Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-3   WIN (8/3/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $41.60 $31.60 316%
    DD (5/2)-(8/3/6/5/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00  5-7 $40.00 $30.00 300%
    PK3 (6/3/1/4)-(5/2)-(8/3/6/5/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00  3-5-7 $137.50 $97.50 244%
BAQ-4   DD (8/3/6/5/7)-(6/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00  7-6 $52.25 $37.25 248%
    PK3 (5/2)-(8/3/6/5/7)-(6/2/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00  5-7-6 $85.00 $55.00 183%
BAQ-5   WIN (10/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $9.10 $1.10 14%
    EXA (10/5/2/3)-(10/5/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-4 $35.00 $19.00 119%
    TRI (10/5/2/3)-(10/5/2/4/3)-(10/5/2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-4-5 $40.00 $16.00 67%
    PK3 (8/3/6/5/7)-(6/2/5)-(10/5/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00  7-6-10 $204.25 $144.25 240%
    PK4 (5/2)-(8/3/6/5/7)-(6/2/5)-(10/5/2/3) 120 $0.50 $60.00  1/5-7-6-10 $246.25 $186.25 310%
    PK5 (6/3/1/4)-(5/2)-(8/3/6/5/7)-(6/2/5)-(10/5/2/3) 480 $0.50 $240  3/5/9-1/5-7-6-10 $669.25 $429.25 179%
BAQ-8   WIN (4/9/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  11 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (4/9/11/1)-(4/9/11/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  11-9 $20.50 $4.50 28%
BAQ-9   WIN (12/1/8/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $12.60 $2.60 26%
    DD (4/9/11/1)-(12/1/8/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-12 $37.50 $17.50 88%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/26/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:224 :454 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMAN PRINCESS 3 1 11 1   1 1¼ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 19% 4.40 2.25 W
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of STORIED LADY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
TURRIGA 2 5 32 2   2 2¼ (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 11% 8.10 3.30  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TIZ A TEXAN by TIZNOW)
STRICTLY TABOO 6 3 53 4   3 3 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 49% 1.10 2.60 S
  (by ASTERN out of SPUNTASTIC by HARD SPUN)
1A  CERRETTA 5 8 8 58   48 4 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 3.30  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
SPLASHY 8 2 64 6   6 5 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 3.85  
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
SHE'S A NATURAL 1 6 21 3   58 6 (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00 26.75  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
WATCH OVER ME 4 7 75 711   712½ 711¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MATCHMADEINHEAVEN by UTOPIA (JPN))
NEIGH JUDE 7 4 43 814   816 815¾ (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 8.80  
  (by UNION RAGS out of JU JU EYEBALLS by GATORS N BEARS)
SCR  BUSSIA               (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LISINI by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  CHERBOURG               (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SATURN LACE by KODIAC)
SCR  CUPRITE               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of MURNA BEE BAAAD by BIG BROWN)
 
BAQ-2   10/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:13 1:374   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED BOMBER 4 3 31 3½ 3½ 2½ 1hd (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 124 1.20 33% 2.00 0.65 W
DAYDREAMING BOY 2 4 43 4 42 1½ 2hd (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 3.40  
BOLD ENDEAVOR 1 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 4 3 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50 27% 2.70 4.30 S
SYSTEMIC CHANGE 3 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 3 46 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00 4.60  
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT               (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:243 :502 1:15 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNEEN BAY 7 8 8 8 8 34 1nk (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 6% 16.30 19.80 W
10  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE 10 7 42 3 31 23 2nk (bond harol)RIVERA R 115 8.00 10.70  
VOLATILITY 8 4 21 2½ 2nk 13 3.15 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 42% 1.40 6.70 S
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 5 6 65 64 6 4 4¼ (metivier richar)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 7% 13.00 8.30  
IT WASN'T ME 6 5 75 7 7 6 52 (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11% 7.70 3.75  
EXOTIC CAT 9 10 10 10 10 77 6 (pregman jr)USKE S 124 30.00 76.75  
BETTER JUSTICE 3 3 53 52 4 56 73 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 13% 6.90 1.15  
KEEP IT SEXY 1 1 3 4 5 87 8 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 11.50  
RAPID MISS TAPIT 4 9 9 9 9 9 9 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 12.00 53.50  
AVALANCHE IS COMIN 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 1023½ 1039 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00 25.25  
SCR  DRAMATIC EFFECT               (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 50.00    
SCR  ROSY TOMORROWS               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  TOOSHAY               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLLY MISS JILL 6 2 2½ 22   12 1 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 46% 1.20 0.60 W
AMITY ISLAND 3 5 68 610   44 2 (fisher)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 12.70  
MAGGIE 2 4 32 3   32 3 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 14% 6.40 4.20 S
DUFRESNE 1 1 1½ 12   22 4 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 14.20  
LUNA LOCA 4 3 43 4   5 511½ (arenas mar)RIVERA R 115 8.00 12.20  
EXOGEN 5 6 56 58   68 611¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 13% 6.50 4.80  
 
BAQ-5   10/26/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :461 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AUTUMN GLORY 10 7 74 7   31 1nk (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 38% 1.60 3.55 W
LINARITE 4 10 10 10   5 2nk (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 5.10 P
WEEKEND RAGS 5 5 5 4   1nk 3¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 32% 2.10 1.45 S
LATEST EDITION 8 2 21 2nk   2nk 4 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 12.30  
BELLA PRINCIPESSA 7 8 85 9   6 53 (klesaris r)RIVERA R 116 8.00 11.90  
ROYAL DANCER 2 4 31 31   4 6 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 6% 16.80 6.20  
ROBYN AND ELI 1 9 9 8   9 74 (abreu fe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00 69.25  
CANDY MONET 3 6 63 6   7 85 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
BERN ROSEY BERN 6 3 4 5   8 9 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 36.75  
THREE UNIONS 9 1 11 1nk   10 1021 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 42.25  
SCR  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE               (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
SCR  BUNTY WINDERMERE               (ryan derek)RIVERA R 116 20.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  QUEENS OVER THREES               (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 30.00    
SCR  SPOOKY LADY               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  SUPERS LUCKY LADY               (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:243 :511 1:162 1:402   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUOKKA 2 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¼ (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 21.40  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUANTIFY by NUMEROUS)
11  HEARTENED 10 6 64 5 53 42 2¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 41% 1.40 1.75 P
  (by STREET BOSS out of RARE FIND by BERNARDINI)
10  RIGHT TO VOTE 9 8 8 8 7 6 3¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 9.60  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FORBIDDEN FROLIC by VERRAZANO)
HOULTON 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 4½ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50 5% 18.80 5.10  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KATHRYN THE WISE by UNCLE MO)
MARCEAU 4 5 32 4 4 3 5¾ (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8.90  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CHARADE by COMIC STRIP)
LIVE TO RIDE (GB) 3 9 10 10 10 54 6 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 13% 6.60 3.30  
  (by KINGMAN out of MILITANTE by JOHANNESBURG)
ROCKET NIGHT 7 7 5 6 64 8 7 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 20% 4.00 11.60  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STAINLESS by FLATTER)
SKYLER'S ARTEMIS 6 3 42 3 32 7 8 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DANCINGINHERDREAMS by TAPIT)
TEAM CAPTAIN 5 10 9 9 86 9 97 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 14.10  
  (by UNKNOWN out of VENUS VALENTINE by CONGRATS)
MIGHTY GLORY 8 4 7 7 96 10 10 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 86.75  
  (by MITOLE out of SWEETNESS GALORE by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  FLUFF THE PILLOW               (brown c)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ADJUST by AFFIRMED)
SCR  I SEE YOU LOOKIN               (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ECONOMY OF MOTION by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
SCR  IGNITE THE LIGHT               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  OTELLO               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ISABELLA SINGS by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  SHAMROCK SHAKE               (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of AMERICAN SUGAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DOTTIE'S SPIRIT by CURLIN)
 
BAQ-7   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURSAL 5 4 5 42   31 1¼ (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 1.85  
ICY REPLY 4 1 2nk 2½   2½ 2¼ (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 8.00 30% 2.40 12.80 P
ROMAN GODDESS 6 5 3.2 31   43 33 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 4.50  
BOSS LADY KIM 3 2 1nk 1½   1½ 4 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 19.80  
VAX 1 7 6 7   67 5 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 31% 2.20 2.75  
GHOSTLY GIRL 7 6 7 65   5 6 (toscano john)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 15% 5.90 7.60  
TRY IT AGAIN 2 3 4 5   7 720 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 5.10  
 
BAQ-8   10/26/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:114 1:364   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TIMBUKTU 10 6 7 76 52 1½ 1½ (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 17% 4.90 5.20 W
ONE HEADLIGHT 8 9 9 8 7 3½ 2½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 21% 3.80 2.10 P
LAUREL VALLEY 7 1 43 4 4 5 3 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 11.60  
INDIAN MISCHIEF 2 3 2 21 1nk 2½ 42 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 2.95  
LACHAISE 6 7 55 55 8 6 5 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 6.40  
CLEAR CONSCIENCE 4 8 8 9 9 7 6 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 35% 1.90 8.10  
10  KINGDOM ON PAWS 9 5 33 3 3½ 43 7 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 15.00 53.00  
GEM MINT TEN 1 4 6 65 6 8 8 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
SPIRITUAL KING 3 2 1 11 2nk 9 917 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 10.00 32.00  
DR. MARBOOZ 5 10 1013¼ 1013¾ 1011¾ 1012¾ 1025 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 50.00 69.50  
SCR  BARREL OF QUESTS               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SCR  BE OF COURAGE               (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE               (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN               (friedm)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
SCR  SHINSUN               (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR               (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TWO REDHEADS 11 1 31 3   1 1 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 39% 1.50 5.30 W
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 6 7 6 4   3 2 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 8.70  
10  EASTERN STAR 9 2 1nk 1½   2 37 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 18.30 S
SWEET LIBERTY 4 5 2nk 2½   45 412¾ (quick pa)DAVIS A 121 8.00 5.90  
GOTHAM GRAY 1 4 52 53   5 514 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 14% 6.10 3.90  
BANK HOLIDAY 2 3 7 6   612½ 619¼ (donk david)RIVERA R 116 30.00 58.75  
STRANGE FRUIT 8 12 10 8   713 720 (reynolds patric)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 19.30  
13  MAXING THE BANK 12 9 8 77   818½ 829¼ (parker josep)HOWELL TALBERT 121 50.00 78.25  
11  DARLING CAT 10 10 12 1216   1025 933½ (sciacca ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 30.00 5% 19.00 71.75  
COUNTESS CONSTANCE 3 11 11 1114   1125½ 1033¾ (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 37.25  
GOOD MORNING KISS 7 8 9 1010½   924½ 1135¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 8% 11.70 1.85  
ARMY OF THOUGHTS 5 6 4 910   1226 1237 (begg b)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 13.90  
SCR  SUGAR AND SPEIGHTS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.