Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-3   Win (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-4   Win (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (11/16/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (11/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (10/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (7/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (14/13/11/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-10   Win (16/11/6/14) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY MISCHIEF Aug20 Jul30 Jul13     (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 9% 9.90    
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Aug31 Aug06 Jul09 Jun16   (mcpeek kenneth )ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
NIKITIS Sep03 Aug13       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 39% 1.50    
KINGDOM COME (IRE) Aug31 Aug06       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
CAITLINHERGRTNESS Sep03         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 23% 3.30    
MISCHIEVOUS MISS Aug20         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
HELCIA Aug06         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS DOMINA Aug19 Aug06 Jul19 May19 Mar26 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Aug20 Jul20 May14 Apr25 Mar31 (walder r)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
BOWL OF CHERRIES Aug11 Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 May12 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.40 33% 2.00    
TIMED OUT Aug24 Jul12 Jun14 May31 May22 (noda orl)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 30% 2.30    
AWESOME INDRA Jul28 Jul04 May27 Feb17 Dec26 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 7% 12.70    
ICY REPLY Aug31 Aug12 Jul30 Jun16 May20 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL KAREN Aug20 Jul27 Jul04 May11 Apr20 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00    
DIVA BANKER Aug20 Aug03 Jul04 May07 Apr13 (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SACRED RHYME Aug24 Jul28 May14     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jul07 Jun03 Apr13 Mar04 Feb11 (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
SCR  SCAT TU TAP Apr08 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Nov18 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
MALIBU SPRINGS Sep03 Apr16       (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAMESTOWN Aug24 May06 Mar19 Feb04 Jan07 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  CONVERSING Oct02 Aug20       (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00    
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) Jul01 May07 Mar12     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80    
SCR  REBEL RED (GB)         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
QUALITY CHIC Sep14 Aug20 Jun25 May28 May06 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 0.80 65% 0.50    
 
BAQ-4   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABADIN Aug19 Jul21 Jun11 May06   (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
FROMANOTHAMUTHA Aug20 Jun09 May13 Mar24 Feb17 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
REGISTER Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06   (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50    
SET SAIL Aug20 Jul23 Jun11 May14 Mar27 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 49% 1.10    
SUNDAESWITHSANDY Aug20 Jul07 Jun11 May28 Apr14 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00    
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jul30 Jun03 May07 Oct02 Aug07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
LUNI SIMA Jun10 May21 Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 (walder r)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INHERENT PROMISE Aug25         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
LIVE TO RIDE (GB)         (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
ROCKET NIGHT Aug19         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 8% 11.10    
QUOKKA         (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FALFURRIAS Aug05 Jul09       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Aug19         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
MARCEAU         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE Aug31 Jul22       (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.40    
SCR  MAYOR JACK Jul20 Jun22       (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00    
10  MALARCHUK         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
11  MOONLIGHT Jul29         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ALL ABOUT TONITE Aug31 Aug12       (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  ZVEREV Sep02         (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
SCR  BUFFOON (FR) Sep02         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  TOM COLLINS Sep02 Aug19       (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
16  STOLEN MAGIC Sep02         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE Aug26 Jul16 Jun26 Nov25 Oct17 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20    
SCR  LISTENTOTHEMUSIC Jan11 Oct13 Sep01     (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.20    
SCR  NOTAH Aug26 Jun17 May29 Apr08 Feb12 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.20    
SCR  LOYAL LOUIE Jul22 Jun17 Jun09 May11 Apr15 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
FAMOUS GENT Jul27 Jul08 Jun09 Apr29 Apr16 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH Aug13 May20 May05 Jul30 Jul01 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00    
HIGHLY FLAMMABLE Aug26 Jul20 Jun24 May28 Apr23 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50    
PINE VALLEY Sep11 Sep01 Aug10 Jul12 Jun27 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 50.00    
SCR  VOCALIZE Aug19 Jul27 Jun25 Oct13 Sep18 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00    
SCR  MONET NEVER (IRE) Aug26 Jul15 Apr26 Mar19 Feb19 (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
OCTOPUS Jul03 Apr21 Mar05 Feb19 Jan27 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00    
10  TWELTH MAN Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 May19 Feb18 (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00 12% 7.40    
11  DIGITIZE Aug20 May15 Apr16     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 0.60 35% 1.90    
 
BAQ-7   09/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAME CATHERINE         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
TAVIN         (russell britt)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
GRANADILLA         (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
FAST AND FRISKY Aug27         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 20% 3.90    
ENFUEGA         (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
HOLDER CLOSE Aug24         (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 114 30.00    
LANDED         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
EKWANOK Sep01 Aug10       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
TSUKIMI         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  BOOK OF WISDOM Aug10 Jul14       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
BAQ-8   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER EARLY Jul10 Jun19 May22 Aug24 Aug03 (englehart jeffrey)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00    
WINNING DRIVE Aug30 Aug05 Jun24 May26 Mar26 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
ENSIGN PARKER Aug19 Jul16 May28 May14 Mar02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
DEE BO Aug26 Apr22 Mar03 Jan08 Dec10 (levine bruce)RIVERA R 116 15.00 20% 4.10    
STRIKING SPEED Aug04 Jul14 May26 Apr20 Mar03 (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
JOKER BOY Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 May20 Apr08 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
MISTER J T Sep13 Aug20 Jul29 Jun28 Jun12 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
COUSIN ANDREW Jul17 Jun20 Apr26 Mar19 Mar11 (guerrero)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 6.00    
GANDY DANCING Jul14 Jun11 May07 Apr01 Mar11 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 123 15.00    
10  BOURBON'S HOPE Aug04 May28 Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Aug17 Jun23 May28 May14 Apr08 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
DISARMED Sep01 Jul28 Jun24 May28 May05 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50    
SCR  NOBLE EMOTION Aug24 Jul01 May20 Apr08 Oct27 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
MAXWELL ESQUIRE Aug19 Jul26 Jul07 Jun15 Oct27 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 5% 18.80    
FEATHERS ROAD Sep01 Aug26 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER Sep01 Aug20 Jul04 Jun24 May28 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
SCR  ME 'N SAP Sep01 Aug02 Jul13 Jun17 Apr27 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
WINNERS LAUGH Sep01 Jul13 Mar19 Feb05 Jan07 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
SCR  YARROW Jul13 Jun17 Apr27 Nov20 Oct22 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
10  BAR FOURTEEN Sep01 Aug15 Jul13 Jun17 May21 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 May04 Apr27 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 126 2.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  PHANTOM SMOKE Sep16 Jul13 Jun17 Jan07 Nov18 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
13  WIN FOR GOLD Sep04 Aug17 Jul15 Jun11 May12 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 27% 2.80    
14  ZEEBEAR Sep21 Aug05 Jul15 May29 May06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
15  FOOLISH GHOST Jul30 Jul13 Jun22 May21 Apr30 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 115 5.00    
16  BRONX BOMBER Aug23 Jun03 Apr20 Apr01 Mar11 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-10   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONGRUENTE (ARG)         (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY Jul02 Jun04 May11 Apr15   (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50    
SCR  SIXWILLBERICH Aug23 Jul28 Jun18 Feb24 Dec10 (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 8.00    
MAGIADORO Aug26 Nov06 Oct01     (rodriguez gus)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Aug23         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
BOLT D'PLATA Aug23 Aug10       (terranova p)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  COMANCHE PEAK (GB)         (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  MY FAVORITE TOPIC Aug23 May26 Mar25 Feb24 Feb10 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  WAFLR Jul26 Jun18 May13     (donk david)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
SCR  VARIABLE COST (GB) Jul28 May27 May11     (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
11  TIMO Aug24 Jul28 Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Aug17 Nov11       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE Sep04 Jul02 May26 Apr14   (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
14  AMERICAN DAY Sep09 Aug25 Jul14 Jun11 May14 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TROY Aug11 Jul14 Jun17 Jun01 May14 (cash j)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00    
16  STRAPPED Sep14 Aug23 Jun25 Apr22 May07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.20 46% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.