Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $6.20 $2.20 55%
HAW-2   DD (2/7)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-4 $9.30 $3.30 55%
HAW-3   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $8.00 $4.00 100%
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-8 $13.40 $11.40 570%
    DD (6/4/1)-(8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $9.70 $3.70 62%
    PK3 (2/7)-(6/4/1)-(8/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00  7-4-2 $16.95 $10.95 183%
HAW-4   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $15.70 $9.70 162%
    DD (8/2)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $18.70 $12.70 212%
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-2-1 $24.65 $15.65 174%
HAW-5   WIN (6/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $35.80 $27.80 348%
    DD (1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $18.20 $6.20 52%
    PK3 (8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-5 $129.65 $117.65 980%
    PK4 (6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 72 $0.50 $36.00  4-2-1-5 $258.00 $222.00 617%
    PK5 (2/7)-(6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 144 $0.50 $72.00  7-4-2-1-5 $158.90 $86.90 121%
    PK5 (2/7)-(6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 144 $0.50 $72.00  7-4-2-1-5 $904.95 $832.95 1157%
HAW-6   DD (6/8/9/5)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-1 $27.90 $19.90 249%
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-1/2/6 $38.95 $26.95 225%
HAW-7   PK4 (1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5)-(1/3)-(1/8/2/9/6) 120 $0.50 $60.00  1-5-1/2/6-1/10 $71.55 $11.55 19%
    PK6 (6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5)-(1/3)-(1/8/2/9/6) 720 $0.50 $360  4-2-1-5-1/2/6-1/10 $568.30 $208.30 58%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   08/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORRAINE'S LEGACY   (clay pat)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 29% 2.40 2.10 W
SPIRITCATCHER   (gorder kelly)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 1.80  
BLUE NEITH   (watkins m)FELIX E 122 1.80 33% 2.10 1.60 S
NIFF   (witthauer )WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00 23.70  
MAIDEN ROCK   (candelas blanc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00 22.20  
SCR  BEG BORROW N STEAL   (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
SCR  DOWNTON TABBY   (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
SCR  LITTLE BELLA   (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
 
HAW-2   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIBBONSINHERHAIR   (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 1.80 17% 4.80 0.90 W
I DON'T KNOW MARGO   (pompell robe)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 4.50  
VISIONISTA   (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00 17.00  
STYLE   (campbell joel)COLON H 122 2.50 56% 0.80 3.00  
SECRET OPERATION   (slager mike)LOPEZ A 118 6.00 15.10  
EVERYTHING'S ROSY   (gorham m)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
 
HAW-3   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN ON ATTACK   (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.50 5% 19.00 3.00 W
TAHOE RUN   (robertson hugh)FELIX E 118 3.50 73% 0.40 1.90 P
KINGSBURRY ATTACK   (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 8.30  
DASTARDLY DEEDS   (flores j)REYES FRANK 122 30.00 60.30  
COOL AND COLLECTED   (block chris)COLON H 118 2.50 1.30  
SCR  COMING UP ACES   (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
SCR  DASH TO THE CASH   (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
SCR  EMPTY HOLSTER   (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00    
SCR  RICHIESONAROLL   (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 113 12.00    
 
HAW-4   08/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO NANNETTE NO   (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 4.50 29% 2.50 4.30 W
EMITYAAZ   (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 14% 6.20 1.20 P
MARIA'S GIFT   (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 4.50  
C C'S WORLD   (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 9.50  
SHADOW BELLE   (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.70  
HARD LIKE HOLLY   (castro isidro)REYES ANGEL 122 15.00 36.90  
SCR  TALKTOMEJUSTICE   (reid r)COLON H 122 4.00    
 
HAW-5   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANCIPANTS   (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 10.00 10% 9.00 16.90 W
R KATIEBUG   (boyce michele)FELIX E 118 6.00 2.90  
WANDA STRONG   (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 16% 5.30 4.00 S
PENUMBRAS MAKER   (gutierrez fau)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 19% 4.30 7.80  
JUDY'S MS. OFFICER   (reavis michael)COLON H 122 20.00 38.40  
SAKE (FR)   (correas igna)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40 5.20  
I'M BOX OFFICE   (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 2.90  
SALLY'S SUPRISE   (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 48.50  
10  LUNA MOTH   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00 16.70  
SCR  BLAZE BEAUTY   (essenpreis edw)COLON H 118 30.00    
SCR  I OWE UNCLE MO   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
 
HAW-6   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADELYN BELLE   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 0.80 61% 0.60 0.10 W
COMMISSIONER GULCH   (becker scott)EMIGH A 120 6.00 8.00  
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY   (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 14% 6.00 6.80 S
RANK AND FILE   (hughes ear)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00 40.00  
SCR  COWGIRL FRANKIE   (rednour j)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
SCR  JULYNNE   (manley steve)FELIX E 118 8.00    
 
HAW-7   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST HILL   (medina robert)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50 63% 0.60 0.90 W
  (by WEST COAST out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
APPLE EVER AFTER   (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 5% 18.00 2.10 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MY MCINTOSH by PULPIT)
THEMISCHIEVOUSONE   (block chris)COLON H 120 15.00 5% 19.00 32.30 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GOLD OAK   (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 5.00 11.60  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIVE OAKS LEGACY by GULCH)
TOUR DE' PORT   (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 30.00 81.70  
  (by TOURIST out of LEISURELY RENNY by SIR LOREN)
BONITA D'ORO   (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 12.10  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MEADOW MYSTIQUE by GHOSTZAPPER)
11  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY   (ramirez ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 10.00 55.00  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
BROADWAY CHARM   (cook brian)REYES FRANK 120 30.00 5% 19.00 25.80  
  (by STREET SENSE out of DEJA BLU by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SILVER EYES   (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 30.00 75.40  
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of DAKOTA LILL by LIL E. TEE)
GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN   (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 6% 14.60 18.10  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JULIE DARLIN by SEATTLE FITZ)
SCR  LEAPIN LEVA   (delong ben)REYES FRANK 120 20.00    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.