The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Finger Lakes
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.30 $4.30 0.30
FL-2   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.50 -6.00
FL-3   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 -0.70
FL-4   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -3.10
FL-5   Win (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.90 $3.90 -4.10
FL-6   Win (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.60 -6.00
FL-7   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
FL-8   Win (4/3/8/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $14.80 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/02/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
:254 :514 1:161 1:41   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILHARMONIC 2 4 11 1nk 1 18 110¼ (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 114 1.60 18% 4.50 1.15 W
OLLIE CAN DANCE 5 5 42 31 2 28 210¼ (buckley b)PEREZ E 121 3.50 2.35  
MOBOT 3 3 52 5 54 513½ 313 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 121 10.00 15.30  
GOLD TEMPLAR 4 2 21 2nk 33 311 413 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 2.00 49% 1.00 1.70  
DANCINWITHJAKE 1 1 3 42 4 413½ 516¾ (progno s)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 27.50  
SCR  DR. DARBY               (huertas ni)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
 
FL-2   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
:231 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR JERRY 2 6 1nk 1nk   11 1hd (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 2.25  
PENTANGELI 3 1 4 3   32hd (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.50 40% 1.50 3.45 P
1A  MAX FOSTER 6 3 2nk 2nk   21 3¼ (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 121 2.00 2.20  
VIGANO 1 5 33 4   44 42 (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 117 1.80 27% 2.70 2.15  
ROBIN'S GIANT 5 2 5 611¼   516 515½ (smith troy)COA J 124 6.00 29.25  
TRADITION JAMES 4 4 6 511   620 629 (bond bren)NAVARRO J 124 10.00 7% 13.90 32.50  
SCR  TATER AND TOT               (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 121 2.00    
 
FL-3   10/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:224 :471 1:004     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BASTET 3 5 5 57   45 1½ (dixon k)HARKIE K 115 2.50 27% 2.70 1.65 W
JACKIE B GOOD 4 3 3 3   35 2½ (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 2.00 19% 4.20 1.40 P
WINE TRAIL 5 2 6 69   63(progno mic)DAVIS A 122 8.00 6.60  
BAD CONNECTION 6 1 1 13   14(gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 119 5.00 8.40  
ALL ABOUT BELLA 2 4 46 4   25(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 8.70  
ROZ 1 6 2 23   57 612 (schudlick)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 19% 4.40 10.10  
SCR  YES YOUR HONOR               (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
 
FL-4   10/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
:23 :472 :60     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIN LEGS 1 1 1½ 1   11(acquilano james)DAVILA A 122 2.50 63% 0.60 0.45 W
PRETTY MISS KEENS 2 3 2½ 2   22(englehart je)DE EMANUEL 119 2.00 14% 6.00 1.90 P
SUBTLE GIANT 4 6 5 56   33(d'alessandro ralph)PEREZ E 122 5.00 32.75  
LADY MISTRESS 3 2 3 35   57 4(cotrone d)NAVARRO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 43.25  
MIDMON 5 4 4 46   47 5(clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 3.50 16.50  
PALS ALLY 7 7 66 67   66(gutierrez )DAVIS A 122 8.00 11.40  
TRACI'S GIRL 6 5 77 7   712½ 717 (sparling e)ROHENA JR 122 15.00 91.00  
 
FL-5   10/02/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
:243 :493 1:151 1:43   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRITON'S CREED 2 1 11 1nk 11 11(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 27% 2.80 0.95 W
HINENI 8 5 21 41 4 22(zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 114 3.00 24% 3.10 1.40 P
INTERCHANGER 7 4 3 3½ 31 33(d'alessandro r)HARKIE K 121 3.50 26% 2.90 4.60 S
TIZA BROWN 3 3 4 2nk 21 44(bond brent)ROHENA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 ######  
FOOT TRAFFIC 6 7 8 814½ 713¼ 5511½ (bireta donna)DIAZ J 116 8.00 53.00  
REGAL EMPIRE 1 6 6 6 610¼ 614½ 623 (thompson g)FRET STEVEN 124 12.00 54.75  
BEAR'S CORRECT 5 2 5 5 5 722½ 735¾ (gutierrez luis )DAVILA A 121 6.00 14.20  
MICRODEMPSEY 4 8 77 713½ 833¼ 847½ 882 (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 20.00 78.00  
 
FL-6   10/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:231 :464 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY GUN 3 3 2½ 1½   11(maker j)DAVILA R 124 2.50 0.80  
TACONY ROAD 1 4 3 3   33 2(murphy p)ALVARADO R 121 8.00 6.20  
POP COYER 6 1 42 4   43 3(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.00 28% 2.50 3.00 S
BUSTING CREDIT 2 2 1½ 2½   244 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00 32% 2.10 7.30  
CONNECT THE BROCKS 4 6 7 68   56 5(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 15.00 50.75  
BILLIEVE IN JOSH 7 5 53 54   668 (ficarella broo)HARKIE K 121 8.00 11% 7.80 12.40  
MSHINDI 5 7 64 7   7711¾ (dixon k)COA J 121 12.00 13.10  
SCR  UNDER THE KNIFE               (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
 
FL-7   10/02/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Jack Betta Be Rite Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
:244 :483 1:131 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENTI VALENTINE 2 4 21 2½ 2nk 11(abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 33% 2.10 0.40 W
MISSING FORTUNE 5 3 11 1½ 1nk 22(saul dana)COA J 120 8.00 4.30  
SHESASCOLDASICE 3 5 65 6 5 33(ferraro m )DAVIS A 120 20.00 24.50  
GONE AND FORGOTTEN 1 1 43 4 48 44(ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 3.50 30% 2.30 3.95  
10  CURLY GIRL 6 6 33 3 35 57 515 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 13.90  
EROS'S GIRL 4 2 54 58 610 611 617 (ferraro an)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00 9% 10.30 28.25  
SCR  ALLURE FORTUNE               (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera oscar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00    
SCR  SARATOGA KISSES               (miller-saul bet)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00    
SCR  TRUE EMPRESS               (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 120 6.00    
 
FL-8   10/02/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
:24 :483 1:134 1:403   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET COP OFFICER 5 3 4¾ 4 3 21 1(sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 6.00 6.40  
POT OF GOLD 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 11 2(englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 21% 3.70 4.70 P
PREDICTED 3 2 2½ 21 2½ 31 33 (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 33% 2.10 1.55 S
PARTY NEWS 6 8 911¼ 911½ 810 59 4(maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 15.00 36.00 DH
TIZ LUCKY 7 5 5 5 53 46 4(miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 3.10 DH
AMERICAN HALITE 4 9 810¾ 6 69 710¼ 6(bartlett w)DAVIS A 121 10.00 23.40  
1A  SHE SPEAKS WELL 8 6 7 810 79 610 78 (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
OVER THE CAP 1 7 6 7 914 818¼ 812¼ (ferraro michael)MARTIN MATTIE 116 6.00 11.30  
MO TRUMP 9 4 3½ 31 42 919¼ 920¾ (ferraro anthon)COA J 121 3.50 12% 7.40 6.50  
SCR  OLD POINT               (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 8.00 12% 7.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.