The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Finger Lakes
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.50 $2.50 -3.50
FL-2   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.90 -6.00
FL-3   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 -1.90
FL-4   Win (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
FL-5   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $21.00 -4.00
FL-6   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.30 $4.30 -1.70
FL-7   Win (5/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 1.30
FL-8   Win (4/3/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.70 $4.70 -3.30

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
:224 :463 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FRAN 5 1 12 1   11(shaffer richa)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.60 62% 0.60 0.25 W
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS 3 3 32 3   32(ferraro anth)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.00 7% 13.30 5.60 P
SWEET SHALLOTS 6 2 22 2   236 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00 8.10  
THE NEW MIAMI 2 6 6 610   612 4(vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 121 10.00 19.70  
SALOON GIRL 1 5 5 5   410 5(dean iii)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 12.20  
KATERI EMPIRE 4 4 43 4   511 612¼ (cabrera a)ROHENA JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
 
FL-2   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
:224 :464 :60     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 1 6 42 45   411 (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 114 4.00 1.45  
STORM THE EMPIRE 5 2 21 22   22 21 (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 121 2.50 1.95  
THE CATILLAC KID 3 1 11 12   12 3(barrow paul)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 18% 4.60 4.70 S
UNION NAVY 2 5 6 6   56 4(buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 34% 1.90 7.10  
GOTTA CONNECT 4 3 32 35   354 (barrow paul)ROHENA M 121 8.00 7.30  
THEWIPERSONTHEBUS 6 4 53 56   612 613½ (sells rach)DAVIS A 121 10.00 11% 7.90 15.80  
SCR  PEANUTBUTTERTOAST               (shaffer richa)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00    
 
FL-3   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:224 :471 1:003     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION CAT 3 2 11 1nk   11 1¼ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 52% 0.90 1.05 W
TUMBLES 1 6 55 5   44 2¼ (iorio jr)COA J 121 4.50 15% 5.50 1.00 P
MOOLAH ROUGE 5 1 33 3   33(lecesse michae)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00 16.10  
SUMMER NITRO 6 3 4 45   54(huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
EMPRESS PALPATINE 4 5 21 2nk   21 53 (henry n)BERRIOS C 124 3.50 13.80  
BETTING ON A STONE 2 4 6 6   610½ 6(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00 8.80  
 
FL-4   09/18/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
:243 :493 1:152 1:43   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEMO'S FORTUNE 3 3 1 11 1 114 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 41% 1.40 2.20 W
GOLD TEMPLAR 2 1 2 21 2 224 (falk jacquelin)HARKIE K 121 5.00 16% 5.10 1.55 P
OLLIE CAN DANCE 4 4 6 6 4 48 37 (buckley b)PEREZ E 121 4.00 6% 16.90 5.80 S
DR. DARBY 5 7 8 8 8 69 4(huertas ni)DAVIS A 124 12.00 24.00  
SINALOA 6 8 32 31 3 35(sells rachel)DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 15% 5.60 4.00  
CROAGH PATRICK 1 2 7 7 5 59 611¾ (buckley j)NAVARRO J 121 15.00 25.50  
LOOKIN GRAND 8 6 5 5 7 713 713¼ (fung r)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 15.70  
DANCINWITHJAKE 7 5 42 4 6 813¼ 819¾ (progno s)ROHENA JR 124 10.00 26.00  
 
FL-5   09/18/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
:242 :482 1:133 1:411   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINNSU WARRIOR 4 2 11 1 1 11¾ (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 124 2.50 9.50  
OVER THE CAP 3 4 58 515½ 5 52¾ (ferraro michae)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 5.00 12.50  
1A  SHE SPEAKS WELL 7 7 614 616½ 6 63(maver edua)DAVIS A 124 6.00 28.25  
COLOR COMMISH 1 3 21 3 3 2411 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 2.00 77% 0.30 0.05  
HUTCH 5 1 3 2 2 3512 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00 18.10  
COMBATING 2 6 720 717½ 716¾ 721¼ 614½ (d'alessandro r)BERRIOS C 120 20.00 71.75  
HARDLY WORKING 6 5 43 4 4 4714½ (lopez roberto )HARKIE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 47.25  
SCR  PARTY NEWS               (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
 
FL-6   09/18/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:241 :491 1:142 1:41   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORSE BE WITH YOU 1 3 44 32 32 2nk 1(englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.15 W
HONORABLE AVENUE 6 1 2 21 1½ 1nk 2(tasso mark)COA J 122 3.00 15% 5.90 4.70 P
CO CONSPIRATOR 7 7 1 11 2½ 31 3(gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 122 4.00 23% 3.30 10.40 S
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 3 5 6 5 4 47 4(barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 2.80  
MASETA 2 4 76 75 5 5515¼ (murphy timothy )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 20.70  
RINGGOOD 4 2 5 64 713½ 613½ 616½ (bond bren)NAVARRO J 122 15.00 27.00  
JACOBA 5 6 34 4 6 714 719¾ (pettine jame)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 5.40  
 
FL-7   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
:23 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PREDICTED 7 3 32 31   11 1½ (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 124 5.00 3.10 DQ↓2
GOD BLESS AMERICA 8 4 5 5   52½ (wright james)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 28% 2.50 3.65 W
SHORTSINTHEWINTER 1 8 75 7   43¾ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 5.10  
MSHINDI 6 5 6 6   641 (dixon k)COA J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
TACONY ROAD 2 6 43 4   32 51 (murphy p)ALVARADO R 121 3.00 6% 16.90 3.50  
HE'S GOT THE JACK 4 2 1½ 1½   21 6(englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 3.50 41% 1.40 5.80  
RAW COURAGE 3 7 86 810¾   7718½ (ashley julius)DAVILA A 124 12.00 22.90  
RUN DIEM Z 5 1 2½ 2½   8825½ (breed rona)DAVIS A 121 10.00 5.40  
SCR  UNDER THE KNIFE               (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 121 5.00    
 
FL-8   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
:231 :472 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGAL REBEL 3 4 11 1   12 1(grabowski a)COA J 124 4.00 24% 3.20 1.35 W
JACKIE B GOOD 4 5 21 2   22 2(clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 3.00 26% 2.80 5.20 P
WINE TRAIL 5 6 6 8   73(progno s)DIAZ J 115 12.00 17.70  
10  MAGNIFICENT MAGS 9 7 9 77   43 4(sparling e)VENTURA JOSE 122 8.00 10% 8.80 25.00  
PALS ALLY 2 8 53 33   32 5(gutierrez )DAVIS A 122 15.00 28.00  
EVER GRACEFUL 1 9 74 66   65 6(dixon k)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 4.50 13% 6.70 1.85  
MIDMON 6 2 4 54   54 7(clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00 8.70  
CENTRAL CAPITAL 8 1 8 9   98(rivera david)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 17.20  
AFTER ALPHA 7 3 31 43   89(huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00 87.25  
SCR  ONE FLASHY GIRL               (cotrone d)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.