Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5 $32.92 $20.92 174%
ELP-3   WIN (3/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $11.92 $3.92 49%
ELP-6   EXA (2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-3 $129.62 $89.62 224%
    TRI (2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-3-9 $145.59 $115.59 385%
    SFT (2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3)-(2/6/9/11/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-3-9-11 $155.17 $143.17 1193%
ELP-8   WIN (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $24.88 $16.88 211%
    EXA (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $53.04 $29.04 121%
    TRI (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-2-6 $63.33 $51.33 428%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FOREVER COOL 3 7 54½ 33   2½ 14¾ (scherer marianne)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 29% 2.50 2.22 W
5  GILDED CRAKEN 4 3 12½ 12   1½ 24¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 11% 8.30 2.80 P
8  MO MOVES 7 4 65 43   44½ 36½ (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5.73  
7  SHARP STICK 6 2 77 67¼   56½ 48 (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 7.30  
2  RATE CONFIRMATION 2 6 33 22   34½ 58¾ (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 25% 3.10 4.18  
1  HIJACK THE PARTY 1 5 22½ 53¼   67½ 617¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 7.23  
6  COMMANDER REX 5 1 43½ 710¾   715½ 740¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 16.75  
SCR  PINFIRE               (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-2   08/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MORE THAN GLORY 2 4 55 56½ 84¾ 42 1¼ (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00 3.55  
4  CHARLEY RUDE 4 2 44 45 31½ 1nk 2¼ (cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 123 3.50 10% 8.70 8.68 P
7  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS 7 7 77 88¼ 74½ 52½ 32½ (contrera)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 9% 10.50 13.88 S
6  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 6 5 21 21½ 1½ 2nk 44 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 4.71  
1  FAST GAL 1 1 33 35 53 31 54¼ (porter michael)COURT K 118 15.00 16.62  
3  CLOUDY BAY 3 6 66 67 63 64 613 (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 3.61  
5  ECONOMIC HANGOVER 5 3 11 11½ 2½ 75 716¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 3.50 58% 0.70 4.22  
8  MY BLUE VALENTINE 8 8 88 77¼ 42 88½ 817¼ (hill f)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 5% 19.00 4.47  
 
ELP-3   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHOCTAW BINGO 8 1 2½ 1½   1nk 1hd (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.96 W
2  FOREVER HOME 2 7 31 41½   2nk 2hd (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5.60  
6  CHARGE ACCOUNT 6 3 83½ 62¾   42¾ 3¾ (gutierrez)TORRES A 122 4.00 14% 6.20 2.03 S
3  HASHTAG WINNER 3 8 52 31½   32½ 41¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 56% 0.80 2.08  
4  DUPLICITOUS 4 5 1½ 2½   54¾ 56 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 6.41  
1  L. A. STAR 1 6 41½ 52½   66¾ 66½ (lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 28.25  
7  JERSEY GOLD 7 2 62½ 74¾   710¼ 714½ (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 73.35  
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 5 4 72½ 86¼   812¼ 820½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 5% 19.00 16.38  
 
ELP-4   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL AGAIN 1 3 53 31½ 11 12½ 13 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 2.76  
  (by ARROGATE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  EXCELLENT QUESTION 8 8 74¼ 63¼ 32 22½ 23 (walsh p)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 43% 1.30 2.60 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SWEET SUE by DESERT CLASSIC)
2  FLASHY LASS 2 2 11 11½ 21 32½ 35¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 5% 19.00 5.29 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
3  FLIRTING GIRL 3 1 21 21½ 44 49 418½ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 12.00 8.64  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HOUSE OF DANZING by CHESTER HOUSE)
4  MADLY DANCING 4 4 85¼ 75¾ 79½ 712¼ 519 (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 42.20  
  (by CURLIN out of TAMBOZ by TAPIT)
5  HEART HEADED WOMAN 5 6 32 42 58 512 620¼ (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.97  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
7  OVERINDULGENCE 7 7 42 53 68 612¼ 720¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 11.57  
  (by NYQUIST out of CONQUEST RAMPAGE by QUALITY ROAD)
6  VELOCHEETAH 6 5 64 89¾ 817½ 821¼ 843¼ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 31% 2.30 4.59  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WEIGHT NO MORE by PURE PRIZE)
 
ELP-5   08/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CANDI GIRL 5 1 21½ 2½   13 12¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 41% 1.50 2.08 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FIESTA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  WONDER WAVE (IRE) 2 7 53 52½   44½ 22¾ (lynch a)BEJARANO R null   0.90  
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of AWOHAAM by IFFRAAJ (GB))
7  BIG DREAMER 6 3 31½ 3½   23 33¼ (mott rile)TORRES A 119 10.00 18.14  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIND ERASER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  TIPSY RUNNER 10 6 42½ 41   34 44½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 6% 15.00 8.99  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STAND BACK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  STANDOUTSENSATION 4 5 64½ 64   56½ 54¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 33% 2.00 12.28  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
1  SAKURA SKY 1 10 109¼ 97   67½ 67½ (walden w)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 33.25  
  (by YOSHIDA out of COOL SKY by SKY MESA)
9  LIVI ME DREAMING 8 8 76½ 86½   810½ 710¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
10  RUN RUN RABBIT 9 9 86¾ 75½   710 810¾ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 59.89  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of OCEAN ROAD by WAR FRONT)
3  PLEASINGLY 3 4 99¼ 108   912 912¼ (moquett ronal)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 41.72  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AS I PLEASE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  MISS PEARL HART 7 2 11½ 1½   1014 1021¾ (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 39.53  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of REUNION by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  RAINY NIGHT               (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SUMPTUOUS by HENNESSY)
 
ELP-6   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GENEROUS TIPPER 2 1 21 1nk 1nk 12½ 17½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 39% 1.60 0.88 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of STOPSHOPPINGDEBBIE by CURLIN)
3  GREERS FERRY 3 2 31½ 3½ 2nk 22½ 27½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 51.55 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
9  NORTHERN FLAME 8 5 54 53 31½ 35½ 310 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 11% 8.00 4.62 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
11  PHREDDIE MAC 10 10 89 86 65½ 49 416 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 7% 13.40 19.04  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  ASPIRING COMEDIAN 4 8 1014½ 1012½ 810¾ 611½ 516¾ (pletcher a)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 14.51  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AFLEET LOVER by NORTHERN AFLEET)
7  BENVOLIO 6 6 43½ 41½ 54 511 619¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 11.82  
  (by TAPIT out of MOLLY MORGAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 9 9 911 98½ 912¼ 816½ 727 (hamilton sa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 50.00 65.00  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
8  LOU'S LEGACY 7 3 11 2nk 42½ 713½ 831¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00 20.57  
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
1  ARMY OFFICER 1 4 78 75½ 710½ 918½ 934 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 11.68  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WORTH A CHANCE MO by UNCLE MO)
6  DYNAMIS (IRE) 5 7 64½ 63½ 1012¾ 1019 1037½ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 2.50 19% 4.20 5.42  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOFORITMRSMILLER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  DUTCH MILLS               (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DUTCH PARROT by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  RECORD TIME               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DIVA'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
 
ELP-7   08/28/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:132 1:363   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  F FIVE 7 5 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 2.00 ★ 0.70  
3  O P FIRECRACKER 3 2 42½ 42½ 31½ 2nk 2½ (medina ro)TORRES A 122 20.00 24.41  
2  STOLEN BASE 2 4 31½ 32 41¾ 32 31¾ (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 8.50  
5  PUNCH HARD 5 3 87 86¾ 85¼ 74¼ 43 (beckman whitwo)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 11.71  
9  KITTEN MISCHIEF 8 8 75½ 74¼ 63¼ 64¼ 53½ (thomas jon)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 39% 1.60 3.79  
4  FOUNDER 4 7 64 64 53¼ 52¾ 64¾ (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 33% 2.00 9.24  
6  MR. BIG NEWS 6 6 21 2½ 2nk 42¼ 74¾ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 12.90  
1  TIZ OF THEE 1 1 53 54 73¾ 88¼ 816¼ (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 41.22  
SCR  UNINVITED GUEST               (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
 
ELP-8   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:121 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FOGO ISLAND 3 2 31½ 31½ 21 2½ 12 (lobo paul)TORRES A 120 3.50 12% 7.40 11.44 W
2  INSIGNIA 2 6 64 74 33 33 22 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.00 35% 1.80 0.19 P
6  KANTEX 6 4 42½ 43 45 43½ 33¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 5% 18.90 27.52 S
7  MERCY WARREN 7 1 11 11 11 1½ 44 (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 17.10  
1  CHIQUITA MOSCA 1 5 913½ 912½ 911½ 59 59½ (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00 34.92  
8  MY KENTUCKY GIRL 8 8 88½ 87 77½ 69 615¾ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 122 10.00 13.46  
5  BORN DAPPER 5 7 53 63½ 56½ 711½ 724¼ (thomas jona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 22% 3.50 18.63  
9  TAP DANCING LADY 9 9 76½ 53½ 67 812½ 824¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00 33.09  
4  KLOEPATRA 4 3 21 21 810 915½ 936½ (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 25.00 40.69  
 
ELP-9   08/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:131 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZIGGZAPPA 1 5 75¾ 95¾ 94¾ 63¼ 1¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 17.45  
9  OKAY FINE 6 6 85¾ 83¾ 73¼ 84¼ 2¾ (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 33% 2.00 0.84 P
13  SPRING LILACS 9 8 64¼ 62¼ 41¼ 43 3¾ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 29% 2.50 7.54 S
6  WITCH OF NOVEMBER 3 2 12 1½ 1nk 1½ 41 (cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00 17% 4.90 25.94  
5  WORDS OF PRAISE 2 1 22 41½ 51¾ 2½ 51¼ (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.66  
11  MIKITA 8 9 96 52 62¼ 53 62½ (foley greg)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 10.88  
10  ENGLISH CHARM 7 3 53¾ 3½ 2nk 31½ 73¼ (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 8.46  
8  CALLAS 5 7 43½ 73¾ 83¾ 73¾ 84¼ (mott rile)TORRES A 118 10.00 12.17  
7  SOULFUL TARA 4 4 32 2½ 31 96¾ 99½ (miller f)COURT K 118 30.00 53.18  
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE               (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00    
SCR  BOLTS BABE               (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
SCR  FIRST HILL               (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
SCR  GRAY VIXEN               (ewing a)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
SCR  SHA GIRL               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 8.00    
SCR  TIZ ERIN               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.