Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.20 $2.20 37%
CD-6   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $49.40 $41.40 518%
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $138.90 $114.90 479%
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-3 $163.15 $151.15 1260%
CD-7   WIN (7/4/14/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  14 $13.42 $3.42 34%
    EXA (7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  14-7 $41.54 $1.54 4%
    TRI (7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  14-7-4 $57.13 $27.13 90%
    DD (1/4/3/2)-(7/4/14/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-14 $291.58 $271.58 1358%
CD-8   DD (7/4/14/9/5)-(5/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  14-9 $23.01 $3.01 15%
    PK3 (1/4/3/2)-(7/4/14/9/5)-(5/9/10/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00  2-14-9 $191.06 $151.06 378%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INEXORABLE 3 6 54½ 33   12½ 19¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 28% 2.50 2.17 W
3  DUAL MONARCHY 2 4 33 43   22½ 29¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.13 P
6  CAPTIVATED DRAMA 5 2 12½ 12½   32½ 311½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 4.00 5.73  
2  SOUND DOCTRINE 1 3 22½ 22½   44½ 413¾ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13% 6.40 6.80  
5  JEWELSTOWN 4 5 65 55   57½ 513¾ (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 4.78  
7  STAR NATION 6 7 715 716½   716 618 (spagnola)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 6% 14.60 14.45  
8  JUDO 7 1 44 65½   612 722½ (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 6.06  
SCR  OVERLY D'ORO               (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOUFAX 1 1 11 11½ 11 11½ 12 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 15% 5.70 3.10 W
5  CAN'T HUSH THIS 4 2 21 21½ 21 21½ 22 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 1.84  
2  COOL RAGS 2 3 65 69 58 37 38½ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.00 2.45 S
3  MOHAAFETH 3 6 42½ 43½ 47½ 58½ 414 (donjuan se)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 9.90  
7  ALFIO 6 5 52½ 56 68½ 610 517¼ (quartarolo )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 19.29  
6  MINE OWN STAR 5 4 31½ 33½ 34½ 47 618 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 47% 1.10 4.35  
SCR  THE HONORABLE ONE               (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
 
CD-3   09/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SALT SPRAY (IRE) 10 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 42% 1.40 1.94 W
  (by KODIAC out of TASTE THE SALT by BORN TO SEA (IRE))
5  PINFIRE 5 2 43½ 44   33½ 2¾ (tomlinson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 16.33  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SUMMER READING by HARD SPUN)
2  CIGARETTE BOAT 2 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 33 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 22% 3.60 1.33 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
6  TASTERFOR THE KING 6 5 75¼ 76¾   76½ 43½ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 14.91  
  (by IQBAAL out of PORTICIPATION by INCLUDE)
10  LEVEE WAS DRY 9 6 64¼ 65¼   66 55¼ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 52.86  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
8  COMMAND' ORO 7 8 54 54¼   44 65¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 6% 16.10 11.58  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of C. S. INCHARGE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
4  CUORE SACRO 4 4 32½ 33   54 77¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 10% 9.20 5.82  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BACCHANAL LADY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  HALMSTAD 3 9 1010¼ 1011¾   910½ 87½ (rutledge lanc)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00 64.65  
  (by NYQUIST out of SUGARCRAFT by BERNARDINI)
1  AIRBORNE ELITE 1 10 87¼ 88¾   89 98 (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 22.83  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  AMERICAN RAIDER 8 7 97¾ 98¾   1011 1011 (castillo )LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 44.42  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SUGAR QUEEN by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  MR. COMMANDER               (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS ATTRACTIVE by RUNNING STAG)
 
CD-4   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSIDE BUZZ 1 4 11 11½   14 14½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00 12.78  
4  GOLD LUCK 4 5 62¾ 43   24 24½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 13.99  
2  KATTATH 2 3 31 65   46½ 37 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 50% 1.00 0.66 S
5  RIDER'S SPECIAL 5 6 74¼ 75½   57½ 47 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.49  
3  CAPTAIN JACK 3 2 21 32   35 57½ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 12.85  
7  BOAT SONG 7 7 52¾ 53   69½ 615¾ (robertson mcle)ROCCO S 121 5.00 15% 5.90 14.78  
6  BALSA 6 1 41¼ 21½   711 724¼ (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 118 3.50 11% 8.40 7.68  
 
CD-5   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:143 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UMEBOSHI 4 1 21 21 2½ 2½ 1¾ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 9.51  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SWEETGRASS by KOKAND)
5  REMEMBERING 5 2 31½ 32 31 42 2¾ (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.36 P
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
1  MY FAVORITE GIRL 1 4 42½ 43½ 42 31 31¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 2.71  
  (by CONNECT out of REMEMBER LUCY by TALE OF EKATI)
3  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 3 3 11 11 1½ 1½ 42 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 8.06  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of QUEENAMEINA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
2  TAKETHESILVER 2 9 64½ 76 54 52½ 52½ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 4.00 15% 5.50 8.55  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SILVER LA BELLE by LANGFUHR)
9  IUKA MISS 9 8 96 65½ 76 710½ 613 (stall albert )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 21% 3.70 5.07  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LAID BACK LADY by HOLD ME BACK)
7  MOTEL MISCHIEF 7 6 54 54 64 68½ 715 (leonard i)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 10% 8.60 18.80  
  (by KEEN ICE out of SUMMERTIMEMISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  COLLIER 6 7 85½ 88 87½ 813 825¾ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 24.25  
  (by MINESHAFT out of JUNGLE LANE by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  SESSA SISU 8 5 75½ 98 98 914 931½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 11.37  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SESSA by CONSOLIDATOR)
 
CD-6   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :454 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIBBER 2 8 87 63¾   3½ 11 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 23.70 W
1  SAM'S TREASURE 1 7 42 31½   1½ 21 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 29% 2.50 1.16 P
3  ZADORSKY 3 6 65½ 42½   42 33¾ (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 12.08 S
8  TWIRLING QUEEN 7 1 31½ 2nk   2½ 46½ (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5.16  
6  RAINING SUGAR 6 4 75½ 84¾   66 512½ (mott rile)TORRES A 122 8.00 6.38  
4  STREAMING NOW 4 2 1½ 1nk   55½ 620 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20 3.39  
9  TOO FAST FOR YOU 8 5 54 73¾   79 725½ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 44.32  
5  DOT 5 3 2½ 52¾   89½ 829¼ (alvarado j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 10.64  
SCR  JUDY ELAINE               (brown pa)STRANDBERG MALLORY 122 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122 1:381   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  RED RUN 12 6 64¼ 66½ 63½ 1nk 11¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 14% 5.90 5.71 W
7  YAMATO 6 11 1110¼ 1113 97¼ 2nk 21¼ (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.99 P
4  ENGLISH TAVERN 3 3 53¼ 54½ 41½ 3½ 33 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 26% 2.90 6.15 S
2  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 2 1 32 43½ 51½ 55 47¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 13.44  
5  LAUGH A LOT 4 7 75¼ 87½ 75½ 42½ 58½ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.93  
1  TRAFALGAR 1 10 107¼ 1010½ 119¼ 75¾ 610¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 15.71  
12  THE REDS 10 8 85¾ 99 107¾ 86¾ 711¾ (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 12.11  
6  SAMYAZA 5 9 96¾ 77½ 85¾ 65½ 813¼ (robertson mcle)ROCCO S 122 20.00 49.80  
10  TEMPER TANTRUM 8 5 42¼ 32½ 31 910¾ 921 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 10.00 31.12  
9  STORM THE COURT 7 4 1nk 22 2½ 1111¾ 1023 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 7% 13.60 10.39  
11  TATANKA 9 2 2nk 12 1½ 1011¼ 1123 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 11.00  
13  WHAT A COUNTRY 11 12 1213¼ 1220 1221¼ 1221¾ 1237¾ (shirer a)LANERIE J 122 20.00 54.64  
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL               (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00    
SCR  KING'S OVATION               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  SANT' ANTIMO               (hiles je)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:212 :451 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RUNGIUS 8 8 88¾ 85¼   32½ 13 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 4.00 15% 5.50 1.34 W
5  MAHONEY ROAD 4 3 2nk 12½   12½ 23 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 48% 1.10 4.84 P
3  BOLT ABOVE 2 10 64¾ 33   22½ 36 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6.22  
2  BORN FLAWLESS 1 7 43 54   43 47 (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 16.28  
8  TROPIC STORM 7 2 75¾ 64   55 58¼ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 9.77  
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE 9 9 1012¼ 98¼   89½ 612¼ (short tho)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 8% 11.50 14.82  
7  LEND IT TEWMEY 6 1 54½ 74¼   67 713 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 6.00 ★ 8.40  
11  GO VIRTUAL 10 5 99¼ 1010¾   1013 818¼ (gonzalez rein)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 54.19  
6  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 5 4 32½ 22½   77½ 919 (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.79  
4  MISTER SHARPIE 3 6 1nk 43½   911½ 1022¼ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 17.82  
SCR  DAVID'S TUITION               (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.