Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/2/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(3/2/6/4)-(2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/4)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(5/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(5/8/3/7)-(4/3/1/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/7)-(4/3/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/3/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/10)-(4/3/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/10)-(4/3/1/10)-(4/3/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALOON GIRL Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (dean i)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00    
2  THE NEW MIAMI Aug29 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 121 10.00    
3  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 May24 (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.00 7% 13.30    
4  KATERI EMPIRE Aug29 Aug15 Jul05 Jun21 May31 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAST FRAN Aug21 Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 May08 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
6  SWEET SHALLOTS Aug21 Aug08 Jul05 Jun14 May31 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00    
 
FL-2   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Aug20 Oct21       (zito nicholas)MARTIN MATTIE 114 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TRULY GIFTED by AFLEET ALEX)
2  UNION NAVY Sep04 Aug07 Jul24     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of NAVY NURSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
3  THE CATILLAC KID Aug21 Jul24 Jun05 May15 Jan21 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by REDESDALE out of BLUE CATILLAC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  GOTTA CONNECT Aug07 Jul10 May15 Mar04 Jan28 (barrow paul)ROHENA M 121 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
5  STORM THE EMPIRE Aug07 Oct09 Aug11     (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 2.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
6  THEWIPERSONTHEBUS         (sells ra)DAVIS A 121 10.00 11% 7.90    
  (by TAPIZAR out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  PEANUTBUTTERTOAST Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun26   (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of SPRING LIGHTNING by SPRING AT LAST)
 
FL-3   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUMBLES Aug23 Aug14 Jul24 Jul04 Jun20 (iorio jr)COA J 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
2  BETTING ON A STONE Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jun13 Jan20 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00    
3  MISSION CAT Aug23 Jul04 Sep19 Aug29 Jul27 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  EMPRESS PALPATINE Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun13 (henry ortis )BERRIOS C 124 3.50    
5  MOOLAH ROUGE Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May30 May08 (lecesse mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00    
6  SUMMER NITRO Aug23 May16 May08 Mar22 Mar04 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-4   09/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROAGH PATRICK Aug21         (buckley)NAVARRO J 121 15.00    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of TRUE BLUE ELLIE by E DUBAI)
2  GOLD TEMPLAR Sep04 Aug07 Jul16 Jun28 Jun12 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
3  NEMO'S FORTUNE Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by EMCEE out of DADDY'S CRAZY GIRL by SCAT DADDY)
4  OLLIE CAN DANCE Sep04 Aug07 Jan28     (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 121 4.00 6% 16.90    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOKEN BAY by GOLD TOKEN)
5  DR. DARBY Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Sep27 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 12.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
6  SINALOA Sep04 Aug03 Jul21 Jul08   (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHATILLON by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  DANCINWITHJAKE Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of COPIOUS NOTES by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
8  LOOKIN GRAND Sep04 Aug22 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 (fung christopher )CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
 
FL-5   09/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHE SPEAKS WELL Sep06 Aug16 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (maver ed)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
SCR  PARTY NEWS Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 Jul24 Dec28 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
2  COLOR COMMISH Aug15 Jul25 Jun28 Jan01 Dec11 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.00 77% 0.30    
3  COMBATING Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 May25 (d'alessandro)BERRIOS C 120 20.00    
4  OVER THE CAP Sep06 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun01 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 5.00    
5  GINNSU WARRIOR Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 Jul19 Jul07 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 2.50    
6  HUTCH Aug22 Aug09 Jul10 Jun21 Nov23 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00 ★    
7  HARDLY WORKING Sep06 Aug07 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (lopez robert)HARKIE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   09/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORSE BE WITH YOU Aug28 Apr05 Mar22 Mar06 Feb21 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  MASETA Sep04 Aug14 Jul19 Jun21 Feb23 (murphy timoth)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
3  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Aug14 Jul19 Jun12 Apr29 Apr08 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00    
4  RINGGOOD Sep04 Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 Jun21 (bond br)NAVARRO J 122 15.00    
5  JACOBA Sep04 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 (pettine ja)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
6  HONORABLE AVENUE Sep05 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 May17 (tasso mark)COA J 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
7  CO CONSPIRATOR Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul03 Jun15 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
FL-7   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PREDICTED May26 May05 Apr02 Mar03 Feb02 (englehart je)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
SCR  UNDER THE KNIFE Sep04 Aug20 Jul21 Jun28   (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 5.00    
2  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Nov16 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
3  TACONY ROAD Aug07 Jul17 Jun28     (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 121 3.00 6% 16.90    
4  RAW COURAGE Sep04 May26 May20 Apr30 Apr02 (ashley julius)DAVILA A 124 12.00    
5  HE'S GOT THE JACK Aug21 Nov16 Nov02     (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  RUN DIEM Z Aug16 Aug04 Jun15     (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
7  MSHINDI Aug31 Feb09 Nov25 Oct17 Oct04 (dixon k)COA J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GOD BLESS AMERICA Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun28 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
FL-8   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVER GRACEFUL Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 Jun21 May20 (dixon linda )BARBOSA CARLOS 114 4.50 13% 6.70    
2  PALS ALLY Sep05 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (gutierre)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
3  REGAL REBEL Sep05 Aug23 Aug02 Jul04 Jun13 (grabowski john)COA J 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  JACKIE B GOOD Sep05 Apr05 Mar22 Feb15 Jan24 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  WINE TRAIL Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 (progno michael )DIAZ J 115 12.00    
6  MIDMON Aug21 Aug02 Jul03 Jun20 May23 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00    
7  AFTER ALPHA Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Jun13 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00    
SCR  ONE FLASHY GIRL Aug21 Aug24 Aug03     (cotrone)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
9  CENTRAL CAPITAL Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 May22 May09 (rivera dav)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
10  MAGNIFICENT MAGS Jul05 Jun20 May31 May22 May09 (sparling wayne)VENTURA JOSE 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.