Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 12.60
BAQ-2   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $20.60  
BAQ-3   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
BAQ-4   Win (12/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $14.40  
BAQ-5   Win (2/9/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
BAQ-6   Win (6/2/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
BAQ-7   Win (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
BAQ-8   Win (2/8/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
BAQ-9   Win (4/7/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/19/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:243 :502 1:152 1:402   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PARTY AT GRANTS 4 6 64½ 63½ 52¼ 1nk 1nk (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 10% 8.70 8.30 W
6  PARIS STYLE (FR) 6 3 43 42 62¾ 31½ 2nk (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 2.15  
3  VANISHED 3 2 21 2½ 1½ 2nk 3.2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 66% 0.50 2.25 S
5  RAYYA VALENTINE 5 4 32 31 3½ 41¾ 43½ (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 19.60  
1  DREAMING OF MO 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 53¼ 55 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.55  
2  MISS OUR HERO 2 5 53 52 42 66¼ 610¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 6.60  
 
BAQ-2   10/19/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:14 1:373   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TASS (GB) 1 2 31½ 31½ 31½ 31½ 1hd (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 9.30  
1  CHILI FLAG (FR) 3 3 53 53½ 53 1½ 2hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 74% 0.40 0.40 P
1A  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) 7 7 77½ 76 75 53 31¼ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 0.60 0.40  
6  IMPLICATED 6 6 21 21 2½ 2½ 43 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 ★ 3.15  
4  UNRULY JULIE 4 5 42½ 42½ 41½ 74 53¾ (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 14.00  
3  TIC TIC TIC BOOM 2 1 66 64½ 64 64 64 (bedard alan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 44.75  
5  STERN CHASER 5 4 11 11 1½ 42½ 77 (matz michael )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 126 0.80    
 
BAQ-3   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CROWDING OUT 6 1 11 11½   11 1hd (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.70 W
1  LADY SHYLOCK 1 4 52½ 31½   21 2hd (falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 2.50 53% 0.90 1.70 P
2  JUST A NYQUIST 2 6 63½ 64¾   55 34 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 4.00 3.90  
8  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 7 3 42 21½   33½ 44¼ (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 4.50  
6  SIMPLE SUGAR 5 2 31½ 42   45 57 (giglio gin)DAVIS A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
5  SWEET AS SUGAR 4 5 21 52¼   66½ 69 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 23.00  
4  SYNONYMOUS 3 7 78 710¾   711 711¾ (pregman jr)USKE S 123 15.00 35.75  
SCR  DUFRESNE               (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 4.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TEMPERMENTAL 2 2 31½ 31½   1nk 11¾ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 6.20  
9  COUSIN KRISTI 3 5 11 11   2nk 21¾ (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00 28% 2.60 3.85 P
12  KHALI MAGIC 5 3 21 21   32½ 36½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 1.60 36% 1.70 0.70 S
10  RIBOT'S VALENTINE 4 1 42½ 44   44½ 47¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 4.20  
3  DREAM CENTRAL 1 4 58 59½   511½ 518 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 11.40  
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN               (walder r)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCR  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE)               (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  ROAD TO REMEMBER               (handal raymond)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50    
SCR  MZ BIG BUCKS               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SCR  MASTEROF THE TUNES               (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
SCR  THEODORA GRACE               (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER               (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:12     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KHADULLAH 2 1 12½ 12½   12½ 11¼ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 114 3.50 20% 4.00 0.80 W
6  RUNNING LUCKY 5 6 22½ 22½   22½ 21¼ (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00 26.50  
1  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 1 2 32½ 32½   32½ 32¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 4.70  
10  SEBA M 8 5 89¾ 816¾   611¾ 44¾ (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 16% 5.30 22.90  
4  ONE WITHEVERYTHING 4 4 44½ 510½   410½ 56¼ (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.00 5.40  
7  KING KHALI 6 8 77¾ 715¾   812¾ 67¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 16% 5.30 24.50  
9  MORQ 7 3 67¾ 615½   712¾ 77¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 16% 5.30 9.60  
3  SMILE TAKES CHARGE 3 7 54¾ 49½   510¾ 810¾ (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.50  
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS               (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  STAR SEQUENCE               (serpe m)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :491       1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FORT WASHINGTON 4 5 42½ 31½ 31½ 2½ 1nk (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 32% 2.20 1.60 W
10  JAMES ALOYSIUS 7 4 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 2nk (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 18% 4.50 3.90 P
2  EMARAATY (GB) 2 1 53 52½ 53 3½ 3.15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20 3.65 S
3  DANCIN IN DA'NILE 3 6 96 95¼ 95½ 52½ 41¼ (cox gail)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00 29.50  
1  NAPOLEONIC WAR 1 2 31½ 41½ 42½ 41 51½ (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 6.00 5.00  
11  DAUNT 8 8 84½ 73¾ 64 62¾ 61½ (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 6.90  
9  JAMIE DREAMS 6 9 64 84¼ 85½ 88¼ 77¾ (linder jr)RENDON JAIRO 122 30.00 76.25  
12  GREAT KING (FR) 9 3 11 1½ 1½ 74¾ 88¼ (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
7  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 5 7 74½ 63½ 74½ 98¾ 911 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 62.50  
SCR  ARI GOLD               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON CALLING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00    
SCR  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB)               (murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF               (chatterpaul naipaul)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
SCR  SET SAIL               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80    
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:111 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBON 1 1 2nk 1nk 11 12 12¼ (younghans william)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 7% 13.20 4.80 W
5  KARA PARA 5 5 55½ 56 55 32½ 22¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 28% 2.60 1.85 P
7  RACING COLORS 7 6 88½ 810½ 78 76¾ 36 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00 48.75  
4  LAVON 4 7 67½ 67½ 67 66½ 47¾ (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 49.00  
8  DASHING DELLA 8 4 1nk 2nk 21 22 57¾ (arenas marce)RIVERA R 113 6.00 13.70  
2  BIG HAZEL 2 3 33½ 34 34½ 56 69¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 6.20  
3  SAIL WITH THE WIND 3 2 44 44½ 45 46 711¾ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80 40% 1.50 1.85  
6  SHESASCOLDASICE 6 8 78 78½ 89 811¾ 817¾ (ferraro anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
 
BAQ-8   10/19/2023 3960ft TURF RC11 GOOD Glen Cove Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DANSE MACABRE 2 7 66 77   51¾ 11½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00 44% 1.30 1.40 W
9  DONTLOOKBACKATALL 9 1 33½ 34   11 21½ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 11% 8.30 7.10 P
8  LOVE APPEALS 8 5 55 45   41¼ 31¾ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 23% 3.30 4.30 S
7  PERSONAL PURSUIT 7 9 97¾ 911   85¼ 44½ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 ★ 6.20  
4  LADY BETH 4 8 86¾ 89   95½ 56 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7.30  
10  TICKER TAPE HOME 10 6 76¼ 66   64¾ 66¼ (casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
5  FUTURE IS NOW 5 2 2nk 2nk   21 79¼ (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 120 8.00 10.90  
6  BEAUTY OF THE SEA 6 3 44 55½   74¾ 89¾ (orseno f)RENDON JAIRO 122 15.00 37.50  
3  DETERMINED JESTER 3 4 1nk 1nk   31 913 (schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00 26.50  
1  ZOINNOCENT (IRE) 1 10 107¾ 1012½   1011 1018 (boniface kevin )SILVERA RUBEN 118 50.00 77.00  
SCR  GATITA SUAVE               (sanchez-salomon r)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00    
SCR  PLENTITUDE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE MUD (IRE)               (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
SCR  TAPPIN JOSIE               (de horacio)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
SCR  VIOLET GIBSON (IRE)               (joseph a)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/19/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:162 1:413 2:051 2:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FRANCESCO CLEMENTE (IRE) 3 77 88 87 88 25 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 46% 1.20 1.00 W
7  ROYAL SPIRIT 6 1½ 11½ 11½ 12½ 15 2¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 21% 3.70 9.20 P
1  CYBER NINJA 1 99¾ 911 98½ 99½ 87¾ 32½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 4.60  
9  SWORE 8 64½ 66 65½ 66 77¼ 43¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 2.30  
10  OMNI KING 9 42½ 43½ 54 44 45½ 54 (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
2  GHOSTLYPRINCE 2 54½ 54 43½ 55 55¾ 64 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 27.75  
6  FATIMA'S BLESSING 5 87¼ 77½ 76½ 77½ 98¼ 74½ (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 124 12.00 43.50  
5  CLASSIC CREATION 4 32 32 31½ 33 35½ 85¾ (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 40.50  
8  HOLD THE SALSA 7 2½ 21½ 21½ 22½ 66¼ 97¼ (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 53.00  
SCR  MY IMAGINATION               (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SCR  QUALITY CHIC               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.