Handicappers' Race Results
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (10/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 0 $17.90  
CD-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $11.98 $11.98 5.98
CD-3   Win (1/10/13/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $35.42  
CD-4   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.32 $4.32  
CD-5   Win (6/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.14 $7.14  
CD-6   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $8.74  
CD-7   Win (7/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.40  
CD-8   Win (3/7/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $13.16 $13.16 5.16
CD-9   Win (8/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $26.96  
CD-10   Win (4/10/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.74 $5.74  
CD-11   Win (10/13/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 13 1 1 $10.76 $10.76 2.76
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ALMOND FUDGE 11 1 11 12   14 12¼ (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★ 7.95  
6  MYSIDEHUSTLE 5 9 97¾ 87   58 22¼ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 31.20  
9  KRICKLE 8 2 41½ 44   36 32½ (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 11.43 S
7  CLASSY'N CONNECTED 6 3 73¾ 55   46½ 44½ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 10.10  
11  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA 10 6 31½ 22   24 54½ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 10.77  
8  QUEEN LEXI 7 8 86¾ 97½   69 66¼ (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 5% 19.00 54.66  
10  ACCOMMODATE EVA 9 4 21 33½   79½ 715 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 44% 1.30 2.38  
2  FROSTY TALE 2 10 108¼ 1011   1013½ 817¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 39.40  
4  LA SCALONETA 4 5 63¼ 76   912 919½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 3.67  
3  MISS CLAUDETTE 3 11 118¾ 1112½   1115½ 1021 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 17.80  
1  BUTTERFLY QUEEN 1 7 51¾ 65   811 1121¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 32% 2.10 3.77  
SCR  MO FOR US               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.50    
 
CD-2   09/16/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:13 1:382   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 4 4 63¾ 64¼ 63 23½ 12¼ (pitts helen)MOJICA O 120 3.50 26% 2.80 4.99 W
3  FAYETTE SPIRIT 3 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 13½ 22¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.27 P
6  CAIRO'S GHOST 6 5 42¼ 52¾ 52½ 47 38 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 6% 16.00 3.19 S
7  REAL NAUGHTY 7 3 1nk 2nk 2½ 35½ 48½ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 7.22  
1  TIZ THE COAST 1 2 3.2 32 31½ 57½ 514½ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 13.88  
5  BIG SKIPPY 5 6 52¼ 42½ 42 69½ 617¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 6.33  
2  TEXAS PRIDE 2 7 78¼ 711¼ 713 724½ 748 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 10.00 22.40  
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robe)TORRES A 124 4.00    
SCR  SINGLE DOT YAHT               (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00    
 
CD-3   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:214 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUR KEEPSAKE 6 1 1nk 1½   13 14¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 20.00 16.71  
4  SWEET VIOLET 4 4 86 75   65½ 24¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 32.96  
2  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE 2 2 51¼ 32   34 35 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 3.54  
3  MISCHIEVOUSNESS 3 9 41¼ 42   23 45 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 7.25  
7  CLEOPATRA SELENE 7 5 72½ 63   54½ 58 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 6% 16.80 24.09  
13  PIN UP BETTY 9 7 31 2½   44½ 610¾ (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 17% 5.00 8.86  
1  MYSTICAL CHANT 1 3 2nk 52½   76½ 715 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 26% 2.90 4.62  
10  LIFE ADVICE 8 6 61½ 86½   89½ 817¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 17% 5.00 1.30  
5  ADRASTEIA 5 8 97½ 910½   917½ 935 (bogle fergus)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 30.49  
SCR  ALMOSTGONE ROCKET               (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
SCR  AUSTIN TRAFFIC               (mott i)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00    
SCR  I AM BEAUTIFUL               (flint s)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
SCR  MANAGING MISCHIEF               (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
SCR  NANDINA               (medina robe)TORRES A 119 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN LEXI               (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
SCR  RENFREW               (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisville Thoroughbred Societ Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:213 :444 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BANGO 4 2 3½ 1½   1½ 1nk (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.00 15% 5.70 1.16 W
5  GULFSTREAM WAY 5 1 42 2½   2½ 2nk (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 5.30  
6  NECKER ISLAND 6 5 53 53¼   43½ 33¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00 7% 12.70 11.14 S
2  AWESOME AARON 2 4 2½ 3½   32 46 (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 31.80  
1  BAYTOWN BEAR 1 6 65½ 65¾   66½ 58¾ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00 37.24  
3  STROBE 3 3 1½ 4¾   56 621¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.20 55% 0.80 1.20  
 
CD-5   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:103     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNDERHILL'S TAB 6 1 42½ 31½   12½ 13½ (stall alber)TORRES A 121 3.50 55% 0.80 2.57 W
4  ATTACHE 4 2 32 52¼   52¾ 23½ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.99 P
7  FUNNY UNCLE 7 6 87½ 85¾   32½ 33¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00 13.20  
8  MAGNIFICENT MILE 8 5 53 42   42¾ 44½ (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 10% 8.70 13.98  
2  DEBATE 2 8 63½ 64¾   64¾ 55½ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50 11% 8.20 3.04  
1  QUICK HAMMER 1 4 1½ 1nk   22½ 67 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 1.91  
5  STAND FOR FREEDOM 5 3 75 75¼   88¼ 715¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00 10.85  
3  GUNNER BAY 3 7 2½ 2nk   75¼ 816½ (margolis stephen)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00 21.70  
 
CD-6   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Open Mind Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YUUGIRI 1 2 31 32   21½ 13 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 3.37  
3  FIRE ON TIME 3 3 11 11½   11½ 23 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.50 16% 5.40 7.38 P
2  WICKED HALO 2 5 52¼ 43   45½ 38¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 0.60 55% 0.80 0.39 S
4  MORE THAN VOWS 4 4 21 21½   34 49¾ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 12.31  
6  SHARP HERO 5 1 42 54   57½ 511½ (ross bradle)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 12.53  
SCR  TEN RINGS               (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Pocahontas Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  V V'S DREAM 3 5 41¾ 33 31 12½ 18¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 1.20  
7  YOUALMOSTHADME 4 4 2nk 2½ 2½ 33 28¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 24% 3.20 2.48 P
9  HOT BEACH 6 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 22½ 39½ (lynch a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 23% 3.40 3.53 S
8  COURBE 5 6 31½ 54 43½ 46½ 415 (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 7.71  
3  RIPERTON 1 3 63¼ 64½ 67 59 517 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 12.00 17% 4.90 9.99  
5  REGAL RUMOR 2 1 51¾ 43 56½ 69½ 621½ (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00 21.35  
SCR  EMPIRE ISLAND               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
SCR  PEIGNOIR               (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
SCR  RAINING SUGAR               (mott riley)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
 
CD-8   09/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14 1:26   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WATCH THIS BIRDIE 9 4 84¾ 75¾ 64½ 2½ 11¼ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 13% 6.60 5.58 W
7  HAY STACK 6 6 2½ 2nk 11 1½ 21¼ (beckman whitwo)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 24% 3.20 3.92 P
5  ALWAYS AT EASE 5 8 73¾ 64¾ 53 31½ 32¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 10.07  
2  STORM BAY 2 1 31½ 42¼ 42½ 41½ 42¾ (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.41  
3  MUSICAL SCORE 3 2 1½ 1nk 21 61¾ 53 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 39% 1.60 2.67  
9  SPICY ITALIAN 8 9 95¾ 96¾ 74½ 74¼ 63¾ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 22.40  
4  GRACE DARLING (IRE) 4 5 42 32 31½ 51¾ 77 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★ 2.48  
8  ZAPPLE 7 3 53½ 54¼ 85½ 85¾ 87 (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 21.31  
1  ZIGGZAPPA 1 7 63½ 86¾ 97½ 98¼ 911¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 30.00 40.07  
SCR  AMBER CASCADE               (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 4.00    
SCR  CALLIE'S PASSION               (rutledge lance)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
SCR  EMPIRICAL VIEW               (divito jame)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00    
SCR  STAR WISHER               (granitz ant)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
SCR  VARMLANDER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 
CD-9   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Iroquois Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:101 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WEST SARATOGA 2 1 44 46 33½ 11 11¾ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 12.48  
8  RISK IT 7 2 32 34½ 22½ 31 21¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.35 P
1  LIBERAL ARTS 1 5 66 67½ 66 64½ 32 (medina robe)TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 9.92 S
6  SEIZE THE GREY 6 6 55½ 57½ 55½ 43 42¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 122 10.00 4.96  
4  EDIFIED 4 8 811 812¼ 77½ 54 56 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 11.30  
9  PATRIOT SPIRIT 8 4 11½ 14 12½ 21 67 (campbell michael)CASTANON L 122 3.50 17% 4.80 3.42  
3  UNION ROLL 3 7 711 712 811 810½ 710¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 24% 3.20 8.19  
5  MARKET STREET 5 3 21½ 24 45 710 825½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 24.86  
SCR  GETTYSBURG ADDRESS               (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
 
CD-10   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Locust Grove Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:114 1:36   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SEARCH RESULTS 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 13¼ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 40% 1.50 1.87 W
6  HIDDEN CONNECTION 6 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 23 23¼ (calhoun wil)TORRES A 121 8.00 8.03  
5  MISTY VEIL 5 4 41½ 42 31½ 35½ 37½ (maker j)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 38.55  
2  PAULINE'S PEARL 2 7 31½ 32 44 47 49¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 125 5.00 9.03  
3  LE DA VIDA (CHI) 3 3 72¾ 95 75¾ 79 510¼ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 5% 17.70 3.10  
7  A MO REAY 7 8 94 73¾ 65½ 58½ 610¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 13% 6.90 3.30  
10  FALCONET 9 6 83 84¾ 86¼ 811 713¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 21% 3.80 7.76  
1  SOUL OF AN ANGEL 1 9 62¾ 53½ 55 69 813¼ (james gerald)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 20.00 63.48  
8  FANNIE AND FREDDIE 8 5 51¾ 63¾ 98¾ 915 925 (stall m)LANERIE J 121 30.00 41.45  
SCR  MUSIC STREET               (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00    
SCR  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE               (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:213 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  WEST SUNSET 11 7 107 87½   44 1¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 21% 3.70 4.38 W
7  SWEET GAL OF MINE 6 1 32 1½   11 2¼ (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 114 8.00 8.46  
8  BANG BANG FURY 7 4 53½ 32   31½ 3¼ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 13.62  
3  IRINA'S CHARM 2 10 85½ 56   54½ 42 (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 ★ 12.61  
1  INTRICATE 1 9 74½ 77½   65 52¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 4.55  
4  CLEAR VOICE 3 3 11 2½   21 62½ (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.17  
11  HIGH SHOT 9 11 1110 1110¾   89 79½ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 21% 3.90 19.37  
10  REGULATORY RISK 8 6 64 66½   78½ 810 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 37% 1.70 3.67  
12  LILMS CONSTITUTION 10 2 96 97¾   1010½ 911¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 18.75  
5  ALDORA 4 5 42 1010¼   1111½ 1015½ (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 12.73  
6  CABERNEIGH 5 8 21 44   99½ 1129¼ (barker w)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 50.74  
SCR  BABY AVERY               (vance d)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
SCR  DAZZLIN' DICTATOR               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
SCR  IDALOU               (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
SCR  MIA MARCELA               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  RUNWAY LIGHTS               (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.