Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (5/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (7/5/11/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (1/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (9/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (6/8/5/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEAR OF UNION Aug26 Jul16 May06     (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 6% 16.50    
LUNA VIEJA Aug26 Jun29 Jun02 Apr14 Jan28 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
FIRST PLAYER Aug11 Jul23 Jul02     (howard neil )HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
GAME WARDEN Jun02 May02 Feb26 Jan14 Oct15 (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
DR KRINGLE Aug24 Jul16 Jun25 Jun02 Apr27 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.50    
DERRICK Aug08         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  RUNNINGFORJOY May28 Apr28       (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Aug18 Aug05 Jun10 Jun18 May20 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00    
 
CD-2   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY BOSS Aug06 Jun10 May13 Apr02 Mar10 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50    
COX CANYON Apr26 Apr08 Mar29 Feb26 Feb05 (o'connor rob)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MR. PETERKIN Aug20 May27 Apr23 Apr01 Feb04 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
SCR  COALMINER'S KITTEN Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Apr20 Apr01 (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
LONGSHADOW Aug06 Jul22 Jun22 May26 Apr19 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
TRIGGER HAPPY Jul08 Jun15 Jun02 May12 Mar22 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50    
CARMICHAEL Aug04 Jun01 May11 Feb05 Nov23 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
CD-3   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIDDIS Aug12 Jul31 Jun25 Jun03 Apr21 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 6.00    
SHE DAZZLE Aug12 Jul09 Dec23 Dec07 Oct17 (danner kels)TORRES A 121 20.00    
SCR  STANLEY MARKET Aug12 Jul07 May28 Dec18 Nov03 (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 114 3.00    
DUPLICITOUS Aug28 Jul30 Jul09 May28 May10 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
DONYA KNOW IT Jul07 Jun16 May14 Mar04 Feb11 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
SCR  APRIL'S NO FOOL Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 Apr12 Aug03 (miller jerome)PETERSON FERRIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
JOAN'S WAY Aug22 Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 Jun06 (silva carlos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 8% 11.70    
EVERYOTHERWON Aug23 Aug02 May11 Mar10 Jan20 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
L. A. STAR Aug28 Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00    
10  TAP N SWAY Aug12 Jul09 May23 Jan20 Nov21 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
11  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Aug23 Aug10 Jul30 Jun16 May14 (cook b)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00    
 
CD-4   09/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE MISS HATTIE Sep02 Jul31       (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
MON DIEU         (calhoun wil)TORRES A 121 12.00    
RED RIVER MAGIC Jul09         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 9% 10.30    
THREE POLKS         (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00    
SCATLIE Aug06 Jul08 Jun02     (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
DREAM ON STORMY Sep03         (winston d)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
COWICHAN (IRE) Apr23 Sep01 Aug04 Jun30 May20 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
GOING THE DISTANCE Aug25 Mar26 Mar01     (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
ENDORA         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
10  GET TWISTED         (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
11  SASSY WALKER Jul21 Jun25 May20 Apr21   (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 12% 7.60    
12  GOLDEN STAR Mar18 Feb18 Jan16 Nov12   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL MEN VIOLIN Aug25 Jul14       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
LUCERITO BLANCO Jul29         (salas felipe)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00    
FARM TEAM Aug06         (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
SCR  MO RHODES Aug11         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
CHAPERONE Aug12         (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
NORTHERN FLAME Aug28 Jul21       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 6% 16.20    
PHREDDIE MAC Aug28 Jul21 Jun15     (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 8.00    
B WAYNE Aug13         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
OMEX Aug13 Jul21 Jun15     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
CD-6   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COEXIST Aug19 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 May27 (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
WHAT'S TO DO Jun03 May03 Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 2.50    
ARGUMENTAL Apr30 Mar24 Feb19 Nov17 Oct26 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER Jun11 Apr30 Apr01 Mar10 Feb20 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
CONDIMENT GIRL Aug27 Jul13 Jun17 May04 Mar09 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 3.00    
MOTOWN MIKA Aug01 Jun15 Apr26 Mar31 Jan25 (o'connor robert)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
HOME PORT Jun18 May04       (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 27% 2.60    
 
CD-7   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE GRIS Aug05         (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
BAYOU MAGIC         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
BLACK DIAMOND Aug18 Jul21       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
PARCHMENT PARTY         (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
SHARPENYOURFAITH Jul30         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
COLLINS Aug13 Jul08       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
ALLIED VICTORY Aug13         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 10% 8.80    
WARP NINE Aug13         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
DJANGO Aug05 Jul01       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
CD-8   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPONGE BATH Aug31 Jul30       (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
NORMANDY HERO Aug12 Jul01       (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
AMERICAN RASCAL Apr20         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
COULDITBEMAJIC Aug13 Jul15 Jun24     (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 122 6.00    
CALL ME ANDY Aug13 Jul02 Jun01     (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
BALTA Aug13 Jul23 Jun17     (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 5.00    
EPIC BATTLE Aug09         (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
MI OSCURO SECRETO Jun03 May03       (bahena ismael)MILLER CHASE 122 30.00    
 
CD-9   09/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S GONE Aug11 Jul01 May18 Apr22 Feb04 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
STIR CRAZY Aug02 Jun23 Jun10 Feb25 Aug31 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
HONEY HAULER Aug23 Aug07 Jul19 Jun19 May24 (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
FRIENDLYPERSUASION Jul08 Jun11 Oct09 Sep17 Aug10 (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
JOYFUL APPLAUSE Aug05 Jun22 May18 May02 Dec21 (pitts helen)MOJICA O 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
ONE TIME MO Jul01 May18 Apr12 Dec22 Nov06 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
LADY HIDEAWAY Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 Apr16 Sep13 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
FANCY MARTINI Aug06 Jul01 May18 Mar02 Jan21 (hartman chris)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SWEETS MAKER Jul14 Jun18 May18 Mar23 Feb25 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
10  LILLY LANE Aug26 Aug05 Jun22 Nov10 Oct15 (vaughan edward)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
11  ROC'S PRINCESS Aug08 Jun14 May05 Apr01 Feb23 (gowan william)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
 
CD-10   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPERATOR FURIOSA         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
FILLY CRYSTAL         (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00    
BIRDIE ROSE Aug26 Aug01 Jul08 May02 Sep24 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 120 15.00    
CHANEL POINT Sep13 Aug20 Jul31     (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
SCR  MARKET PROFILE Jun27 Nov26 Oct30 Sep23   (heath destin)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
STAGFLATION Aug18         (baker james)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
MY BEST DAY EVER         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
ITSABLINGTHING Aug30 Jul08 May29 May04 Apr15 (barrett roddi)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  CRUSHED ICE Sep03 Aug18       (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.