Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(3/7)-(4/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(4/2/6)-(3/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/6/5)-(2/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/6)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/6)-(7/2/1)-(8/6/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(8/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-9   WIN (8/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/5)-(8/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/5)-(8/6/3/5)-(8/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO STONE UNTURNED Jul04 Jun06 Nov08 Oct12 Sep26 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  OUCH THAT HURT Sep20 Jul19 Jul04 Nov21 Oct31 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50    
2  RIDING ON A WINNER Aug23 Jul05 May15 May02 Mar05 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
3  SWEET SHALLOTS Sep18 Aug21 Aug08 Jul05 Jun14 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  COMFORTABLE CAT Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (marino josep)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 8.00    
5  JOKERS RUN Aug23 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Nov23 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00    
6  STARTED WITH STARS Sep11 Aug02 Jun21 Jan13 Nov30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.50 7% 13.40    
7  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 Aug09 Jul25 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
 
FL-2   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAYCE AND LIAM Sep20 Aug01       (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
2  IDA DE NILE Sep27 Aug28       (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 12.00 9% 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NILE RISING by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  NICOLENA P. Sep27         (sells ra)DAVIS A 121 5.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of BLINDSIDEHIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  JOYFUL SOUL Oct03 Sep11 Aug15     (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CAUSEWAY GHOST by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  MOON CHARIOT Sep25 Sep01 Aug15     (dixon linda )HARKIE K 121 4.00    
  (by ORB out of DELANTERA by BERNSTEIN)
6  SPEED UP Aug28         (dixon linda)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SPEEDY ANALYSIS by CITY ZIP)
7  TOMAKI Sep27         (progno christo)COA J 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of ANTE UP MY FRIEND by FRIEND OR FOE)
 
FL-3   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Leon Reed Memorial Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE MADDY BROWN Aug18 Jul28 Jul12 Jun20 Oct24 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of JANUARY by RED RANSOM)
2  JAK N BURNY Sep05 Aug07 Jul24     (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50    
  (by DESTIN out of BETTY'S CHANCE by DUCKHORN)
3  FLYING EMPEROR Aug16 Jul12 Jun13 May29 May15 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SOARING EMPIRE out of EVIL EMPRESS by DEVIL HIS DUE)
SCR  TRA LAD Sep25 Aug29 Jul26 Jun27 May29 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DEPUTY CURES BLUES by WAR DEPUTY)
5  ALLURE OF MONEY Sep25 Aug27 Jul17 Jun28 Jun12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ALANA'S ALLURE by SHACKLEFORD)
SCR  BAR FOURTEEN Sep28 Sep01 Aug15 Jul13 Jun17 (sells rachel)COA J 118 20.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MORE THAN LOVE by MORE THAN READY)
7  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Sep20 Sep04 Aug16 Jul12 Jun26 (breed debra)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
  (by GOLDEN TICKET out of VALUABLE LADY by VALUE PLUS)
 
FL-4   10/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD MAGIC Jul15 Jul01 May11 Apr15 Mar24 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COOL AND STORMY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  PETROLO Aug19 Feb25 Dec31     (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of BEE NOTEWORTHY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
3  OLLIE CAN DANCE Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jan28 (buckley )DAVIS A 121 6.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOKEN BAY by GOLD TOKEN)
4  CHULLIGAN Sep04 Jun23 Oct07 Aug26   (clement christ)COA J 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BAR OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CITIZEN MACK Mar18 Feb03 Aug13 Jul21   (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RUTILE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  UNION NAVY Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul24   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 6% 15.40    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of NAVY NURSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
7  MOBOT Oct02 Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 121 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
8  DANCINWITHJAKE Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of COPIOUS NOTES by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
 
FL-5   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S GOT THE JACK Sep18 Aug21 Nov16 Nov02   (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 4.00    
2  PREDICTED Oct02 Sep18 May26 May05 Apr02 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 3.00    
3  WAR SMOKE Jul17         (englehart jerem)DAVIS KATIE 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  TACONY ROAD Oct02 Sep18 Aug07 Jul17 Jun28 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 121 5.00    
5  POP COYER Oct02 Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 May15 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY COOL HAND LUKE Sep25         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 6.00 32% 2.20    
7  MSHINDI Oct02 Sep18 Aug31 Feb09 Nov25 (dixon linda )HARKIE K 121 15.00    
 
FL-6   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR JERRY Oct02 Sep04       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.50    
2  UNDER THE KNIFE Sep04 Aug20 Jul21 Jun28   (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 55% 0.80    
3  MO TRUMP Oct02 Aug02 Jul17 Jun27 Jun12 (ferraro )DAVIS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPERB SURPRISE Aug28 Aug07 Jun21 May24 Apr24 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
5  BASIS RISK Sep01 Aug09 Jul29 Jun23 May14 (coffey maria)HARKIE K 124 10.00    
6  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Sep18 Aug20 Oct21     (zito nicholas)MARTIN MATTIE 114 5.00    
7  BILLIEVE IN JOSH Oct02 Jun21 Jun02 Oct19   (ficarella broo)COA J 121 8.00 13% 6.50    
8  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00    
 
FL-7   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA CONNECT Sep18 Aug07 Jul10 May15 Mar04 (barrow paul)ROHENA M 121 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
1A  AL'S FROSTED Sep04 Aug05 Jul09 May27   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of VENKAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  HERE COMES ELI         (engleha)NAVARRO J 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GIRVIN out of PRINCESS TWO by TWO PUNCH)
3  BIG ELM May21 Mar17 Jan28     (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
4  STORM THE EMPIRE Sep18 Aug07 Oct09 Aug11   (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
5  CHOPPA         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 9% 9.60    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of SELFIE by WAR CHANT)
6  GOLDDIGGERS PALACE Sep25         (buckley )DAVIS A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of DANCER DIANNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  ERIDROMOS Sep25 Sep06 Aug04 Jul09 Jun04 (lugovich lisa )COA J 124 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GREGORIAN GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
8  UNCLE KENDRIC         (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 15.00 9% 9.60    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GONNA BE LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  SUPPORT THE CAT Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 8.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
SCR  REDEMPTION ROAD Sep25 Jun19 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of BEAUTIFUL RISK by SAARLAND)
 
FL-8   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY New York Breeders' Futurity Purse ($161.547K) 2 ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUST FUND Sep25 Aug27 Aug11     (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 122 2.50 13% 6.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MO SAVINGS by UNCLE MO)
2  TALL PAUL Sep25 Aug12 Jul23     (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by FROSTED out of ANANDA by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
3  YO BANANA BOY Sep14         (heath g)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZSOMETHINGROYAL by TIZWAY)
4  MISCHIEF JOKE Sep21 Aug23 Jul28 Jun23 May12 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHESABITDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  UNICORN CAKE Sep25 Sep01       (englehart jerem)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PARTY LIKE GRANDMA by DESERT PARTY)
6  HAL AWAY Sep27         (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
7  WHATCHATALKINABOUT Aug27 May12       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of SUPER SAVVY by SUPER SAVER)
 
FL-9   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCESS SONYA Jul31 Jul12 Jun06 May22 Apr30 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.00    
2  LADY MISTRESS Oct02 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Feb22 (cotrone)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
3  JACKIE B GOOD Oct02 Sep18 Sep05 Apr05 Mar22 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
4  SUPER SLIDE Oct03 Sep06 Jul18 Jun21 May15 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
5  WINE TRAIL Oct02 Sep18 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (progno m)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEET SUGAR BABY Sep06 Aug02 Jul18 Jun20 May24 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
7  SUBTLE GIANT Oct02 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 20.00    
8  PRETTY MISS KEENS Oct02 Aug14 Jul11 Jun20 May08 (englehart jerem)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
9  BAD CONNECTION Oct02 Sep05 Aug21 Jul11 Jun26 (gutierrez luis)COA J 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.