Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/7)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(6/4/1)-(8/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(8/2)-(1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/2)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/2)-(1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(6/8/9/5)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/5)-(6/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/5)-(6/8/9/5)-(6/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/9/5)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/5)-(1/3)-(1/8/2/9/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/8/2/9/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/8/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/9/6)-(1/8/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/9/6)-(1/8/2/9/6)-(1/8/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE BELLA Aug16 Jun11       (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
2  BLUE NEITH Jul04 Jun05 Mar18 Mar03 Feb15 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
3  MAIDEN ROCK Aug09 Jul13 Jul01 Jun04 May07 (candelas blanc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
SCR  DOWNTON TABBY Aug03 Feb16 Jan25 Dec30 Oct08 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
5  SPIRITCATCHER Aug04 Jul26 Jun24 Jun08 Apr27 (gorder kelly)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
6  NIFF Aug10 Jul30 Jun11 May25 May07 (witthauer )WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00    
7  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Jul13 Jun08 Mar12 Dec16 Nov26 (clay pat)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  BEG BORROW N STEAL Aug03 Jun21 Jun01 May11 Apr20 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
 
HAW-2   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVERYTHING'S ROSY Jun27 Jun07 Sep14 Aug30 Jul09 (gorham m)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SECRET OPERATION Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 May25 May14 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 118 6.00    
3  VISIONISTA Aug02 Jul06 Jun07 Apr27 Mar25 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00    
4  RIBBONSINHERHAIR Aug03 Jul01 May28 May05 Apr01 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 1.80 17% 4.80    
5  I DON'T KNOW MARGO Aug03 Jul13 Jun21 Jun08 May14 (pompell robe)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50    
6  STYLE Aug03 Jul13 Jul05 Jun01 Apr21 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
HAW-3   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RICHIESONAROLL Aug09 Jun22 Feb26 Feb05 Jan22 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 113 12.00    
2  MAN ON ATTACK Jul30 Jul16 Jun21 May28 May07 (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  DASH TO THE CASH Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 May07 Apr16 (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
4  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 May18 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
5  COOL AND COLLECTED Jul23 Jun08       (block chris)COLON H 118 2.50    
SCR  COMING UP ACES Aug06 Jul23 Jun21 May14 Apr27 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
SCR  EMPTY HOLSTER Aug12 Jul19 Jul04 Jun17 May30 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00    
8  TAHOE RUN Jul09 Jun15 May28 May06 Apr01 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 118 3.50 73% 0.40    
9  DASTARDLY DEEDS Aug13 Jul23 Jul06 Jun21 Jun14 (flores j)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
 
HAW-4   08/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO NANNETTE NO Jul30 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 May04 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  TALKTOMEJUSTICE Aug03 Jul09 Jun13 Apr26 Nov22 (reid r)COLON H 122 4.00    
3  MARIA'S GIFT Aug09 Jul20 Jul01 May30 May16 (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
4  EMITYAAZ Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 May04 Mar26 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 14% 6.20    
5  C C'S WORLD Aug09 Jul20 Jun15 May23 May06 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
6  HARD LIKE HOLLY Jun07 May25 Dec31 Dec18 Dec04 (castro isidro)REYES ANGEL 122 15.00    
7  SHADOW BELLE Aug03 Jul16 Jun06 May10 Apr19 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
HAW-5   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M BOX OFFICE Aug02 Jun22 Aug18 Jul13   (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
SCR  BLAZE BEAUTY Aug02 Jul09 Jun07 May21 Apr06 (essenpreis edw)COLON H 118 30.00    
3  R KATIEBUG Jul30 Jul12 Jun07     (boyce michele)FELIX E 118 6.00    
4  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Aug06 Jul12 Jun14 Jun08 May04 (reavis mi)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
5  PRANCIPANTS Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
6  SAKE (FR) May20 Apr13 Dec21 Oct13 Jun25 (correas igna)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  SALLY'S SUPRISE Aug17 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May11 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
8  PENUMBRAS MAKER Jul16 Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr28 (gutierrez fau)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
9  WANDA STRONG Aug02 Jun21 May31 May18 Dec09 (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
10  LUNA MOTH Jun24 May25 May02 Apr19 Mar09 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00    
SCR  I OWE UNCLE MO Aug02 Jun21 May14     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
 
HAW-6   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADELYN BELLE Jul20 Jun25 Jun07     (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 0.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  JULYNNE Aug15 Jul18 Jun20 May30   (manley steve)FELIX E 118 8.00    
3  LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Jul20 Jun25 Jun07 Dec03 Nov12 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
4  COMMISSIONER GULCH Aug10 Jul19 Jun13 May30 May16 (becker scott)EMIGH A 120 6.00    
5  RANK AND FILE Aug16 Aug10 Jul27 Jul16 Jun29 (hughes ear)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00    
SCR  COWGIRL FRANKIE Jul30 Jul06 Jun18 May31 May21 (rednour j)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
 
HAW-7   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST HILL Aug06 Jun08 May06 Apr20 Mar09 (medina robert)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by WEST COAST out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
2  APPLE EVER AFTER Aug05 Nov10 Oct06     (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 5% 18.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MY MCINTOSH by PULPIT)
3  GOLD OAK Aug13 Aug02 Jul19     (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIVE OAKS LEGACY by GULCH)
4  BONITA D'ORO Aug13 Aug02 Oct13 Aug26   (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MEADOW MYSTIQUE by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  TOUR DE' PORT Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07   (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 30.00    
  (by TOURIST out of LEISURELY RENNY by SIR LOREN)
6  BROADWAY CHARM Mar05         (cook brian)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of DEJA BLU by SEEKING THE GOLD)
7  SILVER EYES Jul26 Jul06 Nov13 Oct21 Aug12 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 30.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of DAKOTA LILL by LIL E. TEE)
8  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Aug02 Jul26 Jul06 Oct29 Oct15 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 6% 14.60    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JULIE DARLIN by SEATTLE FITZ)
9  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Aug03 Jul16 Jun22 Dec03   (block chris)COLON H 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  LEAPIN LEVA Jul25         (delong ben)REYES FRANK 120 20.00    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Aug02 Jul23 Jul06 Jun21 Jun04 (ramirez ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 10.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.