Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-5   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.60 $3.60 60%
HAW-7   WIN (5/2/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $18.60 $8.60 86%
    EXA (5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-10 $79.40 $59.40 297%
    TRI (5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-10-4 $278.10 $248.10 827%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED DREAM 3 3 3 2½   1 1 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 117 1.60 29% 2.40 1.70 W
FABRICATOR 6 6 6 5   3 2 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.40 P
MASQUERADE BALL 4 4 47 48   4 3 (rosas rig)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 25.60  
STOLICH 2 5 5 69   5 4 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 118 5.00 5% 17.70 8.40  
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 1 1 1 1½   2 5 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 2.80  
SUNDAY MISCHIEF 5 2 2 32   6 616¼ (campbell j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 6.00 12.70  
 
HAW-2   08/31/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:223 :461       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNINA DREAMS 7 4 1½ 1nk   11 11 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 119 4.50 3.20  
  (by COLLECTED out of PAOLETTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BEEHIVE 8 3 2½ 2nk   21 21 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00 28% 2.60 2.10 P
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
QUERENDONA 1 1 3 32   3 36 (gutierrez faustio)EMIGH A 119 5.00 10.20  
  (by OUTWORK out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DEVIL 5 2 4 4   46 49 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.50 34% 1.90 4.50  
  (by FAST ANNA out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
EDGE OF TOWN 6 8 6 6   610 511½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMERICAN FALLS by CURLIN)
THERE SHE GOES 4 6 55 5   5 613½ (block chris)COLON H 119 4.00 16% 5.30 6.60  
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
MISS MIKOS 2 5 7 711¼   713½ 718¼ (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00 6.80  
  (by ENTICED out of SARAH ACCOMPLISHED by PERFORMING MAGIC)
BLUESUP GREENSDOWN 3 7 813¾ 816¼   817½ 822¾ (cook brian)REYES FRANK 119 15.00 68.00  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of PATRIOT STORM by BERNARDINI)
 
HAW-3   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILMA MANKILLER 1 3 2½ 31   1nk 15 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 0.30  
VIOLA 4 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 25 (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 122 4.00 27% 2.70 5.10 P
CAT ROYALE 5 5 5 5   4 3 (boyce michele)FELIX E 120 6.00 11.90  
LURE'EM IN 3 4 4 2nk   35 410¾ (block chris)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50 26% 2.90 8.50  
SWEET NELLIE 2 1 31 42   59 519 (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 5.00 23.00  
SCR  MYSWEETANNALYZE               (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 120 5.00    
 
HAW-4   08/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Peach Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:11 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEYIST 4 3 3 32 3 2nk 1nk (boyce michele)COLON H 119 4.00 5.70  
  (by TOURIST out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
WHITE LIES 6 6 613 511 57 3 2nk (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00 5% 19.00 18.30 P
  (by PALACE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
KATIE M'LADY 2 2 1nk 1½ 1 1nk 3 (boyce michele)FELIX E 126 0.80 63% 0.60 0.20 S
  (by DOMINUS out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
QUILTING PARTY 3 4 59 611 610 59 4 (kirby frank )CENTENO ALEXIS 116 12.00 38.20  
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of CART'S ZENFORUS by CARTWRIGHT)
SUMMER DAY 1 1 2nk 2½ 2 46 516¼ (mitchell antho)LEZCANO ABEL 116 4.50 9% 10.10 13.50  
  (by SKY MESA out of SUMMER AGAIN by EMPIRE MAKER)
BEYOND PROPER 5 5 45 45 46 611½ 620½ (haran john)HERNANDEZ K 114 15.00 36.90  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
 
HAW-5   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:221 :444       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE IT BABY 2 1 1 1nk   1 1 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 4.00 13% 6.60 3.80 W
FROSTED ECLAIR 5 5 2 2nk   2 2 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00 20.80  
SWEET LITTLE LISA 1 2 3 33   33 3 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.00 38% 1.60 2.50 S
BALI BABY 4 3 53 6   5 44 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.00 27% 2.80 1.20  
CRYSTAL SNOW 3 6 64 5   6 5 (cristel mark )HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 6.00  
LITTLE BELLA 6 4 42 4   45 6 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 15.00 43.20  
SCR  NIFF               (witthauer )WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00    
 
HAW-6   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE MAGIC 7 1 32 3½   1nk 1¼ (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 6.00 16.60  
GO STORMIN GIRL 6 6 6 42   3 2¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00 38% 1.60 3.20 P
MAYSTART 8 7 7 65   5 3½ (ramirez ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 3.90  
STOPSHOPPINGAMY 3 4 1½ 1½   2nk 4 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 31% 2.20 2.60  
RUNNERS HEAT 1 2 53 7   6 5 (wilson sharo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00 40.10  
TIMELESS GLORY 4 5 42 54   4 64 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 9.00  
MAIDEN ROCK 2 8 811 8   7 7 (candelas blanc)COLON H 122 20.00 ######  
FREE LOVE 5 3 2½ 2½   811 822¾ (lopez elias)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 3.20  
 
HAW-7   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:114 1:24   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAPPER DUDE 5 10 912 910 8 5¾ 1nk (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 8.00 48% 1.10 8.30 W
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ASKBUT I WON'TTELL by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
10  EVEN THE WIND 10 9 54 5 5 1nk 2nk (block chris)EMIGH A 120 3.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
  (by GORMLEY out of TWELVE BELOW by FORT PRADO)
ELECTRIC CHARGE 4 4 6 7 7 3.2 3 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 16.80 S
  (by HONOR CODE out of BEAT TO QUARTERS by WAR FRONT)
BORDER PATROL 9 7 32 33 2nk 4¼ 4 (block chris)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.00 4.30  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of COMMANDING JOY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
PAINTSVILLE 3 2 43 4 4 6 5 (gonzalez li)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00 4.20  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
REGIMENTAL 7 5 1nk 2½ 1nk 2nk 66 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 6.00 5.30  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
MONEY AGENT 8 8 87 6 6 8 7 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 12.60  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
DARK SOLUTION 1 1 2nk 1½ 3.2 7 8 (weir georg)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 20.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of DARK SANDS by DESERT CLASSIC)
NEWS AT NINE 2 3 1014½ 1015 9 9 9 (davis christop)COLON H 120 5.00 20% 4.00 13.80  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MODEL BY ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
PIRATE MARMALADE 6 6 76 89 10 1016¾ 1022¾ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 30.00 91.30  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.