Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (2/6/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (9/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (2/12/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-10   Win (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-11:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECTED SPECIAL Oct20 Jul16       (delgado jorge)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 1.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  APOLLO CODE Aug12 Jul16       (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 114 1.60    
SORORITY PRANK Oct04 Sep04       (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SLAMMIN GOLD Oct05 Sep14       (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50    
LIBERTY CENTRAL         (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
PRICE IS TRUTH Oct04 Aug24 Jul27     (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 13% 6.70    
SAVAGE SPIRIT Oct04 Aug18 Jul27     (albertrani th)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
MALIBU MARGARITA         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
 
AQU-2   11/04/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DONTBELATE Oct21 Oct12 Aug05 Jul19 May18 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 1.80    
SCR  JUMPSTER Oct28 Oct12 Aug06 Jun03 May20 (persaud randi)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80    
GOLDINI Oct21 Sep30 Aug06 Jul27 Jun17 (rodriguez r)LUZZI J 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Oct12 Aug06 Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 4.50    
DATESFREEDOM Oct21 Oct05 Sep21 Aug25 Aug10 (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
HANG TIGHT Oct21 Oct05 Sep03 Aug02 Jul22 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
LORD GATLING Oct21 Sep17 Aug03 Jul01 May13 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
 
AQU-3   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET AS SUGAR Oct19 Sep22 Aug18 Jul09 Apr06 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
JUST A NYQUIST Oct19 Sep22 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 3.50    
SYNONYMOUS Oct19 Aug31 Aug02 Jul07 Jun18 (pregman jr)USKE S 123 20.00    
ACCEL ROSE Aug18 Jul21 Jun17 May18 Apr20 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 17% 5.00    
SIMPLE SUGAR Oct19 Sep22 Aug18 Jul09 Jun04 (giglio gin)DAVIS A 121 12.00    
LUNA LOCA Oct26 Sep24 Aug18 Jul02 May20 (arenas marce)RIVERA R 113 3.00 32% 2.10    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Oct11 Sep03 Aug20 Aug11 Jul14 (ryan s)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
AQU-4   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEZOS Oct22 Sep16 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
REGISTER Sep28 Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
FORCED RANKING Oct06 Sep01       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 60% 0.70    
LAFITTE'S FLEET Oct07 Sep02 Aug19 Jul26 Jun15 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 4.50    
LET IT RIDE Apr08 Mar04       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 15% 5.50    
JUST CALL RAY Oct22 Sep21 Aug25 Aug02 Jul22 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEDDY Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Jul08 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
 
AQU-5   11/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD DREAM         (mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 38% 1.70    
JUST JULES         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
WAY TO BE MARIE Sep16         (atras rob)VARGAS A 119 10.00    
DAY AWAY Oct01 Aug31 Aug13     (contessa c)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
KATHERINE THOMAS Jul23         (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 20% 4.10    
PUBLIC ASSEMBLY         (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 6.00    
STYLE POINTS         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  NADOWESSI (IRE) Sep16         (morley thom)CARRASCO R 119 15.00    
10  Z TRAIN (IRE) Sep02         (dutrow anthon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
11  JUST MUSIC Oct14 Jul30       (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
12  CHANNEL LOOP         (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Sep16         (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA Oct13 Oct01       (friedman mitchell)RUIZ ELISEO 114 30.00    
SCR  PHILANTHROPY Nov03 Sep03 Aug06     (mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
SCR  WASKESIU Aug30 Jul30       (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 1.60    
 
AQU-6   11/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Atlantic Beach Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET SPOOLED Oct04 Aug31 Aug03     (mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
DILGER (IRE)         (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  JIMMYTHETOOTH Oct08 Sep13 Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
WORKS FOR ME Oct08 Aug27 Jun23 May18   (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SPLIT STRIKE Oct08 Sep04 Jul28 Jun23   (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
WOKE UP QUICK Oct04 Sep04       (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLEASE ADVISE Oct26 Sep13 Aug20 Jul30 Jun22 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
IRISH GENT (IRE) Oct15 Sep22 Sep01     (pletcher a)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
APOLLO TEN Sep22 Aug25       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
10  RUDDY BUDDY Oct08 Sep09 Aug19 Jul27   (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 120 50.00    
SCR  PERLIANO Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 Jul07   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANGE OF COMMAND Oct01 Aug25       (mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 114 4.50 15% 5.80    
DEPOSITION Oct14 Sep23       (st ur)CARRASCO R 119 20.00    
HUNT BALL (IRE) Oct06 Aug19       (mott i)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 1.60 43% 1.30    
IGNITE THE LIGHT Sep16         (dutrow richar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50    
SIERRA LEONE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
TUSCAN GOLD         (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 6.00    
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Oct08 Sep22 Aug12 Jul09   (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
 
AQU-8   11/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD BANKER Oct05 Sep17 Aug02 Jun11 May11 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00    
THRILL OF IT Oct04 Aug23 Jul23 Jun22 Apr30 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00    
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug23 Jul07 May29 May06 Apr07 (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
COLLOQUY Oct04 Jul28 Jul03 May13 Apr13 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 18% 4.70    
MASON MANIA Oct18 Sep26 Sep12 Aug02 Jun11 (abreu fernando)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 24% 3.10    
MAKER'S CANDY Oct07 Aug27 Jul17 May29 Mar25 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Oct04 Sep03 Aug02 Jun23 May28 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
 
AQU-9   11/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Stewart Manor Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARCO T. Sep04 May11       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
TOUPIE (GB) Oct06 Sep09 Jul01     (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
SHE'S FIRE Oct15 Sep26 Sep16 Aug20 Jul29 (rice kevin)VARGAS A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE TO EAT Oct08 Sep03 Jul23 Jun30   (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
CAMILA T (IRE) Oct04 Aug19       (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 120 5.00    
SHOP LIFTING Aug26         (dutrow anthon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE Sep07 Aug17       (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
ROSIE JEEKS Sep16         (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 4.50 7% 12.80    
GRAM Aug20 Jul26 Jun15 May28   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
10  GREAVETTE Oct16 Sep07 Jul07     (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
11  NICKY JOLENE Sep24 Jul09 Jun15     (falcone n)RENDON JAIRO 120 30.00    
12  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) Sep16 Jul20       (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  CARESS Oct05         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
 
AQU-10   11/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN' TO WIN Oct12 Jul07       (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
WAFLR Oct21 Oct05 Jul26 Jun18 May13 (donk david)RENDON JAIRO 121 20.00    
JOINT RESOLUTION May06 Nov20 Apr07     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
YOUR MISSION Oct05 Jul26 Jul01 May13 Jan05 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 12% 7.70    
HE'S A LUCKY GUY Sep06 Jul26       (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
PERFECT OUTCOME Oct21 Sep21 Aug30 Dec31 Dec10 (rodriguez r)CARRASCO R 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
BARRY THE BUILDER Oct06 Sep02 Jul03 Jun03 May13 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
TONY O Oct27 Aug23 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
BERNARDINO Jan27 Nov20 Oct21 Sep02 Jul15 (abreu jorge)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
10  MYLES Sep21 Aug30 May19 Apr22 Mar30 (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00    
11  PRINCE OF TROY Oct06 Aug11 Jul14 Jun17 Jun01 (cash russell)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
12  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Sep21 Aug30 Jul30 Jun03 May06 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
SCR  AULA Oct13 Sep25 Jul26 Jul01 May19 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50    
SCR  CHULLIGAN Oct16 Sep04 Jun23 Oct07 Aug26 (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.