The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Canterbury Downs
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CBY-1   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2 2 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-2-3 3 1 $5.50 $5.50 2.50
CBY-2   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6 2 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-6-3 3 1 $16.85 $16.85 13.85
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-1 2 1 $2.70 $2.70 -6.30
CBY-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $6.40 -4.00
    Exacta (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 2-5 2 0 $7.60 -2.00
    Daily Double (1/3/6)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 0 $6.70 -6.00
CBY-4   Win (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-5 2 0 $11.90 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 1-5-3 3 0 $6.05 0.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-5-7 3 0 $92.20 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/5)-(1/3/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 2-1 2 0 $10.80 -8.00
CBY-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-6 2 0 $12.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-6-4 3 0 $22.10 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/6)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-2 2 1 $6.70 $6.70 -5.30
    Pick Three (1/5)-(1/3/4/6)-(2/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-1-2 3 0 $17.80 -24.00
CBY-6   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
    Exacta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-4 2 1 $29.50 $29.50 17.50
    Trifecta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-4-7 3 1 $39.85 $39.85 27.85
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-5 2 1 $16.30 $16.30 4.30
    Pick Three (1/3/4/6)-(2/3/4)-(3/4/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 1-2-5 3 1 $50.80 $50.80 2.80

Simulator Race results

 
CBY-1   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
:222 :454 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAM SEZ 4 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (biehler michael)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 1.00 W
BURNING LEAVES 1 3 5 5   31 2½ (berndt joel)VALENZUELA A 119 2.50 61% 0.60 2.40 P
EYES FLYING BYE 2 5 2nk 2nk   2½ 33 (livingston j)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 10% 9.20 4.30 S
COLOR ME LEGENDARY 5 1 3.2 3½   545 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 4.10  
BIG BOY MCCOY 3 4 4 4   42 5(sweere sandra)BARANDELA SOFIA 124 15.00 19.60  
SCR  PASSING TIME               (tracy tanner)MURRAY M 119 5.00    
SCR  WITHSTANDTHESTORM               (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.00    
 
CBY-2   07/12/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:37
:212 :441       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOEL'S ANGEL 1 2 1½ 11   13 1(silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.40 51% 1.00 0.20 W
O'BABE 5 5 55 55   42(scherer gary)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00 22% 3.50 5.50 P
BECAUSE 3 1 2½ 21   33 3(hanson vic)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.50 S
HEATIN UP 2 4 4 43   23 4(chleborad lyn)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50 11.70  
BID ONCE 4 3 31 31   55(rengstorf ton)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 6.60  
SCR  MOONSHINE MOXY               (silva a)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
 
CBY-3   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
:23 :454 1:103 1:234   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLATOUT WINNER 2 1 4 44 4 32 1½ (litfin nevada)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50 2.20  
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 4 3 3 32 2½ 1nk 2½ (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 45% 1.20 1.30 P
LINE TO GAIN 3 4 22 22 1½ 2nk 3(litfin nevad)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 8.00 5.50  
WORDS OF WISDOM 1 2 12 12 31 44 412¼ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 20% 4.00 2.10  
SCR  FURY KAP               (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60    
 
CBY-4   07/12/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:37
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYZEE 1 3 1nk 1½   111 (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 9% 9.90 1.60 W
MORGS WORLD 5 6 7 7   721 (quinonez nathan)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 3.80  
ESSENTIAL BELLA 3 7 5 52   43(richard chris)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 12% 7.50 1.90 S
YANKEE AGATE 7 1 6 64   63(miller david )BARANDELA SOFIA 122 12.00 42.50 DH
BIRDIE BE GONE 8 5 3 42   55(biehler micha)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 6.00 12.70  
HONEY BELLA 6 2 4 3   26(quinonez nat)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.50 57% 0.70 8.60  
CASINO QUEEN 4 4 2nk 2½   374 (biehler mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
NAUGHTY NELLIE 2 8 8 8   810¾ 811 (bedford katlin)GLASS DERBE 117 15.00 41.70  
 
CBY-5   07/12/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
:22 :44 1:091     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY MAGICIAN 2 5 4 43   1nk 1(silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.60 43% 1.30 0.90 W
MACHO ROCCO 6 4 3 32   3.2 2(diodoro rober)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00 8.60  
FIRE SWORD 4 3 1½ 11   2nk 3(berndt joel)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 5% 17.70 5.90 S
WISE VERDICT 1 2 6 6   54(rhone bernell)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 10.10  
KIERKEGAARD 3 6 5 55   65(rengstorf t)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 23% 3.40 9.40  
LOVE MY JIMMY 5 1 2½ 21   4610½ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 2.80  
 
CBY-6   07/12/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:37
:24 1:093 1:213     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THICK HAZE 5 2 3 3   1½ 1(rengstorf ton)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 11% 8.40 5.90 W
SKIPPY'S STRIKE 4 4 64 66   32(be)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
BIGFOOT CITY 7 1 11 1½   2½ 3(silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.80 57% 0.80 1.00 S
ARIES REIGNS 2 5 5 5   445 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 15.00 21.20  
MARK THE MOOSE 6 3 4 4   755 (litfin nevad)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 12.80  
BEAT THE HEAT 1 7 78 7   66(kenney ryan)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 21.10  
PAPA RIZZO 3 6 21 2½   57(roberts bla)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 7% 12.40 3.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.