Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-3 $4.70 $2.70 135%
BAQ-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.40 $1.40 23%
BAQ-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $12.50 $6.50 108%
    DD (5/4/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-4 $20.10 $11.10 123%
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(5/4/1)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-5-4 $39.75 $12.75 47%
BAQ-5   WIN (7/11/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $22.00 $12.00 120%
    DD (6/2/4)-(7/11/9/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-6 $79.25 $64.25 428%
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(6/2/4)-(7/11/9/4/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00  5-4-6 $281.50 $236.50 526%
    PK4 (3/1/2)-(5/4/1)-(6/2/4)-(7/11/9/4/6) 135 $0.50 $67.50  3-5-4-6 $225.25 $157.75 234%
    PK5 (4/3)-(3/1/2)-(5/4/1)-(6/2/4)-(7/11/9/4/6) 270 $0.50 $135  2/4/5-3-5-4-6 $765.75 $630.75 467%
BAQ-7   WIN (8/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.40 $2.40 30%
BAQ-8   WIN (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    DD (8/1/4/6)-(5/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-4 $27.25 $11.25 70%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF JOKE 3 2 2½ 1   15 1 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 46% 1.20 0.65 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHESABITDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PERLIANO 2 1 31 3   25 2 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 18% 4.50 5.20 P
  (by MITOLE out of IWASREADYYESTERDAY by MORE THAN READY)
OFFICER DERICK 5 4 1½ 2   36 36 (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 11.00  
  (by MO TOWN out of KELLY'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
FRATELLINO 1 3 5 59   412 420 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 19.40  
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIMBERLY JEAN by MORE THAN READY)
MAMA'S DREAM 4 5 4 4   516 531 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 2.25  
  (by FREUD out of MAMA THERESA by CARSON CITY)
SCR  LAO WAY               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of PROACTIVE by KATAHAULA COUNTY)
SCR  WONDER WONDERLAND               (romero raf)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of GENTLE GALE by STORM CAT)
 
BAQ-2   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104 1:224   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST ACTOR 3 4 1½ 11 1 12 1 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.40 W
SHERIFF BIANCO 4 2 2½ 31 3 22 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5.30  
UNCLE MOONLIGHT 6 1 3½ 21 2 34 36 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 10.30  
BABY YODA 2 6 52 5 44 4 47 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 12% 7.40 5.90  
1A  BOLD ENDEAVOR 1 5 63 6 58 5 510¼ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 15% 5.50 8.00  
KINETIC SKY 5 3 4 42 6 6 612 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 2.60  
SCR  BUSINESS MODEL               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:123 1:374   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN AT ROSES 5 2 54 5 4 1½ 1nk (preciado guad)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 22% 3.50 2.70 W
CUT THE CORD 6 1 22 21 32 4 2nk (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 9.80  
MYSTIC NIGHT 7 4 4 32 2 2½ 3 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 1.95  
PORTOS 1 6 7 66 57 55 4 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 17% 5.00 3.45  
CLASSIC MARK 4 7 12 11 1 31 56 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.90  
HIGHER QUALITY 3 5 6 7 79 69 612¾ (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 10.90  
DATESFREEDOM 2 3 3 42 6 711½ 718¼ (delauro edw)MARTINEZ R 123 30.00 61.75  
 
BAQ-4   09/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:242 1:353         1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) 4 3 5 5 6 4¾ 1½ (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 8% 11.50 4.50 W
KURAMATA (IRE) 2 6 6 64 4 3.2 2½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 14% 6.00 0.85 P
CALL ME HARRY 7 5 21 21 2 2nk 3¾ (dutrow richa)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 7.90  
WINFROMWITHIN 6 2 11 11 1 1nk 4 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 115 4.00 57% 0.80 6.80  
MAIN EVENT 5 4 4 4 5 6 5 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 9.20  
TUT'S REVENGE 3 1 32 32 33 5¾ 6 (stuart shea)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 15.30  
CAZADERO 1 7 7 76 7 7 75 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 5.00 10.90  
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE               (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/21/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:224 :454 :57     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF THE MUD (IRE) 6 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00 W
  (by KODIAC out of JAWLAAT by DAYJUR)
MATERIAL WITNESS 3 4 31 42   2 2 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 2.90  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE THAN BEAUTY by MORE THAN READY)
YOU ONLY LIVE ONCE 4 12 8 7   5 3 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30 S
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
NYXED 5 5 74 8   8 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 10.60 DQ↓11
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ZINZAY by SMART STRIKE)
11  CATSKILL HUMOR 11 6 42 3   3 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 17% 5.00 16.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ATLANTIC DREAM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MADAKET'S ARROW 1 7 6 54   6 66 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50 10.90  
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMASHOOQA by DUBAWI (IRE))
12  MILLIE JEAN 12 2 2½ 2½   44 77 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00 7.50  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of ZOOMING BY by CIMARRON SECRET)
DREAMING OF MO 8 10 11 11   1010¼ 8 (martin carlos )ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 16.90  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMING OF YOU by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SEAWITCH 2 8 96 10   910 9 (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 30.00 74.75  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SO SQUALLY (GER) by MONSUN (GER))
OOLONG HAI (IRE) 7 3 5 64   77 1010¾ (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 48% 1.10 7.30  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SPRING GARDEN by CAPOTE)
ISOLA (IRE) 9 9 10 9   1111¾ 1112¼ (sisterson j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 6% 15.60 5.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MONTEFINO by SHAMARDAL)
10  FANCY STAX 10 11 12 1211¾   1215¾ 1215¼ (abreu r)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 51.25  
  (by MO TOWN out of CAT WIESEL by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
BAQ-6   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:112 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCCO STRONG 2 7 6 5 11 13 1 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 2.30  
JUST CALL RAY 8 1 31 42 44 4 2 (abreu fernand)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 18% 4.40 5.10 P
1A  TWO THIRTY FIVE 9 2 2½ 2½ 21 23 3 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 37% 1.70 6.10 S
INVISIBLE WAR 7 9 10 10 9 8 4 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 117 12.00 5% 19.00 26.75  
10  LIFE AND LIGHT 10 3 9 9 8 7 5 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 68.75  
BURGEE 5 6 5 85 7 56 611½ (shivmangal l)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
SIX PERCENT 3 10 8 75 66 9 713¼ (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00 20% 4.10 1.80  
2B  FORTY TWO ACE 6 4 1½ 1½ 3 3 813½ (giangiulio mic)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 2.30  
HANDSOME CAT 4 5 4 3 5 6 918¾ (sharp joe)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 8.40  
MY FRIENDS BEER 1 8 75 6 1012½ 1018¼ 1034 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 6.10  
SCR  DURKIN'S CALL               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  SALTO DE TIGRE               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50    
 
BAQ-7   09/21/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:133 1:372   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACT ESTIMATE 1 3 33 3 3 1 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 26% 2.90 4.20 W
FREEDOM TRAIL 5 5 6 67 6 3 2¼ (terranova john)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 10.40  
DAUNT 4 4 4 46 54 2 3 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 12% 7.50 3.10 S
FRANCESCO CLEMENTE (IRE) 7 8 89 8 87 5 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 41% 1.50 1.30  
TIDE OF THE SEA 2 2 1 13 12 43 5 (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 7.10  
GOOD SKATE 3 7 5 57 4 6 6 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 15.70  
RONSTADT 6 6 7 79 7 7 77 (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
ALTERNATE REALITY 8 1 2 23 22 8 814¾ (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 50.00 46.00  
SCR  TIZ A GIANT               (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:221 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIACHI 3 4 1½ 11   13 13 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 16% 5.40 3.50 W
ZEEBEAR 6 2 63 4   23 23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 10.00  
RADIO RED 5 6 41 21   44 3 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 6.20  
D'ONT LOSE CRUZ 2 3 31 3   34 4 (duggan david )ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 18.70  
BREW PUB 8 1 75 66   66 5 (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 11.50  
HORN OF PLENTY 1 8 5 52   5 6 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 20.00 5% 19.00 44.75  
BIG ENGINE 7 7 811 88   7 714 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 10% 9.30 8.90  
PERFECT MUNNINGS 4 5 2½ 7   813 825¼ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 49% 1.00 1.00  
SCR  QUICK RETURN               (farro patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:113 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAPRUDER 9 10 10 109 5 2 1 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 7% 13.50 2.85 W
12  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 12 3 2½ 1nk 12 1 2 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 46% 1.20 3.55 P
CHARMING JIM 2 12 1212 1215 1110¾ 710½ 3 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 10.20  
SCREW LOOSE 3 7 84 7 44 4 4 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 15% 5.60 6.70  
PERFECT OUTCOME 5 6 3 4 3 33 5 (rodriguez )ROWLAND MADELINE 120 20.00 32.00  
FAST STUDY 4 8 74 6 67 610½ 612½ (schettin)DAVIS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
10  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 10 11 1110 1112 8 510 712¾ (albright george)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 13.70  
THATSMYBOXER 6 2 63 8 9 812 816 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 22.90  
11  MYLES 11 9 9 99 1211¼ 1117½ 922¼ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 8.00  
A LISTER 8 4 5 5 10 1017 1022¾ (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 50.00 77.75  
SOMAMA BEACH 1 5 1½ 2nk 22 914½ 1129¾ (jerkens ste)MARTINEZ R 120 50.00 50.00  
UTAMARO 7 1 42 33 77 1221½ 1234 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 6% 15.20 8.60  
SCR  ACADEMY CHOICE               (begg bentle)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  AULA               (maker j)RIDER TBA 120 4.50    
SCR  HARI               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS)               (asmussen ste)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.