Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/5/2)-(6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(6/5)-(1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(1/2/3)-(4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/1)-(2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/1)-(2/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Aug10 Jul14 May26 May13 Feb28 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MISS TREATED STAR Jul14 Mar08 Jan14     (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 2.00    
3  SHADY BABY Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 Mar08 Feb13 (skeens je)CORREA L 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  LA LA ANGEL Aug19 Jul05 Jun08 May26 May06 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 4.00    
5  BEEBLEGEE Aug23 Jul14 Jun15 May26 Mar27 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50    
 
BTP-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HICKORY BILL Aug16 Aug03 Jul22 Jul06 Jun21 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 6.00    
2  ALY STONE Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Jun17 (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 6% 14.90    
3  SMART DRESSER Aug15 Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 May12 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  LET'S GO JOHN Aug16 Aug03 Oct18 Sep28 Aug04 (haehn r)BUSH V 124 5.00    
5  GUS GUS Aug16 Aug04 Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 (helmbrecht willia)OUZTS W 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
6  WILDERZAR Aug17 Jul31 Jun15 Jun06 Mar12 (tumblin andr)MARCANO Y 115 4.50    
 
BTP-3   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA FLATS Aug19 Aug01 Jul15 Jul06 May25 (ramos fra)CORREA L 120 5.00    
2  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Aug01 Jun14 May11 Mar30 Feb15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
3  WHISKEY HELPS Aug17 Aug01 Jul15 Jul06 Jun02 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.00    
SCR  THANKSDAD Aug07 Jul12 May24 May03 Mar22 (poole m)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
5  PECKS NOT BAD Aug01 Jul06 Jun14 Feb15 Jan16 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
6  MIXTER JENSEN Aug01 Jun24 Jun09 May17 Apr12 (haehn r)BUSH V 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
BTP-4   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Jul15 Jul06 May20 Mar24 Feb19 (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  SOPHISTICATED Aug01 Jun17 May25 May12 Apr05 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
3  TWITTER TRAFFIC Aug12 Aug01 Jul02 Jun23 Jun03 (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LA CHAPEAU Aug12 Jul19 Jul08 Apr27 Feb05 (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 117 5.00    
5  SLOAN STREET Aug04 Jun29 Nov25     (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
6  MAMITA LINDA Aug12 Aug01 Jul07 May20 Apr28 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 122 6.00    
7  YOU'RE A DANDY Aug15 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun29 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 8.00    
 
BTP-5   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Aug15 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 May19 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.00 17% 4.70    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
SCR  STORMINATOR         (bennett r)CORREA L 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by GET STORMY out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
3  SHOW KITTEN Aug05         (wilson david )LEBRON VICTOR 124 5.00    
  (by MR. Z out of SHOW CAT by OXBOW)
4  SHAKA'S LYRIC Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun09 Nov15 (jackson jac)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by LEA out of PRAY FOR GRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  SHEZ IN A TIZZY Aug15 Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 Jun09 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 119 3.50    
  (by TIZNOW out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  MOTOWN HARBOR Jan04 Dec21 Dec06 Nov16 Oct22 (cli)GONZALEZ JESUS 124 8.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SEAMAN HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
BTP-6   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCIFUL Aug01         (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FANCY FEELIN by JIMMY CREED)
2  TWISTED JUSTICE Aug12 Jul22 Jun29 Jun15   (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
3  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE         (cline rob)CORREA L 120 4.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
4  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
5  DANZANITEAWAY         (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 5.00    
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
 
BTP-7   08/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A TOUR Aug10 Jul12 Jun11 May04 Mar26 (rodriguez hugo)HEARD TYLER 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
2  OFF THE CHARTS Aug05 Jul27 Jun21 May26 May06 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
3  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO May25 May02 Jan04 Oct26 Sep22 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.50    
4  PRINCESS NINA Jul30 Jul09 Apr12 Mar17 Feb16 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
5  YOGURT Aug12 Jul29 Jun24 May17 Dec15 (short derric)CRUZ JUAN 120 6.00    
6  SUM KINDA PRETTY Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00    
SCR  LA DAME DE FER Jul26 Jun29 Jun10 May26 May12 (james gerald)LEBRON VICTOR 115 10.00    
 
BTP-8   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE E Jul29 Jun27 Oct11 Sep26 Sep07 (huffman pat)LEBRON VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
2  BIG DIG Jul15 Nov17 Sep29 Jul31   (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
3  ITSABLINGTHING Jul08 May29 May04 Apr15   (barrett rod)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.50    
  (by PONTIFF out of IT'S MY KNIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  KATE'S CONCERTO Jul08 May29 May09 Apr15 Mar18 (lucas w)CORREA L 120 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
5  CANCERFREE KIDS Aug04         (hester h)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of HEY JULIE by STRONG HOPE)
6  VOTARY Jun29 Feb11 Jan21 Dec22   (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 124 4.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LA AFICIONADA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  HAZANNE Aug10 Jul20 Jun01 Apr01 Feb27 (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 9% 9.80    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  FLAT OUT FAY Jul13 Jun08 May16 May04 Jan27 (blevins bil)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FAYREEN by ELITE SQUADRON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.