Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/2/7/6)-(7/5/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/6)-(7/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/6)-(7/5/6/8)-(6/5/3/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/8)-(6/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/8)-(6/5/3/7)-(3/9/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/7)-(3/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/7)-(3/9/5/8)-(5/9/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/8)-(3/9/5/1/8)-(3/9/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/5/8)-(5/9/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/8)-(5/9/4/2)-(7/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/4/2)-(7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/9/8/5)-(7/3/9/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JULIAISON Aug03 Jul08 May20 Apr13 Mar30 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
2  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Aug06 Jul20 Jun22 Apr22 Mar26 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 4.00    
3  PELLETIER Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 May27 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
4  DIALED INNA Jul12 Jun01 May07 Apr13 Mar24 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  FREE LOVE Aug02 Jul20 Jul09 Jun21 May25 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  HOT DAME Aug05 Jul13 Jun21 Jun08 May17 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
HAW-2   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVIE JEAN Aug09 Jul23 Jul09 Jun29 Jun15 (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00    
2  MUD HUT Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 Apr20 Mar09 (kirby fra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
3  HIP HOP EMMY Apr30 Apr02       (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.50    
4  GYURZA Aug02 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 May14 (perez mann)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 4.50    
5  SISTER SAINT Aug03 Jul03 Jun08 May18 May02 (granitz j)FELIX E 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  SHINY SHOES Aug01 Jul16 Dec09 Nov21 Nov03 (meraz antoni)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOLY IMAGE Jul23 Jul06 Jun14 May28   (weir geor)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 6% 16.60    
 
HAW-3   08/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Aug09 Jul26 Jul06 Jun18 May31 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00    
2  POWERFUL MAN Aug03 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May25 (bahena fernando)FELIX E 122 15.00    
3  MEMPHIS PRAYER Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 May25 Apr27 (witthauer)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
4  BLOOMING GARDEN Aug03 Jun25 Jun04 May18 Apr30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
5  AVIANO Jul23 May14 Apr27 Mar31 Mar17 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
6  HIGH BROW Jul30 Jun29 May31 May04 Apr06 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 117 2.50 19% 4.20    
7  FIRST MASAMUNE Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 Apr23 (ramirez c)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
8  GOLD BUCKLE Aug09 Jun29 Jun01 May06 Apr21 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY ROMANCE         (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SPARKLINGROMANCE by SCAT DADDY)
2  ADIOS COOL ARROWS Jul23         (delong ben)REYES FRANK 119 8.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of EASY A by MORE THAN READY)
3  KING OF THE PALACE Jul17         (tracy tanner)FELIX E 119 10.00 14% 6.10    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SIRCAT SALLY by SURF CAT)
4  NEON DEION         (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 114 4.50    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of HIGH STEP ARCH by ARCH)
5  TOUGH LITTLE NUT         (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CELESTIAL KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  PURPLE OCTOPUS         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of GRIN by FLATTER)
7  BANANA PLAN         (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MONTANA NATIVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  DRAFTSMAN         (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
 
HAW-5   08/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW Jul21 Jun29 May28 Feb21 Dec23 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
2  STAR NATION Aug06 Jul20 Jun18 May28 Apr13 (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 118 10.00    
3  EASY FAST Jun11 May11       (divito james)GILES EMMANUEL 113 5.00 40% 1.50    
4  NULLARBOR Jul30 Jul08 Jun15 Apr09 Feb11 (manley st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
5  CONI'S COUP Jul30 Jul09 Sep23 Aug22 Aug01 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
6  BOONE'S PATH Jul27 Jul16 Jun22 Apr15 Mar25 (young r)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
7  T LAW Jul30 May29 May15 Apr29   (kirby j)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
8  MINNESOTA MOON Jul30 Jul06 Jun08 May18 May04 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  PATH TO SUCCESS Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 May31 May04 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
10  WESLAN Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 May27 May04 (wainwright john)FELIX E 118 8.00    
 
HAW-6   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Jul05 Apr25 Apr01 Mar07 Dec11 (lauer michael)FELIX E 122 6.00    
2  SHARP HERO Jul26 Jun16 May27 May06 Apr09 (ross s)MOJICA O 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  W W CANDY Jul27 Jun27 Jun14 May15 Apr30 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50    
4  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Jul27 Jun11 May06 Apr22 Mar26 (knott nancy )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAPE TO TAPE Jul27 Jul03 Jun09 Apr29 Mar30 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.00 65% 0.50    
6  BRESLAU Jun27 May29 Apr22 Apr01 Feb18 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD SICILIAN Jul13 Jun14 May28 Apr30 Apr06 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
8  HUEY ATTACK Jul13 Jun11 May28 Nov27 Oct29 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00    
9  DEVIL'S TOWER Jul27 Jul13 May26 Apr20 Mar24 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 6% 15.20    
 
HAW-7   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANEUVER Jul27 Jul06       (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of YOU SHOULD BE HERE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
2  SMILING STORMY Jun14 May21       (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of FAYREEN by ELITE SQUADRON)
3  A P BLAZING GREEN Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 May28 May07 (witthauer)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
4  PIRATE MARMALADE Jul26         (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 30.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET Jul30 Jul07 Jun18 May26   (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 12.00 ★    
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
6  PLAY THE BLUES Jul26         (rednour )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PRINCESA MARIN by OCEAN TERRACE)
7  OVERDUE HONOR Jul19 May20       (roussel j)FELIX E 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STARSHIP DUCHESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  DARK SOLUTION Aug10 Jul26 Jun14     (weir georg)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of DARK SANDS by DESERT CLASSIC)
9  SCENIC JUSTICE Jul13 Jun22 May30 May09 Apr25 (granitz j)MOJICA O 120 3.00 ★    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of YOU BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
10  ULTIMATE FIGHTER         (villa francisco)LOPEZ A 124 30.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of EXPRESS MISS by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
11  GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS Jul11 Jun11       (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of WAYNE'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.