Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/6)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/6)-(5/4)-(2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/1/6)-(1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/5/2)-(6/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(6/3/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-6   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/2/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1)-(5/2/10/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Jul19 Jun18 May28 May11 Apr16 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50    
2  STOLICH Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 Jun27 Jun13 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 118 5.00 5% 17.70    
3  UNCAPTURED DREAM Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 Jun25 Jun07 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 117 1.60 29% 2.40    
4  MASQUERADE BALL Jul27 Jul06 Jun07 May11 Mar09 (rosas rigo)ORTEGA O 122 10.00    
5  SUNDAY MISCHIEF Aug13 Jul06 May31 Apr13 Mar23 (campbell j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 6.00    
6  FABRICATOR Aug13 Jul23 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
HAW-2   08/31/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUERENDONA         (gutierrez faustio)EMIGH A 119 5.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  MISS MIKOS         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SARAH ACCOMPLISHED by PERFORMING MAGIC)
3  BLUESUP GREENSDOWN         (cook brian)REYES FRANK 119 15.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of PATRIOT STORM by BERNARDINI)
4  THERE SHE GOES         (block chris)COLON H 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
5  DEVIL Aug10 Jul09       (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
6  EDGE OF TOWN         (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMERICAN FALLS by CURLIN)
7  ANNINA DREAMS         (hernandez armando)FELIX E 119 4.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of PAOLETTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  BEEHIVE Aug10         (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
 
HAW-3   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYSWEETANNALYZE Jul12 Jun07       (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 120 5.00    
2  WILMA MANKILLER Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May04 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80    
3  SWEET NELLIE Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun02 Apr02 (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 5.00    
4  LURE'EM IN Aug13 Jul20 Jun21 May20 Mar12 (block chris)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  VIOLA Aug13         (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  CAT ROYALE Aug09 Jul20 Jun18 May31 May11 (boyce michele)FELIX E 120 6.00    
 
HAW-4   08/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Peach Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER DAY Jul30 Jul06 Jun18 May31 Dec02 (mitchell antho)LEZCANO ABEL 116 4.50 9% 10.10    
  (by SKY MESA out of SUMMER AGAIN by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  KATIE M'LADY Aug10 Jul06 May31 Oct23 Oct08 (boyce michele)FELIX E 126 0.80 63% 0.60    
  (by DOMINUS out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
3  QUILTING PARTY Aug10 Jun18 May31 May07 Apr20 (kirby frank )CENTENO ALEXIS 116 12.00    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of CART'S ZENFORUS by CARTWRIGHT)
4  JOURNEYIST Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 May07 (boyce michele)COLON H 119 4.00    
  (by TOURIST out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
5  BEYOND PROPER Aug10 Jun21 Dec02 Nov04 Oct08 (haran john)HERNANDEZ K 114 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
6  WHITE LIES Aug17 Jul06 Jun14 May21 Apr30 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
 
HAW-5   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LITTLE LISA Jul26 Jul06 Jun11     (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  MOVE IT BABY Aug06 Jun22 Jun08 Sep08 Jul26 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 4.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  NIFF Aug24 Aug10 Jul30 Jun11 May25 (witthauer )WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00    
4  CRYSTAL SNOW Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 Jun08 (cristel mark )HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
5  BALI BABY Aug23 Aug09 Aug03 Jul09 Mar17 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
6  FROSTED ECLAIR Aug06 Jul30 May31 May11 Apr20 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
7  LITTLE BELLA Aug16 Jun11       (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
 
HAW-6   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNERS HEAT Aug06 Jul16 Jun22 Jun11 May18 (wilson sharo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAIDEN ROCK Aug24 Aug09 Jul13 Jul01 Jun04 (candelas blanc)COLON H 122 20.00    
3  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Aug10 Aug03 Jun07 May28 Apr30 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  TIMELESS GLORY Aug10 Jul12 Jun25 Jun11 Apr26 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
5  FREE LOVE Aug20 Aug02 Jul20 Jul09 Jun21 (lopez elias)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 ★    
6  GO STORMIN GIRL Jul26 Jul12 Jun22 Jun11 May25 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
7  PALACE MAGIC Jul16 Jun21 Jun01 May18 May02 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
8  MAYSTART Aug03 Jul09 Apr27 Mar30 Mar19 (ramirez ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
 
HAW-7   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK SOLUTION Aug20 Aug10 Jul26 Jun14   (weir georg)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of DARK SANDS by DESERT CLASSIC)
2  NEWS AT NINE         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MODEL BY ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  PAINTSVILLE Aug10 Nov30 Oct19     (gonzalez li)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  ELECTRIC CHARGE Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 May21 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of BEAT TO QUARTERS by WAR FRONT)
5  DAPPER DUDE Aug10         (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 8.00 48% 1.10    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ASKBUT I WON'TTELL by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
6  PIRATE MARMALADE Aug20 Jul26       (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 30.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  REGIMENTAL Aug16 Jul23 Jul06 May25 Apr08 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
8  MONEY AGENT Aug16 Jul23 Jun25 Jun08   (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
9  BORDER PATROL Aug16 Jul21 Jun23     (block chris)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of COMMANDING JOY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
10  EVEN THE WIND Aug16 Jul23 Jun29 Jun08 May04 (block chris)EMIGH A 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of TWELVE BELOW by FORT PRADO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.