Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-3   Win (8/3/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-4   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (10/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (11/8/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (4/9/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (12/1/8/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/26/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURRIGA         (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
1A  CERRETTA Sep14 Jul22 Jul03 Jun03 Apr08 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00    
SCR  BUSSIA Oct12 Jul22       (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 4.00    
SHE'S A NATURAL Sep24 Sep14 Jul29 Jul03 Jun01 (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00    
SHAMAN PRINCESS Sep14 Jul22 Jun16 Apr29 Apr06 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 19% 4.40    
WATCH OVER ME         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHERBOURG Sep14         (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
STRICTLY TABOO Jul03 May27 Apr08 Jan08   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
NEIGH JUDE Aug12         (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
SPLASHY Jul29 Jul03 May21 Apr06 Nov19 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50    
SCR  CUPRITE Oct12         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT Sep21 Sep02 Jun15 Apr29 Mar04 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
BOLD ENDEAVOR Oct01 Sep21 Aug03 Mar31 Mar03 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
DAYDREAMING BOY Sep23 Aug22 Jul10 Jun18 May31 (linder louis )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00    
SYSTEMIC CHANGE Jun25 May28 Apr23 Mar10 Feb02 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00    
UNBRIDLED BOMBER Sep02 Jul08 May05 Apr16 Jan07 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 124 1.20 33% 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP IT SEXY Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jun03 May13 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
AVALANCHE IS COMIN Sep03 Aug06 Jun24 Jun10 May18 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00    
BETTER JUSTICE Sep03 Aug11       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
RAPID MISS TAPIT Aug26 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 May13 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Oct05 Sep03 May14 Nov06 Aug13 (metivier richard)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
IT WASN'T ME Aug06 Jul05 Sep03     (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11% 7.70    
DUNEEN BAY Sep02         (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 6% 16.30    
VOLATILITY Oct03 Aug06 Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
EXOTIC CAT Sep03 Jul01 May14 Aug20 Jul23 (pregman jr)USKE S 124 30.00    
10  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE Aug30 Jul28 Jul07 Mar31   (bond harold )RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  DRAMATIC EFFECT Oct06 Jul29       (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 50.00    
SCR  ROSY TOMORROWS Oct08 Sep03 Jul05 May29 Apr23 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  TOOSHAY Oct06 Aug16 Jun03 May14 Apr30 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUFRESNE Sep24 Aug06 Jul19 May28 May04 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00    
MAGGIE Sep15 Jul30 Jul16 Jun15 Nov19 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
AMITY ISLAND Jun16 May18 May04 Apr21 Apr02 (fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00    
LUNA LOCA Sep24 Aug18 Jul02 May20 Apr28 (arenas marce)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
EXOGEN         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 13% 6.50    
JOLLY MISS JILL Sep22 Aug12 Jul16 Jun16 Apr29 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 46% 1.20    
 
BAQ-5   10/26/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBYN AND ELI Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 Jul08 Jun15 (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00    
ROYAL DANCER Jul08 Jun10 Apr22 Oct23 Sep17 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 6% 16.80    
CANDY MONET Jul08 Jun17 Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
LINARITE Oct06 Aug27 Aug11 Jul13 Jun24 (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
WEEKEND RAGS Sep24 Aug27 Jul08 Jun10 Apr08 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
BERN ROSEY BERN May14 Apr22 Feb25 Jan13 Dec29 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
BELLA PRINCIPESSA May18 May12 Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
LATEST EDITION Oct06 Aug12 Sep30 Aug12 Jun26 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
THREE UNIONS Aug27 Aug11 Apr22 Nov20 Oct28 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
10  AUTUMN GLORY Jul02 May14       (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  QUEENS OVER THREES Aug27 Jul19 Jun17 May18 Mar12 (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 30.00    
SCR  BUNTY WINDERMERE Aug31 Aug17 Jul29 Jun03 Dec31 (ryan s)RIVERA R 116 20.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA Oct08 Jul04 Jun05 Sep30 Jul28 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  SPOOKY LADY Oct06 Sep04 Jul22 Jun03 Apr22 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  SUPERS LUCKY LADY Sep14         (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Sep19 Sep11 Aug07 Jul12 Jun19 (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-6   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOULTON Oct06 Aug19 Jul29     (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50 5% 18.80    
QUOKKA Sep28         (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
LIVE TO RIDE (GB) Sep28         (mcpeek kenneth )ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 13% 6.60    
MARCEAU Sep28         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
TEAM CAPTAIN         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
SCR  I SEE YOU LOOKIN         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Sep28 Aug19       (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET NIGHT Sep28 Aug19       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
MIGHTY GLORY Sep14         (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
10  RIGHT TO VOTE Sep01         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
11  HEARTENED Sep16         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE Oct04 Aug31 Jul22     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60    
SCR  FLUFF THE PILLOW         (brown c)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  OTELLO         (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  SHAMROCK SHAKE Sep02 Jul29       (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  IGNITE THE LIGHT Sep16         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAX Sep24 Aug25 Jul02 May20 Feb17 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
TRY IT AGAIN Oct06 Jul27 Jun22 Jun16 May21 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
BOSS LADY KIM Sep22 Aug05 Jun30 Sep30 Aug28 (frangella james)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00    
ICY REPLY Sep28 Aug31 Aug12 Jul30 Jun16 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 8.00 30% 2.40    
MURSAL Sep22 Aug12 Jul13 Jun04 May19 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
ROMAN GODDESS Oct07 Sep14 Jul08 Jun10 Apr15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL Oct07 Sep14 Aug11 Jul22 Jun01 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 15% 5.90    
 
BAQ-8   10/26/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEM MINT TEN Aug27 Aug03 Jun18 May14 Apr07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
INDIAN MISCHIEF Sep03 Jul26 Mar26     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
SPIRITUAL KING Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jul13 (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
CLEAR CONSCIENCE Jul02 Jun10 Apr14 Nov11   (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
DR. MARBOOZ Aug31 Jul28 Jun17 Jan26 Jan05 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 50.00    
LACHAISE Sep17 Jun25 Jun03 Oct02 Aug04 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Aug03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 Feb12 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
LAUREL VALLEY Sep16 Aug23 Jun25 Jun11 Feb18 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
ONE HEADLIGHT Aug27 Aug03 Jun01 May06 Apr14 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
10  KINGDOM ON PAWS Oct06 Sep09 Aug10 Jul23 Jun10 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
11  TIMBUKTU Sep17 Aug03 Jul01 May11 Apr13 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  BE OF COURAGE Oct04 Sep17 Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  BARREL OF QUESTS Sep17 Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr08 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR Sep17 Aug27 Jul02 Jul15 May30 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
SCR  SHINSUN Sep17 Aug16 Jul01 May11 Oct29 (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTHAM GRAY Oct06 Jul23 May18 Apr14 Mar11 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
BANK HOLIDAY Dec02 Nov04 Sep17     (donk david)RIVERA R 116 30.00    
COUNTESS CONSTANCE         (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
SCR  SUGAR AND SPEIGHTS         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
SWEET LIBERTY Oct12 Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 Jan27 (quick patr)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
ARMY OF THOUGHTS Sep14 Sep17       (begg ben)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00    
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Sep15 Aug10 Jul15 Jun16   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
GOOD MORNING KISS Nov19 Oct28       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 8% 11.70    
STRANGE FRUIT Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul16 Jun01 (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
10  EASTERN STAR         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  DARLING CAT         (sciacca gary)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  TWO REDHEADS Feb12 Jan19 Dec09 Nov05   (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 39% 1.50    
13  MAXING THE BANK Sep15 Jun24 Jun16     (parker joseph)HOWELL TALBERT 121 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.