Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-6   Win (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (6/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (6/10/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-10   Win (2/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/14/2023 13200ft TURF RC14 GOOD Lonesome Glory Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAP DECISION Oct15 Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 May14 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 162 0.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  CIBOLIAN Jul14 Jun09 Oct09 Aug21 Jul30 (kingsley archib)BARGARY JAMIE 140 12.00    
BARBADOS (IRE) Aug02 Jun09       (kingsley arch)GALLIGAN GERARD 140 10.00    
MERRY MAKER (IRE) Aug23 Aug02 Nov05 Oct22   (kingsley arch)HENDRIKS PARKER 142 12.00    
PROVEN INNOCENT Oct15 Sep15 Aug31 Jul27 May14 (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 142 8.00 9% 9.60    
CITY DREAMER (IRE) Nov05 Oct22       (fisher john )BESWICK HARRISON 142 10.00    
RESTITUTION (FR) Aug02 Apr28 Feb01 Jan11   (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 140 15.00    
L'IMPERATOR (FR) Aug23 Jul26 Jun09 Oct09 Sep10 (kingsley arc)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 142 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY CHIC Aug20 Jun25 May28 May06 Apr22 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
BRAGGADOCIOUS Aug11 Jun22 May02 Apr15   (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
CLOUD FOREST Jul19 Jun17 Apr02 Aug28 Aug10 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00    
OPPORTUNITY SET Aug04 Mar03 Dec15 Nov11   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
BLACK RAIN Aug20         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 27% 2.60    
STRAPPED Aug23 Jun25 Apr22 May07 Apr02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALBEDO Aug23 Jul16       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
YO BANANA BOY         (heath g)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
IN A MINUTE         (ryerson t)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
SLAMMIN GOLD         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS         (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
QUIET WISDOM Aug12         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
CATALINA CRUSH Aug11         (casse w)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
AGGELOS THE GREAT Jul28         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 10% 8.50    
 
BAQ-4   09/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETIE Jul03 Jun15 May11 Apr06   (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
STELLA MARS Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 Apr28 Nov17 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
GOLDEN ROCKET Aug27 Jul19 Jul04 Dec29 Dec01 (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
COLLABORATION Aug16 Jul19 Jun25 May29 May04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
SPINNING COLORS Aug12 Jul03 May27 Nov27 Oct06 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
ORANGE FREEZE Aug16 Jul19 Jun23 May28 Apr15 (morey e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  TEMPERMENTAL Aug11 Aug03 Jun16 May29 Apr28 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 4.50    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 Jun04 Apr23 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Sep04 Aug27 Jul26 Jul02 May20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 1.20    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR Aug24 Jul13 Jul02 Jun01 May04 (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY BOB Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 May27 Dec15 (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
SCOTTO Sep01 Aug10 Jul07 Jun24 Jun15 (jones edua)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
STRONG LIGHT Sep01 Aug16 Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 (younghans wi)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
GOOD RAPPORT Aug20 Jun15 May26 Apr13 Mar04 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Aug03 Jul07 May19 Apr27 Mar31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
MAMA'S GOLD Aug17 May28 Apr27 Mar11 Mar05 (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GUT FEELING Aug12 Apr01 Jan28 Dec18 Sep25 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
INSPECTOR Sep01 Jul22 Jun03 Apr21 Dec08 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 120 4.50    
 
BAQ-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON VINO VICI Aug10         (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50    
1A  RUDY RUDY RUDY Aug04         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.50    
1X  MIGHTY GLORY         (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50    
MIKEALICIOUS         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
2B  WHERE'S CHRIS         (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
MUCHO DE LA MANCHA         (contessa c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Aug27 Aug12 Jul23     (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
PICCATA PRINCE Sep03 Aug04       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
STUNNEM Aug26         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SHORE TIME         (romero raf)DAVIS A 119 15.00    
ALEAH ALEAH         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/14/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTLOOKBACKATALL Aug19 Jul10 Jun06 Apr20 Nov05 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
1A  LADY MIA (FR)         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60    
QUEEN OLLY (IRE) Aug12         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
DEKANTER Jul19 Jun03 Apr15 Mar16   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50    
SCR  MISS DOMINA Aug19 Aug06 Jul19 May19 Mar26 (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
GEORGEES SPIRIT Aug19 Apr27 Nov05 Oct01 Sep01 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
FLEETFOOTED Jul19 May29 Apr22 Oct08 Sep17 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
FEATHERS (IRE) Mar18 Nov12 Oct15 Aug28 Jul23 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
PLAY THE MUSIC Aug18 Nov05 Oct09 Sep05   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VIENNA CODE Aug09 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May18 (williams a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
SCR  OBRIGADA Jul30 Jul13 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SCR  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 May14 Apr16 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00    
SCR  FANCY AZTECA Aug09 Jul02 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  PORTAGE Aug16 Jul20 Jun23 May20 Mar16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Aug30 Aug16 Jul12 May06 Apr02 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
SCR  TO A T Aug24 Jul22 Jun23 Apr30 Apr22 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN GODDESS Jul08 Jun10 Apr15 Dec11 Nov18 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 8% 11.90    
YOGI Aug12 Jul16 May19 Mar12 Dec29 (chichakly amira)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
SHIGEKO Aug16 Jul30 Dec18 Nov19 Jun19 (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUSIE'S SAVER Aug09 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 May19 (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 20.00    
DASHING DELLA Jul30 Jun23 May29 May04 Apr13 (arenas marce)RIVERA R 115 30.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL Aug11 Jul22 Jun01 May11 Apr22 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
MY GIRL JAL Aug31 Jul13 Jun16 May26 May14 (legall e)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
DIVINE CROSS Aug16 Jan22 Dec04 Oct14   (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 118 3.00 6% 14.60    
HARLAN'S BOND Aug09 Jul27 Jul03 May20 Apr22 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GHOSTLYPRINCE Aug16 Jul09 Jun15 May14 Apr07 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Aug16 Jul22 Jul03 May11 Apr20 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
KHAFRE Jun02 Apr21 Feb12 Nov18 Sep25 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
EDDIE THE GREAT Aug03 Jul04 Jun02 Dec11 Oct30 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
SPETTRO Jul09 Jun15 May26 Dec09 Nov05 (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
COVERT KAT Sep01 Aug03 Jul08 Jun09 May19 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
SPACE LAUNCH Jul27 Jul01 May27 Nov19 Sep16 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 55% 0.80    
OUR COUNTRY Aug10 Jul14 May11 Mar09 Feb09 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 10% 8.90    
MY ROMEO LIMA May28 Apr15 Mar09 Feb11 Dec17 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
HE'S GOT IT Aug26 Jun02 Jan04 Nov28 Nov11 (abreu jorg)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
10  ARRIO Jun22 May29 Nov12 Oct09 Sep24 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  MAGICAL WAYS Aug10 Jul03 May13 Apr21 Mar03 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Sep01 Jun15 Apr30 Feb24 Feb12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-10   09/14/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERRETTA Jul22 Jul03 Jun03 Apr08 Nov17 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  BUSSIA Jul22         (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
VOLEUSE Sep04 Jul22 Dec16 Nov17 Aug26 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 57% 0.70    
SUPERS LUCKY LADY         (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
SHE'S A NATURAL Jul29 Jul03 Jun01 May05 Apr08 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SHAMAN PRINCESS Jul22 Jun16 Apr29 Apr06 Mar11 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHERBOURG         (lerman s)RENDON JAIRO 121 15.00    
ARMY OF THOUGHTS Sep17         (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
SCR  BOSTON STRONG MAMA Aug27 Jul08       (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00    
LAURANA         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  SHOWEMYOURHEELS Nov04 Oct06 Jul28     (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00    
11  TRUE MARTINI Aug16 Feb18 Jan07 Nov17 Sep17 (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE Jul23 Jun24 May18 Apr22 Sep30 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
SCR  TERESA Aug10         (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
SCR  BETTER HUMOR ME Aug12         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00    
SCR  ISLAND ROSE Jul15         (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.