The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.90 -6.00
AQU-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $14.00 -4.00
AQU-3   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 4.60
AQU-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.90 $7.90 1.90
AQU-5   Win (2/6/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
AQU-6   Win (9/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $17.80 $17.80 9.80
AQU-7   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
AQU-8   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 -1.90
AQU-9   Win (2/12/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $21.00 $21.00 11.00
AQU-10   Win (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $11.20 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-11:40
:224 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAMMIN GOLD 3 4 21 2½   115 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 0.95  
LIBERTY CENTRAL 4 6 4 3   225 (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 19.30  
COLLECTED SPECIAL 2 1 32 4   438 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 119 1.60 62% 0.60 5.10 S
MALIBU MARGARITA 7 7 65 6   54(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 8.50  
PRICE IS TRUTH 5 3 11 1½   3510 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 13% 6.70 4.00  
SAVAGE SPIRIT 6 5 77 710½   6613¼ (albertrani th)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 19.30  
SORORITY PRANK 1 2 5 5   711¾ 718¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
SCR  APOLLO CODE               (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 114 1.60    
 
AQU-2   11/04/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:12
:243 :50 1:143 1:394   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD GATLING 5 1 1 1½ 1½ 15 1(pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 6.00  
HANG TIGHT 4 3 45 31 4 32(romero jesus)RIVERA R 118 6.00 7.40  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 2 5 5 5 55 510½ 3(baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 4.50 4.00  
GOLDINI 1 2 2 2½ 2½ 25 4(rodriguez r)LUZZI J 123 3.50 35% 1.80 0.85  
DATESFREEDOM 3 4 33 41 32 456 (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 16% 5.20 4.10  
SCR  DONTBELATE               (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 1.80    
SCR  JUMPSTER               (persaud randi)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80    
 
AQU-3   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
:232 :464 1:111 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL 7 3 1 11 14 18 1(ryan s)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.00 13% 6.70 4.30 W
JUST A NYQUIST 2 4 53 42 57 38 2(barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 3.50 1.80  
ACCEL ROSE 4 2 2 21 24 28 310 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 17% 5.00 2.40 S
SWEET AS SUGAR 1 1 32 32 610 614¼ 416 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 30.00  
SIMPLE SUGAR 5 6 6 5 3 510¼ 516 (giglio gin)DAVIS A 121 12.00 12.40  
SYNONYMOUS 3 7 7 7 714½ 716¾ 619¾ (pregman jr)USKE S 123 20.00 26.25  
LUNA LOCA 6 5 43 6 4 410 720 (arenas marce)RIVERA R 113 3.00 32% 2.10 3.55  
 
AQU-4   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:231 :461 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET IT RIDE 5 1 21 2½   14 15 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 15% 5.50 2.95 W
JUST CALL RAY 6 4 32 3   325 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50 P
FORCED RANKING 3 2 11 1½   24 3(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 60% 0.70 0.55 S
LEDDY 7 3 6 611   511 4(goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 67.75  
BEZOS 1 7 53 5   411 513 (fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 41.50  
REGISTER 2 6 42 4   615½ 618 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 12.50  
LAFITTE'S FLEET 4 5 7 713   719 718¼ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 4.50 7.70  
 
AQU-5   11/04/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 2:00
:241 :501 1:15 1:384   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE) 2 5 3 33 3 21hd (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 38% 1.70 4.40 W
WAY TO BE MARIE 4 1 2 2 2½ 12hd (atras rob)VARGAS A 119 10.00 18.40  
KATHERINE THOMAS 6 6 65 57 4 43(tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 20% 4.10 4.90 S
JUST JULES 3 2 1 1 1½ 33 4(mott i)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 5.70  
11  JUST MUSIC 10 4 4 46 57 5510¼ (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 21.10  
HOLLYWOOD DREAM 1 12 9 8 610 611 610½ (mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 30.50  
DAY AWAY 5 8 86 99 813½ 712½ 710¾ (contessa c)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 28.50  
STYLE POINTS 8 7 75 78 712 814½ 811¼ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 3.80  
PUBLIC ASSEMBLY 7 11 1110¾ 1114 1116½ 1016 912¼ (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 6.00 15.50  
10  Z TRAIN (IRE) 9 9 10 1012 914½ 915½ 1013 (dutrow anthon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00 17% 4.90 3.85  
12  CHANNEL LOOP 11 10 1211¼ 1216 1217½ 1120 1117¼ (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
13  THAT'STHEFACTJACK 12 3 5 68 1015½ 1228 1231¾ (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 64.25  
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mitchell)RUIZ ELISEO 114 30.00    
SCR  NADOWESSI (IRE)               (morley thom)CARRASCO R 119 15.00    
SCR  PHILANTHROPY               (mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
SCR  WASKESIU               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 1.60    
 
AQU-6   11/04/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Atlantic Beach Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
:223 :453 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEASE ADVISE 6 1 7 7   43 1¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 15% 5.70 7.90 W
IRISH GENT (IRE) 7 7 6 6   52¼ (pletcher a)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 24% 3.10 4.50 P
WORKS FOR ME 3 6 1½ 1nk   13½ (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 16.70  
APOLLO TEN 8 3 52 4   33 4(clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 36% 1.80 1.40  
SPLIT STRIKE 4 4 2½ 2nk   25(clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 3.55  
GET SPOOLED 1 8 8 8   765 (mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 19.00  
10  RUDDY BUDDY 9 2 4 5   67(werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 120 50.00 79.50  
DILGER (IRE) 2 9 910 9   910¼ 8(de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 6.90  
WOKE UP QUICK 5 5 3½ 3½   8914½ (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 39.75  
SCR  JIMMYTHETOOTH               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
SCR  PERLIANO               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
:233 :471 1:114 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIERRA LEONE 5 5 5 6 5 41(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 15% 5.60 3.20 W
CHANGE OF COMMAND 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 2(mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 114 4.50 15% 5.80 3.90 P
IGNITE THE LIGHT 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 21 3(dutrow richar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 10.00  
TUSCAN GOLD 6 7 7 7 3 54(brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 6.00 10.60  
HUNT BALL (IRE) 3 3 42 3 4 35(mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 1.60 43% 1.30 1.20  
DEPOSITION 2 6 63 4 7 76(st ur)CARRASCO R 119 20.00 28.75  
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER 7 4 3 5 6 6710½ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 10.20  
 
AQU-8   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
:233 :463 1:104 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKER'S CANDY 6 1 1nk 31 2nk 11(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 16% 5.20 1.05 W
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 3 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 22(dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 4.20  
COLLOQUY 4 3 31 5 42 337 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 18% 4.70 3.85 S
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 7 7 7 76 56 547 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 23.60  
THRILL OF IT 2 4 4 1nk 3 4511¼ (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00 5.70  
MASON MANIA 5 5 5 42 6 610 613¼ (abreu fernando)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 24% 3.10 10.50  
WILD BANKER 1 6 6 65 77 711½ 715½ (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 23.40  
 
AQU-9   11/04/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Stewart Manor Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:42
:223 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUPIE (GB) 2 2 5 5   31(motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00 39% 1.60 9.50 W
MARCO T. 1 6 8 6   62(clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 6.30  
10  GREAVETTE 9 7 2½ 1   133 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 52.50  
SHOP LIFTING 6 11 10 9   54(dutrow anthon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 6% 16.90 2.70  
12  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) 11 4 3 2   254 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 27% 2.60 4.00  
CAMILA T (IRE) 5 3 4 3   43 6(avila carlos)OLIVERO A 120 5.00 8.10  
GRAM 8 10 7 8   776 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 8.20  
SHE'S FIRE 3 5 11 1111¾   108(rice kevin)VARGAS A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
11  NICKY JOLENE 10 8 6 7   9910 (falcone n)RENDON JAIRO 120 30.00 44.50  
ROSIE JEEKS 7 9 9 10   1111¼ 1014½ (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 4.50 7% 12.80 4.30  
LOVE TO EAT 4 1 1½ 4   81115¼ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 44.00  
SCR  CARESS               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE               (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
 
AQU-10   11/04/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
:231 :491 1:143 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 12 9 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 1¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 4.60  
11  PRINCE OF TROY 11 6 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 2¼ (cash russell)RIVERA R 119 8.00 14.00  
BARRY THE BUILDER 7 7 7 7 6 431 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 11.80  
YOUR MISSION 4 12 1210¼ 126 11 75 4(abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 12% 7.70 11.10  
JOINT RESOLUTION 3 3 6 63 7 55(clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50 2.95  
WAFLR 2 4 4 3 4 33 6(donk david)RENDON JAIRO 121 20.00 38.75  
TONY O 8 11 10 10 10 87(donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00 11.50  
HE'S A LUCKY GUY 5 2 8 8 8 984 (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 40% 1.50 2.10  
PERFECT OUTCOME 6 5 5 42 3 69(rodriguez r)CARRASCO R 121 30.00 5% 19.00 60.75  
BERNARDINO 9 10 11 11 127 1010(abreu jorge)VARGAS A 124 10.00 23.90  
10  MYLES 10 8 9 9 9 1113¼ 1114¾ (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00 29.75  
LOOKIN' TO WIN 1 1 3 52 5 1214¼ 1217 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00 49.75  
SCR  AULA               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50    
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.