Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $6.80 $2.80 70%
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-2 $7.90 $5.90 295%
Simulator Race results
 
BTP-1   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 1 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 1½ (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 119 2.50 41% 1.40 0.80 W
5  BEEBLEGEE 4 1 31½ 3½   1½ 2½ (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50 2.70  
3  SHADY BABY 2 2 1½ 2nk   33½ 37¾ (skeens je)CORREA L 124 5.00 21% 3.70 5.80 S
4  LA LA ANGEL 3 4 41½ 43   45½ 48½ (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 4.00 2.80  
SCR  MISS TREATED STAR               (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 2.00    
 
BTP-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMART DRESSER 3 2 1nk 1nk   11 11¼ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.50 53% 0.90 0.30 W
6  WILDERZAR 6 1 3½ 2nk   21 21¼ (tumblin andr)MARCANO Y 115 4.50 7.00  
2  ALY STONE 2 4 55 57¼   36½ 38¼ (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 6% 14.90 7.00 S
5  GUS GUS 5 6 42 45¼   48 411¾ (helmbrecht willia)OUZTS W 124 4.00 19% 4.40 4.40  
1  HICKORY BILL 1 3 2nk 35   59½ 514¼ (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 6.00 77.10  
4  LET'S GO JOHN 4 5 66½ 69¼   613½ 620¼ (haehn r)BUSH V 124 5.00 45.80  
 
BTP-3   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 2 5 58½ 47   42 1¼ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.50 3.40  
5  PECKS NOT BAD 4 4 47 57¼   54 2¼ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 4.50 30% 2.30 7.50 P
1  TEQUILA FLATS 1 3 2nk 22   2nk 31 (ramos fra)CORREA L 120 5.00 7.10  
3  WHISKEY HELPS 3 2 33 32   31 42 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.00 1.50  
6  MIXTER JENSEN 5 1 1nk 12   1nk 52½ (haehn r)BUSH V 122 2.00 35% 1.90 1.70  
SCR  THANKSDAD               (poole m)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
 
BTP-4   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:152 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SLOAN STREET 5 7 65½ 63¼ 41¼ 11 11 (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 10.20  
1  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS 1 5 54 52¼ 11 21 21 (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 117 2.50 53% 0.90 0.10 P
7  YOU'RE A DANDY 7 2 21½ 1nk 21 34 36¾ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 8.00 50.00  
2  SOPHISTICATED 2 3 32½ 41¼ 64¼ 46 48¼ (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50 14% 6.30 6.70  
3  TWITTER TRAFFIC 3 1 11½ 2nk 52¾ 610 519 (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 112 8.00 5% 19.00 40.30  
6  MAMITA LINDA 6 6 76 74¼ 74¼ 510 619¾ (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 122 6.00 22.60  
4  LA CHAPEAU 4 4 42½ 3.2 31 712 729 (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 117 5.00 16.30  
 
BTP-5   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHAKA'S LYRIC 3 4 31 32   3.2 13 (jackson jac)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 2.50 45% 1.20 0.40 W
  (by LEA out of PRAY FOR GRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  SHEZ IN A TIZZY 4 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 23 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 119 3.50 4.90  
  (by TIZNOW out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
1  TWILIGHT BEAUTY 1 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 33¼ (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.00 17% 4.70 2.90 S
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
6  MOTOWN HARBOR 5 1 511 516   56¼ 45¾ (cli)GONZALEZ JESUS 124 8.00 25.60  
  (by MOBIL out of SEAMAN HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  SHOW KITTEN 2 5 47 48   44¼ 57¼ (wilson david )LEBRON VICTOR 124 5.00 12.30  
  (by MR. Z out of SHOW CAT by OXBOW)
SCR  STORMINATOR               (bennett r)CORREA L 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by GET STORMY out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
 
BTP-6   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCIFUL 1 2 1nk 11   12½ 16¼ (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 3.00 32% 2.20 2.40 W
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FANCY FEELIN by JIMMY CREED)
2  TWISTED JUSTICE 2 1 2nk 21   22½ 26¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.80 P
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
5  DANZANITEAWAY 5 3 55¾ 45   47½ 311 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 5.00 5.00  
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
4  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 4 4 32 32   34½ 412¼ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 1.90  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
3  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 3 5 45½ 58   511½ 522¼ (cline rob)CORREA L 120 4.00 12.60  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
 
BTP-7   08/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:12 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUM KINDA PRETTY 6 2 11½ 11 11 11½ 12¾ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00 2.90  
2  OFF THE CHARTS 2 3 41¾ 52½ 31 21½ 22¾ (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 4.00 51% 1.00 5.10 P
1  ON A TOUR 1 5 52¼ 32 42½ 42½ 33½ (rodriguez hugo)HEARD TYLER 120 3.50 15% 5.60 2.90 S
3  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO 3 4 63¾ 64 65¼ 55½ 44¼ (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.50 2.60  
4  PRINCESS NINA 4 1 31½ 21 21 31½ 54¾ (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 8% 10.90 3.60  
5  YOGURT 5 6 21½ 42 55 68 614½ (short derric)CRUZ JUAN 120 6.00 16.90  
SCR  LA DAME DE FER               (james gerald)LEBRON VICTOR 115 10.00    
 
BTP-8   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VOTARY 5 3 53 13   14 16 (peach chadwi)MARCANO Y 124 4.00 1.60  
  (by ARROGATE out of LA AFICIONADA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  ITSABLINGTHING 3 2 2½ 45½   34 26 (barrett rod)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.50 3.90  
  (by PONTIFF out of IT'S MY KNIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  HAZANNE 6 4 31 23   24 37½ (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 9% 9.80 4.90 S
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  MAGGIE E 1 7 63 57½   46½ 410¾ (huffman pat)LEBRON VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
2  BIG DIG 2 5 75 610½   610 512¾ (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.50 56% 0.80 2.00  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
8  FLAT OUT FAY 7 1 1½ 34   57 615¾ (blevins bil)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00 29.40  
  (by FLAT OUT out of FAYREEN by ELITE SQUADRON)
5  CANCERFREE KIDS 4 6 42 712   715½ 731 (hester h)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 12.00 38.80  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of HEY JULIE by STRONG HOPE)
SCR  KATE'S CONCERTO               (lucas w)CORREA L 120 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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