Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-2   Win (7/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (6/3/12/15) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (11/8/7/10/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS Jul09 Jun10 May06 Apr22 Mar26 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 121 3.00    
2  VIOLENT GIGI Aug23 Apr19 Mar26 Mar09 Dec10 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
3  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Aug23 Jul05 May14 Mar10 Jan01 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 2.00 69% 0.40    
4  JUNIOR BUG May25 Mar26 Dec30 Dec08 Nov10 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  RISK PROFILE Aug04 Jun24 May19 Apr20 Mar12 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
6  SANTA CRUISER Aug20 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 May14 (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
 
CD-2   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEL RAYO         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
2  THE RUSH IS ON Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 May18 Apr27 (vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 20.00    
3  RUNLIKECARL Aug03 Jul19 Jun19     (o'donnell marcus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
4  BAYTOWN CONNECTED Aug26 Jul27       (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
SCR  JACK IS BACK Aug11         (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
6  PATCH O'BRIEN Aug12 Jun16 May11     (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
7  MASTER SWITCH Aug11 Jul15       (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
8  YULETIDE GALLOP Jul30         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50    
9  RICHIESDERBYSTRIKE Aug03         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOR JAZZ Aug12         (humphries thomas)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00    
 
CD-3   09/17/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATMINT Jul31         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
2  LASERJET Jun23         (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 120 10.00    
3  STAGE BELL Aug29 Aug01 Jun15 Jun03 Sep22 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  BLUE TOPAZ Sep03 Jul22 Apr27 Mar31   (flenner andreana)BAYS BROOKE 110 20.00    
5  ENGLISH TREASURE Sep03 Aug13 Dec01 Oct21 Jul23 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
6  MIRABELLA Aug17 Jul22 May27 Apr01 Jul01 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
7  MS. LILIBET Aug29 Jul20 Jun27     (williamson brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 17% 4.80    
8  KICK A RHYME (IRE) Aug17         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
 
CD-4   09/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MY MUNNY Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 Jun18 May13 (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
2  FOREVER DREAMING Sep03 May18 Apr07 Feb12 Jan07 (cunningham )TORRES A 121 15.00    
3  INVALUABLE Jul20 May11 Apr13 Jan04 Dec08 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 36% 1.70    
4  CHARGE ACCOUNT Aug28 Jul27 Jun17 May21 Mar10 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jul23 Jun23 Jun11 May14 Apr29 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00    
SCR  MUSIC AMORE Aug12 Jul01 May27 May14 May02 (o'connor robert)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00    
7  LA TOURISTA Aug12 Jul23 Jul07 Jun18 May28 (vasquez sr)COURT K 121 12.00    
8  CHOCTAW BINGO Aug28 Jun06 May06 Apr12 Sep12 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 17% 5.00    
 
CD-5   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TECHNE Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr13   (guerrero sal)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
2  DROBNY         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
3  YELL COUNTY         (medina rober)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00    
4  UNREASONABLE         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ORANGE DIABLO         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  TAKE CHARGE J J Aug19         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  SPEEDTAIL         (mason ingrid)FELIX E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  WORKISLIFE         (o'donnell marcus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
9  SHOGUN BE FAST         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
 
CD-6   09/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Aug20 Jul16 Jun18 Jun01 May19 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
2  ALLEGE Jul23 Jun25 May29 May03 Mar19 (mason ingri)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  HE'S GOT THIS Aug12 Jul02 May26 Apr23 Feb26 (hartman chri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  SUGOI Aug27 Aug11 Jun18 Mar25 Mar04 (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
5  TRIDENT HIT Aug09 Jul02 May25 Feb25 Jan21 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
6  MY BARILEY May26 Apr21 Mar10 Feb21 Jan28 (leonard georg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00    
7  ICARUS Aug12 Jun22 May25 May05 Apr22 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00    
 
CD-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDSOME HERB Aug06         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  ANDY'S CANDY         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00    
3  WITH FULL HONORS         (simms mark)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
4  NYQUIST FREQUENCY         (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRETCH RIDE         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
6  MAX'S MAP         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  BIG BANK         (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
8  AGOO         (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 ★    
9  MIDNIGHT MAESTRO         (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
10  NO JUDGMENT         (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
CD-8   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL LUTE Aug13 Jun24 Jun02 Apr21 Sep16 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  PARODY Feb12 Jan08 Nov19 Oct30   (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  UNSUNG MELODY Sep02 Jul14 Jun18 May05 Mar11 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
4  TOPSY Aug13 Jul08 Jun11 May19 Mar25 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 6% 15.60    
5  NAVY GOAT Mar11 Jan07 Nov19 Sep14 Aug20 (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 15.00    
6  PRESENT TIME Aug20 Jul31 Jul08 Oct02   (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 5% 18.40    
7  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM Aug06 Jun30 May13 Apr01 Oct28 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
SCR  WILMA MANKILLER Aug31 Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
9  CONDENSATION Jul16 Jun11 May05 Apr01 Feb25 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
10  MISS ARLINGTON Aug01 Jul07 Jun15 May20 May02 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
 
CD-9   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDEMPTION TIME Aug26 Jul21 Jun11 May14 Apr14 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  THREE ON THE TREE Sep07 Jul23 Jun17 Apr15 Mar19 (lovell michelle)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
3  LINCOLN HIGHWAY Aug05 Jun24 May28 Apr08   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
4  ALL CHOKED UP Sep02 Jun08 May21     (divito p)BAIRD T 122 10.00    
5  UNLEASH THE POWER Aug16 Jul13 Jun01 Apr29 Mar02 (stall m)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
6  PENSACOLA Aug20 Jul30 Aug28     (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  LE GRIFFON Jul14 May27 Sep07 Aug17   (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 20.00    
8  JUNGFRAU Jun02 Apr01 Feb11 Dec31 Nov20 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
9  HARDY CHOICE Mar17 Jan07 Dec10 Oct15 Aug12 (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
SCR  EVENT DETAIL Feb25 Jan27 Jan01 Nov19   (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
11  OSCAR AWARD Aug26 Dec02 Oct29 Sep14 Jul24 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 ★    
12  MACKILLOP Jul27 Sep17 Aug17 May05 Mar27 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL Aug11 Jun17       (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  BOCO Aug17 Jul06 May15 Apr21 Mar24 (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 122 30.00    
15  OCEAN POINTE Aug04 Jul19 Jun17 May17 Apr21 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NERVES OF STEEL Aug26 Jul19 Jun01 Apr07 Mar05 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
 
CD-10   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  USAIN         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00    
SCR  CITY OF LOVE Mar25         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
SCR  BATTLE BORN Sep02 Aug01 Apr22 Mar04 Jan26 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 30.00    
4  CHANCE Jul21 Jun14 Dec16 Nov13 Oct21 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
5  JAY BIRD Jan11 Dec22 Dec03     (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 20.00    
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD         (rutledge lanc)PETERSON FERRIN 121 20.00    
7  SPANISH DOUBLOON Sep02 Aug13 Oct15 Sep08 Aug21 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 7% 13.50    
8  ENOUGH ALREADY Aug05 Jul14 Jun26 May05 Apr09 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
9  DREAMWITHINADREAM Aug10 Jul16 Jun04 Jan27 Jan14 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 121 12.00    
10  ALILNALOT Jul30 Jun10 May13 Mar24 Feb25 (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 121 4.00 6% 16.80    
11  FASHION KING Aug19 Jul14 Nov05 Oct09   (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  SMOKE WAGON Sep02 Aug01 Jul16 Jul02 May21 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
13  PASS LINE Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 Jun15   (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIVOLI Aug19 Jun20 May03 Apr14 Feb24 (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  AWAY FROM HOME Jan13 Nov18 Oct16 Sep23 Aug13 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  UNWRAPPED Jul23 Jun22 May21     (engler jef)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.