The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Hawthorne
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
    Exacta (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-6 2 1 $6.10 $6.10 0.10
    Trifecta (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-6-4 3 0 $25.35 -3.00
HAW-2   Win (5/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $8.40 -8.00
    Exacta (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-8 2 0 $8.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-8-1 3 0 $38.95 -12.00
    Daily Double (6/3/2)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-7 2 0 $13.30 -12.00
HAW-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $2.60 -4.00
    Exacta (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 2-5 2 0 $4.80 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 2-5-6 3 0 $7.45 0.00
    Daily Double (5/8/4/6)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 7-2 2 0 $5.60 -8.00
    Pick Three (6/3/2)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-7-1/2 3 0 $11.15 -12.00
HAW-4   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.40 -6.00
    Exacta (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6 2 0 $51.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-6-2 3 0 $50.50 -3.00
    Daily Double (5/4)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 0 $11.80 -6.00
    Pick Three (5/8/4/6)-(5/4)-(2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-1/2-4 3 0 $14.30 -12.00
HAW-5   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
    Exacta (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-6 2 0 $60.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-6-1 3 0 $89.40 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/1/6)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 4-2 2 0 $17.30 -9.00
    Pick Three (5/4)-(2/1/6)-(1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 1/2-4-2 3 0 $15.25 -9.00
HAW-6   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $35.20 -6.00
    Exacta (6/3/1)-(6/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-6 2 0 $94.50 -9.00
    Trifecta (6/3/1)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-6-8 3 0 $139.15 -9.00
    Daily Double (1/5/2)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-7 2 0 $95.40 -9.00
    Pick Three (2/1/6)-(1/5/2)-(6/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 4-2-7 3 0 $354.45 -13.50
HAW-7   Win (5/2/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 8.60
    Exacta (5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 5-10 2 1 $79.40 $79.40 59.40
    Trifecta (5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 5-10-4 3 1 $278.10 $278.10 248.10
    Daily Double (6/3/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 7-5 2 0 $140.00 -15.00
    Pick Three (1/5/2)-(6/3/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 2-7-5 3 0 $438.20 -22.50

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
:221 :453 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED DREAM 3 3 3 2½   11(watkins james )GILES EMMANUEL 117 1.60 29% 2.40 1.70 W
FABRICATOR 6 6 6 5   32(campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.40 P
MASQUERADE BALL 4 4 47 48   43(rosas rigo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 25.60  
STOLICH 2 5 5 69   54(witthauer k)REYES FRANK 118 5.00 5% 17.70 8.40  
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 1 1 1 1½   25(robertson hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 2.80  
SUNDAY MISCHIEF 5 2 2 32   6616¼ (campbell joe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 6.00 12.70  
 
HAW-2   08/31/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 3:57
:223 :461       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNINA DREAMS 7 4 1½ 1nk   11 11 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 119 4.50 3.20  
BEEHIVE 8 3 2½ 2nk   21 21 (boyce michele)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00 28% 2.60 2.10 P
QUERENDONA 1 1 3 32   336 (gutierrez faustio)EMIGH A 119 5.00 10.20  
DEVIL 5 2 4 4   46 49 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.50 34% 1.90 4.50  
EDGE OF TOWN 6 8 6 6   610 511½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
THERE SHE GOES 4 6 55 5   5613½ (block chris)COLON H 119 4.00 16% 5.30 6.60  
MISS MIKOS 2 5 7 711¼   713½ 718¼ (robertson hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00 6.80  
BLUESUP GREENSDOWN 3 7 813¾ 816¼   817½ 822¾ (cook brian)REYES FRANK 119 15.00 68.00  
 
HAW-3   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:24
:222 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILMA MANKILLER 1 3 2½ 31   1nk 15 (rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 0.30  
VIOLA 4 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 25 (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 122 4.00 27% 2.70 5.10 P
CAT ROYALE 5 5 5 5   43(boyce michele)FELIX E 120 6.00 11.90  
LURE'EM IN 3 4 4 2nk   35 410¾ (block chris)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50 26% 2.90 8.50  
SWEET NELLIE 2 1 31 42   59 519 (rosin w)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 5.00 23.00  
SCR  MYSWEETANNALYZE               (randazzo c)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 5.00    
 
HAW-4   08/31/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Peach Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
:242 :48 1:11 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEYIST 4 3 3 32 3 2nk 1nk (boyce michele)COLON H 119 4.00 5.70  
WHITE LIES 6 6 613 511 57 32nk (miller patti )SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00 5% 19.00 18.30 P
KATIE M'LADY 2 2 1nk 1½ 1 1nk 3(boyce michele)FELIX E 126 0.80 63% 0.60 0.20 S
QUILTING PARTY 3 4 59 611 610 59 4(kirby j)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 12.00 38.20  
SUMMER DAY 1 1 2nk 2½ 2 46 516¼ (mitchell anthony)LEZCANO ABEL 116 4.50 9% 10.10 13.50  
BEYOND PROPER 5 5 45 45 46 611½ 620½ (haran john)HERNANDEZ K 114 15.00 36.90  
 
HAW-5   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
:221 :444       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE IT BABY 2 1 1 1nk   11(rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 4.00 13% 6.60 3.80 W
FROSTED ECLAIR 5 5 2 2nk   22(watkins james )GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00 20.80  
SWEET LITTLE LISA 1 2 3 33   33 3(rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.00 38% 1.60 2.50 S
BALI BABY 4 3 53 6   544 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.00 27% 2.80 1.20  
CRYSTAL SNOW 3 6 64 5   65(cristel j)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 6.00  
LITTLE BELLA 6 4 42 4   45 6(witthauer k)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 43.20  
SCR  NIFF               (witthauer jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00    
 
HAW-6   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:222 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE MAGIC 7 1 32 3½   1nk 1¼ (witthauer k)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 16.60  
GO STORMIN GIRL 6 6 6 42   32¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00 38% 1.60 3.20 P
MAYSTART 8 7 7 65   53½ (ramirez carl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 3.90  
STOPSHOPPINGAMY 3 4 1½ 1½   2nk 4(hernandez a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 31% 2.20 2.60  
RUNNERS HEAT 1 2 53 7   65(wilson sharon )GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00 40.10  
TIMELESS GLORY 4 5 42 54   464 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 9.00  
MAIDEN ROCK 2 8 811 8   77(candelas blanca)COLON H 122 20.00 ######  
FREE LOVE 5 3 2½ 2½   811 822¾ (lopez elias)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 3.20  
 
HAW-7   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
:233 :463 1:114 1:24   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAPPER DUDE 5 10 912 910 8 5¾ 1nk (rodriguez edua)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 8.00 48% 1.10 8.30 W
10  EVEN THE WIND 10 9 54 5 5 1nk 2nk (block chris)EMIGH A 120 3.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
ELECTRIC CHARGE 4 4 6 7 7 3.2 3(quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 16.80 S
BORDER PATROL 9 7 32 33 2nk 4¼ 4(block chris)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.00 4.30  
PAINTSVILLE 3 2 43 4 4 65(gonzalez lili)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00 4.20  
REGIMENTAL 7 5 1nk 2½ 1nk 2nk 66 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 6.00 5.30  
MONEY AGENT 8 8 87 6 6 87(perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 12.60  
DARK SOLUTION 1 1 2nk 1½ 3.2 78(weir george )WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 20.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
NEWS AT NINE 2 3 1014½ 1015 9 99(davis christophe)COLON H 120 5.00 20% 4.00 13.80  
PIRATE MARMALADE 6 6 76 89 10 1016¾ 1022¾ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 30.00 91.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.