Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-1   EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5 $32.92 $20.92 174%
ELP-3   WIN (3/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $11.92 $3.92 49%
ELP-6   EXA (2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-3 $129.62 $89.62 224%
    TRI (2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-3-9 $145.59 $115.59 385%
    SFT (2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-3-9-11 $155.17 $143.17 1193%
ELP-8   WIN (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $24.88 $16.88 211%
    EXA (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $53.04 $29.04 121%
    TRI (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-2-6 $63.33 $51.33 428%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER COOL   (scherer marianne)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 29% 2.50 2.22 W
GILDED CRAKEN   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 11% 8.30 2.80 P
MO MOVES   (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5.73  
SHARP STICK   (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 7.30  
RATE CONFIRMATION   (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 25% 3.10 4.18  
HIJACK THE PARTY   (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 7.23  
COMMANDER REX   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 16.75  
SCR  PINFIRE   (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-2   08/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN GLORY   (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00 3.55  
CHARLEY RUDE   (cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 123 3.50 10% 8.70 8.68 P
HAMMERDONHAPPINESS   (contrera)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 9% 10.50 13.88 S
MISCHIEVOUS GAL   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 4.71  
FAST GAL   (porter michael)COURT K 118 15.00 16.62  
CLOUDY BAY   (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 3.61  
ECONOMIC HANGOVER   (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 3.50 58% 0.70 4.22  
MY BLUE VALENTINE   (hill f)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 5% 19.00 4.47  
 
ELP-3   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCTAW BINGO   (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.96 W
FOREVER HOME   (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5.60  
CHARGE ACCOUNT   (gutierrez)TORRES A 122 4.00 14% 6.20 2.03 S
HASHTAG WINNER   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 56% 0.80 2.08  
DUPLICITOUS   (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 6.41  
L. A. STAR   (lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 28.25  
JERSEY GOLD   (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 73.35  
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 5% 19.00 16.38  
 
ELP-4   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL AGAIN   (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 2.76  
  (by ARROGATE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
EXCELLENT QUESTION   (walsh p)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 43% 1.30 2.60 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SWEET SUE by DESERT CLASSIC)
FLASHY LASS   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 5% 19.00 5.29 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
FLIRTING GIRL   (asmussen )TORRES A 118 12.00 8.64  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HOUSE OF DANZING by CHESTER HOUSE)
MADLY DANCING   (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 42.20  
  (by CURLIN out of TAMBOZ by TAPIT)
HEART HEADED WOMAN   (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.97  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
OVERINDULGENCE   (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 11.57  
  (by NYQUIST out of CONQUEST RAMPAGE by QUALITY ROAD)
VELOCHEETAH   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 31% 2.30 4.59  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WEIGHT NO MORE by PURE PRIZE)
 
ELP-5   08/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDI GIRL   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 41% 1.50 2.08 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FIESTA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
WONDER WAVE (IRE)   (lynch a)BEJARANO R null   0.90  
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of AWOHAAM by IFFRAAJ (GB))
BIG DREAMER   (mott rile)TORRES A 119 10.00 18.14  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIND ERASER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  TIPSY RUNNER   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 6% 15.00 8.99  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STAND BACK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
STANDOUTSENSATION   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 33% 2.00 12.28  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
SAKURA SKY   (walden w)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 33.25  
  (by YOSHIDA out of COOL SKY by SKY MESA)
LIVI ME DREAMING   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
10  RUN RUN RABBIT   (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 59.89  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of OCEAN ROAD by WAR FRONT)
PLEASINGLY   (moquett ronal)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 41.72  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AS I PLEASE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
MISS PEARL HART   (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 39.53  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of REUNION by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  RAINY NIGHT   (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SUMPTUOUS by HENNESSY)
 
ELP-6   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEROUS TIPPER   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 39% 1.60 0.88 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of STOPSHOPPINGDEBBIE by CURLIN)
GREERS FERRY   (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 51.55 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
NORTHERN FLAME   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 11% 8.00 4.62 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
11  PHREDDIE MAC   (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 7% 13.40 19.04  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
ASPIRING COMEDIAN   (pletcher a)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 14.51  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AFLEET LOVER by NORTHERN AFLEET)
BENVOLIO   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 11.82  
  (by TAPIT out of MOLLY MORGAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS   (hamilton sa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 50.00 65.00  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
LOU'S LEGACY   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00 20.57  
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
ARMY OFFICER   (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 11.68  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WORTH A CHANCE MO by UNCLE MO)
DYNAMIS (IRE)   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 2.50 19% 4.20 5.42  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOFORITMRSMILLER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  DUTCH MILLS   (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DUTCH PARROT by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  RECORD TIME   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DIVA'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
 
ELP-7   08/28/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F FIVE   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 2.00 0.70  
O P FIRECRACKER   (medina ro)TORRES A 122 20.00 24.41  
STOLEN BASE   (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 8.50  
PUNCH HARD   (beckman whitwo)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 11.71  
KITTEN MISCHIEF   (thomas jon)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 39% 1.60 3.79  
FOUNDER   (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 33% 2.00 9.24  
MR. BIG NEWS   (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 12.90  
TIZ OF THEE   (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 41.22  
SCR  UNINVITED GUEST   (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
 
ELP-8   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOGO ISLAND   (lobo paul)TORRES A 120 3.50 12% 7.40 11.44 W
INSIGNIA   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.00 35% 1.80 0.19 P
KANTEX   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 5% 18.90 27.52 S
MERCY WARREN   (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 17.10  
CHIQUITA MOSCA   (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00 34.92  
MY KENTUCKY GIRL   (engler jeff)LANERIE J 122 10.00 13.46  
BORN DAPPER   (thomas jona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 22% 3.50 18.63  
TAP DANCING LADY   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00 33.09  
KLOEPATRA   (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 25.00 40.69  
 
ELP-9   08/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIGGZAPPA   (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 17.45  
OKAY FINE   (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 33% 2.00 0.84 P
13  SPRING LILACS   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 29% 2.50 7.54 S
WITCH OF NOVEMBER   (cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00 17% 4.90 25.94  
WORDS OF PRAISE   (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.66  
11  MIKITA   (foley greg)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 10.88  
10  ENGLISH CHARM   (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 8.46  
CALLAS   (mott rile)TORRES A 118 10.00 12.17  
SOULFUL TARA   (miller f)COURT K 118 30.00 53.18  
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE   (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00    
SCR  BOLTS BABE   (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
SCR  FIRST HILL   (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
SCR  GRAY VIXEN   (ewing a)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
SCR  SHA GIRL   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 8.00    
SCR  TIZ ERIN   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.