½ 1nk 2¼ (cano munoz)CHUAN MARTIN 123 3.50 10% 8.70 8.68 P
7  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS 7 7 77 88¼ 74½ 52½ 32½ (contreras )RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 9% 10.50 13.88 S
6  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 6 5 21 21½ 1½ 2nk 44 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 4.71  
1  FAST GAL 1 1 33 35 53 31 54¼ (porter michael)COURT K 118 15.00 16.62  
3  CLOUDY BAY 3 6 66 67 63 64 613 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 3.61  
5  ECONOMIC HANGOVER 5 3 11 11½ 2½ 75 716¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 123 3.50 58% 0.70 4.22  
8  MY BLUE VALENTINE 8 8 88 77¼ 42 88½ 817¼ (hill f)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 5% 19.00 4.47  
 
ELP-3   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHOCTAW BINGO 8 1 2½ 1½   1nk 1hd (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.96 W
2  FOREVER HOME 2 7 31 41½   2nk 2hd (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5.60  
6  CHARGE ACCOUNT 6 3 83½ 62¾   42¾ 3¾ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 4.00 14% 6.20 2.03 S
3  HASHTAG WINNER 3 8 52 31½   32½ 41¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 56% 0.80 2.08  
4  DUPLICITOUS 4 5 1½ 2½   54¾ 56 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 6.41  
1  L. A. STAR 1 6 41½ 52½   66¾ 66½ (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 28.25  
7  JERSEY GOLD 7 2 62½ 74¾   710¼ 714½ (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 73.35  
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 5 4 72½ 86¼   812¼ 820½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 5% 19.00 16.38  
 
ELP-4   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL AGAIN 1 3 53 31½ 11 12½ 13 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 2.76  
8  EXCELLENT QUESTION 8 8 74¼ 63¼ 32 22½ 23 (walsh p)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 43% 1.30 2.60 P
2  FLASHY LASS 2 2 11 11½ 21 32½ 35¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 5% 19.00 5.29 S
3  FLIRTING GIRL 3 1 21 21½ 44 49 418½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 12.00 8.64  
4  MADLY DANCING 4 4 85¼ 75¾ 79½ 712¼ 519 (ortiz alex)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 42.20  
5  HEART HEADED WOMAN 5 6 32 42 58 512 620¼ (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.97  
7  OVERINDULGENCE 7 7 42 53 68 612¼ 720¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 11.57  
6  VELOCHEETAH 6 5 64 89¾ 817½ 821¼ 843¼ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 31% 2.30 4.59  
 
ELP-5   08/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CANDI GIRL 5 1 21½ 2½   13 12¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 41% 1.50 2.08 W
2  WONDER WAVE (IRE) 2 7 53 52½   44½ 22¾ (lynch a)BEJARANO R null   0.90  
7  BIG DREAMER 6 3 31½ 3½   23 33¼ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 10.00 18.14  
11  TIPSY RUNNER 10 6 42½ 41   34 44½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 6% 15.00 8.99  
5  STANDOUTSENSATION 4 5 64½ 64   56½ 54¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 33% 2.00 12.28  
1  SAKURA SKY 1 10 109¼ 97   67½ 67½ (walden wil)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 33.25  
9  LIVI ME DREAMING 8 8 76½ 86½   810½ 710¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
10  RUN RUN RABBIT 9 9 86¾ 75½   710 810¾ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 59.89  
3  PLEASINGLY 3 4 99¼ 108   912 912¼ (moquett ronald )GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 41.72  
8  MISS PEARL HART 7 2 11½ 1½   1014 1021¾ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 39.53  
SCR  RAINY NIGHT               (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GENEROUS TIPPER 2 1 21 1nk 1nk 12½ 17½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 39% 1.60 0.88 W
3  GREERS FERRY 3 2 31½ 3½ 2nk 22½ 27½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 51.55 P
9  NORTHERN FLAME 8 5 54 53 31½ 35½ 310 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 11% 8.00 4.62 S
11  PHREDDIE MAC 10 10 89 86 65½ 49 416 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 7% 13.40 19.04  
4  ASPIRING COMEDIAN 4 8 1014½ 1012½ 810¾ 611½ 516¾ (pletcher a)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 14.51  
7  BENVOLIO 6 6 43½ 41½ 54 511 619¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 11.82  
10  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 9 9 911 98½ 912¼ 816½ 727 (hamilton sara)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 50.00 65.00  
8  LOU'S LEGACY 7 3 11 2nk 42½ 713½ 831¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00 20.57  
1  ARMY OFFICER 1 4 78 75½ 710½ 918½ 934 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 11.68  
6  DYNAMIS (IRE) 5 7 64½ 63½ 1012¾ 1019 1037½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 2.50 19% 4.20 5.42  
SCR  DUTCH MILLS               (ortiz alexand)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  RECORD TIME               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
 
ELP-7   08/28/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:132 1:363   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  F FIVE 7 5 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 2.00 ★ 0.70  
3  O P FIRECRACKER 3 2 42½ 42½ 31½ 2nk 2½ (medina robe)TORRES A 122 20.00 24.41  
2  STOLEN BASE 2 4 31½ 32 41¾ 32 31¾ (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 8.50  
5  PUNCH HARD 5 3 87 86¾ 85¼ 74¼ 43 (beckman whitwort)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 11.71  
9  KITTEN MISCHIEF 8 8 75½ 74¼ 63¼ 64¼ 53½ (thomas jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 39% 1.60 3.79  
4  FOUNDER 4 7 64 64 53¼ 52¾ 64¾ (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 33% 2.00 9.24  
6  MR. BIG NEWS 6 6 21 2½ 2nk 42¼ 74¾ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 12.90  
1  TIZ OF THEE 1 1 53 54 73¾ 88¼ 816¼ (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 41.22  
SCR  UNINVITED GUEST               (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
 
ELP-8   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:121 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FOGO ISLAND 3 2 31½ 31½ 21 2½ 12 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 3.50 12% 7.40 11.44 W
2  INSIGNIA 2 6 64 74 33 33 22 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.00 35% 1.80 0.19 P
6  KANTEX 6 4 42½ 43 45 43½ 33¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 5% 18.90 27.52 S
7  MERCY WARREN 7 1 11 11 11 1½ 44 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 17.10  
1  CHIQUITA MOSCA 1 5 913½ 912½ 911½ 59 59½ (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00 34.92  
8  MY KENTUCKY GIRL 8 8 88½ 87 77½ 69 615¾ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 122 10.00 13.46  
5  BORN DAPPER 5 7 53 63½ 56½ 711½ 724¼ (thomas jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 22% 3.50 18.63  
9  TAP DANCING LADY 9 9 76½ 53½ 67 812½ 824¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00 33.09  
4  KLOEPATRA 4 3 21 21 810 915½ 936½ (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 25.00 40.69  
 
ELP-9   08/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:131 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZIGGZAPPA 1 5 75¾ 95¾ 94¾ 63¼ 1¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 17.45  
9  OKAY FINE 6 6 85¾ 83¾ 73¼ 84¼ 2¾ (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 33% 2.00 0.84 P
13  SPRING LILACS 9 8 64¼ 62¼ 41¼ 43 3¾ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 29% 2.50 7.54 S
6  WITCH OF NOVEMBER 3 2 12 1½ 1nk 1½ 41 (cano munoz)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00 17% 4.90 25.94  
5  WORDS OF PRAISE 2 1 22 41½ 51¾ 2½ 51¼ (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.66  
11  MIKITA 8 9 96 52 62¼ 53 62½ (foley greg)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 10.88  
10  ENGLISH CHARM 7 3 53¾ 3½ 2nk 31½ 73¼ (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 8.46  
8  CALLAS 5 7 43½ 73¾ 83¾ 73¾ 84¼ (mott riley)TORRES A 118 10.00 12.17  
7  SOULFUL TARA 4 4 32 2½ 31 96¾ 99½ (miller f)COURT K 118 30.00 53.18  
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE               (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00    
SCR  BOLTS BABE               (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
SCR  FIRST HILL               (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
SCR  GRAY VIXEN               (ewing ann)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
SCR  SHA GIRL               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 8.00    
SCR  TIZ ERIN               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.