Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $6.20 $2.20 55%
HAW-2   DD (2/7)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-4 $9.30 $3.30 55%
HAW-3   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $8.00 $4.00 100%
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-8 $13.40 $11.40 570%
    DD (6/4/1)-(8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $9.70 $3.70 62%
    PK3 (2/7)-(6/4/1)-(8/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00  7-4-2 $16.95 $10.95 183%
HAW-4   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $15.70 $9.70 162%
    DD (8/2)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $18.70 $12.70 212%
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-2-1 $24.65 $15.65 174%
HAW-5   WIN (6/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $35.80 $27.80 348%
    DD (1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $18.20 $6.20 52%
    PK3 (8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-5 $129.65 $117.65 980%
    PK4 (6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 72 $0.50 $36.00  4-2-1-5 $258.00 $222.00 617%
    PK5 (2/7)-(6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 144 $0.50 $72.00  7-4-2-1-5 $158.90 $86.90 121%
    PK5 (2/7)-(6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 144 $0.50 $72.00  7-4-2-1-5 $904.95 $832.95 1157%
HAW-6   DD (6/8/9/5)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-1 $27.90 $19.90 249%
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-1/2/6 $38.95 $26.95 225%
HAW-7   PK4 (1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5)-(1/3)-(1/8/2/9/6) 120 $0.50 $60.00  1-5-1/2/6-1/10 $71.55 $11.55 19%
    PK6 (6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5)-(1/3)-(1/8/2/9/6) 720 $0.50 $360  4-2-1-5-1/2/6-1/10 $568.30 $208.30 58%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   08/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:121     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LORRAINE'S LEGACY 5 3 1½ 1½   12 1¾ (clay pat)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 29% 2.40 2.10 W
5  SPIRITCATCHER 3 4 45 44   22 2¾ (gorder kelly)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 1.80  
2  BLUE NEITH 1 1 2½ 2½   33½ 33¼ (watkins m)FELIX E 122 1.80 33% 2.10 1.60 S
6  NIFF 4 5 32 32   45 43¾ (witthauer )WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00 23.70  
3  MAIDEN ROCK 2 2 55 54   57 56½ (candelas blanc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00 22.20  
SCR  BEG BORROW N STEAL               (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
SCR  DOWNTON TABBY               (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
SCR  LITTLE BELLA               (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
 
HAW-2   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:222 :461       1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RIBBONSINHERHAIR 4 2 21 2nk   2nk 1hd (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 1.80 17% 4.80 0.90 W
5  I DON'T KNOW MARGO 5 1 11 1nk   1nk 2hd (pompell robe)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 4.50  
3  VISIONISTA 3 3 32 51¾   31½ 31½ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00 17.00  
6  STYLE 6 5 55½ 4¾   52¼ 41¾ (campbell joel)COLON H 122 2.50 56% 0.80 3.00  
2  SECRET OPERATION 2 4 44 3½   42 52¾ (slager mike)LOPEZ A 118 6.00 15.10  
1  EVERYTHING'S ROSY 1 6 66 66¼   68¼ 610 (gorham m)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
 
HAW-3   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAN ON ATTACK 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 12½ (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.50 5% 19.00 3.00 W
8  TAHOE RUN 4 5 42½ 44 31 33 22½ (robertson hugh)FELIX E 118 3.50 73% 0.40 1.90 P
4  KINGSBURRY ATTACK 2 2 2½ 31 42 22 33 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 8.30  
9  DASTARDLY DEEDS 5 4 53½ 56 53½ 43 44½ (flores j)REYES FRANK 122 30.00 60.30  
5  COOL AND COLLECTED 3 3 3½ 2½ 2nk 53¼ 56 (block chris)COLON H 118 2.50 1.30  
SCR  COMING UP ACES               (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
SCR  DASH TO THE CASH               (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
SCR  EMPTY HOLSTER               (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00    
SCR  RICHIESONAROLL               (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 113 12.00    
 
HAW-4   08/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:132 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO NANNETTE NO 1 1 32 31½ 31½ 2nk 11½ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 4.50 29% 2.50 4.30 W
4  EMITYAAZ 3 2 1nk 11 1½ 1nk 21½ (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 14% 6.20 1.20 P
3  MARIA'S GIFT 2 3 56½ 67¼ 55½ 55 33¼ (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 4.50  
5  C C'S WORLD 4 4 42½ 41½ 2½ 33 48¼ (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 9.50  
7  SHADOW BELLE 6 6 67½ 57 45 43½ 512¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.70  
6  HARD LIKE HOLLY 5 5 2nk 21 69 617 637½ (castro isidro)REYES ANGEL 122 15.00 36.90  
SCR  TALKTOMEJUSTICE               (reid r)COLON H 122 4.00    
 
HAW-5   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRANCIPANTS 4 2 41¼ 41½ 62¼ 31½ 1½ (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 10.00 10% 9.00 16.90 W
3  R KATIEBUG 2 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 1½ 2½ (boyce michele)FELIX E 118 6.00 2.90  
9  WANDA STRONG 8 8 52¾ 53 51¼ 43 31¾ (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 16% 5.30 4.00 S
8  PENUMBRAS MAKER 7 3 31 31½ 2nk 2½ 41¾ (gutierrez fau)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 19% 4.30 7.80  
4  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER 3 5 63¼ 63½ 41¼ 54½ 53½ (reavis michael)COLON H 122 20.00 38.40  
6  SAKE (FR) 5 7 78¼ 75 74¼ 65½ 64¾ (correas igna)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40 5.20  
1  I'M BOX OFFICE 1 6 915¼ 812 87¼ 87½ 77½ (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 2.90  
7  SALLY'S SUPRISE 6 4 2nk 2½ 31 75½ 88¼ (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 48.50  
10  LUNA MOTH 9 9 812¾ 914 99¾ 915 918 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00 16.70  
SCR  BLAZE BEAUTY               (essenpreis edw)COLON H 118 30.00    
SCR  I OWE UNCLE MO               (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
 
HAW-6   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:22 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADELYN BELLE 1 3 11 11   11½ 11¼ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 0.80 61% 0.60 0.10 W
4  COMMISSIONER GULCH 3 4 21 31   21½ 21¼ (becker scott)EMIGH A 120 6.00 8.00  
3  LOVEYOULIKECRAZY 2 2 31 21   34 36½ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 14% 6.00 6.80 S
5  RANK AND FILE 4 1 42½ 43   46 49¾ (hughes ear)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00 40.00  
SCR  COWGIRL FRANKIE               (rednour j)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
SCR  JULYNNE               (manley steve)FELIX E 118 8.00    
 
HAW-7   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST HILL 1 1 33 42¾ 22 11½ 11¾ (medina robert)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50 63% 0.60 0.90 W
  (by WEST COAST out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
2  APPLE EVER AFTER 2 2 1nk 32½ 43 34½ 21¾ (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 5% 18.00 2.10 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MY MCINTOSH by PULPIT)
9  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE 9 7 812¾ 79¾ 88¾ 76¾ 32½ (block chris)COLON H 120 15.00 5% 19.00 32.30 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  GOLD OAK 3 3 2nk 1nk 32 21½ 44½ (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 5.00 11.60  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIVE OAKS LEGACY by GULCH)
5  TOUR DE' PORT 5 8 914¼ 1011½ 99¾ 46 54¾ (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 30.00 81.70  
  (by TOURIST out of LEISURELY RENNY by SIR LOREN)
4  BONITA D'ORO 4 4 68¼ 69¼ 57 56 610½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 12.10  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MEADOW MYSTIQUE by GHOSTZAPPER)
11  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 10 9 45 2nk 12 66½ 711 (ramirez ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 10.00 55.00  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
6  BROADWAY CHARM 6 6 712¼ 911¼ 1012¾ 89¾ 813¾ (cook brian)REYES FRANK 120 30.00 5% 19.00 25.80  
  (by STREET SENSE out of DEJA BLU by SEEKING THE GOLD)
7  SILVER EYES 7 5 55¼ 54¾ 67½ 911¼ 915½ (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 30.00 75.40  
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of DAKOTA LILL by LIL E. TEE)
8  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN 8 10 1018¼ 811¼ 77¾ 1012¾ 1016 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 6% 14.60 18.10  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JULIE DARLIN by SEATTLE FITZ)
SCR  LEAPIN LEVA               (delong ben)REYES FRANK 120 20.00    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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