The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
BAQ-2   Win (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $43.00 -8.00
BAQ-3   Win (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -1.60
BAQ-4   Win (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
BAQ-5   Win (11/16/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
BAQ-6   Win (11/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -3.10
BAQ-7   Win (10/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $14.00 -8.00
BAQ-8   Win (7/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $19.00 -8.00
BAQ-9   Win (14/13/11/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 -4.90
BAQ-10   Win (16/11/6/14) 4 $2.00 $8.00 16 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -4.50

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
:232 :473 1:122 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAITLINHERGRTNESS 5 2 2 2½ 1 11½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 23% 3.30 1.10 W
BACKSTRETCH ROSE 2 7 6 6 4 22½ (mcpeek kenneth )ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 7.10  
NIKITIS 3 1 4 5 32 32 3(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 39% 1.50 2.05 S
HELCIA 7 4 3 32 53 54(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 14.80  
KINGDOM COME 4 6 54 4 2 459 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 9.40  
CLASSY MISCHIEF 1 5 76 75 710½ 613½ 612¼ (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 9% 9.90 9.30  
MISCHIEVOUS MISS 6 3 1 1½ 610 721½ 737¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 59.50  
 
BAQ-2   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 7 4 31 2nk   1nk 1(rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00 20.50  
ICY REPLY 6 5 62 55   42(ferraro jame)RIVERA R 116 8.00 33.25  
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 2 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 33 (walder r)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 5.90  
AWESOME INDRA 5 1 2½ 3½   34 4(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 7% 12.70 2.90  
TIMED OUT 4 8 8 8   656 (noda orl)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 30% 2.30 10.50  
BOWL OF CHERRIES 3 3 5 4   56(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.40 33% 2.00 1.20  
MISS DOMINA 1 6 4 6   7710 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 6.40  
DIVA BANKER 8 7 74 7   8810 (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
 
BAQ-3   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:232 :462 1:11 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY CHIC 3 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 16 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 0.80 65% 0.50 0.20 W
MALIBU SPRINGS 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 26 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 3.05 P
WHENLOVETAKESOVER 1 1 31 3 33 37 310¼ (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 6.70  
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80    
SCR  SACRED RHYME               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
SCR  REBEL RED (GB)               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
SCR  SCAT TU TAP               (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
SCR  CONVERSING               (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00    
SCR  JAMESTOWN               (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
:232 :463 1:11 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SET SAIL 4 2 1nk 2½ 21 1½ 1(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 49% 1.10 2.30 W
FROMANOTHAMUTHA 2 6 5 5 31 32(handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 13.70  
ABADIN 1 4 4¾ 1½ 11 2½ 33 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.60 S
LUNI SIMA 7 3 7 73 53 52 4(walder r)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 6 5 3.2 4 4 45(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6.60  
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 5 1 2nk 31 64 63 66 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 3.10  
REGISTER 3 7 6 62 710½ 718 724 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 10.80  
 
BAQ-5   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
:233 :471 1:112 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MOONLIGHT 7 7 2½ 2½ 2½ 12 18 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 W
10  MALARCHUK 6 8 4 32 3 35 28 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 7.10  
16  STOLEN MAGIC 8 4 1½ 1½ 1½ 22 3(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 28% 2.50 2.75 S
LIVE TO RIDE (GB) 1 3 63 74 47 411 416¼ (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 10.40  
ROCKET NIGHT 2 2 8 85 813½ 717½ 521 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 8% 11.10 5.60  
MARCEAU 5 6 74 64 510½ 514½ 621 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.10  
SKYLER'S ARTEMIS 4 5 5 5 611 615 721¼ (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 22.20  
QUOKKA 3 1 31 4 711½ 821 829½ (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
SCR  ALL ABOUT TONITE               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  BUFFOON (FR)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  FALFURRIAS               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  INHERENT PROMISE               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  MAYOR JACK               (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE               (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.40    
SCR  TOM COLLINS               (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
SCR  ZVEREV               (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
:224 :453 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DIGITIZE 6 1 2½ 11   11(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 0.60 35% 1.90 0.45 W
10  TWELTH MAN 5 6 4 42   22(nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00 12% 7.40 5.10 P
FAMOUS GENT 1 3 1½ 21   33(abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 21% 3.70 5.20 S
HIGHLY FLAMMABLE 2 4 3½ 31   46 4(casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 7.40  
OCTOPUS 4 5 6 68   59 510¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00 14.70  
PINE VALLEY 3 2 5 5   610 612¾ (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 50.00 56.75  
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH               (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00    
SCR  NOTAH               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.20    
SCR  MONET NEVER (IRE)               (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
SCR  LOYAL LOUIE               (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
SCR  LISTENTOTHEMUSIC               (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.20    
SCR  VOCALIZE               (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00    
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20    
 
BAQ-7   09/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:14
:224 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENFUEGA 5 5 1½ 11   1½ 1(englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6.00  
10  BOOK OF WISDOM 10 1 3 3   2½ 2(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 32% 2.10 3.00 P
LANDED 7 8 7 55   43 3(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 21% 3.70 3.55 S
TAVIN 2 3 4 4   545 (russell britt)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 24.75  
EKWANOK 8 2 53 6   65(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 12.30  
GRANADILLA 3 6 2½ 21   33 6(dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 3.30  
DAME CATHERINE 1 4 9 812   812¾ 713¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 9.30  
FAST AND FRISKY 4 7 6 76   710¼ 815 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 20% 3.90 8.90  
HOLDER CLOSE 6 9 1010½ 1021   922¾ 923¼ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 114 30.00 65.50  
TSUKIMI 9 10 8 919½   1032¾ 1041¾ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
 
BAQ-8   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
:222 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENSIGN PARKER 3 7 11 1   11(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 8.50  
10  BOURBON'S HOPE 10 1 21 3   42(rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 3.30  
MISTER J T 7 4 53 4   33(potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 29% 2.50 3.15 S
NEVER EARLY 1 5 31 2   24(englehart jeffrey)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00 7.80  
STRIKING SPEED 5 8 6 55   555 (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 5.80  
JOKER BOY 6 9 9 910½   66(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 22% 3.50 5.50  
WINNING DRIVE 2 10 10 1012   97(kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
COUSIN ANDREW 8 2 8 78   78(guerrero)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 6.00 14.10  
GANDY DANCING 9 3 4 66   89(barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 123 15.00 33.25  
DEE BO 4 6 7 8   1010(levine bruce)RIVERA R 116 15.00 20% 4.10 16.70  
 
BAQ-9   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
:223 :453 :571     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  WIN FOR GOLD 7 1 1 12   11(giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 27% 2.80 1.55 W
DISARMED 1 3 2 22   22(rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 8.10  
16  BRONX BOMBER 10 6 65 510   412 311¼ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 36.75  
11  RUNNINGWSCISSORS 6 8 8 711½   613½ 411½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 126 2.50 14% 6.00 5.50  
10  BAR FOURTEEN 5 5 7 610   713¾ 513¼ (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 69.50  
14  ZEEBEAR 8 2 55 49   512 613½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.80  
FEATHERS ROAD 3 7 98 912¼   814¾ 715¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 13.90  
MAXWELL ESQUIRE 2 9 109 1012¼   915¾ 819¾ (rodriguez rudy)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 5% 18.80 42.25  
15  FOOLISH GHOST 9 10 44 35   311½ 921¾ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 115 5.00 20.40  
WINNERS LAUGH 4 4 33 811¾   1025¾ 1070¼ (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 8.80  
SCR  BATTLE SCARS               (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER               (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
SCR  ME 'N SAP               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
SCR  NOBLE EMOTION               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
SCR  PHANTOM SMOKE               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  YARROW               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-10   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
:234 :472 1:123 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  STRAPPED 7 6 5 42 2nk 11 1(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.20 46% 1.20 0.75 W
BOLT D'PLATA 4 5 6 5 43 21 2(terranova p)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 9% 9.60 4.20 P
11  TIMO 5 3 31 3 1nk 33(reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 4.50 22% 3.50 8.40 S
14  AMERICAN DAY 6 2 42 6 58 5413¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG 3 1 2nk 2½ 3½ 4514½ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5.30  
CONGRUENTE (ARG) 1 7 77 713½ 623 621½ 626 (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 12.90  
MAGIADORO 2 4 1nk 1½ 7100 7100 7100 (rodriguez gus)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 24.00  
SCR  VARIABLE COST (GB)               (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
SCR  SIXWILLBERICH               (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TROY               (cash j)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00    
SCR  MY FAVORITE TOPIC               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY               (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50    
SCR  COMANCHE PEAK (GB)               (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE               (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
SCR  WAFLR               (donk david)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
SCR  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.