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Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

PEN-2			EXA	(8/5/6/7/3)-(8/5/6/7/3)						20	$2.00	$40.00	5-7		$80.20			$40.20				101%
PEN-4			TRI	(6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9)						24	$1.00	$24.00	8-9-1		$24.50			$0.50				2%
			SFT	(6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9)						24	$0.10	$2.40	8-9-1-6		$6.66			$4.26				178%

Simulator Race results


PEN-1			09/21/2023		5490ft	TURF	RC6	GOOD	Optional Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($19K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	RECONVENE									(lawrence l)CRUZ ANGEL 120						8.00						15.60
6	GALILEE									(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120						15.00						20.80
2	LA PAZ									(smith thoma)INIRIO J 122						6.00		7%		12.60		13.00	S
7	RECYCLE									(houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120						6.00		24%		3.10		3.40
3	LUCKY RUNNING CAT									(crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 124						3.50		16%		5.30		4.50
8	CITY OF GOD									(kreiser c)CORA D 120						10.00						34.80
4	JACK SLYE									(graci a)AGUILAR M 120						8.00		5%		19.00		18.70
1	GRAEL									(hendriks richar)BEATO INOEL 120						4.50		24%		3.20		1.20
5	WARRIOR'S CAUSE									(kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118						6.00						11.60
9	HELLMAN									(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120						10.00						53.70
SCR	BIG JOHN									(barboza v)HERNANDEZ A 118						10.00
SCR	KAZ SWEET HEIST									(synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120						12.00

PEN-2			09/21/2023		5490ft	TURF	RC6	GOOD	Optional Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($18K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	ROAN FOR THE ROSE									(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122						8.00		34%		2.00		4.10	W
7	GETTIN'DOWNONIT									(beecher mark)CRUZ ANGEL 120						6.00		5%		19.00		8.00	P
2	MACHO HONCHO									(salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120						8.00						5.10
8	MISCHIEF WARRIOR									(kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120						3.00		36%		1.80		2.50
1	MORNING MARCH									(gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122						15.00						60.60
4	I LUCKED OUT									(pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 120						4.00						3.50
6	PROPHETS VOICE (IRE)									(hendriks ri)SALGADO ANTHONY 122						6.00		6%		16.50		14.80
10	RIVERBOAT BANDIT									(cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 120						50.00						90.00
9	RUNAHOLIC									(salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120						5.00						9.30
3	FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER									(boniface ke)CORUJO LEONARDO 120						12.00		5%		19.00		20.60
SCR	HURRICANE ANDREW									(richards m)HENRY JR 122						20.00

PEN-3			09/21/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($31.6K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	JUMP FOR THE WIN									(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120						8.00						9.70
2	BESTSUGARDADDYEVER									(russell britta)CONNER TYLER 118						5.00		16%		5.20		2.30	P
3	NOSTALGIC RUN									(mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120						3.00		32%		2.10		1.00	S
1	SKIMBLE SHANKS									(beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 120						10.00						14.50
8	SPENDOLINI									(beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 118						6.00						9.60
7	REBEL RULER									(kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120						4.00		28%		2.50		5.20
SCR	MITROPANOS									(zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120						8.00
SCR	SANTO									(mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120						10.00
SCR	TUDOX OPPORTUNITY									(rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 118						8.00

PEN-4			09/21/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC6	FAST	Optional Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($18K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	SWEET BEAUTY									(kreiser timo)VILLEGAS JERRY 122						4.50		25%		3.00		1.20	W
9	STEPHANIE MY LOVE									(lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120						8.00		10%		9.40		6.40	P
1	KAZ MUSIC									(sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120						3.00		13%		6.90		2.40	S
6	LONDON LADY									(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122						3.50		32%		2.10		5.10
4	LET'S GO MO									(miller marl)INIRIO J 117						10.00						35.50
3	TRECHMO GIRL									(kravets m)AGUILAR M 120						15.00						55.50
7	RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH									(stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120						12.00						14.20
2	UPTOWN SERAPHINA									(houghton thomas)CORA D 120						10.00						15.60
SCR	HAPPY RIDE									(kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122						4.00

PEN-5			09/21/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($25K)					Purse ($28.9K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BOURBON MUSIC									(moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120						4.00		41%		1.50		2.20	W
3	EAGLES CRY									(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120						8.00						10.60
1	DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN									(kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120						3.00		16%		5.30		1.60	S
6	JEOPARDY JAMES									(alvarado diane)CENTENO E 120						3.50		17%		4.90		4.10
5	YES IT'S ROO									(albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120						10.00						41.80
7	JOKER BOY									(jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120						5.00						4.60
2	KILIMANJARA									(houghton thomas)CORA D 117						12.00						19.80
SCR	JUMPMASTER									(synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120						6.00

PEN-6			09/21/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($10.8K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	BUSTIN DOWN DOORS									(spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120						6.00						11.50
5	SAVE GRACE									(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122						2.50		48%		1.10		2.20	P
3	COSMOLOGICAL									(ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 122						3.00		8%		12.10		1.40	S
1	MADI'S TUNE									(kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122						3.00		20%		4.10		2.20
7	SIMPLE JUSTICE									(montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122						10.00						54.90
2	IOANNA									(sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 120						15.00						96.90
4	UNCAPTURED GRACE									(lingenfelter thom)BAKER J 122						5.00						12.90

PEN-7			09/21/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($4K)					Purse ($10.8K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 8:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	LAKE NAKURU									(ferreira fernando)CORA D 124						6.00						6.50
8	DEVOTED KITTEN									(moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 122						6.00		12%		7.10		10.10	P
5	WARRIOR IN CHIEF									(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124						3.00						1.60
1	ARISTOCAT									(kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122						6.00						5.00
3	DIGGERS DIAMOND									(geist w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122						50.00						######
4	VISHNU									(kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122						30.00		5%		19.00		######
2	SAMARONTI									(kulp l)BOWMAN ADAM 122						2.50		19%		4.30		7.20
7	C C'S WARRIOR									(mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122						3.00		40%		1.50		2.30



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.