Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.20 $2.20 37%
CD-6   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $49.40 $41.40 518%
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $138.90 $114.90 479%
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-3 $163.15 $151.15 1260%
CD-7   WIN (7/4/14/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  14 $13.42 $3.42 34%
    EXA (7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  14-7 $41.54 $1.54 4%
    TRI (7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  14-7-4 $57.13 $27.13 90%
    DD (1/4/3/2)-(7/4/14/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-14 $291.58 $271.58 1358%
CD-8   DD (7/4/14/9/5)-(5/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  14-9 $23.01 $3.01 15%
    PK3 (1/4/3/2)-(7/4/14/9/5)-(5/9/10/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00  2-14-9 $191.06 $151.06 378%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INEXORABLE   (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 28% 2.50 2.17 W
3  DUAL MONARCHY   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.13 P
6  CAPTIVATED DRAMA   (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 4.00 5.73  
2  SOUND DOCTRINE   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13% 6.40 6.80  
5  JEWELSTOWN   (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 4.78  
7  STAR NATION   (spagnola)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 6% 14.60 14.45  
8  JUDO   (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 6.06  
SCR  OVERLY D'ORO   (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOUFAX   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 15% 5.70 3.10 W
5  CAN'T HUSH THIS   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 1.84  
2  COOL RAGS   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.00 2.45 S
3  MOHAAFETH   (donjuan se)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 9.90  
7  ALFIO   (quartarolo )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 19.29  
6  MINE OWN STAR   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 47% 1.10 4.35  
SCR  THE HONORABLE ONE   (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
 
CD-3   09/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SALT SPRAY (IRE)   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 42% 1.40 1.94 W
  (by KODIAC out of TASTE THE SALT by BORN TO SEA (IRE))
5  PINFIRE   (tomlinson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 16.33  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SUMMER READING by HARD SPUN)
2  CIGARETTE BOAT   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 22% 3.60 1.33 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
6  TASTERFOR THE KING   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 14.91  
  (by IQBAAL out of PORTICIPATION by INCLUDE)
10  LEVEE WAS DRY   (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 52.86  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
8  COMMAND' ORO   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 6% 16.10 11.58  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of C. S. INCHARGE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
4  CUORE SACRO   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 10% 9.20 5.82  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BACCHANAL LADY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  HALMSTAD   (rutledge lanc)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00 64.65  
  (by NYQUIST out of SUGARCRAFT by BERNARDINI)
1  AIRBORNE ELITE   (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 22.83  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  AMERICAN RAIDER   (castillo )LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 44.42  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SUGAR QUEEN by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  MR. COMMANDER   (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS ATTRACTIVE by RUNNING STAG)
 
CD-4   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSIDE BUZZ   (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00 12.78  
4  GOLD LUCK   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 13.99  
2  KATTATH   (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 50% 1.00 0.66 S
5  RIDER'S SPECIAL   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.49  
3  CAPTAIN JACK   (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 12.85  
7  BOAT SONG   (robertson mcle)ROCCO S 121 5.00 15% 5.90 14.78  
6  BALSA   (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 118 3.50 11% 8.40 7.68  
 
CD-5   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UMEBOSHI   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 9.51  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SWEETGRASS by KOKAND)
5  REMEMBERING   (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.36 P
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
1  MY FAVORITE GIRL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 2.71  
  (by CONNECT out of REMEMBER LUCY by TALE OF EKATI)
3  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN   (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 8.06  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of QUEENAMEINA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
2  TAKETHESILVER   (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 4.00 15% 5.50 8.55  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SILVER LA BELLE by LANGFUHR)
9  IUKA MISS   (stall albert )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 21% 3.70 5.07  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LAID BACK LADY by HOLD ME BACK)
7  MOTEL MISCHIEF   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 10% 8.60 18.80  
  (by KEEN ICE out of SUMMERTIMEMISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  COLLIER   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 24.25  
  (by MINESHAFT out of JUNGLE LANE by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  SESSA SISU   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 11.37  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SESSA by CONSOLIDATOR)
 
CD-6   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIBBER   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 23.70 W
1  SAM'S TREASURE   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 29% 2.50 1.16 P
3  ZADORSKY   (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 12.08 S
8  TWIRLING QUEEN   (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5.16  
6  RAINING SUGAR   (mott rile)TORRES A 122 8.00 6.38  
4  STREAMING NOW   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20 3.39  
9  TOO FAST FOR YOU   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 44.32  
5  DOT   (alvarado j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 10.64  
SCR  JUDY ELAINE   (brown pa)STRANDBERG MALLORY 122 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  RED RUN   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 14% 5.90 5.71 W
7  YAMATO   (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.99 P
4  ENGLISH TAVERN   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 26% 2.90 6.15 S
2  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB)   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 13.44  
5  LAUGH A LOT   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.93  
1  TRAFALGAR   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 15.71  
12  THE REDS   (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 12.11  
6  SAMYAZA   (robertson mcle)ROCCO S 122 20.00 49.80  
10  TEMPER TANTRUM   (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 10.00 31.12  
9  STORM THE COURT   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 7% 13.60 10.39  
11  TATANKA   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 11.00  
13  WHAT A COUNTRY   (shirer a)LANERIE J 122 20.00 54.64  
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00    
SCR  KING'S OVATION   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  SANT' ANTIMO   (hiles je)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RUNGIUS   (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 4.00 15% 5.50 1.34 W
5  MAHONEY ROAD   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 48% 1.10 4.84 P
3  BOLT ABOVE   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6.22  
2  BORN FLAWLESS   (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 16.28  
8  TROPIC STORM   (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 9.77  
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE   (short tho)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 8% 11.50 14.82  
7  LEND IT TEWMEY   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 6.00 ★ 8.40  
11  GO VIRTUAL   (gonzalez rein)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 54.19  
6  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS   (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.79  
4  MISTER SHARPIE   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 17.82  
SCR  DAVID'S TUITION   (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.