The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Hawthorne
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
HAW-1   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.20 -6.00
    Exacta (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 0 $24.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-4-3 3 0 $82.85 -3.00
HAW-2   Win (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
    Exacta (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-1 2 0 $48.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-1-7 3 0 $187.35 -12.00
    Daily Double (6/4/5)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-2 2 0 $15.50 -12.00
HAW-3   Win (7/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
    Exacta (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-4 2 0 $26.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-4-7 3 0 $159.70 -12.00
    Daily Double (5/2/7/6)-(7/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 2-6 2 1 $6.90 $6.90 -9.10
    Pick Three (6/4/5)-(5/2/7/6)-(7/5/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 2-2-6 3 0 $23.80 -24.00
HAW-4   Win (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
    Exacta (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-3 2 1 $59.10 $59.10 47.10
    Trifecta (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-3-4 3 0 $244.45 -12.00
    Daily Double (7/5/6/8)-(6/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 6-5 2 1 $24.40 $24.40 8.40
    Pick Three (5/2/7/6)-(7/5/6/8)-(6/5/3/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 2-6-5 3 1 $19.10 $19.10 -12.90
HAW-5   Win (3/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $14.20 -8.00
    Exacta (3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-10 2 0 $56.70 -16.00
    Trifecta (3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/1/8)-(3/9/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-10-6 3 0 $189.85 -24.00
    Daily Double (6/5/3/7)-(3/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 5-4 2 0 $98.90 -16.00
    Pick Three (7/5/6/8)-(6/5/3/7)-(3/9/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 6-5-4 3 0 $100.95 -32.00
HAW-6   Win (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 2.40
    Exacta (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-5 2 1 $13.80 $13.80 1.80
    Trifecta (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-5-9 3 1 $31.55 $31.55 19.55
    Daily Double (3/9/5/8)-(5/9/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-2 2 0 $30.70 -16.00
    Pick Three (6/5/3/7)-(3/9/5/8)-(5/9/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 5-4-2 3 0 $226.80 -32.00
HAW-7   Win (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $11.40 -6.00
    Exacta (7/3/8)-(7/3/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-3 2 0 $25.90 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/3/8)-(7/3/9/8/5)-(7/3/9/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-3-8 3 0 $128.15 -18.00
    Daily Double (5/9/4/2)-(7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-1 2 0 $41.20 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/9/5/8)-(5/9/4/2)-(7/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-2-1 3 0 $138.40 -24.00
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   08/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
:233 :463 1:12 1:39   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 2 1 45½ 47 57 22½ 11 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 4.00 3.60  
4  DIALED INNA 4 6 32 31 31 12½ 21 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 19% 4.30 3.90 P
3  PELLETIER 3 3 67 58 46 32½ 32½ (hernandez j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 43.70  
6  HOT DAME 6 4 21 2nk 1nk 43½ 47 (hernandez javier)REYES FRANK 124 1.80 43% 1.30 1.40  
1  JULIAISON 1 2 57 611 611½ 66½ 57¼ (wainwright joh)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00 23.40  
5  FREE LOVE 5 5 11 1nk 2nk 54½ 610 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 18% 4.60 3.00  
 
HAW-2   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
:23 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MUD HUT 2 6 21 2nk   1nk 12¼ (kirby frank)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.00 28% 2.50 1.20 W
1  EVIE JEAN 1 3 31½ 41¾   32½ 22¼ (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00 34.30  
7  HOLY IMAGE 7 4 73¼ 52¼   44 35¼ (weir george)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 6% 16.60 10.10 S
3  HIP HOP EMMY 3 1 11 1nk   2nk 45¼ (robertson hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.50 3.70  
5  SISTER SAINT 5 7 53 74¼   77¼ 57¾ (granitz j)FELIX E 118 2.50 42% 1.40 2.60  
4  GYURZA 4 5 63¼ 63¼   54¼ 68½ (perez manny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 4.50 14.10  
6  SHINY SHOES 6 2 41½ 31½   66¼ 712 (meraz antonio)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00 57.30  
 
HAW-3   08/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
:242 :481 1:132 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIGH BROW 6 8 53¼ 64¾ 52¾ 52¼ 1hd (rivelli la)RODRIGUEZ A 117 2.50 19% 4.20 1.70 W
4  BLOOMING GARDEN 4 4 1nk 12½ 1nk 1½ 2hd (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 16.50  
7  FIRST MASAMUNE 7 5 32 22½ 2nk 2½ 31 (ramirez car)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 33% 2.00 8.50 S
5  AVIANO 5 7 74¾ 54½ 3.2 62¼ 43 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 24% 3.10 2.40  
8  GOLD BUCKLE 8 6 63¼ 32½ 4¼ 32 53¼ (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 42.90  
3  MEMPHIS PRAYER 3 3 43 44 63¼ 42 63¼ (witthauer j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 4.70  
2  POWERFUL MAN 2 2 85 89¼ 75¼ 75¾ 77½ (bahena fernando)FELIX E 122 15.00 26.80  
1  CHRISTMAS PRESENT 1 1 2nk 74¾ 88¼ 810¾ 8100 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 9.60  
 
HAW-4   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 4:51
:22 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TOUGH LITTLE NUT 5 4 53½ 53½   31½ 11 (block chris)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.50 26% 2.90 4.00 W
3  KING OF THE PALACE 3 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 21 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 119 10.00 14% 6.10 12.20 P
4  NEON DEION 4 2 42 42½   42 33½ (rivelli la)RODRIGUEZ A 114 4.50 5.20  
1  LUCKY ROMANCE 1 6 63½ 79   66¾ 45¾ (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00 13.70  
2  ADIOS COOL ARROWS 2 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 56¾ (delong ben)REYES FRANK 119 8.00 16.90  
6  PURPLE OCTOPUS 6 5 31 31½   52¼ 68½ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 2.50 38% 1.70 1.00  
7  BANANA PLAN 7 7 78½ 64   77¼ 715¼ (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
8  DRAFTSMAN 8 8 814 816   813¾ 817¼ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 12.00 38.50  
 
HAW-5   08/20/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
:241 :474 1:121 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NULLARBOR 4 2 11 1nk 1½ 12½ 12½ (manley stev)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 6.10  
10  WESLAN 10 7 64 84½ 53 33½ 22½ (wainwright john)FELIX E 118 8.00 9.90  
6  BOONE'S PATH 6 6 42 42½ 42½ 22½ 35½ (young r)MOJICA O 124 6.00 6.30  
2  STAR NATION 2 5 84¾ 64¼ 74½ 65½ 49¼ (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 118 10.00 12.20  
7  T LAW 7 8 74¼ 74¼ 64½ 76½ 510 (kirby j)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00 30.30  
5  CONI'S COUP 5 4 31 31½ 31½ 44 610 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 17% 4.90 3.80  
9  PATH TO SUCCESS 9 10 95¾ 97 88½ 89½ 712½ (rodriguez edua)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 20% 4.00 5.90  
1  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 1 1 21 2nk 2½ 55 814¼ (rodriguez h)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★ 7.50  
3  EASY FAST 3 3 53 54 109¼ 99½ 917 (divito p)GILES EMMANUEL 113 5.00 40% 1.50 4.50  
8  MINNESOTA MOON 8 9 105¾ 107 99 1011½ 1019½ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 75.70  
 
HAW-6   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
:23 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHARP HERO 2 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 11¼ (ross s)MOJICA O 117 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 W
5  TAPE TO TAPE 5 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 21¼ (rivelli la)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.00 65% 0.50 1.00 P
9  DEVIL'S TOWER 8 3 52¼ 44   43½ 31¼ (hernandez arman)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 6% 15.20 7.00 S
3  W W CANDY 3 7 73¾ 65¼   33½ 41½ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50 6.70  
4  NAVY SEAL 4 8 87¼ 87¾   65 51¾ (knott s)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
8  HUEY ATTACK 7 2 3½ 31   54½ 67¼ (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 76.20  
1  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK 1 6 42 55   76 78¾ (lauer michael)FELIX E 122 6.00 10.90  
6  BRESLAU 6 5 62¼ 75¼   86¼ 89¼ (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 14.90  
SCR  WILDWOOD SICILIAN               (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
 
HAW-7   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
:213 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANEUVER 1 9 83¾ 86¼   31 12¼ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 4.70  
3  A P BLAZING GREEN 3 4 42½ 65¼   11 22¼ (witthauer j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 5.00 15% 5.80 7.30 P
8  DARK SOLUTION 8 3 52½ 44½   21 33 (weir george )WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00 5% 19.00 22.90 S
7  OVERDUE HONOR 7 2 32 33   53 48 (roussel j)FELIX E 124 2.50 56% 0.80 2.00  
2  SMILING STORMY 2 5 1½ 2nk   42 512¼ (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 30.00 99.50  
6  PLAY THE BLUES 6 7 63½ 55   77¼ 613½ (rednour jo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 44.30  
11  GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS 11 6 73¾ 75¾   810¾ 715¼ (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00 5.70  
5  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET 5 10 109¾ 914¼   1014¼ 816¾ (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 12.00 ★ 11.90  
4  PIRATE MARMALADE 4 11 1114¼ 1020¼   914¼ 919½ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 30.00 63.90  
10  ULTIMATE FIGHTER 10 1 2½ 1nk   63¼ 1019½ (villa francisco)LOPEZ A 124 30.00 28.70  
9  SCENIC JUSTICE 9 8 98¾ 1120¾   1139¼ 1172½ (granitz j)MOJICA O 120 3.00 ★ 5.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.