Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $33.80  
BAQ-2   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
BAQ-3   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
BAQ-4   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $24.80  
BAQ-5   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 2.80
BAQ-6   Win (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 0.10
BAQ-7   Win (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
BAQ-8   Win (6/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
BAQ-9   Win (6/10/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40
BAQ-10   Win (2/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $17.40  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/14/2023 13200ft TURF RC14 GOOD Lonesome Glory Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
4:41         4:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERRY MAKER (IRE) 3 78 77 7 7 3 1½ (kingsley arch)HENDRIKS PARKER 142 12.00 15.90  
L'IMPERATOR (FR) 7 3 33 3 4 1½ 2½ (kingsley arc)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 142 4.00 34% 2.00 5.30 P
BARBADOS (IRE) 2 57 55 5 5 45 36 (kingsley arch)GALLIGAN GERARD 140 10.00 6.40  
SNAP DECISION 1 12 1 1½ 1 2½ 4 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 162 0.80 36% 1.80 0.55  
CITY DREAMER (IRE) 5 4 45 45 6 6 5 (fisher john )BESWICK HARRISON 142 10.00 15.30  
PROVEN INNOCENT 4 68 6 66 2 55 611¾ (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 142 8.00 9% 9.60 8.50  
RESTITUTION (FR) 6 22 2 2½ 3 730¼ 774¼ (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 140 15.00 21.30  
SCR  CIBOLIAN               (kingsley archib)BARGARY JAMIE 140 12.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK RAIN 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 1¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 27% 2.60 0.60 W
QUALITY CHIC 1 5 4 31 2½ 2nk 2¾ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 19% 4.40 5.50 P
CLOUD FOREST 3 6 612 66 58 515 311 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00 6.50  
STRAPPED 6 1 3 4 36 310 411 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 15.80  
OPPORTUNITY SET 4 3 2½ 2½ 47 410½ 525¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 15% 5.70 4.90  
BRAGGADOCIOUS 2 4 52 5 628 640 6100 (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 13.90  
 
BAQ-3   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGGELOS THE GREAT 7 3 21 2   2 1¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 10% 8.50 3.40 W
YO BANANA BOY 2 2 11 1   1 2¼ (heath g)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 4.40  
QUIET WISDOM 5 5 3 3   3 32 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 40% 1.50 2.40 S
CATALINA CRUSH 6 4 42 45   4 46 (casse w)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 29% 2.40 2.75  
ALBEDO 1 1 5 6   59 511¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 43.25  
SLAMMIN GOLD 4 7 7 56   6 613½ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 5.70  
IN A MINUTE 3 6 63 7   717¼ 737 (ryerson t)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 17.80  
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS               (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:251 :512 1:154 1:39   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETIE 1 3 4 42 4 3½ 1 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 11.40  
SPINNING COLORS 5 4 31 3 31 41 2 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 13% 6.70 0.95 P
STELLA MARS 2 2 1nk 11 1nk 1nk 32 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 5.80  
GOLDEN ROCKET 3 1 2nk 21 2nk 2nk 42 (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 6.90  
ORANGE FREEZE 6 5 5 53 53 5 5 (morey e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 46% 1.20 2.00  
COLLABORATION 4 6 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 1.20    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR               (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
SCR  TEMPERMENTAL               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-5   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:124 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUT FEELING 6 3 4 31 21 2nk 1hd (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 67% 0.50 2.40 W
MAMA'S GOLD 5 2 2½ 2½ 11 1nk 2hd (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 22.10 P
GOOD RAPPORT 4 4 3 42 4 3 3 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 4.60  
HAPPY BOB 1 1 1½ 1½ 32 43 45 (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 1.00  
STRONG LIGHT 3 6 712 710 713½ 610½ 510½ (younghans wi)RIVERA R 117 12.00 15.20  
SCOTTO 2 5 6 6 611 510 610½ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00 50.75  
INSPECTOR 7 7 55 54 5 712½ 730¾ (giangiulio )VARGAS A 120 4.50 9.00  
SCR  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:23 :472 :60     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2B  WHERE'S CHRIS 7 6 3 2½   1 15 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 19% 4.30 3.05 W
STUNNEM 8 4 4 4   3 25 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 16.30  
SHORE TIME 10 5 5 54   4 3 (romero rafae)RIVERA R 119 15.00 35.25  
CHARLIE'S EXPRESS 4 3 12 1½   2 47 (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 22% 3.50 10.50  
MIKEALICIOUS 3 10 79 76   5 510½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 3.05  
1A  RUDY RUDY RUDY 5 7 68 6   68 612¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.50 7.50  
DON VINO VICI 1 8 913¾ 816   713 715¼ (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 7.50  
PICCATA PRINCE 6 9 813½ 916½   814 819 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 38% 1.60 2.55  
1X  MIGHTY GLORY 9 1 1014¼ 1018   1016 921 (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 7.50  
ALEAH ALEAH 11 2 22 31   915 1023¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 1.95  
MUCHO DE LA MANCHA 2 11 1115¾ 1121   1122 1134½ (contessa c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
 
BAQ-7   09/14/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:231 :464 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTLOOKBACKATALL 3 1 1 1   13 1 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 46% 1.20 0.65 W
PLAY THE MUSIC 8 6 4 2   23 2 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70 P
DEKANTER 2 7 32 32   3 3 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50 8.70  
QUEEN OLLY (IRE) 1 8 6 53   44 45 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 30% 2.30 7.10  
FEATHERS (IRE) 7 5 86 7   7 56 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00 28.00  
1A  LADY MIA (FR) 6 2 2 43   5 6 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60 0.65  
GEORGEES SPIRIT 4 4 74 86   88 7 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 9.00  
FLEETFOOTED 5 3 53 64   6 8 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 7.70  
SCR  FANCY AZTECA               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00    
SCR  MISS DOMINA               (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN PANTHER               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
SCR  OBRIGADA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SCR  PORTAGE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
SCR  TO A T               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
SCR  VIENNA CODE               (williams a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:123     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN GODDESS 1 5 1½ 1nk   1 1 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 8% 11.90 2.40 W
GHOSTLY GIRL 6 4 43 32   3 2 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 60% 0.70 2.25 P
DASHING DELLA 5 3 31 2nk   2 3 (arenas marce)RIVERA R 115 30.00 22.10  
HARLAN'S BOND 9 2 53 44   4 4 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 14.00  
MY GIRL JAL 7 9 8 7   59 5 (legall e)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 10.90  
SHIGEKO 3 8 7 5   610 610¼ (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
DIVINE CROSS 8 1 6 89   713 711¼ (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 118 3.00 6% 14.60 3.80  
SUSIE'S SAVER 4 7 9 910   813½ 811½ (paragallo jenn)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00 26.25  
YOGI 2 6 2½ 66   915½ 915½ (chichakly amira)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 9.80  
 
BAQ-9   09/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:122 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR COUNTRY 7 8 7 7 7 3 11 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 10% 8.90 5.70 W
1A  GHOSTLYPRINCE 4 5 5 42 3 1nk 21 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 5.60  
COVERT KAT 5 2 1nk 2nk 1nk 2nk 32 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 13.90 S
KHAFRE 1 6 4 5 4 42 4 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
SPACE LAUNCH 6 3 6 6 6 6 5 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 55% 0.80 0.80  
EDDIE THE GREAT 2 10 9 9 9 7 66 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 19.70  
HE'S GOT IT 9 7 8 8 8 8 7 (abreu jorg)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00 74.00  
SPETTRO 3 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 53 817¼ (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 20.20  
MY ROMEO LIMA 8 9 107 10 10 1011 920¼ (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 11.10  
10  ARRIO 10 4 3½ 3 5 99 1020¼ (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 14% 6.10 20.10  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
SCR  MAGICAL WAYS               (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
 
BAQ-10   09/14/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:222 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERS LUCKY LADY 3 7 21 2   22 1½ (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 7.70  
SHAMAN PRINCESS 5 3 11 1   12 2½ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
VOLEUSE 2 9 10 67   36 3 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 57% 0.70 1.70 S
LAURANA 8 2 8 78   6 44 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 5% 19.00 3.95  
CERRETTA 1 8 9 9   5 55 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 13% 6.60 6.00  
SHE'S A NATURAL 4 10 64 5   47 6 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 35.75  
10  SHOWEMYOURHEELS 9 5 3 35   7 7 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00 6.90  
CHERBOURG 6 4 7 1010   813½ 812½ (lerman s)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 31.75  
11  TRUE MARTINI 10 1 42 46   913½ 914½ (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 21.80  
ARMY OF THOUGHTS 7 6 53 88   1017 1018¼ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 46.25  
SCR  BETTER HUMOR ME               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00    
SCR  BOSTON STRONG MAMA               (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00    
SCR  BUSSIA               (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE               (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
SCR  ISLAND ROSE               (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00    
SCR  TERESA               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.