Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (10/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (1/10/13/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (6/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-7   Win (7/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (3/7/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (8/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (4/10/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (10/13/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTTERFLY QUEEN         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  FROSTY TALE         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
3  MISS CLAUDETTE         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
4  LA SCALONETA         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
SCR  MO FOR US         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.50    
6  MYSIDEHUSTLE         (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
7  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Jul16         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00    
8  QUEEN LEXI         (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  KRICKLE Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 May26 May11 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 6.00 ★    
10  ACCOMMODATE EVA Aug17         (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 44% 1.30    
11  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA         (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
12  ALMOND FUDGE Jul19         (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
 
CD-2   09/16/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE COAST Aug23 Oct05 Aug31 Aug05   (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
2  TEXAS PRIDE Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 May06 Apr02 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 10.00    
3  FAYETTE SPIRIT Aug27 Jun17 Feb18 Jan07 Sep30 (medina robe)TORRES A 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Aug26         (pitts helen)MOJICA O 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  BIG SKIPPY         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
6  CAIRO'S GHOST Aug11         (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 6% 16.00    
7  REAL NAUGHTY Aug31 May06 Apr13     (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 4.00    
SCR  SINGLE DOT YAHT Jul16 Jun11 Sep21     (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00    
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA Aug01 May28 May04     (medina robe)TORRES A 124 4.00    
 
CD-3   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTICAL CHANT Jul23 Jun23       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
3  MISCHIEVOUSNESS         (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
4  SWEET VIOLET Jul31         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
5  ADRASTEIA         (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00    
6  OUR KEEPSAKE Jul31         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 20.00    
7  CLEOPATRA SELENE         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  I AM BEAUTIFUL Aug19         (flint s)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
SCR  MANAGING MISCHIEF Aug06         (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
10  LIFE ADVICE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  RENFREW         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00    
SCR  QUEEN LEXI         (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
13  PIN UP BETTY         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  ALMOSTGONE ROCKET         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
SCR  NANDINA         (medina robe)TORRES A 119 20.00    
SCR  AUSTIN TRAFFIC         (mott i)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00    
 
CD-4   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisville Thoroughbred Societ Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN BEAR Sep02 Aug06 Jul19 Jun26 May29 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
2  AWESOME AARON Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 May12 Apr08 (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
3  STROBE Jul07 Jun10 Apr15 Jan27 Dec22 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.20 55% 0.80    
4  BANGO Jul01 Jun03 May04 Jan21 Dec26 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.00 15% 5.70    
5  GULFSTREAM WAY Aug04 Jul01 May26 May06 Apr23 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
6  NECKER ISLAND Jun18 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Feb17 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00 7% 12.70    
 
CD-5   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK HAMMER Jul30 Jul08 Oct29 Sep16   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00    
2  DEBATE May28 Apr28 Jan08 Nov27   (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50 11% 8.20    
3  GUNNER BAY Aug03 Jul07 Jun04     (margolis stephen)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00    
4  ATTACHE Aug04 Jul14 Jul02 Mar24   (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STAND FOR FREEDOM Aug26 Jul31 Jun10 Apr21 Mar04 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
6  UNDERHILL'S TAB Mar22 Jan26 Dec29 Apr13 Jan22 (stall alber)TORRES A 121 3.50 55% 0.80    
7  FUNNY UNCLE Aug13 Jul08 May06 Mar25 Mar09 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
8  MAGNIFICENT MILE Aug26 Jul14 Jun20 Jun01 May13 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
CD-6   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Open Mind Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YUUGIRI Aug14 Jul07 May07 Apr08 Feb25 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
2  WICKED HALO Jul23 Jun17 May06 Mar31 Nov05 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 0.60 55% 0.80    
3  FIRE ON TIME Jul07 May29 May12 Mar11 Jan28 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
4  MORE THAN VOWS Nov13 Sep23 Jul30 Jun11   (lynch a)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
SCR  TEN RINGS Mar09 Feb08 Dec29 Aug07 Jul03 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
6  SHARP HERO Aug20 Jul26 Jun16 May27 May06 (ross bradle)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
 
CD-7   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Pocahontas Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMPIRE ISLAND Aug06         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
SCR  PEIGNOIR Aug26 Jul31       (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
3  RIPERTON Aug13 Jul22       (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 12.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  RAINING SUGAR Sep14 Aug04       (mott riley)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
5  REGAL RUMOR Aug26 Jul31       (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00    
6  V V'S DREAM Jul02 May19       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
7  YOUALMOSTHADME Aug13 May04 Apr19     (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
8  COURBE Aug18         (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
9  HOT BEACH Aug13 Jul07       (lynch a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
CD-8   09/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIGGZAPPA Aug28 Jul31 Mar24 Mar05 Feb11 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
2  STORM BAY Aug05 Jun08 May06     (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MUSICAL SCORE Aug05 May06       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 39% 1.60    
4  GRACE DARLING (IRE) Mar11 Feb16       (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★    
5  ALWAYS AT EASE Aug05 Jul16 Mar25 Feb11 Jan08 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  EMPIRICAL VIEW Sep02 Aug04 Jul09     (divito jame)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
7  HAY STACK Jul07 May18 Apr07 Jan22 Nov19 (beckman whitwo)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  ZAPPLE Aug07 May27 Mar10 Aug14 Jul17 (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
9  SPICY ITALIAN Aug17 Jul16 Jun11 May20   (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
10  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Aug12 Jul13 May19 Apr15 Feb18 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  CALLIE'S PASSION Aug26 Aug09 Jul21 Jul08 May19 (rutledge lance)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
SCR  STAR WISHER Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 Oct28 (granitz ant)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES Apr14 Mar11 Feb12 Jan12   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00    
SCR  VARMLANDER Feb25 Jan22 Dec15     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  AMBER CASCADE Jan21 Dec31 Nov20 Oct22   (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 4.00    
 
CD-9   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Iroquois Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERAL ARTS Aug13 Jul01 May25     (medina robe)TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  WEST SARATOGA Aug05 Jul21 Jun04 May11 Apr07 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
3  UNION ROLL Aug13         (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  EDIFIED Aug12 Jul01       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
5  MARKET STREET Aug31 Aug12 Jul15 Jun29   (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00    
6  SEIZE THE GREY Aug18 Jul29 Jul01     (lukas wayne)TORRES A 122 10.00    
SCR  GETTYSBURG ADDRESS Aug06         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
8  RISK IT Aug19         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
9  PATRIOT SPIRIT Aug25         (campbell michael)CASTANON L 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
CD-10   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Locust Grove Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL OF AN ANGEL Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 May05 (james gerald)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 20.00    
2  PAULINE'S PEARL Jul01 May05 Mar11 Jan28 Jul02 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 125 5.00    
3  LE DA VIDA (CHI) Jul22 Jun24 May19 Mar11 Feb04 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 5% 17.70    
4  SEARCH RESULTS Jul22 Jun10 May05 Nov05 Aug27 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  MISTY VEIL Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 May19 Apr07 (maker j)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
6  HIDDEN CONNECTION Aug13 Jun24 Jun03 Apr21 Mar11 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 121 8.00    
7  A MO REAY Jul01 May05 Mar11 Feb04 Dec31 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 13% 6.90    
8  FANNIE AND FREDDIE Jul30 Jun22 May05 Feb12 Jun11 (stall m)LANERIE J 121 30.00    
SCR  MUSIC STREET Aug11 May27 May05 Nov20 Oct23 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00    
10  FALCONET Aug13 May19 Apr02 Feb18 Jan01 (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE Aug19 Jul08 May27 Apr21 Jan16 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTRICATE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  BABY AVERY         (vance d)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
3  IRINA'S CHARM         (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 ★    
4  CLEAR VOICE         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALDORA         (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
6  CABERNEIGH         (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00    
7  SWEET GAL OF MINE         (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 114 8.00    
8  BANG BANG FURY         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SCR  RUNWAY LIGHTS         (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
10  REGULATORY RISK         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
11  HIGH SHOT Aug26         (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 21% 3.90    
12  LILMS CONSTITUTION         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
13  WEST SUNSET         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  DAZZLIN' DICTATOR         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
SCR  MIA MARCELA Aug09         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  IDALOU         (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.