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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			EXA	(3/4)-(3/4)						2	$2.00	$4.00	3-4		$9.46			$5.46				137%
CD-4			EXA	(3/4/8)-(3/4/8)						6	$2.00	$12.00	3-8		$22.46			$10.46				87%
			TRI	(3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8)						6	$0.50	$3.00	3-8-4		$15.78			$12.78				426%
CD-9			WIN	(6/3/12/15)						4	$2.00	$8.00	15		$23.30			$15.30				191%
			EXA	(6/3/12/15)-(6/3/12/15/11)						16	$2.00	$32.00	15-12		$220.90			$188.90				590%
			TRI	(6/3/12/15)-(6/3/12/15/11)-(6/3/12/15/11)						48	$0.50	$24.00	15-12-11		$435.29			$411.29				1714%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/17/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($10K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LIKE A SALTSHAKER									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 121						2.00		69%		0.40		0.51	W
4	JUNIOR BUG									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121						12.00		5%		19.00		4.31	P
6	SANTA CRUISER									(cano juan)HERNANDEZ J 121						8.00						14.74
2	VIOLENT GIGI									(contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						12.00						13.42
5	RISK PROFILE									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						2.50						3.34
SCR	SPEND BENJAMINS									(shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 121						3.00

CD-2			09/17/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			2		ALL		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	DEL RAYO									(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.00		16%		5.30		2.46	W
3	RUNLIKECARL									(o'donnell marc)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						10.00						15.15
8	YULETIDE GALLOP									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						3.50						1.78
2	THE RUSH IS ON									(vosler e)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119						20.00						58.73
10	MOR JAZZ									(humphries thomas)NAVAS YOEL 112						15.00						31.63
7	MASTER SWITCH									(barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						4.00		44%		1.30		3.93
6	PATCH O'BRIEN									(garcia )DE CRUZ 119						3.00		17%		5.00		6.22
9	RICHIESDERBYSTRIKE									(kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119						8.00		5%		19.00		9.15
4	BAYTOWN CONNECTED									(mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119						20.00						63.02
SCR	JACK IS BACK									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119						12.00

CD-3			09/17/2023		5940ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MIRABELLA									(pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						1.80		26%		2.80		1.35	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of VAUDEVILLIAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1	CATMINT									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						3.50						2.11
		(by KITTEN'S JOY out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
5	ENGLISH TREASURE									(cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						3.00		31%		2.30		3.95	S
		(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BOURBON N BURLEY by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2	LASERJET									(shirer m)SANTANA JR 120						10.00						19.74
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of AUNT DOT DOT by GULCH)
3	STAGE BELL									(pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 120						12.00						33.50
		(by UNION RAGS out of REHEARSED by TAPIT)
7	MS. LILIBET									(williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 120						12.00		17%		4.80		28.82
		(by NOBLE MISSION out of LA MALAGUENA by DIABLO)
8	KICK A RHYME (IRE)									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120						4.00						5.47
		(by UNKNOWN out of ADHWAA by DAAHER)
SCR	BLUE TOPAZ									(flenner andrean)BAYS BROOKE 110						20.00
		(by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CAROLINE COUNTY by TAPIZAR)

CD-4			09/17/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	INVALUABLE									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						1.60		36%		1.70		1.51	W
8	CHOCTAW BINGO									(stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 121						6.00		17%		5.00		6.12	P
4	CHARGE ACCOUNT									(cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						4.50		19%		4.30		4.34	S
5	MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						4.00						2.66
2	FOREVER DREAMING									(cunningha)TORRES A 121						15.00						13.94
7	LA TOURISTA									(vasquez sr)COURT K 121						12.00						14.23
1	MY MY MUNNY									(garcia )DE CRUZ 121						10.00						11.27
SCR	MUSIC AMORE									(o'connor robe)CANNON DECLAN 121						6.00

CD-5			09/17/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	ORANGE DIABLO									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.00		26%		2.80		6.54	DQ↓2
		(by UNION RAGS out of THEPARTYNEVERENDS by SMART STRIKE)
9	SHOGUN BE FAST									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.50						1.02
		(by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ROYALE PARADISE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8	WORKISLIFE									(o'donnell marc)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						10.00						21.74
		(by SPEIGHTSTER out of NODOUBTABOUTHER by BERNARDINI)
4	UNREASONABLE (IRE)									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119						8.00		5%		19.00		10.60
		(by NO NAY NEVER out of SILENT THOUGHTS by GALILEO (ARG))
2	DROBNY									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						10.00						12.18
		(by TOURIST out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
7	SPEEDTAIL									(mason ingrid)FELIX E 119						12.00		5%		19.00		12.42
		(by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3	YELL COUNTY									(medina rob)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						10.00						23.86
		(by VINO ROSSO out of FEATHERBED by SMART STRIKE)
1	TECHNE									(guerrero sal)ELLIOTT JANE 119						30.00						45.38
		(by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
6	TAKE CHARGE J J									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						2.50		39%		1.60		3.11
		(by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of ALL WOMAN by HALF OURS)

CD-6			09/17/2023		5940ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($75K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	TRIDENT HIT									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.50						3.42
2	ALLEGE									(mason ing)HERNANDEZ J 122						4.00		26%		2.80		4.43	P
1	PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE									(shirer m)SANTANA JR 122						8.00						3.18
7	ICARUS									(van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						3.00						4.15
6	MY BARILEY									(leonard ii)FELIX E 122						15.00						27.86
3	HE'S GOT THIS									(hartman ch)CORRALES GERARDO 122						3.50		23%		3.40		5.11
4	SUGOI									(casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 122						8.00		19%		4.30		4.84

CD-7			09/17/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	STRETCH RIDE									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119						12.00						13.99
		(by STREET SENSE out of Q GO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
8	AGOO									(beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 119						5.00		★				6.85	P
		(by MUNNINGS out of GRANDACIOUS by GRAND SLAM)
10	NO JUDGMENT									(brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119						12.00						8.88
		(by MO TOWN out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
1	HANDSOME HERB									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						2.50		49%		1.00		1.79
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIPPING POINT by REGAL REMARK)
4	NYQUIST FREQUENCY									(blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						8.00		5%		19.00		18.08
		(by NYQUIST out of IS IT GOLD by INDYGO SHINER)
2	ANDY'S CANDY									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						5.00						4.93
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
6	MAX'S MAP									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.00		27%		2.70		2.71
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of DELECTABLE by UNCLE MO)
3	WITH FULL HONORS									(simms ma)SANTANA JR 119						15.00						38.24
		(by HONOR CODE out of SUNDAY GRAVY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9	MIDNIGHT MAESTRO									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00						21.71
		(by BERNARDINI out of IRISH LUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR	BIG BANK									(leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 119						15.00
		(by JUSTIFY out of DEFY GRAVITY by NUREYEV)

CD-8			09/17/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($125K)					Purse ($134K)			3		F		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	CONDENSATION									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118						8.00						4.71
3	UNSUNG MELODY									(ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118						8.00						6.76
10	MISS ARLINGTON									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						8.00						6.33
5	NAVY GOAT									(devaux ch)TORRES A 118						15.00						6.92
4	TOPSY									(asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118						4.00		6%		15.60		5.60
1	MAGICAL LUTE									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118						6.00		27%		2.70		4.68
2	PARODY									(brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00		36%		1.80		3.88
7	SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						6.00						12.29
6	PRESENT TIME									(von don)GARCIA MARTIN 120						20.00		5%		18.40		24.74
SCR	WILMA MANKILLER									(rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118						8.00

CD-9			09/17/2023		5280ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
15	OCEAN POINTE									(estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118						15.00		5%		19.00		10.65	W
12	MACKILLOP									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122						3.50		11%		7.80		7.24	P
11	OSCAR AWARD									(ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118						20.00		★				9.09	S
8	JUNGFRAU									(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						8.00						5.52
3	LINCOLN HIGHWAY									(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118						4.50		25%		3.10		3.08
4	ALL CHOKED UP									(divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						10.00						17.34
9	HARDY CHOICE									(lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						30.00						52.59
5	UNLEASH THE POWER									(stall m)LANERIE J 122						10.00						7.44
1	REDEMPTION TIME									(calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						12.00						12.02
7	LE GRIFFON									(diodoro r)TORRES A 118						20.00						50.09
6	PENSACOLA									(brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.00		42%		1.40		3.54
SCR	BOCO									(hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 122						30.00
SCR	EVENT DETAIL									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118						6.00
SCR	MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL									(brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.00
SCR	NERVES OF STEEL									(walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 122						15.00
SCR	THREE ON THE TREE									(lovell michel)CANNON DECLAN 118						30.00

CD-10			09/17/2023		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	CHANCE									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						20.00						15.57
11	FASHION KING									(asmussen )TORRES A 121						3.00		49%		1.10		1.55	P
13	PASS LINE									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						12.00		5%		19.00		6.13	S
8	ENOUGH ALREADY									(blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124						5.00		16%		5.30		9.62
10	ALILNALOT									(catalano )LEPAROUX R 121						4.00		6%		16.80		5.90
9	DREAMWITHINADREAM									(hiles je)SANTANA JR 121						12.00						7.54
5	JAY BIRD									(meah m)HEARD TYLER 121						20.00						25.14
7	SPANISH DOUBLOON									(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						6.00		7%		13.50		22.03
1	USAIN									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124						15.00						4.48
SCR	AWAY FROM HOME									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124						20.00
SCR	BATTLE BORN									(king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124						30.00
SCR	CITY OF LOVE									(stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						4.50
SCR	PAVED IN GOLD									(rutledge la)PETERSON FERRIN 121						20.00
SCR	RIVOLI									(west etha)HERNANDEZ J 121						15.00
SCR	SMOKE WAGON									(engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121						15.00
SCR	UNWRAPPED									(engler j)RODRIGUEZ A 121						20.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.