The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.70 $6.70 0.70
FL-2   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
FL-3   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $15.40 -4.00
FL-4   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
FL-5   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $9.10 -6.00
FL-6   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $16.00 $16.00 10.00
FL-7   Win (2/10/5/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $10.80 -10.00
FL-8   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
FL-9   Win (8/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.30 $3.30 -4.70

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
:222 :464 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTED WITH STARS 4 1 3 22   1½ 1(englehart jeff)HARKIE K 121 4.50 7% 13.40 2.35 W
SWEET SHALLOTS 2 4 2nk 32   2½ 2(breed debra )DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 35% 1.90 2.05 P
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH 5 3 5 410   43(loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 10.00 18.90  
JOKERS RUN 3 5 4 510½   58 4(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00 6.90  
NO STONE UNTURNED 6 2 1nk 12   35(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50 28% 2.60 2.30  
RIDING ON A WINNER 1 6 611¾ 616½   69 613 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 7.50  
SCR  COMFORTABLE CAT               (marino joseph )BARBOSA CARLOS 117 8.00    
SCR  OUCH THAT HURT               (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50    
 
FL-2   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 1:44
:243 :491 1:152 1:44   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMAKI 7 2 12 11 11 16 1(progno christoph)COA J 121 2.00 35% 1.90 0.75 W
JAYCE AND LIAM 1 3 22 21 21 26 2(englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 19% 4.30 3.40 P
MOON CHARIOT 5 7 4 410 313 324 320¼ (dixon k)HARKIE K 121 4.00 3.70  
NICOLENA P. 3 6 69 516 518 536 428¼ (sells rach)DAVIS A 121 5.00 14.00  
IDA DE NILE 2 4 3 39 414 436 530¾ (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 12.00 9% 10.00 34.00  
JOYFUL SOUL 4 1 58 617 618½ 638 632½ (ferraro anth)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 10.00 9.80  
SPEED UP 6 5 712 723 736½ 776 776 (dixon k)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 30.75  
 
FL-3   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Leon Reed Memorial Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:22 :452 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURE OF MONEY 4 3 513½ 510   51(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 5.00 6.70  
FLYING EMPEROR 3 1 2½ 11   1nk 2(wright james)DE EMANUEL 122 2.00 46% 1.20 3.00 P
LADY'S GOLDEN GUY 5 4 4 45   31 33 (breed a)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 24% 3.10 4.00 S
JAK N BURNY 2 5 3 31   2nk 43 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50 0.75  
LITTLE MADDY BROWN 1 2 1½ 21   4520½ (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 118 12.00 12.00  
SCR  BAR FOURTEEN               (sells rachel)COA J 118 20.00    
SCR  TRA LAD               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50    
 
FL-4   10/16/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
:243 :493 1:144 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETROLO 2 5 1½ 11 1 11nk (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 14% 6.10 1.20 W
MAD MAGIC 1 1 2½ 21 32 22nk (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00 2.35  
CHULLIGAN 4 3 3 32 2 33(clement christop)COA J 121 2.50 53% 0.90 3.40 S
OLLIE CAN DANCE 3 2 4 54 45 410½ 410¾ (buckley jo)DAVIS A 121 6.00 9.00  
UNION NAVY 5 4 5 4 55 515½ 515¼ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 6% 15.40 8.70  
MOBOT 6 6 6 65 610 616½ 617¾ (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 121 15.00 33.50  
DANCINWITHJAKE 7 7 713½ 713 714 718½ 719 (progno s)ROHENA JR 124 20.00 65.75  
SCR  CITIZEN MACK               (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
 
FL-5   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
:223 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACONY ROAD 4 3 4 31   1nk 1¼ (murphy p)ALVARADO R 121 5.00 3.55  
POP COYER 5 2 6 66   42 2¼ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 1.85 P
WAR SMOKE 3 6 2nk 2nk   2nk 3(englehart jeremia)DAVIS KATIE 124 2.50 41% 1.40 3.90 S
MSHINDI 7 1 5 5   64(dixon k)HARKIE K 121 15.00 24.00  
PREDICTED 2 7 31 42   55(englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 3.95  
HE'S GOT THE JACK 1 5 1nk 1nk   36(englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 4.00 7.80  
MY COOL HAND LUKE 6 4 7 716   713¼ 710¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 6.00 32% 2.20 9.30  
 
FL-6   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:231 :47 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO TRUMP 3 3 3.2 1½   11 1½ (ferraro m )DAVIS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00 W
UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 5 7 6 4   42½ (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 114 5.00 2.05  
SHORTSINTHEWINTER 7 2 7 5   21 3(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00 5.30  
DOCTOR JERRY 1 4 1nk 3½   34(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.50 5.10  
UNDER THE KNIFE 2 1 2nk 2½   55(englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 55% 0.80 2.05  
BASIS RISK 4 6 4 7   66(coffey mariali)HARKIE K 124 10.00 12.00  
BILLIEVE IN JOSH 6 5 5 6   7710¼ (ficarella brooke)COA J 121 8.00 13% 6.50 18.40  
SCR  SUPERB SURPRISE               (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
 
FL-7   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
:222 :464 :60     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AL'S FROSTED 4 5 3 3   2nk 1¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00 4.40  
STORM THE EMPIRE 5 1 2 2   1nk 2¼ (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 121 6.00 3.60  
BIG ELM 2 7 4 4   32 3(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00 3.40  
HERE COMES ELI 1 4 1 1   44(englehart)NAVARRO J 121 3.00 37% 1.70 1.55  
UNCLE KENDRIC 8 6 712½ 717   710¾ 5(breed j)HARKIE K 124 15.00 9% 9.60 32.25  
GOLDDIGGERS PALACE 7 3 5 514½   56(buckley jo)DAVIS A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
GOTTA CONNECT 3 9 813½ 818   810¾ 7(barrow paul)ROHENA M 121 6.00 4.40  
CHOPPA 6 2 6 615   68(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 9% 9.60 20.00  
SUPPORT THE CAT 9 8 914½ 918   911 9(sells rachel)SONE Y 124 8.00 10.30  
SCR  ERIDROMOS               (lugovich l)COA J 124 20.00    
SCR  REDEMPTION ROAD               (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
FL-8   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY New York Breeders' Futurity Purse ($161.547K) 2 ALL PT- 4:38
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATCHATALKINABOUT 7 6 43 31   2nk 1(ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 43% 1.30 1.70 W
TRUST FUND 1 2 2 2nk   1nk 2(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 13% 6.80 4.40 P
MISCHIEF JOKE 4 5 6 4   436 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6.50  
TALL PAUL 2 4 1 1nk   3.2 4(baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 21% 3.80 2.70  
UNICORN CAKE 5 3 5 7   611¼ 512 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 25.00  
YO BANANA BOY 3 7 7 5   511¼ 619½ (heath g)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 3.65  
HAL AWAY 6 1 33 6   714¼ 720¾ (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 62.75  
 
FL-9   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
:231 :473 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY MISS KEENS 7 2 1½ 1nk   14 12 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00 32% 2.10 0.65 W
SUBTLE GIANT 6 3 63 7   522 (d'alessandro r)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 20.00 12.80  
JACKIE B GOOD 2 7 4 4   24 3(clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 5.00 13% 6.90 8.20 S
SUPER SLIDE 3 6 52 55   34 4(barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 11.00  
WINE TRAIL 4 4 74 6   75(progno mic)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
SWEET SUGAR BABY 5 5 3 3½   667 (breed debra )DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20 3.45  
BAD CONNECTION 8 1 2½ 2nk   478 (gutierrez a)COA J 119 15.00 20.90  
LADY MISTRESS 1 8 8 8   811¾ 812 (cotrone d)NAVARRO J 122 20.00 47.50  
SCR  PRINCESS SONYA               (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.