The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.34 $6.34 -1.66
    Exacta (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-3 2 1 $23.38 $23.38 -0.62
    Trifecta (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-3-6 3 0 $30.20 -12.00
CD-2   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
    Exacta (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5 2 0 $28.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-5-2 3 0 $14.68 -3.00
    Daily Double (4/3/2/7)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-1 2 1 $11.75 $11.75 -0.25
CD-3   Win (11/2/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $5.88 $5.88 -4.12
    Exacta (11/2/4/8/9)-(11/2/4/8/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 11-5 2 0 $86.54 -40.00
    Trifecta (11/2/4/8/9)-(11/2/4/8/9)-(11/2/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 11-5-2 3 0 $80.88 -30.00
    Daily Double (6/1/2)-(11/2/4/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 1-11 2 1 $13.07 $13.07 -1.93
    Pick Three (4/3/2/7)-(6/1/2)-(11/2/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-1-11 3 1 $28.40 $28.40 -1.60
CD-4   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $27.56 -6.00
    Exacta (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $277.68 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-4-2 3 0 $172.24 -3.00
    Daily Double (11/2/4/8/9)-(2/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 11-1 2 0 $49.83 -15.00
    Pick Three (6/1/2)-(11/2/4/8/9)-(2/7/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 1-11-1 3 0 $126.37 -22.50
CD-5   Win (5/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $21.02 -8.00
    Exacta (5/9/2/7)-(5/9/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-5 2 0 $71.28 -24.00
    Trifecta (5/9/2/7)-(5/9/2/7)-(5/9/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-5-1 3 0 $106.41 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/7/6)-(5/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $126.07 -12.00
    Pick Three (11/2/4/8/9)-(2/7/6)-(5/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 11-1-4 3 0 $260.31 -30.00
CD-6   Win (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $49.40 $49.40 41.40
    Exacta (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-1 2 1 $138.90 $138.90 114.90
    Trifecta (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-1-3 3 1 $163.15 $163.15 151.15
    Daily Double (5/9/2/7)-(1/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-2 2 0 $133.75 -16.00
    Pick Three (2/7/6)-(5/9/2/7)-(1/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-4-2 3 0 $1105.36 -24.00
CD-7   Win (7/4/14/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $13.42 $13.42 3.42
    Exacta (7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 14-7 2 1 $41.54 $41.54 1.54
    Trifecta (7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5)-(7/4/14/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 14-7-4 3 1 $57.13 $57.13 27.13
    Daily Double (1/4/3/2)-(7/4/14/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 2-14 2 1 $291.58 $291.58 271.58
    Pick Three (5/9/2/7)-(1/4/3/2)-(7/4/14/9/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 4-2-14 3 0 $1065.58 -40.00
CD-8   Win (5/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.68 $4.68 -3.32
    Exacta (5/9/10/6)-(5/9/10/7/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 9-5 2 1 $22.76 $22.76 -9.24
    Trifecta (5/9/10/6)-(5/9/10/7/6)-(5/9/10/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 9-5-3 3 0 $24.73 -24.00
    Daily Double (7/4/14/9/5)-(5/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 14-9 2 1 $23.01 $23.01 3.01
    Pick Three (1/4/3/2)-(7/4/14/9/5)-(5/9/10/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 2-14-9 3 1 $191.06 $191.06 151.06
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/14/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
:223 :454 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INEXORABLE 3 6 54½ 33   12½ 19¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 3.00 28% 2.50 2.17 W
3  DUAL MONARCHY 2 4 33 43   22½ 29¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.13 P
6  CAPTIVATED DRAMA 5 2 12½ 12½   32½ 311½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 4.00 5.73  
2  SOUND DOCTRINE 1 3 22½ 22½   44½ 413¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13% 6.40 6.80  
5  JEWELSTOWN 4 5 65 55   57½ 513¾ (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 4.78  
7  STAR NATION 6 7 715 716½   716 618 (spagnola i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 6% 14.60 14.45  
8  JUDO 7 1 44 65½   612 722½ (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 6.06  
SCR  OVERLY D'ORO               (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
:23 :454 1:103 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOUFAX 1 1 11 11½ 11 11½ 12 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 15% 5.70 3.10 W
5  CAN'T HUSH THIS 4 2 21 21½ 21 21½ 22 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 1.84  
2  COOL RAGS 2 3 65 69 58 37 38½ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.00 2.45 S
3  MOHAAFETH 3 6 42½ 43½ 47½ 58½ 414 (donjuan serg)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 9.90  
7  ALFIO 6 5 52½ 56 68½ 610 517¼ (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 19.29  
6  MINE OWN STAR 5 4 31½ 33½ 34½ 47 618 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 47% 1.10 4.35  
SCR  THE HONORABLE ONE               (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
 
CD-3   09/14/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
:224 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SALT SPRAY (IRE) 10 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 42% 1.40 1.94 W
5  PINFIRE 5 2 43½ 44   33½ 2¾ (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 16.33  
2  CIGARETTE BOAT 2 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 33 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 22% 3.60 1.33 S
6  TASTERFOR THE KING 6 5 75¼ 76¾   76½ 43½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 14.91  
10  LEVEE WAS DRY 9 6 64¼ 65¼   66 55¼ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 52.86  
8  COMMAND' ORO 7 8 54 54¼   44 65¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 6% 16.10 11.58  
4  CUORE SACRO 4 4 32½ 33   54 77¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 10% 9.20 5.82  
3  HALMSTAD 3 9 1010¼ 1011¾   910½ 87½ (rutledge lance)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00 64.65  
1  AIRBORNE ELITE 1 10 87¼ 88¾   89 98 (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 22.83  
9  AMERICAN RAIDER 8 7 97¾ 98¾   1011 1011 (castillo ri)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 44.42  
SCR  MR. COMMANDER               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
 
CD-4   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:223 :453 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSIDE BUZZ 1 4 11 11½   14 14½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00 12.78  
4  GOLD LUCK 4 5 62¾ 43   24 24½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 13.99  
2  KATTATH 2 3 31 65   46½ 37 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 50% 1.00 0.66 S
5  RIDER'S SPECIAL 5 6 74¼ 75½   57½ 47 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.49  
3  CAPTAIN JACK 3 2 21 32   35 57½ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 12.85  
7  BOAT SONG 7 7 52¾ 53   69½ 615¾ (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 121 5.00 15% 5.90 14.78  
6  BALSA 6 1 41¼ 21½   711 724¼ (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 118 3.50 11% 8.40 7.68  
 
CD-5   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
:241 :49 1:143 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UMEBOSHI 4 1 21 21 2½ 2½ 1¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 9.51  
5  REMEMBERING 5 2 31½ 32 31 42 2¾ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.36 P
1  MY FAVORITE GIRL 1 4 42½ 43½ 42 31 31¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 2.71  
3  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 3 3 11 11 1½ 1½ 42 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 8.06  
2  TAKETHESILVER 2 9 64½ 76 54 52½ 52½ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 4.00 15% 5.50 8.55  
9  IUKA MISS 9 8 96 65½ 76 710½ 613 (stall m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 21% 3.70 5.07  
7  MOTEL MISCHIEF 7 6 54 54 64 68½ 715 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 10% 8.60 18.80  
6  COLLIER 6 7 85½ 88 87½ 813 825¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 24.25  
8  SESSA SISU 8 5 75½ 98 98 914 931½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 11.37  
 
CD-6   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
:22 :454 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIBBER 2 8 87 63¾   3½ 11 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 23.70 W
1  SAM'S TREASURE 1 7 42 31½   1½ 21 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 29% 2.50 1.16 P
3  ZADORSKY 3 6 65½ 42½   42 33¾ (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 12.08 S
8  TWIRLING QUEEN 7 1 31½ 2nk   2½ 46½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5.16  
6  RAINING SUGAR 6 4 75½ 84¾   66 512½ (mott riley)TORRES A 122 8.00 6.38  
4  STREAMING NOW 4 2 1½ 1nk   55½ 620 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20 3.39  
9  TOO FAST FOR YOU 8 5 54 73¾   79 725½ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 44.32  
5  DOT 5 3 2½ 52¾   89½ 829¼ (alvarado jua)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 10.64  
SCR  JUDY ELAINE               (brown paul)STRANDBERG MALLORY 122 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/14/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
:231 :472 1:122 1:381   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  RED RUN 12 6 64¼ 66½ 63½ 1nk 11¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 14% 5.90 5.71 W
7  YAMATO 6 11 1110¼ 1113 97¼ 2nk 21¼ (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.99 P
4  ENGLISH TAVERN 3 3 53¼ 54½ 41½ 3½ 33 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 26% 2.90 6.15 S
2  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 2 1 32 43½ 51½ 55 47¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 13.44  
5  LAUGH A LOT 4 7 75¼ 87½ 75½ 42½ 58½ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.93  
1  TRAFALGAR 1 10 107¼ 1010½ 119¼ 75¾ 610¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 15.71  
12  THE REDS 10 8 85¾ 99 107¾ 86¾ 711¾ (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 12.11  
6  SAMYAZA 5 9 96¾ 77½ 85¾ 65½ 813¼ (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 122 20.00 49.80  
10  TEMPER TANTRUM 8 5 42¼ 32½ 31 910¾ 921 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 10.00 31.12  
9  STORM THE COURT 7 4 1nk 22 2½ 1111¾ 1023 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 7% 13.60 10.39  
11  TATANKA 9 2 2nk 12 1½ 1011¼ 1123 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 11.00  
13  WHAT A COUNTRY 11 12 1213¼ 1220 1221¼ 1221¾ 1237¾ (shirer a)LANERIE J 122 20.00 54.64  
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL               (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00    
SCR  KING'S OVATION               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  SANT' ANTIMO               (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
:212 :451 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RUNGIUS 8 8 88¾ 85¼   32½ 13 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 4.00 15% 5.50 1.34 W
5  MAHONEY ROAD 4 3 2nk 12½   12½ 23 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 48% 1.10 4.84 P
3  BOLT ABOVE 2 10 64¾ 33   22½ 36 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6.22  
2  BORN FLAWLESS 1 7 43 54   43 47 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 16.28  
8  TROPIC STORM 7 2 75¾ 64   55 58¼ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 9.77  
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE 9 9 1012¼ 98¼   89½ 612¼ (short thoma)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 8% 11.50 14.82  
7  LEND IT TEWMEY 6 1 54½ 74¼   67 713 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 6.00 ★ 8.40  
11  GO VIRTUAL 10 5 99¼ 1010¾   1013 818¼ (gonzalez reina )GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 54.19  
6  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 5 4 32½ 22½   77½ 919 (cano munoz)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.79  
4  MISTER SHARPIE 3 6 1nk 43½   911½ 1022¼ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 17.82  
SCR  DAVID'S TUITION               (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.