The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.50 $6.50 -1.50
BAQ-2   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.30 $3.30 -0.70
BAQ-3   Win (8/3/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $41.60 $41.60 31.60
BAQ-4   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
BAQ-5   Win (10/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.10 $9.10 1.10
BAQ-6   Win (11/8/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $44.80 -10.00
BAQ-7   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.70 -6.00
BAQ-8   Win (4/9/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
BAQ-9   Win (12/1/8/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 2.60

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/26/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:224 :454 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMAN PRINCESS 3 1 11 1   11¼ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 19% 4.40 2.25 W
TURRIGA 2 5 32 2   22¼ (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 11% 8.10 3.30  
STRICTLY TABOO 6 3 53 4   33(clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 49% 1.10 2.60 S
1A  CERRETTA 5 8 8 58   48 4(bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 3.30  
SPLASHY 8 2 64 6   65(clement christo)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 3.85  
SHE'S A NATURAL 1 6 21 3   58 6(sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00 26.75  
WATCH OVER ME 4 7 75 711   712½ 711¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
NEIGH JUDE 7 4 43 814   816 815¾ (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 8.80  
SCR  BUSSIA               (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 4.00    
SCR  CHERBOURG               (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
SCR  CUPRITE               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/26/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
:25 :491 1:13 1:374   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED BOMBER 4 3 31 3½ 3½ 2½ 1hd (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 124 1.20 33% 2.00 0.65 W
DAYDREAMING BOY 2 4 43 4 42 1½ 2hd (linder louis )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 3.40  
BOLD ENDEAVOR 1 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 43(rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50 27% 2.70 4.30 S
SYSTEMIC CHANGE 3 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 346 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00 4.60  
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT               (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
:243 :502 1:15 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNEEN BAY 7 8 8 8 8 34 1nk (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 6% 16.30 19.80 W
10  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE 10 7 42 3 31 23 2nk (bond harold )RIVERA R 115 8.00 10.70  
VOLATILITY 8 4 21 2½ 2nk 13 3.15 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 42% 1.40 6.70 S
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 5 6 65 64 6 44¼ (metivier richard)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 7% 13.00 8.30  
IT WASN'T ME 6 5 75 7 7 652 (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11% 7.70 3.75  
EXOTIC CAT 9 10 10 10 10 77 6(pregman jr)USKE S 124 30.00 76.75  
BETTER JUSTICE 3 3 53 52 4 56 73 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 13% 6.90 1.15  
KEEP IT SEXY 1 1 3 4 5 87 8(englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 11.50  
RAPID MISS TAPIT 4 9 9 9 9 99(potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 12.00 53.50  
AVALANCHE IS COMIN 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 1023½ 1039 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00 25.25  
SCR  DRAMATIC EFFECT               (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 50.00    
SCR  ROSY TOMORROWS               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  TOOSHAY               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
:223 :454 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLLY MISS JILL 6 2 2½ 22   12 1(giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 46% 1.20 0.60 W
AMITY ISLAND 3 5 68 610   44 2(fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 12.70  
MAGGIE 2 4 32 3   32 3(kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 14% 6.40 4.20 S
DUFRESNE 1 1 1½ 12   22 4(barrera s)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 14.20  
LUNA LOCA 4 3 43 4   5511½ (arenas marce)RIVERA R 115 8.00 12.20  
EXOGEN 5 6 56 58   68 611¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 13% 6.50 4.80  
 
BAQ-5   10/26/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
:222 :461 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AUTUMN GLORY 10 7 74 7   31 1nk (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 38% 1.60 3.55 W
LINARITE 4 10 10 10   52nk (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 5.10 P
WEEKEND RAGS 5 5 5 4   1nk 3¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 32% 2.10 1.45 S
LATEST EDITION 8 2 21 2nk   2nk 4(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 12.30  
BELLA PRINCIPESSA 7 8 85 9   653 (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 116 8.00 11.90  
ROYAL DANCER 2 4 31 31   46(nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 6% 16.80 6.20  
ROBYN AND ELI 1 9 9 8   974 (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00 69.25  
CANDY MONET 3 6 63 6   785 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
BERN ROSEY BERN 6 3 4 5   89(maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 36.75  
THREE UNIONS 9 1 11 1nk   101021 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 42.25  
SCR  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE               (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
SCR  BUNTY WINDERMERE               (ryan s)RIVERA R 116 20.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  QUEENS OVER THREES               (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 30.00    
SCR  SPOOKY LADY               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  SUPERS LUCKY LADY               (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
:243 :511 1:162 1:402   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUOKKA 2 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¼ (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 21.40  
11  HEARTENED 10 6 64 5 53 42 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 41% 1.40 1.75 P
10  RIGHT TO VOTE 9 8 8 8 7 63¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 9.60  
HOULTON 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 4½ (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50 5% 18.80 5.10  
MARCEAU 4 5 32 4 4 35¾ (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8.90  
LIVE TO RIDE (GB) 3 9 10 10 10 54 6(mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 13% 6.60 3.30  
ROCKET NIGHT 7 7 5 6 64 87(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 20% 4.00 11.60  
SKYLER'S ARTEMIS 6 3 42 3 32 78(terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
TEAM CAPTAIN 5 10 9 9 86 997 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 14.10  
MIGHTY GLORY 8 4 7 7 96 1010(schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 86.75  
SCR  FLUFF THE PILLOW               (brown c)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  I SEE YOU LOOKIN               (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  IGNITE THE LIGHT               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00    
SCR  OTELLO               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  SHAMROCK SHAKE               (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60    
 
BAQ-7   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:224 :453 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURSAL 5 4 5 42   31 1¼ (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 1.85  
ICY REPLY 4 1 2nk 2½   2½ 2¼ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 8.00 30% 2.40 12.80 P
ROMAN GODDESS 6 5 3.2 31   43 33 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 4.50  
BOSS LADY KIM 3 2 1nk 1½   1½ 4(frangella james)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 19.80  
VAX 1 7 6 7   67 5(rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 31% 2.20 2.75  
GHOSTLY GIRL 7 6 7 65   56(toscano t)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 15% 5.90 7.60  
TRY IT AGAIN 2 3 4 5   7720 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 5.10  
 
BAQ-8   10/26/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:224 :471 1:114 1:364   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TIMBUKTU 10 6 7 76 52 1½ 1½ (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 17% 4.90 5.20 W
ONE HEADLIGHT 8 9 9 8 7 3½ 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 21% 3.80 2.10 P
LAUREL VALLEY 7 1 43 4 4 53(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 11.60  
INDIAN MISCHIEF 2 3 2 21 1nk 2½ 42 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 2.95  
LACHAISE 6 7 55 55 8 65(maker michael )CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 6.40  
CLEAR CONSCIENCE 4 8 8 9 9 76(clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 35% 1.90 8.10  
10  KINGDOM ON PAWS 9 5 33 3 3½ 43 7(potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 15.00 53.00  
GEM MINT TEN 1 4 6 65 6 88(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
SPIRITUAL KING 3 2 1 11 2nk 9917 (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 119 10.00 32.00  
DR. MARBOOZ 5 10 1013¼ 1013¾ 1011¾ 1012¾ 1025 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 50.00 69.50  
SCR  BARREL OF QUESTS               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SCR  BE OF COURAGE               (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN               (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
SCR  SHINSUN               (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR               (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
:223 :461 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TWO REDHEADS 11 1 31 3   11(kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 39% 1.50 5.30 W
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 6 7 6 4   32(miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 8.70  
10  EASTERN STAR 9 2 1nk 1½   237 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 18.30 S
SWEET LIBERTY 4 5 2nk 2½   45 412¾ (quick patr)DAVIS A 121 8.00 5.90  
GOTHAM GRAY 1 4 52 53   5514 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 14% 6.10 3.90  
BANK HOLIDAY 2 3 7 6   612½ 619¼ (donk david)RIVERA R 116 30.00 58.75  
STRANGE FRUIT 8 12 10 8   713 720 (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 19.30  
13  MAXING THE BANK 12 9 8 77   818½ 829¼ (parker joseph)HOWELL TALBERT 121 50.00 78.25  
11  DARLING CAT 10 10 12 1216   1025 933½ (sciacca gary)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 30.00 5% 19.00 71.75  
COUNTESS CONSTANCE 3 11 11 1114   1125½ 1033¾ (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 37.25  
GOOD MORNING KISS 7 8 9 1010½   924½ 1135¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 8% 11.70 1.85  
ARMY OF THOUGHTS 5 6 4 910   1226 1237 (begg ben)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 13.90  
SCR  SUGAR AND SPEIGHTS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.