Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-6   EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $17.20 $5.20 43%
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-6-7 $20.62 $17.62 587%
FL-7   WIN (5/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $9.30 $1.30 16%
    DD (1/7/6)-(5/8/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-8 $31.20 $7.20 30%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FRAN 5 1 12 1   1 1 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.60 62% 0.60 0.25 W
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS 3 3 32 3   3 2 (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.00 7% 13.30 5.60 P
SWEET SHALLOTS 6 2 22 2   2 36 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00 8.10  
THE NEW MIAMI 2 6 6 610   612 4 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 121 10.00 19.70  
SALOON GIRL 1 5 5 5   410 5 (dean i)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 12.20  
KATERI EMPIRE 4 4 43 4   511 612¼ (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
 
FL-2   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:224 :464 :60     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 1 6 42 45   4 11 (zito nicholas)MARTIN MATTIE 114 4.00 1.45  
  (by UNCLE MO out of TRULY GIFTED by AFLEET ALEX)
STORM THE EMPIRE 5 2 21 22   22 21 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 2.50 1.95  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
THE CATILLAC KID 3 1 11 12   12 3 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 18% 4.60 4.70 S
  (by REDESDALE out of BLUE CATILLAC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
UNION NAVY 2 5 6 6   56 4 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 34% 1.90 7.10  
  (by UNION JACKSON out of NAVY NURSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
GOTTA CONNECT 4 3 32 35   3 54 (barrow paul)ROHENA M 121 8.00 7.30  
  (by CONNECT out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
THEWIPERSONTHEBUS 6 4 53 56   612 613½ (sells ra)DAVIS A 121 10.00 11% 7.90 15.80  
  (by TAPIZAR out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  PEANUTBUTTERTOAST               (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of SPRING LIGHTNING by SPRING AT LAST)
 
FL-3   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:003     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION CAT 3 2 11 1nk   11 1¼ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 52% 0.90 1.05 W
TUMBLES 1 6 55 5   44 2¼ (iorio jr)COA J 121 4.50 15% 5.50 1.00 P
MOOLAH ROUGE 5 1 33 3   3 3 (lecesse mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00 16.10  
SUMMER NITRO 6 3 4 45   5 4 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
EMPRESS PALPATINE 4 5 21 2nk   21 53 (henry ortis )BERRIOS C 124 3.50 13.80  
BETTING ON A STONE 2 4 6 6   610½ 6 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00 8.80  
 
FL-4   09/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:152 1:43   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEMO'S FORTUNE 3 3 1 11 1 1 14 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 41% 1.40 2.20 W
  (by EMCEE out of DADDY'S CRAZY GIRL by SCAT DADDY)
GOLD TEMPLAR 2 1 2 21 2 2 24 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 121 5.00 16% 5.10 1.55 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
OLLIE CAN DANCE 4 4 6 6 4 48 37 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 121 4.00 6% 16.90 5.80 S
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOKEN BAY by GOLD TOKEN)
DR. DARBY 5 7 8 8 8 69 4 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 12.00 24.00  
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
SINALOA 6 8 32 31 3 3 5 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 15% 5.60 4.00  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHATILLON by GHOSTZAPPER)
CROAGH PATRICK 1 2 7 7 5 59 611¾ (buckley)NAVARRO J 121 15.00 25.50  
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of TRUE BLUE ELLIE by E DUBAI)
LOOKIN GRAND 8 6 5 5 7 713 713¼ (fung christopher )CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 15.70  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
DANCINWITHJAKE 7 5 42 4 6 813¼ 819¾ (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 10.00 26.00  
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of COPIOUS NOTES by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
 
FL-5   09/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:133 1:411   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINNSU WARRIOR 4 2 11 1 1 1 1¾ (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 2.50 9.50  
OVER THE CAP 3 4 58 515½ 5 5 2¾ (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 5.00 12.50  
1A  SHE SPEAKS WELL 7 7 614 616½ 6 6 3 (maver ed)DAVIS A 124 6.00 28.25  
COLOR COMMISH 1 3 21 3 3 2 411 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.00 77% 0.30 0.05  
HUTCH 5 1 3 2 2 3 512 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00 18.10  
COMBATING 2 6 720 717½ 716¾ 721¼ 614½ (d'alessandro)BERRIOS C 120 20.00 71.75  
HARDLY WORKING 6 5 43 4 4 4 714½ (lopez robert)HARKIE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 47.25  
SCR  PARTY NEWS               (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
 
FL-6   09/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:142 1:41   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORSE BE WITH YOU 1 3 44 32 32 2nk 1 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.15 W
HONORABLE AVENUE 6 1 2 21 1½ 1nk 2 (tasso mark)COA J 122 3.00 15% 5.90 4.70 P
CO CONSPIRATOR 7 7 1 11 2½ 31 3 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 4.00 23% 3.30 10.40 S
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 3 5 6 5 4 47 4 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 2.80  
MASETA 2 4 76 75 5 5 515¼ (murphy timoth)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 20.70  
RINGGOOD 4 2 5 64 713½ 613½ 616½ (bond br)NAVARRO J 122 15.00 27.00  
JACOBA 5 6 34 4 6 714 719¾ (pettine ja)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 5.40  
 
FL-7   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PREDICTED 7 3 32 31   11 1½ (englehart je)HARKIE K 124 5.00 3.10 DQ↓2
GOD BLESS AMERICA 8 4 5 5   5 2½ (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 28% 2.50 3.65 W
SHORTSINTHEWINTER 1 8 75 7   4 3¾ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 5.10  
MSHINDI 6 5 6 6   6 41 (dixon k)COA J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
TACONY ROAD 2 6 43 4   32 51 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 121 3.00 6% 16.90 3.50  
HE'S GOT THE JACK 4 2 1½ 1½   21 6 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.50 41% 1.40 5.80  
RAW COURAGE 3 7 86 810¾   7 718½ (ashley julius)DAVILA A 124 12.00 22.90  
RUN DIEM Z 5 1 2½ 2½   8 825½ (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 10.00 5.40  
SCR  UNDER THE KNIFE               (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 5.00    
 
FL-8   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGAL REBEL 3 4 11 1   12 1 (grabowski john)COA J 124 4.00 24% 3.20 1.35 W
JACKIE B GOOD 4 5 21 2   22 2 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 3.00 26% 2.80 5.20 P
WINE TRAIL 5 6 6 8   7 3 (progno michael )DIAZ J 115 12.00 17.70  
10  MAGNIFICENT MAGS 9 7 9 77   43 4 (sparling wayne)VENTURA JOSE 122 8.00 10% 8.80 25.00  
PALS ALLY 2 8 53 33   32 5 (gutierre)DAVIS A 122 15.00 28.00  
EVER GRACEFUL 1 9 74 66   65 6 (dixon linda )BARBOSA CARLOS 114 4.50 13% 6.70 1.85  
MIDMON 6 2 4 54   54 7 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00 8.70  
CENTRAL CAPITAL 8 1 8 9   9 8 (rivera dav)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 17.20  
AFTER ALPHA 7 3 31 43   8 9 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00 87.25  
SCR  ONE FLASHY GIRL               (cotrone)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.