Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUNA VIEJA 2 1 11½ 11 12 17 18½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 4.56  
8  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 7 4 32½ 44 45½ 27 28½ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 6.66  
5  DR KRINGLE 5 7 65½ 65½ 56½ 48 38¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.50 6.06  
4  GAME WARDEN 4 3 43 33½ 35½ 69 410¾ (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.00 15% 5.50 2.17  
3  FIRST PLAYER 3 5 54 55½ 68 59 511¾ (howard nei)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 16.48  
6  DERRICK 6 6 21½ 21 22 37½ 613 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 47% 1.10 2.50  
1  FEAR OF UNION 1 2 75½ 77 78¼ 710½ 720½ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 6% 16.50 8.70  
SCR  RUNNINGFORJOY               (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
 
CD-2   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:113 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BOSS 1 1 46 45½ 3½ 11 11 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50 4.49  
6  TRIGGER HAPPY 5 2 11½ 12 2nk 31 21 (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 3.10  
7  CARMICHAEL 6 5 21½ 22 1nk 21 32 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 2.50 29% 2.50 1.23 S
2  COX CANYON 2 4 68½ 56½ 56 55½ 46¾ (o'connor r)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.73  
5  LONGSHADOW 4 6 33½ 32½ 42 43½ 57¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 42% 1.40 2.79  
3  MR. PETERKIN 3 3 57 68½ 66¼ 66½ 611½ (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 36.97  
SCR  COALMINER'S KITTEN               (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHE DAZZLE 2 4 31 31½   11½ 11¼ (danner ke)TORRES A 121 20.00 10.44  
4  DUPLICITOUS 3 7 54 43   31½ 21¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 4.76  
1  PRIDDIS 1 9 88 77   65¼ 31¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 6.00 ★ 5.11 S
8  EVERYOTHERWON 6 3 43½ 53   43½ 43½ (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00 29.19  
9  L. A. STAR 7 8 910½ 911   810¾ 58½ (lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00 57.46  
5  DONYA KNOW IT 4 2 1½ 2½   53¾ 610 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.80 55% 0.80 0.90  
10  TAP N SWAY 8 1 2½ 1½   21½ 710 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 14% 6.00 5.92  
7  JOAN'S WAY 5 6 65½ 66   78¼ 810¼ (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 8% 11.70 17.36  
11  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 9 5 75½ 88   913¾ 921 (cook b)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00 67.24  
SCR  APRIL'S NO FOOL               (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STANLEY MARKET               (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 114 3.00    
 
CD-4   09/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GET TWISTED 10 10 74¼ 73½   63½ 11¾ (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 91.66  
  (by GET STORMY out of BIRD SWING by BIRDSTONE)
3  RED RIVER MAGIC 3 3 31 41½   32 21¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 9% 10.30 7.60 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of LEMHILL BASR by QUALITY ROAD)
8  GOING THE DISTANCE 8 1 1nk 1nk   11½ 32 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 23.41 S
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
7  COWICHAN (IRE) 7 4 41½ 31   21½ 42½ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.00 36% 1.80 1.59  
  (by KODIAC (GB) out of SHEHILA by ZAMINDAR)
4  THREE POLKS 4 5 84¼ 83¾   53½ 53¼ (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 17.20  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of INDIAN STREET by STREET SENSE)
6  DREAM ON STORMY 6 7 51¾ 52   43 64 (winston d)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 53.75  
  (by GET STORMY out of LU BATON by ROAR)
1  BE MISS HATTIE 1 11 117¼ 116¾   107¼ 75½ (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 39.46  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  SCATLIE 5 6 105¾ 105¾   96¼ 86 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 24% 3.20 2.21  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CANA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
2  MON DIEU 2 12 128¾ 128¾   127½ 96 (calhoun w)TORRES A 121 12.00 22.59  
  (by BLAME out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  ENDORA 9 2 2nk 2nk   74 107¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 9.43  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of QUEEN OF COUNTRY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  SASSY WALKER 11 8 63¼ 63   86 118½ (d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 12% 7.60 9.38  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SASINI by FASTNET ROCK)
12  GOLDEN STAR 12 9 95¼ 95¼   117¼ 128¾ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 63.74  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LAKE SEBAGO by MUNNINGS)
 
CD-5   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:133 1:38   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NORTHERN FLAME 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 11½ 11½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 6% 16.20 1.98 W
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
1  REAL MEN VIOLIN 1 3 31 31½ 31½ 21½ 21½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 45% 1.20 2.15 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MEG FITZ by TAPIT)
5  CHAPERONE 4 6 65 65 43½ 46 37¾ (moquett )SANTANA JR 119 10.00 6.18  
  (by CURLIN out of IT TIZ WELL by ARCH)
9  OMEX 8 5 21 2½ 2½ 36 49¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 15% 5.50 4.77  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  B WAYNE 7 8 89 76½ 53½ 57½ 510¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 14% 6.30 5.76  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WEALTH EFFECT by CURLIN)
7  PHREDDIE MAC 6 2 53 43½ 64 69 612¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 8.00 24.52  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  FARM TEAM 3 4 42 53½ 76½ 711 719 (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 10.00 20.24  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PADMORE by FRENCH DEPUTY)
2  LUCERITO BLANCO 2 7 78 89 815½ 826 858 (salas felipe)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 73.16  
  (by UNIFIED out of DAYLIGHT RIDE by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  MO RHODES               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MO D'AMOUR by UNCLE MO)
 
CD-6   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COEXIST 1 6 45 54½   2½ 13¼ (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 11.92  
7  HOME PORT 7 4 55¼ 32½   31½ 23¼ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 27% 2.60 4.08 P
5  CONDIMENT GIRL 5 2 2nk 1½   1½ 33¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 1.80  
6  MOTOWN MIKA 6 3 34 43   54 48 (o'connor robe)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 33.75  
3  ARGUMENTAL 3 5 65¾ 78½   77½ 512¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 20% 3.90 4.17  
2  WHAT'S TO DO 2 7 77¾ 65½   66½ 613¼ (d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 2.50 2.65  
4  ONE WAY OR ANOTHER 4 1 1nk 2½   44 715¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 22% 3.60 10.67  
 
CD-7   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:132 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PARCHMENT PARTY 4 3 911½ 910 98¼ 2nk 11¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 16.13  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIFE WELL LIVED by TIZNOW)
9  DJANGO 9 9 89 89 75¼ 1nk 21¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 28% 2.50 4.02 P
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DAY OF VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
8  WARP NINE 8 8 78½ 67 64¾ 5¾ 33¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 12.00 14.90  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
7  ALLIED VICTORY 7 6 55 53 41¾ 72¼ 47 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 10% 8.80 10.44  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of TARALENA by ARCH)
6  COLLINS 6 5 32½ 31½ 31½ 61¾ 57¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 6.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY LAVERY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  BLACK DIAMOND 3 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 3½ 67¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 18% 4.70 3.29  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SNOW FALL by WAR FRONT)
2  BAYOU MAGIC 2 1 44½ 43 52¾ 82½ 78¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 11.55  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of KRAZY KATHY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1  LE GRIS 1 7 1½ 1½ 2nk 4¾ 812¼ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 21% 3.70 2.11  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
5  SHARPENYOURFAITH 5 4 67 78 87¾ 97½ 918½ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 25.58  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SWAKOPMUND by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
CD-8   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BALTA 5 3 46 57   2½ 13 (lobo paul)TORRES A 122 5.00 7.55  
7  EPIC BATTLE 6 2 58½ 47   44 23 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 25.13  
5  CALL ME ANDY 4 5 33½ 34   32 33¾ (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.50 16% 5.40 8.68 S
2  NORMANDY HERO 1 1 1½ 1½   1½ 44 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 22% 3.60 3.98  
4  COULDITBEMAJIC 3 7 68½ 610   68½ 58½ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 11.76  
3  AMERICAN RASCAL 2 4 2½ 2½   57 616 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 35% 1.80 0.51  
8  MI OSCURO SECRETO 7 6 714½ 718   716½ 725½ (bahena ismael)MILLER CHASE 122 30.00 59.61  
SCR  SPONGE BATH               (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
 
CD-9   09/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:142 1:391   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FANCY MARTINI 8 6 42 42½ 42½ 1½ 11 (hartman chris)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 19% 4.30 3.30 W
2  STIR CRAZY 2 8 84 77 76 54 21 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 3.77  
5  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 5 3 11 11 11 2½ 32¾ (pitts helen)MOJICA O 122 6.00 12% 7.20 4.20 S
7  LADY HIDEAWAY 7 2 31½ 32 32 32 42¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 6.06  
10  LILLY LANE 9 9 96½ 1011 910½ 86½ 55¼ (vaughan edwa)RAMOS D 120 20.00 39.04  
3  HONEY HAULER 3 4 21 21 21 43½ 67¾ (wismer g)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 34.97  
1  SHE'S GONE 1 7 52½ 54½ 54 65 78¾ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 5% 19.00 5.81  
4  FRIENDLYPERSUASION 4 5 63 65 64 76½ 89½ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 113 12.00 5% 19.00 20.65  
6  ONE TIME MO 6 1 74 88½ 88½ 98½ 910 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 4.00 43% 1.30 4.74  
11  ROC'S PRINCESS 10 10 106¾ 910½ 1012 1015½ 1034¾ (gowan william)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 57.42  
SCR  SWEETS MAKER               (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
 
CD-10   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FILLY CRYSTAL 2 5 1nk 3.2   1nk 1hd (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00 3.87  
  (by UNCLE MO out of STAINLESS by FLATTER)
3  BIRDIE ROSE 3 1 31 51¾   32 2hd (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 120 15.00 23.41  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HOMEMADE SALSA by TWO STEP SALSA)
8  ITSABLINGTHING 7 2 53 1nk   2nk 31¼ (barrett rod)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00 8% 11.70 10.36 S
  (by PONTIFF out of IT'S MY KNIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  STAGFLATION 5 3 42½ 2nk   42½ 45¼ (baker james)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 60% 0.70 1.24  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of REAL POINT by POINT OF ENTRY)
7  MY BEST DAY EVER 6 4 2nk 4¼   53 55¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 6.00 2.71  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BARGAIN BLITZ by RAHY)
1  IMPERATOR FURIOSA 1 7 74¾ 64¼   66 610 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.52  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of OBNOXIOUS by SILVER CHARM)
4  CHANEL POINT 4 6 63¼ 75¾   78½ 719 (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 10.11  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of LAURENMYCHANELGIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  CRUSHED ICE               (quartarolo )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
  (by CONNECT out of STARLET STORM by THE FACTOR)
SCR  MARKET PROFILE               (heath dest)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of RECOUPE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.